₦airaland Forum

LordAdam16:
thanks for that

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yea they do

think that's because of the 1936 montreaux convention though
the great powers at the time signed the agreement acknowledging turkey's right to manage the dardanelles and bosphorus
also helps i think that turkey controls both sides of the straits

also have to add
that the littoral states of the strait of malacca did establish a Cooperative Mechanism fund
to accept voluntary contributions for safety and environmental projects at the strait

iran has been really, unusually fair to the planet keeping it open while suffering decades of sanctions
they're saints
trying to abide by international law when their assailants don't

-Lord

Appleyard:
Well, it is definitely a head-scratcher when you look at the timing. But, the more you look at it, the more sense it makes that they did not close it pre-war.

For a long time, Iran did use the threat of closing Hormuz as its biggest "bargaining leverage." Keeping it open wasn't really about being generous or offering free passage; it allows Iran to stay connected to the global economy. As long as the strait stayed open, Iran could still try to sell its own oil and keep some diplomacy alive with countries like China and India.

If they had closed the strait back when the sanctions were first reinstated, it likely would have provoked this war much sooner, which could have closed the window of preparation Iran badly needed.

Closing a major global shipping lane is usually seen as an "act of war" by the rest of the world. By waiting until the actual fighting began on February 28, Iran was able to use the closure as a direct military and economic move rather than just a political protest. That patience is what has steered the war in its favour today.

Now that the war is in full swing and the U.Sreal camp decided to hit their oil hubs, Iran is also making sure no one else can move oil through that area either. The strategy is all about "if we can’t sell ours, nobody can sell theirs as well," and that has sent global prices skyrocketing. It was a master plan by Persia.

Now, they're not just getting the sanctions lifted, but also making a tonne of money from allowing passage through the strait---these would never have been possible pre-war.

LordAdam16:
it'd be like south africa charging a toll to pass through the southern ocean
or malaysia/indonesia charging a toll to pass through the straits of malacca

it is unprecedented to do so in peacetime

legally speaking, iran has not closed off the strait of hormuz
it has only instituted a monitoring regime to preserve security as part of self-defense during a war

that will be the justification used to mine the strait if it comes to that
we are under attack and we mined it to prevent naval assets from using it
just so happens that civilian vessels are also affected

you kinda have the same sh*t in the bosphorus straits
turkey can close it off when it comes under attack but doesn't charge a toll to use in peacetime

-Lord

23jerryking:
Sorry bro if I may ask, is Central Iran located outside Iran?
Cause I recall your comments "no Israel or American plane can operate in Iranian airspace"

Appleyard:
Omo.

Our predictions and analysis just dey come to pass anyhow.

Foolishboy419, they've started removing the sanctions by themselves while still receiving premium beating from Persia.

The Gulf monarchs would be looking like morons right now.

Russian oil sanctions lifted without Putin breaking a sweat.

Iranian oil sanctions lifted without China breaking a sweat.

The Europeans and the Gulf states learning that geopolitics is not a game of butter and cheese.

Givi, Motorola, and Kharmenei extends their greetings from Paradise to agent Trumpilov of the 66th SVR Regiment in Warri port city of Kalinigrad.

Appleyard:
If they didn't risk sending the F35 in the first week, why send it now that Iran has rolled out some of its best AD systems?

It only means one thing: Uncle Sam is fast running out of standoff strike munitions.

Of course, the F35 is the greatest boondoggle of the 21st century. Most Russian radars can detect it hundreds of miles away.

LordAdam16:
may the gods, old and new, punish any persian that accepts giving the epstein 🤡🤡 an out

when you have the hegemony on the ropes, do not let go

keep the strait closed for 30 to 60 days
make the entire planet sweat

and tehran should not listen to the kremlin
those ones are specialists in overcomplication

-Lord

Mille:
Don't waste your time on him. He has never supported Iran at any point in time. Na them holiness crew e be.

WriteerNg:

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RIP Joe Kent 🕊 🕯 💔


1980 - 2026

BREAKING : Joe Kent, who just resigned as Director of US CTC, exposed USA’s role in creating ISIS & Al-Qaeda

“United States strategically armed & relied on proxies like Al-Qaeda & ISIS in Syria, to serve Israel’s geopolitical interests” 🤯

So it was the US who created ISIS?… pic.twitter.com/aMK8WQcOKq

— Ankit Mayank (@mr_mayank) March 20, 2026

LordAdam16:
no b only you

na so e still be for my end

dem no believe say iran would still be standing 3 weeks after their final boss started the war

-Lord

Freshandfitpod:
The terroristic regime in iran executed a young wrestler for Voicing out his grievance, this just shows that the united States and the Israelis have been right the whole time.

I hereby renounce my support for iran and I will encourage the rest of us to do the same for the sake of humanity

aumeehn:
Then how comes an F35 got hit? Maybe it got hit by a Vulture

The inevitable happend

Such heavy damage on a F-35 unlikely to allow for controlled landing.

Hence it was likely near the border regions that its Pilot was not captured...

➡️ Lockheed Martin, Stealth TM pic.twitter.com/7rIPp6HPmy

— Patarames (@Pataramesh) March 19, 2026

Alamkiir:
Simple

Appleyard:
@Foolishboi419, what we said earlier.

They will by themselves remove the sanctions eventually.

Eyes go clear.

Appleyard:
That's the iranian end goal.

Those who put the sanctions will have to remove them as a precondition for the war to end or Persia will force their hands to remove them via the economic front with solid guarantees that such atrocious acts will not repeat themselves in the future.

The disruption in energy has now shifted to energy destruction. Iran is matching escalation with escalation. The Israeli strike on iranian gas field reveals the desperation and strategic failure behind this war.

It appears that Israel took advantage of Iran's promise to retaliate against any attack on its gas and energy industries, and would spread the attack all over the region. So, the genocidal vipers decided to attack the gas fields because an Iranian retaliation might force the Gulf countries to join the war directly, something Tel Aviv (and the US) wish to happen. But, this strategy is a very weak one. In fact, it is now clear that, the US and Israel has lost the war objectively, and they're simply acting out of d desperation.

Why?

1. The Gulf states are in no position to enter the war----US security arrangements over the years that prioritize Israel's security above the rest made sure of that by under equipping those states. They lack the weapons, the logistics, and the will to wage or attrit a war against a highly advanced peer like Iran.

2. Even if they wanted to, the chances of their people turning against them is now higher than ever. This ongoing war is fast becoming a uniting force among Shia and sunni Muslims. A regional spike in the conflict will only increase the chants of death to the Big Satan (America) and death to the small Satan (Israel).

3. Iraq gets much of its gas for electricity from Iran, and they'd be hit the hardest in this ongoing tit-for-tat energy restrictions. It is delusion to think Iraq at this time would take up arms against Iran.

Turkey also gets 15% of its gas for electricity from Iran, and there is no way they'd join up against Iran.

Qatar has instead condemn the Israeli attack on the iranian gas field. It has also condemned the iranian reprisal attacks that include its gas field, but, that is where it ends. No one is taking up arms.


3. Moreover, Iranian response attacks on Haifa and Israeli gas stations are also in the menu, and with very little to no interceptors left to stop them, the genocidal state would also receive its share of the damage and suffering as well.

Hence, the above points renders the Israeli strategy a weak, poorly thought out, and desperate attempt to project "accomplishment." The included policy of assassinations that takes out pragmatists like Larijani will only make the IRGC stronger, produce more hardliners, and by the time this war ends, everything Israel wishes Iran not to be is what they'd become.

Iran will objectively emerge the winner.

usmanpogo:
Like I said then, there are some brilliant minds on both sides of the divide and then there's your kind.
At least you admitted spreading the wrong information, so all hope is not lost.
Keep it up 😊

usmanpogo:
Or a better idea would be to urge your fellows to stop spreading disinformation, I think that would be more efficient, don't you agree 😉
Sorry I made you feel minute 😂😂😂

usmanpogo:
There's a difference between misinformation and disinformation, the later is what's going on !!!
Deliberately sharing wrong information defeats the purpose of the discourse.

WriteerNg:

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Asin.

Don't mind the cl0wn. He don dey apply for US visa na why.