₦airaland Forum

Hadizometer:
I remember when ILegend said that June was far too late for the altseason to begin,
Well he was very very wrong

Fed nears QT crossroads as 'excess liquidity' evaporates

A lot of you have lost 50 to 80% of whatever you invested in crypto since 2023, especially coins that are below top 10.

Why? You didn't pay attention to BTC dominance and you don't know the difference between BTC dominance Season in a bull run and Altcoin Season in a bull run.

Neither do you fully understand the 4 year cycle or even the meaning and effect of quantitative easing and quantitative tightening in crypto.

Anyway, today, I just read from a reliable source that QT will stop in June. And what does that mean? It means BTC dominance will also stop in June, 2025 (for altseason to start) and when this happens, a few weeks later, QE (quantitative easing) will start.

QT stoping stops BTC dominance.
QE starting starts Altseason.

See the image below to see their projection of when QT will stop and I believe them, but it might come earlier.

Does this mean from now till June, altcoins won't pump? Of course, they will, but whenever BTC sneezes and loses 10-12% in a day, all the alt's profits will be lost, including some percentage of your main capital because it's not yet its season to fully shine.

This is why you must take profits whenever your alts pump because by June, you'll lose all the profits (in an unexpected capitulation) before the main altseason starts and by then, you're already frustrated and have given up on crypto while labelling it a scam.

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/fed-nears-qt-crossroads-excess-liquidity-evaporates-mcgeever-2025-02-07/

Valwezzy:
Inspiring

Would you be kind enough to recommend channels/videos that teach this “Volume strategy” please?

Also, is that your most used strategy at the moment, and is it applicable to alts other than BTC/ETH alone?

I'd really love it if you could help out, thanks in anticipation

geedot:
Volume delta with a very huge accuracy.

All in all, we thank God we finally found the path, it wasn't by one's doing. Even though I'm not that religious, I know I'm just lucky I finally found my way around it. Trading is extremely hard, and I hope and pray everyone still out there struggling gets his/her eyes opened soon enough too. Amen.

SmallDick99:
Great insight.

I'm still a newbie sha, and it hasn't been rosy so far, however we will keep pushing.

SmallDick99:
How was your experience when u first started trading?

iLegendd:
"You can make money in a bull market, but people make fortunes in bear market."

So, a bear market is better than a bull market since minority participate in it while majority give up or lose their money because they're scared of futures trade (shorting).

A huge percentage of the ones that aren't scared end up being greedy asf.

Don't forget, in crypto, Monday often reverses whatever the weekend did.

And,

The market rewards a specialist.

maybet081:
So is top for this cycle past already?
Please I need to know.

maybet081:
So is top for this cycle past already?
Please I need to know.

XaToXi:

GRACEGLORY:
Gimme 80K, or 77k entry, and I'll be satisfied

"The Red Vulture" — A Crypto Trading Tale

In a vast digital desert called the crypto market, flew a cunning creature known only as The Red Vulture. He circled high above the Bitcoin dunes, his sharp eyes fixed not on prey, but on impatient wanderers—traders desperate to strike gold.

The Red Vulture had a routine. Twice a year, he descended in silence. His wings stretched wide over the market, casting a shadow just before a storm—an event few understood, and fewer survived. It was called The Free Trade Zone.

Most traders were unaware. They rushed into the market, mistaking silence for opportunity. They bought Bitcoin too early, lured by green candles and hype. But the Vulture watched. Then came the strike—a massive red volume candle that swept the weak hands away. Bitcoin dumped hard, and retail buyers were left with losses, wondering what went wrong.

But the wise traders—the ones who studied the market's hidden signals—waited.

They understood that the Free Trade Zone was more than just a technical formation. It was a ritual. When it printed, it whispered a warning: wait for the red volume candle. Only then would the Red Vulture be finished feasting. Only then would the market be ready for real gains.

These traders didn’t buy with emotion. They bought with patience. They waited for the red candle—a sign that the institutional predators had completed their manipulation. And when they entered, they bought Bitcoin at the best possible price, while others were still licking their wounds.

This signal—The Free Trade Zone—comes only twice a year. It’s rare. It’s powerful. And it’s deadly to the unaware.

Moral of the Story:
The Red Vulture doesn’t kill the market—he cleans it. If you enter before he finishes his feast, you become his meal. But if you wait, patiently, watching for the Free Trade Zone and the red candle that confirms it, you’ll enter when the sky clears—buying at the true bottom, where profits soar.

So next time Bitcoin pumps, ask yourself: Has the Red Vulture finished his job? If not, wait. Patience isn’t just a virtue in crypto—it’s a weapon.

This looks like a timeline of events tracked under a specific trading strategy — “The Red Vulture Strategy” — with dates, prices, and annotations regarding how many valid signals (or trades) were counted in each year.

Here’s a cleaned-up summary of your data with structure and clarification:

Red Vulture Strategy Log

In each year, red prints lots of times — about 5-10, but we're only after the ones that print inside free trade zone because those are the real vultures, where you'll enter your best trades in the bull market.

Bear market years like 2014, 2018, and 2022 were omitted since they aren't relevant in this strategy. 50% of the time, each year prints only 2 red vultures or 1.

When it goes above 2, the subsequent ones may not be worth buying, if you haven't sold the first lower price one you bought for the year. If you've sold, then buy the 2nd and even the 3rd opportunity of that year.

Below is the log and the price of those red vulture days you should've bought.

In all the cases below, the first buy was the best buy except 2020 and 2015 where the second buy were the best.

2012

April 12: $5 (then market pumped)
October 19: $12
Total: 2 red signals in 2012.

2013

April 16: $49 (then market pumped)
June 9: $89
July 5: $63
October 2: $84
December 18: $378
Total: 5 red signals in 2013.

2015

August 24: $208
August 25: $199 (then market pumped)
Total: 2 red signals in 2015.

2016

January 16: $360 (then market pumped)
August 16: $464
Total: 2 red signals in 2016.

2017

January 11: $756 (then market pumped)
September 15: $2,963
Total: 2 red signals in 2017.

2019

September 24: $8,028
Total: 1 red signal in 2019.

2020

March 12: $4,792
March 13: $3,823 (COVID crash and then the market pumped)
March 16: $4,450
Total: 3 red signals in 2020.

2021

May 19: $30,056 (then market pumped)
December 14: $42,028
Total: 2 red signals in 2021.

2023

August 17: $26,242 (then market pumped)
Total: 1 red signal in 2023

2024

August 5: $49,538
Total: 1 red signal in 2024.

2025

No red vulture signal has printed so far this year, 2025. So, when should we expect it? Maybe, it'll happen after some rallies or before the rallies. All that matters is, anticipate the red vulture. No year has ever gone scot-free without at least 1 red vulture (as you can see above or do you want me to post pictures of all of them?)

If only you can focus on entering your main trades after the red vulture of bull market or during No-DJ months of bear market, you'll always be ahead of everyone. Even institutional manipulation won't affect you. In fact, those guys will hate you for using this system.

So, you have 4 main time to buy/long BTC

1. No-DJ months of bear market
2. Red vulture days of bull market in free trade zone only
3. The wall of Jerico and China days (this one has 3 buying opportunities)
4. The normal yellow candle print on free trade zone

If you add all these things together you'll be more equipped on when to buy than your peers. I didn't even mention the 10% day. That one should be a bonus.

What about when to sell? Use the Monthly Yellow Top or the Weekly Yellow Top, which I have explained already.

maybet081:
Where is the insult? and to whose father?

Emmizay12:
Why do you have to insult anybodys father to pass across your point,,

Was there anything like crypto when those fathers were in their prime,,,

You just open Ur mouth waaaa, if no be poverty carry you come crypto, wetin your own papa achieve?

Adasun:
See how conversation suppose be...
Kudos to you two gurus: geedot and ilegend.
Never stop learning

twosquare:
My business account, too, was banned for crypto transactions then...Anyway, I have more than one Wise account. So, still using it freely...but not for crypto transactions anymore.

I will advise Geegpay because they have a slightly better rate than Grey.

However, I use Grey for myself. Just know that they may scrutinise your USD transactions more than any other incoming funds in other currencies.

THE DAILY GOLDEN AND DEATH CROSS STRATEGY PRACTICAL

Lecture 2

To use this strategy, you must identify the period of the year you're in. Is it a Relax, Sell, Buy, or Buy-more year?

If it's a Buy-more year, you know the golden cross will happen only once—either in February, March, or April—while the death cross will also happen only once, either in September or October. So, in that year, you prepare for two events: the golden cross pump and the death cross dump.

If it's a Buy year, you know the golden cross will NEVER happen—or at worst, it'll almost happen, then retrace, and the dump continues. Also, the death cross will happen only once—either in February, March, or April—but mostly in April.

Now you're left with only Relax and Sell years. You see how we're narrowing the process down?

Remember, we once talked about the free trading zone, a.k.a. the entry area. That is the zone that made me switch indicators.

Why is this zone created?
Disobedience is the reason it was created.

How?

When that bully in school is walking on the wrong side of the road or corridor, but he's holding a cane, what do you do? Clear the road, right?

The idea of the death cross is a dump. But when it pumps, the candle has disobeyed the rule—hence it clears the path to enjoy its disobedience. When it starts dumping, doing what it's supposed to do, the zone closes and the red color appears again.

The same thing applies to the golden cross. It's expected to pump, but when it disobeys and dumps, the green path turns blank for it to walk down freely. When it starts going up again, which is the right direction, the green comes back.

Color only changes from red to green or vice versa when there is a crossover. Those blank roads, paths, zones, areas—or whatever you choose to call them—are what you get when you fail to walk in the direction you're intended to. And those are what I call the free trade zone/entry.

But to execute the trade, there are three criteria—and at least two MUST be true—using both indicators: the VSA, which we've spoken about in the past, and the cross indicator.

1. Free trade zone/entry
2. Red candle printed or at least, a strong yellow candle deep inside the red cloud printed
3. The dump touched the 200 MA or even went lower.

When BTC disobeys the direction and the free trade zone opens, check the second indicator to see if it has turned red. If yes, the dump is worth buying as long as it's lower than your previous purchase and inside the free zone. If it didn't print red, but a strong yellow that touched almost the top of the red cloud, it's a potential buy too.

See images below for visual examples of when to buy.