Grandstar's Posts
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CapitalBank:The US economy is going into a recession. Trump's protectionist policies and mass deportation has led to a recession. A recession means demand would fall. Worse, since the US is the world's largest economy, a recession there would adversely affect the world's economy. Economists have already foreseen a huge drop in GDP, way before he assumed office, based on his economically illiterate policies That doesn't mean you should be daunted. Turn pepper to peppersoup. At times, a recession exists only when you believe it |
aribisala0:That's a developed country. Land costs alone is high. Labour should also be factored in. |
A white elephant project. This is not what the country needs right now I'm sure a stadium of $30m would have been fine |
Pacesetter123:First and foremost, Buhari turned to borrowing because he wasn't ready to make tough fiscal decisions. In 2015 when he assumed office, the price of oil was declining rapidly. It had fallen from $100 around July to $50 per barrel. It even went as low as low as $35. Jonathan had not paid much attention to the state of the economy in his last hours due to the elections. Since oil provided about 90% of government revenue, this would be a massive blow. That means government revenue would decline by about 60%. What should Buhari have done to cut cost: 1. He should have removed the fuel subsidy 2. Slash the size of the civil service. 3. Privatized government owned companies And much more. What did he do instead, he pegged the Naira stating he does not believe in devaluation. With lesser dollar inflow, your currency would naturally depreciate. It isn't rocket science. He thought that economists determine exchange rates. It is actually market forces. He refused to cut spending despite collapsing Anyways, I'm transgressing. Though I am not a big fan of Tinubu borrowing, but one should see why. First, 68% of government revenue is still going towards debt servicing. Anything more than 20% is discouraged by economists. At 40%, it is getting chronic. So, 68% is still quite high. There is no way government can avoid borrowing with 68% of revenue still going towards debt servicing. Next, the borrowing this time is anchored on debt sustainability. The government is working towards improving tax collection by 3% of GDP, which may raise an extra 15trillion or $10bn a year by 2027. Since the government is borrowing $24bn, this is sustainable. Assuming debt servicing is at 10% per annum, that is only $2.4bn a year. There is still an extra $7.6bn left. How will the borrowing benefit the poor? It is to early for me to say. Tinubu said it is to build capacity. To build capacity here, means to build capacity to grow, capacity to absorb years of economic growth. Some economies find it difficult to grow because they do not have enough power supply, good roads, ports and so on. Even if they may be sufficient today, it may not be sufficient in 5 years time. For instance, the government wants to purchase 7m NEPA metres. The next phase of PHCN would involve switching everyone to Band A. The government wants to invest into power supply infrastructure to ensure there is enough electricity to power the economy. He can't attempt that now as he would certainly lose the election. He might also invest heavily in roads rehabilitation. He has always believed in infrastructural spending especially on roads. Successful road projects may also assist him win the coming 2027 elections. |
AMINDA:Did Buhari support Tinubu? I really want to know. |
Imagine this man embellishing nonsense. So many companies shut down in the first two years of Buhari that unemployment jumped from 8 5% to over 30% Before Tinubu took over, Emirates and some multinationals had pulled out of Nigeria due to the chronic scarcity of forex. What is the point of an rate of N500 when you have no dollars to supply? There was only $3bn in the net foreign reserves while owing buyers of fx, $7bn. |
We are dying from the excessive borrowing he had to take for us to "enjoy" the fuel subsidy. The government was even borrowing money through ways and means from the government. This is basically asking the central bank to print you money to lend to you.0 When Tinubu assumed office, 97% of government revenue was going towards servicing debt. With the fuel subsidy removal and the floating of the Naira, it's down to 68%. Buhari's economic illiteracy was legendary. He wanted to be popular. |
Kukutente23:Your prime grouse against Tinubu rests on the insane import duty placed on cars. It was Olusegun Aganga that launched a program for car manufacturing in Nigeria. In order to achieve that goal, high import duties were placed on cars to discourage car importation. The scheme went into effect during Buharis government. Well, you guys can get the import duty reduced. You tokunbo car dealers provide livelihood to over a million Nogerians. You therefore have clout. You people should protest the high import duties and complain it's killing your business. Your association should take out adverts in newspapers demanding for a reduction. A reduction would also lead to a reduction in car prices which would be very popular. Light protests in the streets, broadcast on TV and online would further send the message home Trust me, the import duty on cars will be reduced. You can promise the president your votes. The duty will be reduces, but probably not down to the 20% it was before Buhari. I suspect it would be halved from its present outrageous amount. Next year, the NLC may cash in on the coming election in 2027 to demand a higher minimum wage. You car dealers can do the same, by demanding a reduction in import duties. The present finance minister will support it. There are just too many products banned or high duties placed on them, and it's killing many industries. Already, the government has reduced the import duty on industrial starch, and end users are overjoyed. |
Kukutente23:The Bible never said the earth was created in 7 24hr days. A day to God is like a thousand years, a d a thousands years to God is like a day. It is creationist that brought about the wrong notion of 24 hour days. It probably took hundreds of years to create the earth or even thousands. Did the dinosaur exist? They certainly did. They are part of God's creation! The era which they lived is gone. There are still frozen mammoths in good condition in Siberia if I'm correct. Humans with the latest DNA technology can bring these animals back. It's already been done for an extinct wolf specie. |
SeeWahala:Dog eat dog is better than dog eat nothing. Life has taught me to be thankful. |
Kukutente23:What lies? The facts are there. Are you a car dealer? If so, I have a tip to share with you. |
socialmediaman:First of all, I am apolitical. Where did I ever praise Buhari during those 8 years. I despised his economic policies, especially his meddling in the exchange rate. I have always been a strong supporter of market determined exchange rates, the type that existed before Buharis interference. I have always been in complete support of the removal of fuel subsidies, as far back as the 90s. Who rewarded Buhari a second term? Primarily the North, and some parts of the Southeest who were impressed by his infrastructural projects. Nigerians "rewarded" him with a second term, and no one else. It was through the ballot box. Had Nigerian voters been well educated, he would have lost. Obi would have done better in the last election. A lot of votes came from woke voters from all tribes in the South, and not just Igbos. The response I gave was educative and constructive. You may not like the fact that 1 + 1=2 but it doesn't change the correct answer. I have a good grasp of economics. It will take time for things to get better. That's what economic policies and indicators show. This time, one really needs patience. The question you should ask is what can government do to speed up economic growth, and make lives better for the people. If you want to know, I'll tell you. |
socialmediaman:The problem he inherited from Buhari was huge. 97% of government revenue was used to service debt. Economist frown at any figure beyond 20%. There was only $3bn in net foreign reserves. Worse, the CBN was owing purchasers of forex $7bn. Ther scarcity of forex was so severe that multinationals were leaving the country. With the removal of the fuel subsidy, and floating of the Naira, debt servicing now takes up 68% of government revenue. However, more reforms are still needed. It will take time for things to improve, to reach the masses. For instance, it took Thailand 5 years to get its GDP in 1996 level after its economy crashed. |
Emefiele definitely played a massive part in the ruin of the Nigerian economy. The two of the pillars used to destroy the Nigeria which were Buharis initiated forex controls and excesses spending could have been curbed by the CBN. He could easily have refused to yield to Buhari's economic illiterate advice not to devalue the currency despite a massive drop in dollar inflows. His refusal to stop the madness led to chronic forex scarcity that led to at least 2 recessions. The second was excessive borrowing and printing of money by the CBN to lend to the federal gocernment. This fueled inflation and the further plunging of the Nairas value. Emefiele could have refused to yield to Buharis demand for a rigid exchange that made no sense. The CBN has autonomy and it was to prevent such unprofessional meddling by politicians. Likewise, the CBN acts prevents excessive lending of money through ways and means. He could have limited the amount lent. This would have compelled Bubari to be far more disciplined with expenditure. He refused to be prudent, choosing instead populist policies that made him popular with the people but were financed through heavy borrowing Despite lower oil prices, he did not sack a civil servant to cut costs, neither did he end the fuel subsidy. |
Buhari was a well meaning person but was incompetent. |
It's obvious where Burna got his bad boy vibes from. His dad looks gangster! |
I'm stunned he has a second wife! Whats more shocking is that Mama Peace hasn't chased her out! 🤣🤣🤣🤣🥰 |
Bubu is gone. Many here wish he went much earlier, like in his first term. He rests in peace. (Read Ecclesiastes 9:5,10) |
dahmie2013:He also ruined the economy. Banditry and the herdsmen killings went through the roof. |
Obasanjo outlived Bubu. He might also outlive Babangida. He looks quite fit. Despite that, OBJ must feel death lurking somewhere. |
highchief1:You guys are funny. Many of you have a very poor understanding of economics. Buhari destroyed the economy. 97% of government revenue in 2023 would go towards debt servicing. Buhari had overborrowed. The type he engaged in was the worst- Ways and Means in which rhe central bank prints money and lends it to the government. It is very inflationary In addition, the CBN had only $3bn as net foreign reserves, and was owing buyers of foreign exchange $7bn. There was severe dollar shortage and mtinatuonals were leaving the country. Emirates Airlines were fed up. Net foreign reserves refers to thecactual amount the central bank actually has access to. A country is supposed to have a minimum of 4months worth of foreign exchange. At $3bn, it was barely 1 month. It also owed buyers $7bn. To fix things, the fuel subsidy had to go. That would stop the borrowing of money to fund it. For the forex scarcity, the CBN floated the Naira so it can reflect its market value. During Buharis era, his forex policies led to the forex scarcity. He wanted a strong Naira, and did not believe in a flexible exchange rate. Has Tinubu's policies shown any results? Yes, the amount needed for servicing debt has gone down from 97% of revenue, to 68%. The net foreign reserves has risen $3bn to $30bn. So, the reforms are working. Nigerias credit rating has been upgraded by Moody. The World Bank recommends that debt servicing should not take up more than 20% of revenue. There is still a long way away. More reforms would be necessary such as slashing down the size of the civil service, and ending electricity subsidies. The government also wants to improve revenue collection by 3% of GDP With the above, spending on debt servicing won't be more than 20%. The second phase of reforms would be implemented in Tinubu second term. If he tries it now, he would be unelectable come 2027 |
Buhari was pennywise, pound foolish. You refused to waste 400m on new cars, but wasted trillions on the fuel subsidy, that he should have removed like Tinubu did. He refused an increase his food allowance,yet, approved NNPC borrowing billions of dollars to refurbish the antiquated refineries, rather than dispose them as they are. In areas where he needed to be weak, he was very strong. And in areas where he was to be very strong, he was very weak. |
Savenigeria2023:He was well meaning. If lives were wrecked, they were not intentional. He thought his economic policies were good, but they turned out otherwise. For instance, if you don't support a flexible exchange rate. one determined by market forces, then you support his policies. |
The poor soul! Well meaning but a disaster. He is resting in peace (Read Ecclesiastes 9:5,10) |
This is a goldmine. I might not mind applying. Starting afresh go hard small. |
There is nothing in Belarus unless they want to go fight in Russia as cannon fodder |
There's only one messiah and that is Jesus. We should never place our salvation on anyone else (Read Psalms 146:3-5) We live in the Last Days. Just taking a |
The beauty of this increase is that this is in real terms. Let's assume the exchange rate was $1-N1,600 at the beginning of the year. So, 1m invested then was $6,25 Now, the stock is 2m. That N2m is $1,250 as the Naira's value is still the same. These are fantastic returns considering the mess that Trumpo is doing to the US economy, and the huge mess Tinubu met. |
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