₦airaland Forum

stonemasonn:
He has nothing to lose. He can only aspire to be president, he can't contest for governor or the senate, sooo...

He'll become a persona non grata.

Siwel25:
You all are hoping that Governors will betray their allies of many years or Buhari's endorsement which is funny. The candidature of Osinbajo will generate so much bad blood that there will be no party to fall back to. Party members will stand with the most important Aspirant to the party.

They just can't see beyond their emotions.

MikoB:
I like it the way you people still believe osinbajo is nothing politically, you were all sure he was not going to declare, but now its all about he does not have any state, the joke is on you guys! Very soon it will become clearer, for your own information, you guys will be amazed soon, how many states and governors supporting him,I hope the shock will not lead to coma like when you heard about his déclaration, you even said he does not have ogun state, henhen!

Like I said, I don't expect emotional political neophytes to agree with me. Just wait for the primary.

Mooh247:
For my love for Professor Osinbajo after watching him brilliantly prosecute many landmark cases for Lagos State, ACN and Southwest Nigeria I won't call him a political neophyte

But honestly sentiments apart, Professor Osinbajo can't win APC or PDP primaries he can barely attempt a smaller party to give him easy ticket

Where is he going to get his delegates from?!

Your last sentence is the same question I'm asking. Where are the delegates coming from?
Did some people deceive him with concensus or anointing oil?

SmartProf:
He has the guts Ambode did not have. It's interesting that he is labeled as an underdog, but be aware that his backers have control over all those delegates. Osibanjo didn't throw his hat into the ring without some serious assurances backstage.

There's no difference between Osinbajo and Ambode for now. Don't forget that Ambode also contested the primary but was disgraced. It'll be the miracle of the century if Osinbajo escapes similar fate as Ambode.

You talked about serious backers that control the delegates, can you please name them for us?

oikirodah:
2023: A Look At The APC's 7,800 Delegates And Tinubu's Unanimous Support By Osigwe Omo-Ikirodah

Tinubu doesn't take up an impossible assignment nor romance failure. He will shock opportunists and pessimists.
- Chief Bisi Akande

Everything is now in place for the mother of all conventions, which will determine the presidential candidate for Africa's largest political party, the All Progressives Congress, APC.

The party has tentatively set the convention date for May 30/31 2022.

Of course, the APC would prefer an electoral process in which delegates from the 36 states of the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory would choose the party's representative or a consensus arrangement where the President alongside the Governors and party stakeholders including the contestants would arrive at a consensus candidacy.

As it stands what are the chances of the various aspirants who have indicated an interest in the presidency under the APC.

The names of aspirants who have expressed interest in the party's ticket are listed below.

Bola Tinubu,David Umahi , Yemi Osinbajo, Rochas Okorocha, Rotimi Amaechi,Yahaya Bello,Sani Yerima

Orji Kalu, Chris Ngige, and Ogbonnaya Onu.

Now let us take a quick look at the national delegates according to their geo-political zones.

North West: 1, 924 delegates... South West: 1,568 delegates...North Central: 1,278 delegates

North East: 1, 212 delegates...South East: 838 delegates...South South 927 delegates.

Total = 7,800 Delegates.

A quick rundown from States is as follows,

Kano 465 delegates; Katsina 384; Borno 324; Osun 308; Lagos 304; Oyo 292; Jigawa 266; Niger 251; Ogun 248; Nasarawa 245; Abia 154, Adamawa 184; Akwa Ibom 165; Anambra 163, Bauchi 202; Bayelsa 79; Benue 180; Cross River 194; Delta 170; Ebonyi 154; Edo 168; Ekiti 216; Enugu 131; Gombe 134; Imo 236, Kaduna 234; Kebbi 213; Kogi 222; Kwara 195; Ondo 200; Plateau 185; Rivers 151; Sokoto 193; Taraba 146; Yobe 222; Zamfara 169 and FCT 53.

For the sake of space, we'll confine our litmus test to the top ten states for a comprehensive examination.

The top 10 in order of importance are listed below.

1. Kano 2. Katsina 3. Borno 4. Osun 5. Lagos 6. Oyo 7. Jigawa 8. Niger 9. Ogun 10. Nasarawa.

1 Kano:
If the body language of both Ganduje and Shekarau is anything to go by, Kano State is a no-go zone for other hopefuls. As we all know, the Governor of Kano State is a staunch Jagaban supporter. Ganduje is the only governor who can be regarded to be as close to Tinubu as he is.

Shekarau has stated numerous times that Kano State is sure for Tinubu.

2 Katsina.
HE Aminu Bello Masari is without a doubt Tinubu's most ardent supporter; he has always stated that when Tinubu leads, others will follow. His devotion to Tinubu is evident on a daily basis. Katsina State would undoubtedly be delivered by Aminu Bello Masari.

3 Borno State.
It may be of interest to you to know that Prof Zulum and Kassim Shettima, the predecessor to Prof Zulum, are renowned supporters of Tinubu's candidacy. Borno State is like Tinubu's Bourdillion residence.

4 Osun State
Other aspirants should avoid Osun, which has 308 delegates. We all saw how the Jagaban's close buddy Oyetola trounced Aregbesola in the recently concluded APC primaries in Osun State, and the delegates are unanimous in their support for Tinubu.

5 Lagos State
Lagos has four fewer delegates than Osun, with 304. Should we waste time debating whether or not Sanwo Olu would deliver for Tinubu? Please allow me to take a bow on behalf of Lagos.

6 Oyo State:

Because the PDP controls the state, Tinubu can count on 70 per cent of the delegates from Oyo even if the state does not show up solely for the Jagaban.

7 Jigawa State.
The Governor of Jigawa State, Muhammad Badaru Abubakar, is a close ally of Tinubu, and so also is the former Governor, Alhaji Ibrahim Saminu Turaki, who has accompanied the Jagaban on most of his recent visits around the Northern States. In Jigawa, Tinubu has a strong showing.

8 Niger:
Are you aware that Abubakar Sani Bello, the governor of Niger State, has since endorsed Tinubu's candidacy?

9 Ogun:

Should we give Osinbajo the benefit of the doubt since it is his state? If history is any guide, Osinbajo when in Lagos APC never won an election in his ward as a sitting Vice President.
Would Adedapo Oluseun Abiodun betray Tinubu or Osinbajo by delivering Ogun? This question would be validated over time.

10 Nasarawa State
Governor Abdullahi A. Sule once wore Tinubu's signature cap to a meeting of the State Executive Council. He is Tinubu's unrepentant ally.

So, with these ten states and Tinubu very certain to win the majority of delegates, it's time to think about the Federation's entire 36 states.

Let me now explain how a consensus works for people who believe a consensus is the best way to be on the party's ticket.

The first criterion for a consensus is that all of the contestants agree. The next criterion is who has the ability to defeat the opposition PDP, and the final criterion is who has the support of the majority of stakeholders.

The last item on the list clearly illustrates that if there is a consensus, the most likely aspirant to emerge is the one who has the support of the majority of the delegates.

So, when conducting your own research, have a look at the other candidates stated above and conduct a thorough examination vis a vis the 36 States.

Politics is a local game; it's not about feeling or how you feel about your favourite candidate; it's about who is best equipped for the task at hand.

Once again my name na Osigwe Omo-Ikirdoah and na me be the Principal and Chairman/CEO Bush Radio Academy.
https://ireporteronline.com.ng/blog/2023-a-look-at-the-apcs-7800-delegates-and-tinubus-unanimous-support-by-osigwe-omo-ikirodah/

Absolutely I can't agree more with you.

Cc: mynd44, lalasticlala

I've been trying to x-ray the various aspirants that have thrown in their hats in the ring for the presidential ticket of the APC.

Out of the many names flying around, I've decided to pick four of them as the serious ones in the race. They are:

Yahaya Bello
Amaechi
Osinbajo
Tinubu

I tried to assess these four frontliners vis a vis their chances of emergence as APC presidential flag bearer. I just had to pause for a while and ask myself what does Vice President Osinbajo truly have? I just can't see him in this race at all. Besides waiting for "anointing oil" from Buhari, Osinbajo doesn't have any political base anywhere in Nigeria.

Yahaya Bello has the Kogi State APC structure in his control.
Tinubu has the Lagos State APC structure in his control.
Amaechi has the Rivers State APC structure in his control. This is a very good start from home for these three aspirants in terms of delegates count.

However, Osinbajo doesn't have that of Lagos where he ran away from nor that of Ogun where he ran to. I think the VP may just have been wrongly advised by some sycophants to embark on this political suicide. It's definitely going to end in shame for him. I don't expect some emotional political neophytes to agree with me but the results of the primary will clear their ignorance. Please save this post for reference after the primary.

Again I ask what does Osinbajo truly have?

Hmmmmn

CharlotteFlair:
Omo iyadagbe Asunta. Your mama towtow na soso water.

Ashawo go continue where ur late mama stop
Family inheritance.

ovieigho:
I’m talking to a fool …lolz

If that’s not $$ what is it

Or you are expecting me to show you 1$ bills like the one you watch Fuji musicians being spayed on TV ..

You don’t know what dollars look like bro
Lasma

Generational fool!
Is that your village dollars? Dunce

Valkrie:
If he likes he should go and consult with mammy water...he would never be president of this country...maybe president of pamper wearers association or Irangiji union thatI can't say...!!!

Cardiac arrest is real.

Wetin dey happen to gospel singers na? God have mercy.

ovieigho:
Weere …
That money huge for your face that’s why you lick ass up and down

My instinct never fails me. I knew you were a poverty stricken bastard. So that's your own type of dollars? Fool! Without being boastful,I started handling US dollars since 2005. Mumu I'm sure you've never set your eyes on America dollars before. No member of your family has seen or handled it before. It's so obvious now.

ovieigho:
Idiot why you con list one to 4 according to standing
Show me pix of today where Ribadu snapped with Tinubu

You don’t know I have a point to prove?

If Ribadu was in the entourage and I can see pix
I will give you $1000

Mumu....ur papa and d whole of ur extended family worth 1k dollars? See dis poverty stricken bastard.

ovieigho:
Oloriburuku

Ribadu is now photo shy Abi

You de list 1-4 like you are listing for your babies

I know the guy you think is Ribadu in that pix …oniro were omo

P.s : see the person this fool thinks is Ribadu
He is still lying

U be mumu. I get my info from a member of Tinubu's entourage first hand. The names of the people on the entourage were not drawn from the picture. Mumu..... even senator kashim from Bornu was in the entourage but not in the picture. Ozuor....

aviara:
Your eye go clear next month na. This was how they said the APC chairmanship position can not be by consensus.

The joke is actually on you. Apc chairman has always emerged by consensus. That's the tradition. From bisi Akande to oyegun to oshiomhole to Buni to Abdulahi.

The presidential primary election is a totally different game. Even the new electoral law makes it even more difficult now to force a consensus on anyone who do not agree because he must have to write a letter of acceptance to that effect otherwise INEC will remove the party from the list of parties for the election.

Mooh247:
Which fine boy cos Na all of them be fine boy .. who get money Na him fine

Lol.....u dey pepper dem well.

ovieigho:
Stupid man !
When you listed him like he was in the pix ?
Don’t I have the right to prove your wrong ?

Foolish idiot, names of people in the entourage is different from names of people in the picture. Fool next time read without bitterness.

klawaaa:
I think the youth in Nigeria need sense! The politicians don't care about the youth. Those same persons who did virtually nothing tangible when they held their various past political offices are the ones you guys are hyping. I now know why PMB referred you guys as lazy youths. Common, if truly Tinubu is the way, why can't he had used the opportunity given to him as the governor of Lagos state to atleast build a sophisticated hospital in Lagos atleast which would have prevented him travelling for medicals abroad. Youth you need wake up, chanel your energy to your future except if you are being used and given peanuts then you are really senseless.

Only a bitter fool like you will not see what Tinubu did in Lagos as governor. Nothing will make sense to a certified dunce like you as long as it's Tinubu so no need to waste data on you. Tinubu is not the cause of your frustration and family poverty. Ask your papa wetin he use him time do.

ovieigho:
Where is NuHu Ribadu in this pix ?
Deceive yourself…

He was in the entourage but not in this picture. Nuhu ribadu is an open ally of Tinubu only fools like you have problem with that.

Wahala promax. The former exco members are kwankwaso people and they've moved to NNPP.

So kwankwaso is in charge of PDP and NNPP in Kano. Hahahaha

Mooh247:
Wetin concern me concern Buhari

We only use that one to send Drunkard back to Otueke.. even Buhari knows he doesn't fit the Aso Rock we put him

Atleast North don complete their 8 years... Now everyone can contest

.

Na man u be.

CharlotteFlair:
And his handlers said it was because of Ramadan.

I guess Ramadan is over.

This is still not as explosive as it was from the beginning but it's just another level of political dexterity.

The first phase was meeting people in large numbers now it's one on one. It's called mosquito campaign.

CharlotteFlair:
Peter is not as rich as tinubu. Tinubu is the richest ex governor in Sub Saharan Africa and is looking for justification to spend his loot.

It's not about just money. Tinubu has made men across Nigeria. Peter Obi doesn't have that. Tinubu has paid his dues. That's why the senate president called him leader of leaders last week.

TallerKola:
Jagaban of Borgu slayer of Meth cannibals. He is so present almost on every news

And some losers said he slowed down after convention. The truth is that JAGABAN is just too sophisticated for them. He's a master of strategic moves in politics. The Apc primary will be a walk over for him.