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I think Dapo still has a lot to learn from Sanwo-Olu. The way Sanwo-Olu runs his government, openly accepting criticism and even turning many of his critics into supporters is a leadership style other governors should study and emulate. |
Don’t be surprised if electricity supply suddenly “improves” in the coming days. Not because the government fixed anything, not because new generation capacity came online, and definitely not because of some brilliant policy intervention. Most likely, nothing was wrong with the power generation system ab initio. The darkness simply created the perfect crisis, one that can now be theatrically “solved.” Once the lights come back, the propaganda engine will kick into full gear, the data boys will flood the internet with graphs and statistics, and the gullible will be convinced they just witnessed the miracle of competent governance, courtesy of a government that still seems utterly clueless about actually fixing anything. |
If you understand Tinubu’s political style very well, you might begin to suspect that what Nigerians call “crisis” might actually just be Act One of a carefully directed political movie. The man understands something many politicians don’t: Nigerians forget faster than a WhatsApp status disappears. Let’s start with rice. When Tinubu took office, a 50kg bag of rice was roughly N45,000–N50,000. Then suddenly rice discovered it had aviation ambitions. N60,000… N80,000… N100,000… Before Nigerians could finish shouting “God abeg!”, the price landed majestically at an all-time high of about N120,000 per bag in many markets. Rice had officially crossed from food to luxury commodity; somewhere between gold and land in Lekki. Then something interesting happened. Without any major agricultural breakthrough… Without any large-scale government intervention… Without any serious policy that could logically justify it… The price suddenly dropped from that N120,000 peak to around N70,000–N80,000 per bag. Not N50,000 where it originally was. Not even close. Just low enough for the government’s praise choir to start warming up their microphones. “See? The policies are working!” Which policies? “Economic reforms are yielding results!” As how now? Meanwhile Nigerians are celebrating because the rope around their neck seemed loosened slightly. Now enter Electricity: The Sequel. the same script Step one: Let power supply collapse so badly that Nigerians start celebrating two hours of electricity like they just won the World Cup. Step two: Allow the frustration to peak until generators officially replace the national grid. Step three: Months later, improve electricity just a little. Not stable power. Not 24 hours. Just enough light to charge phones, iron clothes, and boil water. That’s when the government’s online orchestra will begin performing. You’ll suddenly start seeing coordinated questions everywhere: “How is the power situation in your area?” “How many hours of light in your area today?” Then right on cue, their loyal digital disciples will appear from every corner of the internet: “Light is stable in my area.” “Power has improved drastically.” “This government is working.” The N30k monthly stipend warriors. The data-funded defenders. The professional praise contractors. Before long, the national conversation magically shifts from: “Everything is collapsing” to “Things are improving.” And just like that, a disaster becomes a campaign achievement. Because the oldest trick in politics is simple: Break everything first. Then fix 10% of it and call it progress. By the time elections arrive, the slogan might as well be: “Remember when there was no light? Now there is small light. Vote continuity.” And Nigerians, blessed with hope and cursed with short political memory will say: “Hmm… to be fair, light don improve small.” Curtain closes. Applause. Another election cycle successfully completed. |
Peter Obi should be careful with Pat Utomi. |
Really |
Abeg how much is that minimum wage again? |
Oh, do World Bank officials know about this at all? Or is it just another victory being celebrated by APC e-rodents and keyboard warriors? Either way, trust APC at your own peril. This is the same party that paraded fake bishops, isn’t it? The same party that magically produced forged IMF and World Bank reports. But sure let’s all clap. |
I would like to engage with real Obidients (not APC miscreants or keyboard warriors) disguising as Obidients on an intellectual and strategic political discourse. There is a new and growing sentiment around Peter Obi’s 2027 candidacy. I have heard many insist that it must be “Peter Obi or nothing.” Some have even threatened to vote for the ruling party if Obi is not the ADC flagbearer. the same style of blackmail Wike employed when he demanded “Southern presidency” in 2023, knowing that such sentiment strategically benefited the ruling party. The same script is being played again, and many are falling for it. I do not know where this “Obi or nothing” doctrine originated from, but one thing is clear: there is serious social engineering behind it and it seems working. While everyone is entitled to their choice and to the consequences that follow. Unfortunately, many Obidients have not learned from the 2023 election. The consequences of those decisions are exactly what we are facing today. If we repeat the same mistake in 2027, Nigeria should expect an even worse and more devastating outcome. The purpose of this write-up is to explain why I believe an Atiku–Obi joint ticket remains the most formidable opposition structure the ruling party fears. If you disagree, that is fine, but let your disagreement come with logic, data, and analogy. If you have nothing meaningful to contribute, kindly stay off the discussion. Basic Questions 1. Does Peter Obi have the right to aspire to be President? — Yes. 2. Could he make a good President? — Likely, yes. 3. But can he defeat Bola Tinubu in 2027 as ADC flagbearer? Most likely, no. The 2023 Illusion A major illusion held by many Obidients is the claim that Obi “won” the 2023 election. This claim cannot be substantiated. Winning some major PDP states does not translate to winning the national vote. The reality is that Obi mainly divided traditional PDP/Atiku votes. If you examine the states where Obi performed strongly, they were historically PDP strongholds. Before 2019, Obi was not a nationally popular figure. Joining Atiku significantly increased his visibility and acceptance, which later became the foundation of his 2023 momentum. Obi could pull votes predominantly from PDP terrains but could not penetrate non-PDP regions in the same proportion. Tinubu and APC understood this early and capitalized on the split. Someone who fails an exam but insists the teacher “stole their marks” is not ready to improve. Without acknowledging why 2023 ended the way it did, nothing will change in 2027. Strategic Realities Ahead of 2027 If Obi emerges as ADC candidate, he faces structural challenges: 1. Southern Governors Many southern governors have already pledged loyalty to Tinubu publicly or quietly. Without southern machinery, a national electoral fight becomes nearly impossible. 2. Northern Voting Arithmetic Even if Obi sweeps the South East + South South + minority South West votes, he still cannot win without significant northern numbers. Politics is arithmetic, not sentiments. 3. “We No Dey Give Shishi” Obi is not prepared to spend money for vote buying, while the ruling party is prepared to spend aggressively. Recent Edo and Ondo elections showed that many shouting “We no dey give shishi” online may not resist cash at polling units. Most online Obidients operate from echo chambers in the South East/South South. But national elections are not won in echo chambers or beer-parlour debate zones. Nigeria’s electoral map rewards coalition-building, not emotional arguments. Let’s Examine the Numbers 2019 Election (Atiku/Obi ticket): 11,262,978 votes 2023 Election: Atiku: 6,984,520 Obi: 6,101,533 Combined: 13,086,053 1.8 million more than in 2019, despite running separately. Now compare with APC: 2019 APC: 15,191,847 2023 APC: 8,794,726 APC lost over 6.4 million votes (42% decline). And today conditions are worse; harsher economy, anti-people policies, subsidy removal, floating naira, new taxes, inflation, etc. APC’s numbers are unlikely to improve in 2027. The opposition actually has a better shot in 2027 than in 2023 because the consequences of governance have fully landed. The same crowd that shouted “Èmi l’ókàn” and “Ìdì bèbèrè” now understands the cost of their enthusiasm. If in doubt, go to any Lagos market and repeat “ẹ lo fi ọkàn balẹ.” I sampled opinions recently, none defended the ruling party. You may be lucky to escape without being stoned. Hypothetical Atiku–Obi Combined Support (2023 Arithmetic Method) This is not a forecast but a raw mathematical sum of 2023 PDP + LP by zones: North West Tinubu: 39.5% Atiku/Obi sum: 40.1% North East Tinubu 29.2% Atiku/Obi sum 56.7% North Central Tinubu: 38.6% Atiku/Obi: 56.5% South West Tinubu: 53.6% Atiku/Obi sum: 42.1% South East Tinubu: 5.7% Atiku/Obi: 91.9% South South Tinubu: 28.0% Atiku/Obi: 67.5% This arithmetic shows why the ruling party fears a united opposition. It does not guarantee victory, but it shows strategic potential. Why APC Loves the “Obi Alone” Narrative Ask yourself: Why are APC power blocs, from Wike to others cheering for Obi as the sole candidate? Since when does a ruling party pray for the strongest opponent to emerge? Yet some self-proclaimed Obidients are unknowingly advancing APC’s preferred scenario by promoting fragmentation. We saw Pat Utomi (we know the role he played in 2023), Aisha Yusuf, and several influencers pushing emotional arguments. Some are acting innocently, some emotionally, some may have been bought or blackmailed, and some are simply not politically literate. Conclusion The configuration APC fears is Atiku + Obi. The configuration APC prefers is Obi alone. This is the strategic paradox Obidients must confront unless the goal is to repeat 2023 and suffer an even worse outcome in 2027. |
helinues:I bought 4 plots of land under Buhari at ₦1m ($3,300) each, ₦4m ($13,000) in total. Fast forward to today: the same plot is now ₦3m ($2,000). On paper, in naira, land has “appreciated.” But in dollars, the 4 plots are now $8,000. In other words, I’ve lost $5,000, a 38.5% loss, not because the land depreciated but because the currency collapsed. That’s what bad policies do; they destroy value silently. We are in an economy where even land, the safest store of value, can become a casualty of forex and policy mismanagement. |
Does World Bank know about this? |
Racoon:See my comment in September 2025
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Megastarfresh:It’s unfortunate that some of you are now blaming everyone else for the failures of your own leaders, politicians, and influencers in the southeast. If they had stood firmly behind Kanu the way northern leaders stood behind their extremists, perhaps things would be different today. Blaming everyone else for what your leaders failed to do shows that nothing has been learned. The north defended Boko Haram, the west defended Sunday Igboho, yet many of your own leaders and governors openly condemned Kanu. Please be wise. |
YouAreNobody:Oga, I think it’s better to direct your anger and frustration toward the politicians from your own region. Look at the situation with bandits and Boko Haram — despite all the terrible acts they committed, their politicians and influential voices still stood firmly to defend them and speak on their behalf. Can you point to any strong pressure group from the South East that openly defended Nnamdi Kanu? In fact, most of your politicians didn’t even want to be associated with him publicly. If the South East had the same level of coordinated pressure and advocacy that terrorists in the North received from their leaders, perhaps things would not be the way they are today. You listed all the powerful voices that defended Boko Haram and bandits in the North, but you didn’t mention any equivalent pressure groups from the South. Instead of ranting online, I will suggest you people show your politicians that they have failed you by voting them out. |
@seun and other moderators, pls tell me what’s wrong with the comment: “Edo people, how market? I greet oh” I shared this comment on the post No Entry To Exco Meeting Without Wearing Tinubu’s ‘Asiwaju Cap’ — Edo Governor” and my account got banned. This is not the first time my account got banned for posting or comment about APC and this government. Pls tell me, has Nairaland become the media unit of APC and Tinubu that some of us can’t even express our views and opinions. If this action is not checked and corrected, some of us might not hesitate to delete our accounts and look for another platforms to express our views. |
paxonel:This is Catholic Church. |
This is catholic not Anglican |
helinues:Oga, don’t bring that thing here. I’m also an engineer. What we normally do is to add miscellaneous to cover those unforeseen issues, and this is usually at 5% to 10% of the total cost. |
rtdCivilservant:It's not about Naira losing its value. What is the minimum wage? How do you expect low income earners to send their kids to public school? This government is just wicked nothing more. |
You forgot to add this. Abi you think everyone is gullible? helinues:
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The moment I saw Wike and IGP, I don’t have to say much. This is well understood. The hustle is real. Even Seyi Tinubu? |
BlackViper: |
chibuikejohn:That is a fact. If he indeed wanted it, nobody can stop him except God. But some people still believe this nonsense that he wanted 3rd term. Very ridiculous allegation |
VOsimhen144:Sometimes I wonder how some of you reason? I don’t just understand |
Now this is hilarious. 419 actually disbursed 419 to a ghost called Amagiri. Una weldone oh! But deris God oh god oh god oh. Deris God who watches us. |
bigpicture001:I can’t agree with you less. That man truly did his best for Nigeria. He was a truly Nigerian president not a Yoruba president or Hausa/Fulani president like we have now. Do you know what it means to set up all the foundations we need to move this country forward but when the real thieves got to power they remove or suspend every tool or system that’s meant to checkmate stealing and corruption. And they were the ones shouting the most when OBJ was in power. |
bigpicture001:Sure, he wasn’t perfect, who is? But I’m still waiting to see any president, dead or alive, who’s done even one-quarter of what that man did for Nigeria. Meanwhile, the real thieves, the certified barawos, are the loudest in calling him a thief without a shred of proof he stole a single kobo. And of course, some Nigerians, with brains set permanently in reverse gear, keep singing the same worn-out chorus with zero evidence. |
Isn’t this the same man that was crying like a bereaved woman for a southern candidate as the condition for peace to rain in PDP? |
Here’s my gripe with some pastors and unprofessional counselors: people confide in them expecting privacy, and they repay that trust by putting those private hurts on public display. I learned this the hard way. I told an older colleague something personal because I thought she was trustworthy and the witch turned my pain into radio content, without asking. It shattered me. From that day on, I’ll never open up to anyone again. She had no solution for me, yet I became free content for her radio audience: “e ba wa dasi… please help us contribute” [quote author=Chilipepper post=136815952]Canada-based Nigerian Pastor, Temmy Omoileri recounts how her 42-year-old friend has remained single because of her strict policies and expectations from her partners. She was reacting to a viral video of unmarried women wearing wedding gowns in a church event. https://x.com/Temmy_omoileri/status/1967618692860317826?t=sM0QoMwf0Ya-mtjrUxwIrA&s=19[/quote] |
Elvis2kay:You’re absolutely right. The same way you guys claimed Nigeria was doing very well under Buhari’s administration. Find below some of the lies you guy dished out to us, same pattern. I don’t actually blame the politicians eating under this government, at least they have to work hard to protect their sources of eating. But what’s your own gain? Lai Mohammed 22 Nov 2017 – Federal Ministry of Information & Culture (Press conference, Abuja) “We are happy to tell Nigerians of a giant stride made by the Administration in the agriculture sector, specifically rice production: Nigeria is inching closer to achieving self-sufficiency in rice, due to the success recorded by the Administration in the local production of rice.” By 2018, the administration targets rice production of seven million metric tonnes. As of 2015, rice demand in Nigeria stood at 6.3 million MT.” 12 Nov 2019 – Independent Newspaper “The Federal Government has affirmed that Nigeria is closer to attaining self-sufficiency in rice production than at any time in the country’s history due to the government’s firm decision on border drill. “Today, we want to share with you, the giant strides that the Buhari Administration has made in two key areas: The Rice Revolution and the Fertilizer Revolution! But before I go into details, let me say this: The country has never been closer to self-sufficiency in rice, a national staple, than now.” The Guardian Nigeria Quotes by Garba Shehu (Spokesman to President Buhari) 10 Sept 2017 – TheCable “This government has recovered billions of naira and millions of US dollars in the fight against corruption. The assets recovery at home and abroad is unprecedented. “This government has stopped Boko Haram from bombing major cities … (There is) the diversification of the economy from its over-reliance on oil to other sources of revenue leading to food security in just two years. “President Buhari’s vision has unleashed infrastructure revolution aimed at redressing cumulative years of neglect.” The Cable 3 Oct 2023 – ThisDayLive “No administration in this country found itself in economic issues like Buhari’s because of our dependence on oil and prices, which went down. We also had the Coronavirus pandemic. Nations shut their doors, and the economy plummeted. But, Alhamdulillah, Buhari brought the Nigerian economy out of that crisis.” 12 Aug 2024 – Pulse Nigeria “Nobody can question President Buhari’s achievements. They are there for all to see.” “The Buhari administration has established for itself an anti-corruption reputation … The President and his party … looked certain of victory … lifting up the economy, creating jobs, …” Quotes by President Muhammadu Buhari himself May 29, 2023 (Valedictory Speech) – TheCable Nigeria Nigeria’s security and economy improved significantly under my administration compared to what we met in 2015.” 1 Oct 2022 (Independence Day Address) – ThisDayLive Our efforts in re-setting the economy manifested in Nigeria exiting two economic recessions by the very practical and realistic monetary and fiscal measures to ensure effective public financial management. In addition, the effective implementation of the Treasury Single Account and cutting down on the cost of governance also facilitated early exits from recessions.” |