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Fxuser's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 11:15am On Jan 08, 2020
Toluway:
You mean stop loss is not an exit strategy?
amongst many others
usually stop loss helps calc position size, to avoid been too heavy or too light
our broker exchanges are still many years behind d curve
deriz room to have a more robust broker platforms
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:39am On Jan 08, 2020
FBN
- una no go leave me behind
- oya

#swingBUY
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:29am On Jan 08, 2020
fxuser:
ETI update
- late starter but nice ff thru
- bounce, ff thru , ff UBA

swingBUy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:26am On Jan 08, 2020
fxuser:
Wapco
- N14 broken after much range drama
- driver is ready
- FF thru
- trigger buy early

#Swing BUY
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:01pm On Jan 07, 2020
onegentleguy:
Closing Prices:
ACCESS- N11.20 ...20k above its previous 52-weeks high.
UBA- N8.45 ...5k above the last 52-weeks high.
FBNH- N7 ...N2 below its last 52-weeks high.

Technically, all 3 coys are playing out a similar trend of higher lows with a push for higher highs !!
Perhaps it's time to tap into the last coy(FBNH)
...the probability that u can gain that N2 margin from it is near 1.

Elsewhere, it'll be wise to keep a close eye on AIICO !!
...that 'dude' has be making above average vol with signs of a trend reversal in the last 3 trading days.

For those still seeking for where to invest; there is still more than enough room for reward(feasible ROI) in CAVERTON, FCMB, FIDELITY, ETI, GTB, ZENITH, UACN, WAPCO and TRANSCORP.
...including the 3(ACCESS, UBA and FBNH) highlighted above !!

NOTE: Following ur instinct should still take higher precedence ahead of this post. Due diligence still applies.

It is well.
nice one
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 9:58pm On Jan 07, 2020
Intendy:
Stocks with new 52 week lows

International breweries #9.20k

NCR #4.05k
Skyway aviation #4.15k

Stocks with new 52 week highs
Access Bank #11.20k
Flour mill #21.50k
Uba #8.45k
52 week high begat 52 week high , more to come
(means every buyer in d last 52 weeks is in d green)
nice one
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 9:55pm On Jan 07, 2020
pluto09:
We need you to be around this time of the season grin
Make you no run away now o grin grin
full grd ! cool
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 9:53pm On Jan 07, 2020
Toluway:
Adopting of Stop Loss-strategy will solve the issue of the right time to exit, for everyone.
loll
if entry is tricky , exits senior am
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 8:29pm On Jan 07, 2020
Wapco
- N14 broken after much range drama
- driver is ready
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 8:26pm On Jan 07, 2020
fxuser:
ETI
following d bnk index train , coming off a dd bttm
ETI update
- late starter but nice ff thru
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 8:24pm On Jan 07, 2020
fxuser:
NSE Monday Price action is positive early
- prices holding above prev week close early is good .
- a higher weekly closure is wat matters everything else is noise

#positives
serx engulfing weekly candles up and dan d index
E ku bullish start
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 12:27pm On Jan 06, 2020
Ucap
- ser sumfin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 12:24pm On Jan 06, 2020
TraDeRR:
I don close market on GU long.. time for nse.. Fxuser abeg shine your touchlight on Transcorp for me small.. shey e don see bottom?
yeah , price rejected below N1.00 again making a dd bttm
consolidation ongoing , shud retest n1.10 sooner dan l8er, close above is a brk adn trigger buy (like wat n19 is toZen)
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 12:04pm On Jan 06, 2020
ETI
following d bnk index train , coming off a dd bttm
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:58am On Jan 06, 2020
fxuser:
UACN Update
- Quickly finds support shows buyers conviction, a must have into new yr
update
- negative div on the lower time (see RSI on 1hrTF) frame suggest bulls taking a breather
- late comers shud look for entry on d PB when it occurs
- hw ever longer time bullish remains (d series of higher highs and Higher lows remains valid)
maybe its time for another fresh higher low ! !

trend remains bullish

#
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:22am On Jan 06, 2020
fxuser:
52 highs loading soonest
NSE Monday Price action is positive early
- prices holding above prev week close early is good .
- a higher weekly closure is wat matters everything else is noise

#positives
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 3:08pm On Jan 04, 2020
DeRuggedProf:
When a vehicle has two opposing minded drivers.... grin
Flourmill
- excellent move from d brk out , over 50% since oct , PROF send ur tithe oh loll
- 20 - 22 resistance ahead
- daily RSI >90 ! ! lollx
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 3:03pm On Jan 04, 2020
fxuser:
EOY Price action
We've gone from things could get worse to things cud get better
- in place of Dec rally , we have Dec Support with prices finding buyers at day lows
- monthly charts shows prices are above monthly open and prev month close (positive)
- prices also above prev weekly close (positive)
- no strong vol to downside , good support for late comers
- if price is below your entry , no biggie , calm
- if ur in profit end , no biggie
- will give a deeper technical analysis update
- let me know wat stocks u want to look at
Update - how u enter matters
- from dec support to higher weekly closures .
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:21pm On Jan 03, 2020
Intendy:
Stocks with new 52 week lows

Deap capital #0.36k
Fidson #2.70k
Interlinked tech #2.91k
Omatek #0.45k

RT briscoe #0.20k
52 highs loading soonest
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:19pm On Jan 03, 2020
OBAGADAFFI:
Is NGE EFT same as NEWGOLD: NEWGOLD EXCHANGE TRADED FUND (ETF) ?
no ohhh
nigeria traded exchange fund
$nge
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:25pm On Jan 02, 2020
NGE ETF
MSCI NGE 12 /31/2019
Top 10 holding (%)
GTB 13.55%
Nestle 12.26%
Dang Cement 11%
MTN 7.64%
Nbrew 5.39%
Stanbic 4.73%
Fbn 4.26%
Zenith 4.21%
UBA 4.19%
Access 4.01%
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 2:41pm On Jan 02, 2020
some monthly candles already started on d Green note !
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 11:34am On Jan 02, 2020
thebargainhunte:
We never forget. Where are the 24th December gangs?? The market didn't respond to all the predictions here.

I am crying on top my FBNH cry cry cry. The haircut I am receiving there is unbearable.
patience
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:02am On Jan 02, 2020
BullBearMkt:
...I agree with you, even though NSE did not end up positively in Dec, it did not end badly as well. It's time to key into value stocks as we are almost a long term support. If this support is violated, then NSE is in trouble
grin grin grin grin grin
Back to starting point
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 9:59am On Jan 02, 2020
BullBearMkt:
...let's respect other people's opinion,. We do not know what @RabbiDoracle saw before he made the assertion. However, as long as Wapco is above 13, it remains a BUY
grin grin grin grin grin
yeah
tested support , prev resistance flipped to support
HNY
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 12:23pm On Dec 31, 2019
fxuser:
DangCem
- back and forth its not making lower weekly closures like MTN
- price ranges above and below N140 , never really going far in any direction (range tinz)
- call it eoy rebalancing , price action is simply ongoing bottoming , like Nbrew (see weekly charts)
- good for index

#cementExample
DangCem
- umm 2bn traded EOY !
wey done
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 11:33am On Dec 31, 2019
2020 YTD performance will start from todays closure
pls wat page did 2019 start from sef ?
i reckon a 100% y/y jump in pages grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:32am On Dec 31, 2019
TLAX:
Thanks. Could you speak on the fllw

- Julius Berger
thin vols at the same price . no comms
- Guinness
not out of d woods
- Conoil
positive divergence suggest bearish weakness but lacks momentum for now (see weekly rsi) unlike sep & okomu
- Seplat
bullish , weekly brk out with very positive momentum indicators , back abv 200-ema
- Okomu
bullish , making higher weekly closures trading abv 50-ema


Tnks
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:12am On Dec 31, 2019
pluto09:
This is a bomb grin grin
FOAMED UP
lol
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:10am On Dec 31, 2019
STNWAUME:
UACN
bullish trend making higher lows and higher highs
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:10am On Dec 31, 2019
Momoney54:
Dang cement pls, with all their share buy back wahala...is that a go sign? Thanks
charts suggest price found some support . every other is noise
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 4:41pm On Dec 30, 2019
onegentleguy:
Scanning through most past post, I observed that the talking point here and a few other key forum I belong to has been the recent news sorrounding coys in the cement business segement, particularly DANGOTE CEMENT.
I see there are worries over;
● The proposed reverse stock split and share repurchase scheme with DANGOTE CEMENT,
● The recent turnaround of the path to resurgence of earnings and growth trajectory with LARFAGE WAPCO and if it can be sustained
AND
● The recent wave of mergers(kalambania and obu in view) surrounding CCNN.

The PUZZLE is in which amongst the 3 coys presents a better route to VALUE !!(risk-reward margin in view)

Ealier today, someone asked me a pivotal question in one of the telegram forum I belong to.
He said; If u had N14M to invest in this sector, which would u choose to buy between a 100,000 unit of DC, 1M unit of WAPCO or little less than that in CCNN given their current market price?
What is the best route for one looking to maximize returns from both a possible cap appreciation and dividend cashflow reward?

I see the honest quest for answers to what I call corporate governance puzzles with all 3 coys.
Some folks are worried about WAPCO given the recent resignation and immediate employment of its former CEO/MD to DC, but in truth, while there a few worries with all 3 coys, there is even more with DC.
With DANGOTE CEMENT, puzzles like;

1) Why is the company embarking on the duo(2) proposal of a share repurchase scheme and a reverse stock split(I observed that folks have paid less attention to this line) at a time that it has a free float difficiency?
...what could possibly be the motive behind it?
2) What are the likely merits(feasible reward) and demerits(inherent risk) to the proposal and how best can u weigh them?
3) Are there really any benefit with the proposal to a minority shareholder?
4) Does the PE investor, South Africa's PIC still hold its 1.5% stake(following the $289.3M investment in 2013), and who currently represents it on the board of DC, after the former rep, Mr Fidelis Madavo, a non-executive director resigned towards the end of Nov, 2019, following his supposed role and resultant trial in a 4.3B rand Ayo transaction scam in South Africa?
5) Why was the closed period(a process which restricts insiders from trading in the shares of a coy prior to a sensitive corporate governance announcement) originally scheduled to hold between Nov 20th to Dec 6th cancelled?
6) Why has the share price underperformed since the said announcement despite the seeming euphoria sorrounding the company?

I shall attempt to supply answers to these 6 questions and many more later today !!

Salah
grab popcorn

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