₦airaland Forum

This image below was what made me realize that the best trades are after millions of people are crying or jubilating. So, have usdt for those days. It regularly happens when we least expect them.

digits69:
Sometimes I just wonder how you process all this information you dispense…Your IQ must be really high …Thanks for all you do man…for real

Simplicity and staying organised is the secret. Even my best indicators are the simple ones. You only know this after you've used the complex ones.

Whatever you love or addicted to automatically becomes easy to you even if it truly isn't. That's just how it works.

I operate in an obsessive manner and this is why I don't fall in love with humans cuz it'll affect me the day the person dies. Zero emotional attachment to humans to save my mental health. So, I put all the love, emotions and effort in whatever skill I'm learning or improving and this makes it easy.

I don't know if it's only me, but I'm not good at increasing my position except the new entry is lower than my previous.

If I short BTC at 94.2k, I'm never comfortable shorting again except it goes above my previous short. Same for long. If I long at 74k, entering another long at 88k feels weird except after months of consolidation and starting a brand new trade with a new account or subaccount.

I shorted Zerebro yesterday at 0.092 and saw opportunities to increase my position when it was going down, but couldn't, so I closed the trade at 0.072.

Also, for coins not in top 100, I'm only comfortable shorting after 200% pump in a day. It used to be 130%, but now 200% or 500% for my first short. I'm becoming more rigid.

If this happens on a regular basis and the number of herders is from 50 and cow from 100, it'll put fear in them.

Even if they retaliate, they'll also be aware that the other group will retaliate too and the process continues until they finally come to an conclusion that they too, the herders are not safe.

Who's more at risk? The herders because they're easily trailed through the movement of their cow.

Where are the CBEX people? You guys have been silent.

The first time I heard it, I just smiled and kept quiet because I know it'll crash and if I advise people against it, they may not listen.

I have engaged in such in 2021 and I got my money back before it crashed. Zero profit made.

A 100x on those three places is a cash cow, but please, don't do it. Do accordingly to your strategy and use 5x or less. After you've bought when it touches the white line, make sure your liquidation is the price you bought divided by 2 or 3.

I bought at 75k, so 75/2 = 37.5k.
Or 75/3 = 25k. So, those should be your liquidation. If market does a black swan crash to that level, then so be it. You're ready to handle it. It's just money that you lost, not your life. That's why it's good to risk only money you can lose and still be alive.

COVID CRASH ANALYSIS

You bought at 7,300 (refer to the arrows in the picture below), but market crashed to 3.8k. Using 7300/2 = 3.6k. You're still safe by a tiny margin of $200. That means even the crash won't affect you except it's a real bear market crash.

Every cycle, excluding bear market year, have 0-3 buying opportunities that favour 100x leverage. As I earlier said, don't do it, it's risky, but I do it because I'm stubborn and I have strategies to back it up and I use multiple exchanges incase of unforseen liquidate as it happened in 2020 COVID crash.

So, from buy-more year to sell year, there are 3 irresistible buying opportunities you must never miss.

The images below outlined them for 2013 cycle, 2017 cycle, 2021 cycle and now 2025 cycle. It has already printed the 3rd buy at the price of 74k. I go hard at these 3 opportunities.

9japride:
[color=#006600][/color]

Nice strategy, I need your "not financial advice" on the ideal day of the week to look for entries when trading on weekly chart?

Most people use the financial market open as their entry, especially what they call Silver Bullet time or killzone. It's a period in Asian, London or New York time where volume is high.

For me, I use weekly VWAP on daily timeframe. I'll first of all know the year we're in and the trend of the market, then I buy on Tuesday or Wednesday and sell on Friday against Sat. Rinse and repeat. Sometimes, I let it run for some weeks.

If the dump on Monday has so much volume, then I'll buy on Monday and probably skip the Tuesday or Wednesday buy because in most of such cases, Monday has already done the damage.

The Vwap helps me know if it's short or long and I use volume and sentiment to make my final judgement. Other times, I don't trade, but watch the market pump or dump without me while I take notes of what I should've done.

This video below is similar to what I'm saying, but hers is a little different and detailed with extra info.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQegoIjmG0w?si=o5WYTQpr700qFDis

SmallDick99:
My mentor, what's your possible short target on this trade?

My trading style is boring, mechanical and mathematical. It doesn't always make sense.

Since the short started with a value of 9, that is 94k, I'll close it when it starts with the value of 8, like 84k, 7 like 77k or even 6. If I'm sure we're finally entering bear market, I won't sell till November or December 2026. I'll look for more good entries.

With this projection of 84k, 77k, etc., I find what agrees with it on the chart, coupled with the day it'll do a 10% dump. I have a checklist.

I'm more into long term trades. Or at least, weekly. I'll sell my long on Friday, against Saturday because I know after exhaustion, which is already happening, comes a dead cat bounce spike before some corrections, then we consolidate and try to continue the uptrend weeks or months later.

To answer you straight up, check the chart below, the yellow circle on The Wall of China, 78k, it always retested it in every cycle, except if this one is different. I pray it doesn't, but based on history, it always does.

This is why I said my method is boring and mechanical.

The blue is where I'll sell my long and probably enter another short.

I trade in a way I'm willing to miss a bull run, but I don't want to miss a bear market — it's where the real money is made, when everyone loses interest and they're all selling at loss while my shorts are gathering profit.

I'm not really a trader, I'm just an opportunist and it works more than 80% of the time.

QT hasn't ended and QE hasn't started, so every pump is risky and has a high probability of going down until the coast is clear and the trade war is over.

Why did I short? It was above 7% in a day and went a little above The Wall of Jericho, hence I entered a trap short, not my main one yet.

Ballzproblem2:
👇👇

Not a bad advice, but remember, if Musa was on a 100x leverage or even 50% on SUI with a million Dollar and he's a famous influencer or has a big following, he'll also make that post.

What I'm about to say, I strongly discourage newbies from doing it. In this life, there is something our great grandfathers call sacrifice.

If you want to succeed in life, you must sacrifice something. I've learned this, and I always take advantage of it. I always try to give something to Caesar, just to catch a fish.

If Caesar refuses, I will eat it. So this short trade I entered, 100X, which will liquidate me at 104,000, is a trap. The money is a sacrifice, not too big.

I'm ready to lose that money, just for everybody to be happy and see some greens. I have this mentality that as long as I don't quit crypto, I'm a winner even when I lose a trade.

In summary, I can only lose a trade, but I can't lose the game. That is the mindset anyone who's serious should have.

Yes, I was supposed to enter this short when we reach 95.5k or 97.5k, but I chose to offer an early sacrifice. Why? The weekly volume isn't strong enough. Though, we have 4 days left.

Currently 7-8% up in a day.
The reason I use high leverage on this kind of trade is cuz of how I have studied the entire BTC chart from 2011 to 2025 over a trillion times.

History repeats, but most times, it makes your heart skip first a couple of times before it does.

What do you do? Be more prepared for bad days and be good at handling them.

For a newbie, trade more to have experience, but as you grow, trade less and have checklist of what needs to happen before you buy or sell even if it takes weeks, months or years.

My advice: find a way to be a patient specialist at any strategy you develop or use. It's just a matter of time and things will begin to go your way.

I'll be entering a temporary short soon.

Below is Yellow Top info in a concise picture. I realized the first time I made this post I didn't include the setting of changing 30 to 40 in the indicator.

YT has never failed yet to call the top, since 2013, but it doesn't mean it's the final top. Everyone's believable top comes after 20th of October of sell year.

Selling at YT is good enough if you bought in No-DJ months of buy year, that is, Nov, Dec. of 2022 or even Jan of 2023.

Do the research yourself and you'll see it has never failed. Zoom the image and read the instructions on white text.

twosquare:
Prepare for the week!

I want to confess something, but I hope it doesn’t discourage you—so please, don’t stop.

Whenever I’m anticipating something, I either become restless or feel like time is moving painfully slow. Sometimes, twelve hours can feel like twelve days.

My worst moments are when I order things from China. If it’s coming by air, the 5–7 days feel like an eternity. If by sea, the 1–3 months feels like three years. Why? Anticipation.

At first, when you began posting that picture, I genuinely liked it—it served as a reminder. But then it started triggering that anticipation in me again, which slows down my perception of time and makes everything feel dragged out.

I just want to reach a stage where I completely ignore American news until it has already played out and reflected on the chart.

I feel more prepared to deal with whatever shows up on the chart—good or bad—than to deal with the constant noise from America. It’s draining. I’m at a point where I no longer want to know about U.S. macroeconomic news until minutes or hours after it’s released. The anticipation messes with my mind.

It’s like this: I’d rather hear someone is dead than be told they’ve been battling something for years. That drawn-out pain—the endless prayers, the mounting hospital bills—only for them to still pass in the end? I’d rather just feel the pain once and be done with it.

So, what I’m trying to say is—I love your updates. Please keep posting them, because many people genuinely benefit from them. But as for me, I’m gradually growing indifferent to America and their FOMCs. I’m more focused on how their manipulation reflects on the chart.

I’m already prepared for the worst—and I have strategies in place for it. But keeping up with their endless updates is becoming increasingly frustrating, not just for me, but for a few others too.

This is the main reason I don't watch the market anymore. I have voice alert for updates on the price of BTC and others.

For beginners, you can watch, but after a few years in the market, you'll get bored with American news and you'll finally relate with this post.

For a 5-30 mins day trader, this may not apply to you.

Why I Chose to Specialize in Bitcoin

I decided to take crypto seriously and become a Bitcoin specialist because in life, rewards follow mastery. Whatever you specialize in—with consistency and diligence—is where you'll be rewarded.

Crypto, at its core, is a game between two types of people: the emotional and the manipulators.

The manipulators have the money and the patience. The emotional have smaller capital and are desperate not to lose it—so desperate to multiply it quickly that, ironically, they lose it all.

The manipulators—institutions, big players—wait for the perfect moment. And if that moment doesn't show up, they manufacture it. By the time they strike, the emotional participants have already FOMOed in or are trapped at a loss.

So I chose a different path:
I decided to master my emotions so I wouldn’t end up among the impatient. And I committed to studying the manipulators—so I could follow them quietly from behind.

Crypto operates on a four-year cycle. I break it down like this:
The Buy Year,
The Buy-More Year,
The Relax Year,
The Sell Year.

The Relax Year is the year of the halving—it usually happens in Q2 of that year.

The smartest move? Develop a unique strategy for each of these years. That’s what I’ve done. Now, every year is a year of opportunity. I don’t fear the space anymore—I understand it.

If you truly want to succeed in this space, develop patience (most important), have backups (second most important) and build a strategy tailored to each year. That’s how you take this industry seriously.

Though, in the beginning of your journey, it's always from meme to meme, alts to alts, etc. As you grow, you'll understand it's time to switch to BTC and top 20 or even top 10 from experience.

This is not about crypto, but listen to this and know where you belong. It will change your perspective for good for the rest of your life.

Thank me later.

Ihedi. Ihiedi Light of Africa: The Spectrum of Human Existence:
https://www.tiktok.com/video/7472727022742031621/

Sonnobax15:

Oyinbo youths are busy venturing into science and technology but our own down here are busy on TikTok singing and dancing "LAHO" and "Na scra na scra" . TBH,who swear for black Africans as a whole no try at all

Listen to this and thank me later.

Ihedi. Ihiedi Light of Africa: The Spectrum of Human Existence:
https://www.tiktok.com/video/7472727022742031621/

Sonnobax15:

Oyinbo youths are busy venturing into science and technology but our own down here are busy on TikTok singing and dancing "LAHO" and "Na scra na scra" . TBH,who swear for black Africans as a whole no try at all

Listen to this and than me later.

This is my formula and I want to improve it. What should be added?

Maybe, it's perfect already. If so, nice.

By the way, graphic designers should look for another job. They should better start learning crypto and other forms of digital skills.

Your job is to make sure you live a life where government doesn't have more than 10% control of your wealth, health, the place you stay, the food you eat and the life you live.

10 years from now, any youth that has access to computer isn't supposed to be poor except they chose to.

Hadizometer:
I remember when ILegend said that June was far too late for the altseason to begin,
Well he was very very wrong

A man and a woman you see smiling today might end up being separated 3 weeks later.

Crypto is an industry where a brand new update can change trajectory. Your moniker doesn't look familiar to me, so you're probably one of those who aren't consistent about crypto update.

You came, read what I posted, disappeared and came back months later to remind me. Show proof where I said it so that I'll go reread what I wrote and learn from it.

Also, did you read my update, which I created a thread for on the 9th of February? And I spoke about June? https://www.nairaland.com/8338318/crypto-must-read-those-crypto#134070030

Below is a repost:

Fed nears QT crossroads as 'excess liquidity' evaporates

A lot of you have lost 50 to 80% of whatever you invested in crypto since 2023, especially coins that are below top 10.

Why? You didn't pay attention to BTC dominance and you don't know the difference between BTC dominance Season in a bull run and Altcoin Season in a bull run.

Neither do you fully understand the 4 year cycle or even the meaning and effect of quantitative easing and quantitative tightening in crypto.

Anyway, today, I just read from a reliable source that QT will stop in June. And what does that mean? It means BTC dominance will also stop in June, 2025 (for altseason to start) and when this happens, a few weeks later, QE (quantitative easing) will start.

QT stoping stops BTC dominance.
QE starting starts Altseason.

See the image below to see their projection of when QT will stop and I believe them, but it might come earlier.

Does this mean from now till June, altcoins won't pump? Of course, they will, but whenever BTC sneezes and loses 10-12% in a day, all the alt's profits will be lost, including some percentage of your main capital because it's not yet its season to fully shine.

This is why you must take profits whenever your alts pump because by June, you'll lose all the profits (in an unexpected capitulation) before the main altseason starts and by then, you're already frustrated and have given up on crypto while labelling it a scam.

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/fed-nears-qt-crossroads-excess-liquidity-evaporates-mcgeever-2025-02-07/

Valwezzy:
Inspiring

Would you be kind enough to recommend channels/videos that teach this “Volume strategy” please?

Also, is that your most used strategy at the moment, and is it applicable to alts other than BTC/ETH alone?

I'd really love it if you could help out, thanks in anticipation

I watched Jay's playlist of 9 videos yesterday. Nothing new, but if you're new to volume, it's okay. He's just an overexcited black American who probably stumbled on volume and trying his best to teach it.

Watch the playlist and get an idea of what he's saying. He's all over the place and kinda annoying to listen to, but you'll get the idea of what he's trying to say.

https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHs5Mo8IgaUimfgupQCYW33QVnV57xZAl&si=cmuXVzMR4OpJ2oAk

geedot:
Volume delta with a very huge accuracy.

All in all, we thank God we finally found the path, it wasn't by one's doing. Even though I'm not that religious, I know I'm just lucky I finally found my way around it. Trading is extremely hard, and I hope and pray everyone still out there struggling gets his/her eyes opened soon enough too. Amen.

Not really into movies, video games, etc. Even football, I wasn't into it until Mikel joined Chelsea and I was forced to love the game, but I'm out of love now.

That by the way. Your story sums it up. It's good to taste all (I did too) and finally choose your medicine.

For me, volume was the answer and every other is bonus.

If BTC is king, volume is the kingdom.

My 5 go-to volumes are

1. Volume Spread
2. Volume Spike
3. Volume Profile
4. Volume Delta
5. VWAP and normal volume (bonus)

With these 5 things, even the Devil can't stop you. 1 or 2 of them is even more than enough. You'll be ahead of almost everyone. If you add patience to it and multiple accounts as backups, then you've won the battle.

For your boss, I understand him. Before he started using the indicators, he had already mastered trend, names of all kinds of candles, their purpose, and every other TA-related terms and how to use them. He knows the foundation, but chose to switch.

The indicator is more of a timesaver and for multiple confirmations. I also understand that olden days pros hate indicators because it makes them look amateurish as if without these indicators they can't do anything. It's just like how graphic designer are not happy everyone can now use AI to do magic.

I was almost like that, then realized whatever will save me time is allowed as long as it doesn't distract me. I no longer want to be seen as a pro, I just want my money to keep re-pro-ducing.

Anyway, great experience you had there.

My main strategy is volume, multiple accounts and waiting for the big boys to dump or pump the market 10% in a day, then I'll swing in like a red vulture to see what I can steal with the help of trend, the cycle we're in and volume.

SmallDick99:
Great insight.

I'm still a newbie sha, and it hasn't been rosy so far, however we will keep pushing.

It's never rosy for a solo-newbie. Even if it is, it's always short-lived. Those who feel the pains learn the fastest as long as they're dedicated.

SmallDick99:
How was your experience when u first started trading?

Got in, watched a 20 mins vid on YouTube. Nigerian banks and crypto were still friends, so I moved small Naira from bank to exchange. Few minutes later, it turned to lots of money. I was excited. I withdrew 37k (price of a huge goat at the time).

I bought one 🐐, slaughtered and enjoyed as the market pumped. Emotions so high, joy upon joy, but months later, the frustration sets in. Dump dump dump and my money vanished.

Why? Greed and lack of knowledge about the 4 year cycle, bearish divergence, and most importantly, lack of knowledge about volume and other things in-between.

I consumed thousands of YouTube videos (even ones uploaded 12 years ago from early adopters, read hundreds of post, etc. It was just too overwhelming. Lots of shillers and deceivers like Bitboy crypto, etc. that always promote sh!t coins they've been paid to advertise.

I got better after navigating lots of dirt, then decided to try future, but wanted to fail first to see how it feels to be liquidated. I did and blew the account. Then learned why and improved from there.

The goat I ate made me realize there is actually real money in this industry (at least I have tasted it with my mouth), but there is something missing. I was already addicted, so I couldn't leave even when I lose.

Years later, I found out the missing puzzle was just patience and solid strategy — which patience is the most difficult since it's a two-sided thing and full of emotions.

Sometimes, you'll regret being patient and call it greed, other times, you'll regret being impatient because it pumped after you've sold.

Now, finding a balance is key. What can you lose and what can you not lose?

Later on, I became a diligent specialist in BTC after encountering people like Benjamin Cowen and Steve of Crypto Crew University. They're focused on the full package, not quick cash.

I won't lie, I have watched almost all crypto-related videos on YouTube, but now, I have a mind of my own from experience and if I write a story book on crypto, it'll be the funniest with lots of wisdom and lessons, especially on patience and not listening to 99% of crypto YouTubers' words and avoiding too much noise.

The answer is on the chart while the news is the manipulation, which also ends up showing on the chart, hence, focus on the chart, the cycle you're in, your strategy and less on news/noise unless it's Fed and macroeconomics-related.

The market rewards a diligent specialist.

The end.

Shorting BTC from the top of the market to bottom is better than longing it from the bottom of the market to top.

How? It takes only 1 year for you to close your trade and take your profit, but for long, it takes 3 years and this 3 years is full of ups and down and lots of dumps.

iLegendd:
"You can make money in a bull market, but people make fortunes in bear market."

So, a bear market is better than a bull market since minority participate in it while majority give up or lose their money because they're scared of futures trade (shorting).

A huge percentage of the ones that aren't scared end up being greedy asf.

Don't forget, in crypto, Monday often reverses whatever the weekend did.

And,

The market rewards a specialist.

maybet081:
So is top for this cycle past already?
Please I need to know.

In crypto and broader financial markets, we have right or left-translated cycles.

It's a concept used in cycle analysis to determine the strength and direction of a trend.

They're particularly common when analyzing market tops and bottoms in recurring price cycles.

If the top happens early, it's left translated. If it's late (Oct, Nov, Dec. or even January of 2026), it's right translated. We have a 4 year cycle and in this 4 years, 1 is for bear market while the remaining 3 is for bull market.

So, we're in the 3rd year of the 3 years allocated for bull cycle and soon to enter the 1 year of bear in 2026.

To simplify it:

1. Right-Translated Cycle

Definition: The peak (top) of the cycle occurs after the midpoint of the entire cycle duration.

Implication: This typically indicates a bullish cycle. Price spends more time rising than falling.

Example: If a cycle lasts 100 days, and the top happens at day 65, it's right-translated.

Interpretation: Bulls dominate for a longer portion of the cycle. The decline is shorter and less aggressive.

2. Left-Translated Cycle

Definition: The peak occurs before the midpoint of the cycle.

Implication: This is generally bearish. Price rises briefly, then declines for a longer duration. (E fit still recover and hit a new top as it did in 2021 and the name will change to right-translated)

Example: If the top happens at day 30 of a 100-day cycle, it's left-translated.

Interpretation: Bears take control early. The downtrend is longer and possibly more severe.

Summary: I have several ways of spotting the top, but I currently use only two to three because they've been accurate in all cycles even though they're different.

One of them, The Yellow Top, said yes, the top is in, but the second one said, "No, wait till 20th of October to see when the top will happen."

Whether the top is in (left translated) or not (right translated), BTC still has $50k extra to add to its current $100 to arrive at, at least,150k+.

Why? Global liquidity is way up (meaning: lots of money printed already, but waiting to get into people's hands for them to buy BTC) and QE hasn't even started (meaning: the money hasn't been released yet, but it warning up).

So, when QE (quantitative easing) starts, some of those billions out of the trillions minted or printed will find their way in crypto, stock, real estate, funding wars, etc. and alts will pump (altseason) because of excess money in circulation, which makes fiat lose value. Then BTC, the boss, will lose its dominance (e no go get much strength again to outshine others) and this will allow alts to breathe.

When I reply people, I do it as if I'm writing a page for a book, hence its sometimes lengthy.

maybet081:
So is top for this cycle past already?
Please I need to know.

No and yes.

Can't upload yet.

Score Sheet

A: 3/3 = BEST buy in bull market (inside red BG)
B: 2/3 = SECOND BEST buy in bull market (inside red)
C: 1/3 = RISKY buy, but great if it suddenly dipped in a strong uptrend, in a bull market, after leaving months of consolidation and the background is green. (The only time buying inside a green background is allowed).

In the Ppsignal indicator, turn off the Heiken Ashi, Upper and lower channel option to make the chart look clean. This is optional.

Images

You can ignore bear market of 204, 2018 and 2022. Though, you master the system, you can still long them and make profit when the dump is right.

For buying inside green, it's for who has mastered the game — it's the one I called bonus buy.