Change the change

This is really loading war

Hmmm

Asiwaju Bola Tinubu should review history of Yoruba dealings with core north and be wary of any pre-mature political war, writes OLAWALE RASHEED.

Abuja-October 3,2016-The battle cry across Yorubaland in the last few days calls for closer introspection than what one is reading. Statements of elders and leaders demonstrate eagerness and impetuousness to push for political war.

Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu is been prodded to go to war. From all angles, the drumbeat is becoming louder. Even Asiwaju openly danced to that war tunes recently in Lagos. Like a Clinton bating Donald Trump, many unseen forces are preparing ground for mutual implosion.
Should Asiwaju go to war?

That is a million naira question. Yoruba have had many war heroes.The race has also produced many political generals who fought and conquered in far Northern and eastern enclaves. Those heroes possess strengths and weaknesses. They are never perfect and elements of their negative sides were often exploited at the zenith of the ascendance.The case of Asiwaju Tinubu is not different.

The ringtone everywhere is about political betrayal.Even when the allegation is an inter- twined web of conspiracy, the context should not be lost on all stakeholders in Yorubaland. The Hausa Fulani political leadership have had a long chequered history with the Yoruba people. The decades of rivalry and mistrust pervade the thinking of even the most enlightened in the two regions. The unexplained contradiction is that the two regions of all other regions at least have religious afinnity which should probably guarantees seamless alliance. But reverse has been the case.

When key northern leaders opted for former President Olusegun Obasanjo in 1999, they had their reason which was largely misinterpreted by many. The ticket was not for the Yoruba race but for the surviving leader of the military political elite. Hence the former leader ruled in line with the interest of his class. Even when they had issues with him,they discovered a brotherhood way of thrasing the disagreements.

Hence the Otta farmer today retained that grand position of undisputed patron of that powerful class.One can say that even when Asiwaju was remodelling President Muhammadu Buhari for the 2015 race, he was only a potent instrument in the complicated power game. The man who understood the scheming more happened to be the Otta farmer.

Even at that, Asiwaju played a very smart one as he was able to secure a major concession that yielded the Vice Presidency of the republic. Agreed he was stopped midway into enjoying the full rewards of his efforts, his subsisting gains are enormous and far reaching. Serious rumination must arise therefore between destroying/abandoning those gains or playing the power game in which he is an adept.

I had always read over the story of late Bashorun MKO Abiola,especially the bating and intrigues preceding his declaring himself the president.
I had always checked through how the late Are Ona Kakanfo (Generalismo) was unknowingly tricked or persuaded through what many with benefits of hindsight now considered several layers of bobby traps. If populist MKO had thread another line, may be he will still be alive today.

There is this funny side to this serious affair.Late MKO is a believer in a reconnection and unification between the north and the west. His trust in the depth of his longstanding brotherhood with Arewa leaders gave him a sense of security during the June 12 crisis. Was he betrayed or he concorted a false sense of security complicating the conflict ?

Students of history should also be amused by the story of two Yoruba leaders -late Chief Obafemi Awolowo and Samuel Ladoke Akintola. Rightly or wrongly, how to approach possibility of northern alliance was the crux of their disagreement and political confrontation which eventually defined the First Republic.

From then till now,Yorubas have always been bitterly divided when rapproachment with the Arewas is placed on the table. There has never been a consensus on the subject as the distrust between core north and western region runs so deep that successor generation inherited that phobia. The Awolowo- Akintola disagreement on the issue still lingers among old political leaders within Yoruba land.
Yet there is even more grave section of Yoruba history that all should read and apply to the present scenario-the history of Afonja ,the Yoruba Generalisimo who hosted Late Sheikh Alimi(RTA).Asiwaju is not Afonja and President Buhari is not Sheikh Alimi. Yet there is a lesson to learn in the story of the two leaders.

The issue of rapproachment between the North and West were hotly debated during the last polls. All the risks were listed; all the likely consequences were itemised. The strong link between Asiwaju and PMB was a calculated gamble which some neutral analysts felt has paid off for the two men.
Asiwaju took a risk;the returns may be 50 percent or more but it is not by all accounts a failed bankrupted business. Warnings were issued pre-2015 just as some chiefs were said to have warned Afonja on his association with Sheikh Alimi(RTA). When the Islamic scholar decided to embrace Islamic government in collaboration with Islamic leaders he met on ground, Afonja waged a devastating war. The result is openly manifest till now.

Many questions were asked. Could Afonja had avoided going to war with Sheikh Alimi(RTA)? Did Afonja fully studied the vast strengths of Alimi before launching that war? If Afonja had not battle Alimi, what would have been the consequences?
Today Asiwaju is a leader of vast accomplishments,an institution with economic, political and social clout no Yoruba man can wished away. He stands tall by the vast arrays of men and women he has propelled to greatness and by the sterling outcomes of his political adventures at the national level. Even at this Olympic height of success,the enemies are ever lurking around the corner.

But unlike Afonja, Akintola and Abiola, he is not an Are Ona Kakanfo (a titled generalisimo), exposed to fabled mystical impetousness.
Should Asiwaju rise against federal might? Should he battle a President he laboured to instal? Should he sacrifice his loyal man, Osinbajo in an ego battle? What are his options?

Continue here.
http://sahelstandard.com/index.php/2016/10/03/asiwaju-tinubu-avoiding-another-afonja-alimi-war/

Happy Birthday boss

mechanical engineering. Futminna. Stream 1..... Am from osun state. 07062374143.