₦airaland Forum

Bobloco:
https://dailypost.ng/2026/10/03/northerners-should-allow-tinubu-complete-his-eight-year-tenure-yari/

Bull shit arrangement. Complete rubbish

Akpakomiza2:
It will not be enough to defeat Tinubu

Assuming everyone in the south votes for Tinubu, even with peter Obi running. The north west makes up 24% of the votes!

seunmsg:
You can't mean well for Nigeria and oppose President Bola Tinubu. Especially when the alternatives are Peter Obi, a lying scoundrel and Atiku, the most corrupt and Islamic fundamentalist to ever apper in Nigeria's public space.

But who used islam to win elections? Tinubu or Atiku?

voortrekker966:
You might be too young to understand the problem between OBJ and Atiku Abubakar. Atiku wanted to take over by all means in 2003. He had the political structure behind him to take over and deny Obasanjo a second term in office. Obasanjo practically knelt down and begged Atiku for a second term in office. It's that kneeling down that OBJ don't want to forgive.

Not true, it was governors that were demanding Atiku to take over government. Obasanjo pleaded with Atiku not to accept and he agreed to that. Atiku also stopped Obasanjo from getting an unconstitutional 3rd term. Obasanjo endorsed Atiku-Obi ticket in 2019. So why was he willing to support such an evil man in 2019 and now he’s just talking crap. It’s just politics.

ayoncox:
How did a 42 years old who just retired 2 years earlier from civil service become so rich to contest and finance political campaigns

Insanity. Atiku was 54 years old when he became president and had been retired from customs for 11 years when he contested office. Stop listening to beer parlor gist.

JuanDeDios:
He wasn't. He was a thief and a murderer.

Thieves are all over Nigeria’s public sector. Bigger ones than Abacha could ever dream of being. Murderer, not so sure. The state eliminates people, in every country in the world. If you’re identified as a possible source of instability. You are eliminated. How did boko haram spiral out of control? Was it not the state’s extrajudicial killing of their leader? This happened around 2009. Till this day the country is managing that fall out. Bola Ige, Harry Marshal? Etc etc.

seunmsg:
Atiku should spare us the sermon. He brought all the recent attacks on himself by his evil and desperate attempt to tarnish the image of the country through paying lobbyist to submit frivolous allegations of an already settled case against Mr. President at the White House. Donald Trump shamed him by writing a commendation letter to President Tinubu in response and now, Obasanjo is dragging him by his ear for all the atrocities he committed against Nigeria and humanity.

So, he should stop crying and accept the stones that are being thrown at him. He is a perpetually unelectable candidate with so many baggage. From extreme corruption allegation to US Senate indictment and visa ban to being the Kachalla of fulani kidnappers and terrorists and also for dancing on the grave of Deborah, such character must never be allowed to assume the office of the President of Nigeria.

Frivolous how? Was Atiku that confiscated the money or was it Atiku that investigated Tinubu? What does Atiku have to do with a case in Chicago in 1993?

Ttalk:
Why did Atiku delete his post on the innocent Deborah that was killed for blasphemy by Atiku Muslim fanatics?

Because he didn’t authorize his aide’s comments and as much as he didn’t like what happened to Deborah, he also didn’t want to come across as someone that endorses casual blasphemy against major religious icons. But he mentioned that at no point should law be hijacked by mobs. There are blasphemy laws in the country and should be adhered to when people feel pained by an insult to their religion.

There were also strong reports that Deborah was uncouth, rude, and highly disrespectful having thoroughly insulted her own biological father to his face just a few days to her death.

JealousCobra:
Haven't u heard it is still southern turn ? What is atiku's business on southern's rightful time?

Did you ask goodluck jonathan not to run in north’s turn in 2011 and 2015?

Saint99:
I am not a Northerner. If I were from his constituency, I would vote for him. He showed restraint throughout his father's leadership, he avoided commenting in the social space, insulting anyone or flaunting wealth, unlike most politicians' children.

So this is what qualifies someone for leadership positions? Nigeria is truly a joke.

Racoon:
Israel and the US will surely smoke him out.

And when they smoke him out, what next? If you’re an African, then you’re trapped in a colonial mindset which is very unfortunate for you.

Caring for the elderly is a moral duty but caring for the country, not so much.

Obiedun:
I can bet it, Tinubu is winning. Try to be objective in your thinking. Do not allow your emotion to override reasoning. There's no way obi, Atiku or other person can win. Bookmark this page and put it in your phone reminder and reply to my comment after 2027 election.

There is no way how? You must also consider the fact that politics is rapidly evolving in Nigeria. In 2023, PBAT won 12 states even though his party had 25 governors. Of the 12 states he won, 3 were not APC states like Oyo and Benue. So maybe having governors is not as impactful as you may think. In a transparent election, PBAT may find it difficult to win. But the odds still favor him, depending on if he changes his VP or not.

MartinCorridon:
Tinubu is just like Michael Jordan.... Obsessive Perfectionist.

Just has to turn his genius in Politics to Economics

But a dominant politician like him hasn't existed in Nigeria for almost 70 years.

Haba ! Tinubu is like a Coach beating you 10-0, and after getting your 3rd Red Card, you see CR7 and Messi warming up to enter

This is ridiculous, a poor and short term mindset. Crowding out the political space simply to win a reelection is short term thinking at its finest. Long term thinking is assessing how these actions impact the democritization of this society and building institutions that support democracy, which in turn is designed to deliver accountability and good governance. What you're taking with so much laxity is poorly educated politicians stabbing the country in order to kill it with a thousand cuts. Nothing more. You don't retard the democratic system simply because you're insecure about one reelection. It's not that deep and it doesn't require this much desperation.

ogododo:
https://punchng.com/ill-withdraw-support-if-peter-obi-runs-as-vp-in-2027-utomi/

Your support will do nothing to make or break him. Utomi’s support cannot win an LGA chairman seat not to talk of a presidential election.

DomPerignon:
I remember same Obi mocking Solodu that he(Obi) is playing the top league because he contested and lost woefully the Presidential elections and that Solodu is still playing lower league as a Governor.

Now that Obi has gone to ADC with the hopes that Atiku first clinches the ticket and later anoints him as his running mate, who has relegated himself to the background to be a spare tyre?

More like upgraded himself to reality not fanaticism.

DomPerignon:
Ibas, a retired Naval officer did not coup himself into being Rivers state sole administrator.

Ibas was appointed by the President as sole administrator after activating a constitutional clause of state of emergency declaration which had the full backing of the NASS.

Ibas emergency rule had the NASS doing oversight functions.

Is this how a typical military coup operates ?

But what gives the president the power to remove an elected governor? What constitutional provision?

DomPerignon:
Any coup now will see Nigeria disintegrate faster than a lightning bolt.

Nigeria of today is not Nigeria of Pre 1999.

The civilian political class in every state is well entrenched .

The populace is more restive and aware of their rights and won't give it away for an illegitimate military junta that did not give their consent to.

There must be consent by the populace to the government of the day to govern them.

And how is the military going to manage running a country like Nigeria today without widespread consent?

You must understand that past military juntas relied on consent to remain in power and always justified seizing power from fellow military juntas on the basis of lack of popularity of the ousted regime among the people.

There's no way we can have anything dictatorship today because that will require tearing up the constitution and drawing up Admiralty laws that are alien to civilian life.

Any coup will not only be disastrous to Nigeria's continued existence but to those who ochestrted it.

The guys in the military today are a total different breed from the cocaine sniffing rambo types of times gone.

The officers today just want to serve and cashout bigly and retire to politics or their businesses.

Why should they risk all that for a doomed coup that if successful will doom them?

If it were to happen, absolutely nothing would happen. No disintegration, nothing. People would go about their lives normally, some would celebrate it, some would be skeptical at the prospects of a military government being better than a democratic one. That’s all. Nigerians always talk big about disintegration and some kind of war, but cannot even organize well enough to stage a mass nationwide protest on any issue. Is it you and your family members that will go into the bush to do guerrilla warfare?

Perfectbeing:
So why are you guys saying he forged his certificate?

Forged secondary school certificate. The school he put on his application to chicago state university did not even exist at the time of his graduation in 72.

idrezee:
he obviously doesn’t know the difference between Katampe and Katampe extension.

Katampe houses too many slums and it’s a security threat

There are no slums in Katampe. Most of Katampe is housing estates.

kpankpangolo:
How did this happen in Abuja? Fine girl couldn't make her sugar daddy pay for a classy neighbourhood?

Katampe is a classy neighborhood.

adioolayi:
"Halima is the daughter of Nana Hadiza, one of Buhari’s daughters from a previous marriage , who is now married to former Attorney-General of the Federation, Abubakar Malami (SAN). Hadiza, currently the third wife of the ex-AGF, was previously married to Captain Junaid Abdullahi, with whom she has six children, including Halima."


This life sef no balance....single ladies yet to see husband


Anyways, congratulations to the new potential bride. God bless your home

Captain Junaid was married to Buhari’s first daughter who passed away years ago from sickle cell complications.

Marvieduke:
They will miss their grand dad, if he was alive the crowd at the event would have been massive....

Who cares about crowd? I don’t think they care about any crowd. That is just a recipe for disorder and more costs.

Putinofrussia:
For a U.S. undergraduate degree, students from most countries will need to provide biometric information (fingerprints and a photo) as part of the visa application process. This is a standard security measure for all non-immigrant visa applications.
This is why Bola Tinubu that graduated was the one that became an undergraduate not a female.
You cannot bypass the system in USA as you would here especially if you are an immigrant.

Are you sure this was the case in the mid 1970s?

JASONjnr:
E8 isn't failure it's a PASS.

You can't grade E8 as fail.

WAEC says F9 is fail.
D to E are passes.


Also, I had a friend during my primary and secondary school who wasn't intelligent at all.... he made it to the university and became a first class.

You don't taunt people when you don’t know where their growth set in.

So imagine you take this type of result to your parents. What would they likely say? Oh well done our child, you passed all the subjects, great job. Or are they likely to say we did not work hard to pay school fees so you bring this rubbish result….which of the two is most likely?

seunmsg:
Atiku/Obi ticket cannot defeat Tinubu/Kwakwanso ticket in the north west and north central.

But Kwankwaso ran in 2023 and was only able to win Kano state. His performance was terrible in every other north west state. Atiku won 3 north west states of Kaduna, Sokoto and Kebbi and the difference between Tinubu and Atiku in Katsina was 0.8%. I don’t think kwankwaso’s influence goes beyond Kano. He will bring Kano but no where else.

Amitex:
If Kwankwaso is not joining coalition, let Peter Obi deputize Atiku, but the Caveat that Atiku must rule for a single 4 years term. NOT NEGOTIABLE!

My reasoning is simple. If Kwankwaso joins APC, Peter Obi as presidential candidate cannot defeat them. Not that people would not like to vote for him, but APC will use Federal might and presidential might to create voter aparthy in the South through intimidation, ballot box destruction and BVAS machine snatching. From Lagos to Rivers, it would be war, with many fearing to go out to vote. The Police and army will look the other way while election materials are being destroyed. Tinubu will make sure Peter Obi does not win Lagos. The Yorubas will activate Oro and clamp down on Lekki and Amowo-Odofin areas. Even in Alimosho, where Aregbe has a big grassroot support will not be soared.

The outcome would be a lot of polling units results cancelation, while the Northern votes will be 60:40 to APC.

If Kwankwaso joins the coalition, Peter Obi should contest, he will be syre to win and be ready to leave the North to chose their candidate in 2031. That way, Tinubu would be far gone.

Even without federal might. Obi on his own cannot defeat Tinubu. Let’s assume that Obi takes all the states in the South south and South east, that makes 9 states with 16% and 11% vote share respectively. Let’s also assume they split the North central with 3 each. Obi takes Benue, Nassarawa and Plateau and Tinubu definitely takes Niger, Kogi and Kwara. That makes 12 states. Obi is polling 10% or less in the North west which is 24% of total votes and has 7 states. North east has 6 states (with 13% total vote) and Obi can only plausibly win Taraba. Making 13 states now. Ok Lets even give Obi Lagos again in the South west. That’s 14 states. Meaning Tinubu takes 22 states.

Obi needs very extensive networks in the north to stand a chance at winning. His emergence in 2023 only served Tinubu by splitting the vote Atiku would’ve got in the North central….he didn’t stand a chance at winning in 2023 but played the role of spoiler for Atiku. He stands a much lesser chance in 2027 unless he teams up with a strong northerner.

Here is the basic arithmetic of vote share by region and you can do with maths yourself.

NW: 23.6%. (7 states) SW: 18.4% (6 states)
NE: 13%. (6 states) SS: 16% (6 states)
NC: 16%. (6 states) SE: 11% (5 states)

This is based on INEC data from registered voters in the different zones. Ok so how can Obi win without a single NW state and maybe 1 NE state and 3 NC states? So he comes out with 4 states out of the entire 19 northern states…that is not competitive at all.

Elections are a game of numbers and calculations not a game of emotions, fanaticism, or wishful thinking.

Nairalandnigga:
We have seen what Atiku and the entire North are planning. They want to use Mr Peter Obi to actualize their insatiable desire to become President through the back door, tomorrow they will say Ndi Igbo are saboteur.

We hereby make it officially clear that Peter Obi is no longer a member of ADC and will return back to Labour Party. Afterall he never resigned from labor party.

The North should respect zoning, and it's still the turn of the South. If the North thinks they can disrespect both Obi, Tinubu and the entire South, let Tinubu continue as the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

We can not allow anyone from the North when the South has not even concluded their turn. We call on all Obedients Worldwide to continue to support Obi.

But you see, Atiku will never get any support from Obedients, until the South finish it's 8 year term, just the way the North, through Buhari finished their own 8 year term.

The North should respect zoning.
Equity is the key.

What rubbish zoning are you talking about? Zoning that goodluck jonathan killed out of greed. That man ran in 2015 even though it was the turn of the north from 2007 to 2015. But he wanted to be president till 2019. So obviously zoning is no longer an issue. It is not in the constitution of the country. Zoning is just a party’s strategy at capturing power not some kind of national referendum backed by any legal instruments. Ultimately, north or south, it doesn’t matter. What matters in good governance.

Mrchippychappy:
I too dey enjoy Jagaban. If dem born you well, give them venue, whether NURTW no go come born down your hotel. Democracy in action. Tinubu fire on.

Illiteracy dey worry you. If you like, kill everybody in Nigeria, leave only jagaban and supporters club.

DomPerignon:
I predicted early this year that the NC and Christian north will realign with Tinubu .

I also predicted of the SS giving their support to Tinubu and how a faction of the PDP will eventually endorse Tinubu as well.

The only one yet to become obvious is the indigenous Hausa population in the NW and other northern minorities endorsing Tinubu n what I detailed was as result of the simmering rift against Fulani hegemony


Any coalition between the Fulani and the SE will be an excerscise in futility. And we can thank Buhaei for totally destroying the Fulani franchise in the north by handling Fulani bandits abf terrorists alike with kids gloves.

Completely incoherent logic. The only reason politicians are decamping is because the government is orchestrating crisis and instability in opposition parties while at the same time using all manner of inducements to attract opposition politicians into its fold. In actual fact, this is the laziest type of politics a party could possibly engage in. All you’re doing is just making everyone join you because you’re not confident enough to fight it out with a robust opposition. In the process, you’re damaging the democratization process due to extremely short term thinking. The government of the day does not enjoy mass support in any part of the country outside the south west. There is still a massive cost of living crisis and Tinubu has not been able to conclusively fix any of the problems he inherited, not a single one. Just because politicians are moving does not indicate a mass support. Politicians are moving because they’re not sure their parties will give them stability and litigation free tickets.

Coolsat:
Atiku is the problem of Nigeria, he should give up already. Nigerians don't like him and he's obviously not that candidate to unseat a sitting president like Tinubu. Is it a must to be president? He's just giving Tinubu a free ride to his second tenure. Mtcheww

Nigerians don’t like him yet he got almost 7 million votes in 2023, with all the apc rigging. You now, who in your entire generation can get 7 million votes in a presidential election in Nigeria. Just say you have a personal dislike for Atiku but you cannot speak for all Nigerians!