₦airaland Forum

SpatialKing:
LP or Peter Obi will still win Delta presidential results

Tinubu and the APC will still win the presidential election

I cant believe it's happening in Kogi west State police will reduce this madness by Fulani herdsmen by more than 90%

All thanks to the oil from the Niger Delta and Lagos. This is one of the reason I agree with the way Tinubu government wanted to reshare how VAT money is redistributed.

Obidients don't like this kind of news

Lol

Anybody who think Oborevwori will lose in 2027 is a foolish person

Saraki is in no position to attack Okowa

FuckFuckPastor:
Ex-Senator Na’Allah Laments Hardship, Says Many Lawmakers Cannot Afford Children’s School Fees After Office



https://saharareporters.com/2025/04/29/ex-senator-naallah-laments-hardship-says-many-lawmakers-cannot-afford-childrens-school

They should take their children to public schools

Validated:
Kanu is Tinubu's last card for the SE votes.
He would be urged to join APC and contest either as Abia governorship or senate. Whether Kabu will accept is the big question.

There's no nonsense some of you guys can't write

So the south population is not also growing?

CodeTemplarr:
Yet Fubara was kicked aside.

Is Fubara a member of the APC?

Agugbadin:
Rivers state people should learn from Delta state, the governor the the party leader. But in rivers state the FCT minister Wike is holdibg on to party leadership even after ruling for 8yrs .

You can't blame the people of Rivers for this, the PDP leadership should be blamed. Damagum abi wetin b his name has messed up the PDP badly

Streetinvestor2:
You would have been happy if we attached with SW for another useless tenure

The south south is already aligning with the south west

tuoyoojo:
Where 9Ja for the list nau

These guys nor get joy o

Them nor even reason any Africa , Asia, North or south American country

Nah the list of the countries you can enter be that, if you've the Schengen visa

fergie001:
Mo Salah - 185
Kun Aguero - 184
Thierry Henry - 175

I really love Salah

It's only Alan Sherer am not sure he can overtake on the list

Freshtruth:
Help me tell Davido say no be only him and omalay ist sing make we rest we done tire

The dong make sense

Streetinvestor2:
The SS and SE will make it very loud for SW president. He is a complete failure in all sector. I never believed anyone could be worse than Buhari

Why do you Igbos love attaching yourselves with our brothers and sisters in the south south?

siaco:
Apart from rigging how will Tinubu got even 3% in South East.

Even in South West without rigging Tinubu won't win a single state.

Every sane Nigerians knows who rigged the election shamelessly. We can also see how Tinubu performed in the south west compared to how Obi massively rigged in the south east.

Obi won't be giving the chance to rig in the south east in 2027.

Owoino:
I'm from Akwa Ibom and I can assure you that you're daydreaming
Go and check the results of the last Presidential election in Akwa Ibom.

Tinubu performed well in Akwa Ibom, you should take a look at the result again

cupid4ig:
Peter OBI is yet to achive anything physically in anambra state. I wonder what will be the selling point of APGA in their upcoming campaign

Look at what someone is saying about peter obi. Peter obi has no legacy in Anambra state

Ebestsmscom:
I said it, that man our Governor have skeleton inside his cupboard. I don't understand what that man is doing in Anambra state.

Breeze don blow and fowl yash don show.

This is just the beginning, EFCC will soon arrest him after his tenure next year.

The money pass five billions jooor...

It's this same Obi every Igbos now see as a messiah

Peter Obi shouldn't be the one saying someone acks the competence, capacity, energy and compassion to lead Nigeria. Obi failed woefully in Anambra state

DrMB:
It always starts quietly.
A meeting behind closed doors. A handshake no one photographs. A press statement so carefully worded it almost sounds like nothing at all.
It always starts with a handshake. Maybe a press release. A podium flanked by smiling party officials. And a defection that sends tremors through the political terrain.

April 2025. Ifeanyi Okowa, former Delta State governor and Atiku Abubakar’s running mate in 2023, defects to the ruling APC—his announcement echoing like a shot in the South-South heartland of the opposition PDP. But if this feels familiar, it should.

This isn’t just a story of a political shift. It's the revival of a ghost from 1993—a betrayal that broke a nation’s heart. And in that echo, we find Atiku once again, grasping for the presidency amid the shards of loyalty, ambition, and strategic betrayal.

But let’s rewind. To a betrayal that still stings like a fresh wound.

1993: The Original Sin – Kingibe and Abiola

June 12, 1993. MKO Abiola wins what many consider Nigeria’s freest and fairest election. But history isn’t always fair.

Enter General Babangida. He annuls the results. Enter Sani Abacha. He tightens the noose. But perhaps the deepest wound wasn’t from the khaki-clad men of the military. It came from within.

Babagana Kingibe—Abiola’s running mate—jumped ship. Not just to another party, but into the arms of the regime that crushed their democratic dream. As Abiola languished in prison, Kingibe served as Foreign Minister under Abacha. His justification? “National interest.”

To Olisa Agbakoba and many others, he wasn’t a statesman—he was a traitor. And the cost? The June 12 movement, drained of momentum, withered into memory.

Now, three decades later, the betrayal plays out again—but in a new key.

2025: Okowa’s Departure and the Shattering of the South-South

They called it a stakeholders’ meeting. But by the time the microphones were switched off in Asaba, it was clear: the PDP in Delta had collapsed. Ifeanyi Okowa, Sheriff Oborevwori, and a host of Delta political elite had defected to the APC.

The symbolism? Devastating.

The South-South—PDP’s old reliable stronghold—was hemorrhaging. And at the center of it all was the man who stood shoulder-to-shoulder with Atiku in 2023, now pledging allegiance to the very party they once battled.

Why did Okowa leave?

Analysts point to familiar culprits: access to federal resources, political insulation from EFCC probes, or, in the cruel parlance of Nigerian politics, "stomach infrastructure."

Voices like Kenneth Okonkwo roared with condemnation, calling it a betrayal of conscience. But in Nigerian politics, conscience often takes the back seat to calculation.

And just like that, Atiku was alone again—just as Abiola was when Kingibe defected. The difference? This time, the clock is still ticking.

Betrayal as Strategy: A History of Jumping Ship

Let’s not pretend Atiku himself is unfamiliar with the dance of defection.

In 2006, while serving as Obasanjo’s Vice President, he crossed from PDP to the Action Congress after a fierce falling out with his boss. It was a move that stunned the nation—and marked him as a man who could play the game just as ruthlessly.

In 2015, it was the PDP governors’ exodus—Kwankwaso, Amaechi, Tambuwal—that handed APC its first victory.

And in 2022, Peter Obi walked out of PDP into the Labour Party, fracturing the opposition’s base and making 2023 a three-horse race.

The pattern is undeniable: when ambition knocks, loyalty opens the door and quietly slips out the back.

2027: Atiku’s Last Stand?

He will be 80 in 2027. For many, that should be enough reason to hang it up. But Atiku Abubakar is not many people.

He sees a fractured APC, a country limping through Tinubu’s economic turbulence, and a chance—perhaps his last—to wear the crown.

But the odds? Brutal.

Governors like Umo Eno and Ademola Adeleke have signaled allegiance to Tinubu.

Wike remains a vocal thorn in Atiku’s side.

His own base in the South-South has splintered.

And yet, like a general marshalling his final army, Atiku is reaching out: Peter Obi. El-Rufai. Fayemi. A coalition of strange bedfellows with a common purpose—ousting Tinubu.

Some call it desperation. Others see strategy.

Hamma Hayatu warns that only a united opposition can win. Ibrahim Shekarau shrugs it off—“This alliance has no soul.”

But maybe the outcome doesn’t lie in the alliances. Maybe it lies in the spaces in-between—the unexpected resignations, the fuel prices, the whispers in the corridors of power.

Betrayals, Battles, and the Unwritten Future

What do we make of Kingibe’s betrayal? Of Okowa’s jump? Of Atiku’s persistence?

In Nigerian politics, defections are not merely acts of ambition—they’re seismic signals of what’s to come. They reshape alliances, redraw loyalties, and sometimes, as with Abiola, rewrite history.

Atiku walks a road paved with ghosts—of 1993, of 2015, of 2023. His path to Aso Rock is laced with landmines: aging perception, a crumbling party, and a divided opposition.

But if he’s learned anything in over three decades of political survival, it’s this:

In Nigeria, the game is never over. It’s just between moves.

And so we watch. And wait. For the next defection. The next handshake. The next betrayal.

Because in this land, power doesn’t just shift—it slips, slides, and seduces. And only the most cunning survive the echo.

And in the shadows of the next defection, another law is already being written in blood and ambition.

Atiku must now master not just alliances—but dependency.
Because in a battlefield where loyalty is rented, not owned, only those who make themselves indispensable survive the final betrayal.

2027 is not a campaign.
It’s a chess match played in quicksand.
And only the power player who controls the board — and the defections — will remain standing.

Related Topics:

Defect To APC Or Die: New Political Survival Game Of Silencing The Opposion https://www.nairaland.com/8409556/defect-apc-die-new-political

Nigeria’s Political Opposition Parties Drowning In Storms, Hoping For 2027 https://www.nairaland.com/8408976/nigerias-political-opposition-parties-drowning

Bola Tinubu & Javier Milei Inherited Bad Economies But Only One Is Crawling Out https://www.nairaland.com/8407578/bola-tinubu-javier-milei-inherited

Between Prosperity And Pain: Jonathan, Tinubu, And The Price Of Reform https://www.nairaland.com/8409792/prosperity-pain-jonathan-tinubu-price

DR. MELCHISEDEC BANKOLE

The brown envelope writer didn't talk about how Atiku betrayed the PDP in 2014 after losing the primary election against Jonathan.

Beremx:
And you think SE will vote for Tinubu? If all the governors like they should decamp to APC, Tinubu will never win in the SE

He does not need to win the south east, but Obi will never have more than 90% of the vote in the south east. Even if he will still win the south east, he will struggle hard to have 50-55% of the vote

Billionaires

He won't be giving the chance to rig in the south east this time around

MadPolitician:
When you're done splashing tribal saliva all over the place, you should then face the topic and formulate a new tactic because the old ones are no more effective
.

I'm the tribalist for speaking the truth while your Igbo brother who I was replying is not splashing tribal saliva all over your head

Dem go fix am again

9japride:
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The politicians are all being selfish and won't want to loss their grip on the common wealth of the eastern region.
Majority of the people will prefer to stand on their own.
The situation we all found ourselves today is as a result of the actions of the politicians.

You're not ready for Biafra