₦airaland Forum

dayokanu: You said Yorubas dont do herd mentality, You can call it any name you want but from history Yorubas vote for any trusted party or leader, The candidate is secondary. How come they all voted AG, all voted UPN, All voted AD and all voted ACN at the same time

How many ppl knew Fashola in 2007 before voting him? Do you think ppl voted fashola or AC? How come ppl voted all the candidates AD presented in 1999? If AD had presented a goat in 1999 he would have won

Let me clear something here. Mimiko only became governor in Ondo because he allied with Tinbu and ACN to dislodge the big elephant in the room which was OBJ-Agagu. Without Tinubus support Mimiko would never have won in Ondo.

Secondly Most Yorubas dont want to hear PDP. Let Mimiko try and decamp to PDP and see him get booted out in a matter of weeks. Yorubas would rather vote for ANC of South Africa than vote PDP.

Which Redeemed camp factor? How come the redeemed camp factor didnt make the Moslem candidates lose governorship election in Oyo, Ogun, Osun and Lagos

Despite the Demonization Of PDP, they still trailed behind LP in Ondo, Despite their demonization they still manage to poll at least 35% in any SW election even when they lose.......
The 2015 presidential polls will not be determined by where you win but by how well you are able to perform in you opponent's strong bases, while GEJ can get an easy 35%-40% at worse in the SW , the APC will struggle to be seen in GEJ's strongholds, I'm a politician and I know how these things work, the PDP has a very effective election winning machinery that even at its weakest can still pull surprises,

[quote author=Ngene-Ukwenu]This is where you are getting it wrong, Governorship election is different from presidential election, they can unite to win the state elections, but when it comes to the presidential election it is another kettle of fish brother. I have not met any Hausa man who says he would vote Jonathan in 2015 just the same way i cannot lure my mother from not voting Jonathan.[/quote]Jonathan won Adamawa in 2011, Adamawa is home to a sizeable xtian population and with all the state's big wigs except Nyako and Atiku, he'll clinch it, I think you guys should take a 2nd look at 2011 polls and current voting patterns and you'll see why GEJ still holds the ace

dayokanu: Thats where they are getting it wrong. Its like saying because Edo is ACN everywhere we expect Jonathan to lose in Edo.

Thats basically wishful thinking and No APC memeber is that deluded, Even if Oshiomole vote in every booth in Edo he cant have more than 40% to APC in the presidential election

Note: In 2011 All Northern states voted PDP in Governorship, a week later all voted CPC in presidency, All SW voted ACN in governorship election a week later voted PDP for presidency

This is exactly the point I'm making,that the fact that the APC holds SW governorships might not necessarily translate into votes in the presidential elections for a northern candidate if there is no SW running mate, it will make be extremely difficult to galvanise support for a northern candidate, thank goodness APC leaders are looking beyond Buhari to people with less baggage like Tambuwal else they'll have found it difficult selling him to south westerners

No matter how one spins it, religion still remains a prime factor in politics in every region of nigeria 'the redeemed camp incident' to a large extent galvanised western christian voters for GEJ in 2011, it is this same religious factor that is inducing the agitation for a xtian governor in lagos in 2015 or that is responsible for the recurring clashes between christian leaders and aregbesola in Osun, I admit the SW is the most liberal part of nigeria as regards religion but its still a factor even the APC can't overlook, its why they won't also pick fashola to avoid a Muslim-Muslim ticket, I believe in competence , agnostic personally,but there are many ignorant nigerians who are easily swayed and any smart politician takes advantage of this, don't also underestimate the power of effective campaigning, GEJ's 2011 Campaign was the most effective nigeria had seen since Abiola's Hope 1993

dayokanu: 2011 It was Buhari alone. 2015 Its Buhari plus the ACN machinery of the SW plus a neutral OBJ, Atiku, IBB

Buhari won't run most likely and most SW I know will vote GEJ ove Buhari everyday, Buhari's not popular in the SW

dayokanu: And why would APC pick Amaechi as running mate when he cant even deliver his home state?

is that what PDP is hoping APC does?

The APC would pick a Yoruba SW deputy maybe Fashola or Fayemi/Adeniyi Adebayo

So all those your permutations are trashed already

Its like APC hoping Jonathan would pick Peter Obi as his Vice president and basing calculations on that

The APC would pick either an Amaechi Or an Okorocha as the running mate, this were the assurances that got them to decamp, the APC has to make concessions to the incoming PDP govs.....this will be their waterloo, if the APC was fielding a Fashola as the running mate to a Tambuwal, then I would have said there was cause to worry from GEJ but with a SW most likely not going to be the running mate,the region becomes more open

@dayokanu, I reiterate that the SW does not vote in herd mentality like the rest of the country, each state has its own peculiar dynamics and as such individuals and not parties dominate the space, that's why a Mimiko in ondo is there, and a Jimi Agbaje is popular and fayose is strong in Ekiti, except Fashola is the APC's running mate which is unlikely, Jonathan will shock Tambuwal in the sW, south westerners remain intrinsically suspicious of a northern candidate,they'll rather stick to the devil they know plus you can never rule out the religious factor, Redeemed camp worked in 2011, what makes you think it can't work again

.

In 2011 GEJ won 23 states and the FCT , had 25% in 31 states,had 60% of cast vote...
In 2015 against a Tambuwal/Amaechi Candidature NB no fashola
I project GEJ to win all SE and SS states, Edo and Rivers included, quote me on this,that's 11 states with 90% to 10% margin
I project gEJ winning Ondo, Lagos narrowly, Oyo narrowly (If akala and ladoja work together for him) plus 40% in ekiti and ogun and 10% in Osun
In the MB, I project GEJ winning Plateau, Taraba,Benue,Kogi,Nasarawa(narrowly),narrowly losing Kwara, plus 30% in Southern Kaduna,Gombe that's 19 states plus FCT which is a PDP Bastion.....with landslide in the SS/SE, 70%MB and 50% SW +10% North, that's about 53-55% of valid votes

dayokanu: In 2011 it was basically Buhari standing alone without any money to campaign and he was able to sweep almost all the Northern states. Now in alliance with Juggernauts like Tinubu OBJ all the defecting governors, Maybe IBB and Atiku would give their silent approval or remain neutral

In 2011 the dislike for GEJ wasnt this high. The best bet for Jonathan is not to conduct an election because he would be so disgraced it wont be funny. In 2011 all Northern governors were in PDP today gradually all of them are moving to APC. So who would do the work for GEJ?

In the North Central GEJ would win in Benue and Plateau. But I can guarantee you that he would lose Niger, Adamawa and Kwara. Taraba and Kogi would be close wiith the former tending to Jonathan and the former to APC

IBB is not exactly in opposition to GEJ, Obasanjo and atiku are but IBB is somewhat ambivalent, he wants his son 'mohammed babangida' to be the next niger state governor on the PDP platform and he still has the ears of the Villa thanks to NSA Dasuki and Colonel Umar and David Mark, IBB Boys who are in a working arrangement with Jonathan, I reiterate that GEJ will sweep the MB with the exception of niger, Kwara will hang in the balance because Of Saraki's defection but if Belgore crosses over to the PDP and with A sitting Senator Simeon ajibola and some others staying with GEJ....he could give the Saraki machinery a close bite there.....In Nasarawa, Al Makura has incurred the wrath of the Eggons alienating key allies in the APC including Eggon's fav son Solomon Ewuga, the PDP is more United with Doma and maku, note that the PDP has 19 of the 24 HOA members in this state and that GEJ secured 60% of nasarawa's vote in 2011...GEJ will just nick this state
In Adamawa, nyako is heavily unpopular and all the major politicians in the state are united under the PDP against him, even most of the state house of reps members and two of their senators chose to stay in the PDP due to personal issues with him, even the most influential politician in the opposition Boni Haruna has returned to the PDP to join Tukur,Bent,Dan Suleiman and others, expect Marwa and Gundiri to follow suit, Nyako was the a liability APC took, Kogi is firmly PDP, Wada and Smart Adeyemi are fiercely GEJ lotyalists,no problem here as always, same with Taraba

dayokanu: You are making an error comparing SW of 2011 to that of 2013.

Let me ask where was Oyinlola and OBJs alliance during the Ondo election, where is it today?

The biggest GEJ politician in the SW today is Mimiko. How can he survive when the combination of Tinubu, 5 APC governors, plus PDP renegades like Shuabu Oyedokun, OBJ Oyinlola and even FFK descend on him

The GEJ supporters you named in the SW are largely non entities. Who is Alao-Akala Fayose or Daniels today? both either lost or cant make any of their annointed candidate win

The winning ticket is a Tambuwal/Buhari - allied with Fashola as vice the election would be a forgone win for APC

Yorubas would support their tribesman in Fashola ahead of anything Jonathan promises them

I admit GEJ's support base is substantially depleted in the SW but OBJ's camp is fighting back because they've had the party structure in the region taken from them and given to core GEJ loyalists, Kashamu, bode George, Olubolade,Fayose.etc, I'm under no illusions that he will win the SW, what I believe he can do is secure at least 30% of the sW votes, these along with 90% of the SE/SS votes,70% of MB votes and 15% of core north votes will return him to power........this is the likeliest outcome, GEJ might only lose if APC fields a Tambuwal/Fashola ticket but because of religious balancing issues,Amaechi or okorocha will likely get the running mate post which might even further alienate SW voters
The key to a APC victory is Fashola being the running mate, if Fashola isn't then the SW will feel like there's not much to gain and not much at stake.....I still firmly believe GEJ will win

cramjones: You have a lot to learn in the politics of the SW and the Nigerian politics as a whole. Haven said that, do you honestly think Nigeria will forget the following:

- Billions mission under the watch of Jonathan,

- The downward plunge of the Naira $1 = 175 formally $1 = N150

- Subsidy removal and eventual fraud from SURE-P

- high tarrifs in electricity with a decline in supply

- Bombs and the death and destruction of many

- Over bloated presidency budget with N1bn on feeding alone

- Increased rate of poverty in the land...115million living below poverty level

- 6 months of ASUU strike

- Decline the pass rate for WAEC and NECO

- Record unemployment

- record inflation with increase in basic commodities such as rice and the good old garri

- The fact that you can't take any American exam again in Nigeria

- Decreased research collaboration from international organizations

- Government's threat to free speech

- Failure to pass budgets

- Threats to the unity of Nigeria by Jonathan's people, and GEJ supporting it with his silence


They are too numerous to mention. GEJ will loose in the SW and North that I can guarantee you. If you think otherwise, I wish you well, after all it your opinion.

While I absolutely respect your opinion,debating GEJ's achievements which I'm pretty sure speaks for him is not the issue here,the point I'm trying to make is that a lot of people overstate the APC's position in the SW which is not as strong as portrayed, I gave you the example of the last election in the SW(Ondo Guber Polls) where a PDP allied party won and the PDP itself polled ahead of the APC(then A.CN) candidate,that itself is a fact, I agree SW are sophisticated politically but the PDP and its allied parties are still strong to some extent in the SW, I pretty much named many of GEJ's foot soldiers in the SW with the capability to sway votes,also the south West is generally accomodating so there's a large immigrant population, take a concise look at SW voting patterns in 2011 and even discounting the Tinubu factor,GEJ still triumphed because to a large extent South Westerners still remain heavily suspicious of a northern candidate....so it was with Buhari and I doubt Tinubu would be able to herd everyone into voting Tambuwal .......the only way that would happen is if a 'Fashola' is fielded as his running mate which is unlikely since the aPC will pick one of Amaechi or Okorocha, I'm pretty sure that at worst,GEJ will secure at least 40% of the SW vote, 2015 will tell, when we said Jonathan will sweep the SW in 2011 many scoffed and he won fair and square there with little Tinubu help, 2015 will not be different except maybe a South Westerner like fashola emerges running mate............once again,thanks for your polite responses, I guess you're not as bad as you were portrayed

So as much as the APC junkets around the country,it will take a miracle to even come close to defeating GEJ, any neutral observer will tell you so..One would have expected you to be more accurate being a active political player but your analysis exposes ur naivete,

I reiterate that the SW votes will shock the APC, in the Middle Belt, Jonathan has Plateau,Benue, Kogi,Taraba,Adamawa(Tukur,Boni Haruna,Bent et all will trounce Nyako who is heavily unpopular,GEJ won here in 2011 also), Nasarawa will be even as Al-Makura is finding it difficult navigating the murky ethnic waters especially with the eggons who are the largest tribe in the state leaning towards the PDP,GEJ won here in 2011 with twice Buhari's votes and the state house of assembly is PDP controlled, Southern Kaduna and the incumbent Gombe Gov will at least ensure he secures 25% in Kaduna and Gombe respectively,
The other northern states are no go areas, and there will be low turnout in Borno And Yobe due to insecurity,
I say with every inch of confidence that GEJ will triumph again in 2015 just not as massive as 2011 where he had 60% of cast votes......APC strategists shouldn't be naïve, the key fact is that while the APC will struggle to secure 25% in GEJ's strongholds,GEJ will easily secure such in the APC's bases with the exception on the core north

FFK, while I appreciate your civility and matured responses,one can't help but see that your projections are overtly optimistic and to a large extent unrealistic,
I'll start with Rivers and Amaechi, I reside in PH and I can say confidently that whoever gave you the idea that APC will win rivers must have been high on expired weed(sorry for my vulgarity), rivers is firmly PDP and while Amaechi might have done well in his first term,there is general disillusionment with his 2nd term performance, plus the succession contest between the more numerous Kalabari's(who are heavy GEJ fans) and the ikwerre's and Kalabaris plus the coalescing of all the powerful politicians in the state -Odili,Wike,Sekibo,Ada George, Lulu Briggs against Amaechi, I'll be damned if the APC can secure 25% even with amaechi as the running mate, Rivers is firmly in GEJ's hands, also Edo itself isn't so assured, Gov Oshiomole has a good relationship with GEJ and openly supported him in 2011 for which GEJ reciprocated in the 2012 guber polls(OBJ also noted it in his letter), he is also somewhat inactive in APC national politics and would be inclined to support him, also as much as most Edo people might not exactly be satisfied with GEJ's performance,they remain heavily suspicious of the APC at the national level , Edo will stick with GEj surely
To the SW, your optimism is unrealistic again, I'll start with Ondo, In last year's ondo guber polls, Gov Mimiko, a strong GEJ ally finished 1st followed by the PDP (GEJ's party) while the APC finished a distant third with Akeredolu, What makes you think the APC will be able to displace A Mimiko led LP-PDP alliance , I would expect GEJ to secure at least 60% of the votes in Ondo
In Oyo, one can't discount the PDP here,Ajimobi only narrowly defeated Akala with about 10K votes and with the Akala/Ladoja alliance, the APC will have its hands full,Oyo is the PDP's strongest Bastion in the SW, note that the only SW PDP senator is from here(Ogbomoso area),Mulikat and other members, Jonathan can get Akala/ladoja who for all their crookedness have large followership to help him secure a good performance similar to 2011, note also that the APc will have its hands full here
Same In Lagos, with a large population from the SS/SE resident here, ethno religious factors plus the influence of people like Obanikoro( whose son floored CAN in LGA election),Jimi Agbaje and others could ensure him a shock victory here, you can't also discount other figures such as Fayose in Ekiti and Daniel In Ogun, Only Osun will be hellish for him....
Note Also that the pDP never polls less than 40% even in the SW in any election

SR shamelessly lied that GEJ suffered from food poisoning due to binge drinking and partying on Nov 16th which was his birthday ,this was strongly refuted by the presidency.
Now it has come to light that the president actually suffered from food poisoning in London as a result of bad prawns he was served at a state dinner hosted by President Yahya Jammeh for him a week earlier during his visit to the Gambia, the chef responsible was subsequently arrested by the Gambian National Intelligence Agency and charged to Court(Story Below), This Again reinforces the fact that sahara reporters remains a discredited gossip site that thrives on lies,falsehood and rehashed slander all in a desperate attempt to impugn the integrity of the President




A Gambian Magistrates' Court at Kanifing Municipal
Council will today hear a food poisoning trial
involving President Goodluck Jonathan, his
delegation and Gambia's five-star hotel Coco Ocean,
ShanghaiDaily.com reports.
Jonathan was said to have been served with food
that had been preserved for a long period, causing
him food poisoning during his two-day state visit in
Gambia in November, 2013.
According to the online medium, the Gambian police
had charged the chef of Coco Ocean Hotel, Ayoub
Aliris, with negligence and food poisoning on
Jonathan and his delegation.
But Aliris denied the charge when he appeared
before the Principal Magistrate, Sheriff Tabally.
According to the police charge sheet, Aliris was said
to have unlawfully or negligently cooked prawns
served to Jonathan and his entourage as a starter
during a special lunch hosted in honour of the
visiting Nigerian president.
When the matter came up yesterday, the police
prosecutor, Superintendent Touray, appeared before
the court together with defence lawyer, Edward
Singhateh. But Magistrate Tabally, who was
expected to preside over the matter, was absent. He
was said to have travelled to the capital less than 9
km away from the magistrate's court.
Lawyer to the plaintiff, Edward Singhateh, was also
informed at the court premises that his client, Aliris,
was arrested again for the second time after his
release from the police custody.
The plaintiff was said to be under the custody of the
National Intelligence Agency, but was later
transferred to the State Central Prison Mile Two.
Jonathan was caught in a glare of media publicity
over a "stomach upset" he suffered and was forced
to enter a hospital in London to seek medical
attention.
A prosecution witness, Babucarr Gomez, also a cook
at Coco Ocean, explained that a day after the lunch,
he received a call from his boss informing him that
there was an infection in the food served to the
Nigerians.
Gomez, who said he was ordered by Aliris to prepare
the food, said he also ate it and was "vomiting,
experienced stomach ache and frequented the
toilet."

m.allafrica.com/stories/201312241117.html/?maneref=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2Fm%3Fq%3DAyoub%2BAliris%26client%3Dms-opera-mini%26channel%3Dnew

leadership.ng/news/211213/gowon-danjuma-berate-obasanjo-over-letter-jonathan

Former Head of State, Gen. Yakubu Gowon (rtd) and
former Minister of Defence, Gen Theophilus
Danjuma (rtd), have berated former president
Olusegun Obasanjo over his open letter to President
Goodluck Jonathan, describing it as being capable of
breaching the peace in the country.
The duo stated this yesterday at the 6th edition of
the Abuja Festival of Praise, hosted by Danjuma, at
the international Conference Centre, Abuja.
In a goodwill message, Gowon warned Nigerians,
especially leaders, against making utterances
capable or breaching the peace of the country,
noting that it was important for leaders, past and
present to take heart not to say things that can bring
about problems as all Nigerians will suffer if there is
no peace in the country.
"I will like for Nigerians to please take heart to
ensure that taken are not taken to do what they
should not do.
Let all Nigerians, leadership and followership make
sure that we do not make utterances or say things
that can really create problems for the leadership
and for the country because if that happens, if we
listen to such utterances, there shall be no peace
and we will be the sufferers for it.
"I want all of us as faithful to bear in mind that this
country needs peace and this peace can only come
from all of us, the leadership, past and present and
from all of us. We must play our part to ensure that
there is peace in the country," he emphasised,
stressing that the message became pertinent in view
of recent happenings in the country.
Similarly, Danjuma in his goodwill message noted
that even though he was mentioned in the letter, he
had refrained from making comments to the press
about it, insisting that he has unfettered access to
the president and will speak with him "face to face"
if he has anything to say to him.
"The press have been after me, they want me to
react to what Obasanjo said about Mr President and
I told then that I have complete and I impeded
access to the president and if I have anything to say
to him, I will do so face to face.
These are very difficult times and we must be
careful, especially as leaders, what we say in public,"
he added.
Delivering a goodwill message on behalf of President
Goodluck Jonathan, Minister of Police Addairs, Navy
Capt Caleb Olubolade (rtd), emphasised that prayers
and songs of praise can save the nation and give
hope for a greater nation.
"I strongly believe thy prayers and songs of praise
like this can save the nation and give hope for a
greater tomorrow in Nigeria, the land the good Lord
has given to us.
As we labour in our bid to build a greater Nigeria of
our dream, a few elements struggle to destroy and
disunite us.
Why? My prayer as a child of God is for the collective
salvation of our souls and for those few elements to
repent before the judgement of God comes," he
added.
Earlier in a welcome address, Gana, who is the
chairman of the festival planning committee noted
that praising God can bring peace to humanity,
especially to Nigeria in view of the current security
and political crises.
He urged Nigerians to be at peace with one another
during the yuletide season to foster the unity of the
country as the nation is going through a trying
period.

Got this off facebook
Reginald Akpunonu
Critically looking at the message, the messenger, the
medium and the motive. Presidential aids for some
days now tried to explain away OBJ’s letter to their
boss but I want to make this assertion; OBJ’s letter
may be “most reckless and indecorous charges, highly
unbecoming, mischievous and provocative” but some
issues in that letter are not “baseless and
unjustifiable”. GEJ’s kitchen cabinet take note! I don’t
like seeing pot calling kettle black, I think OBJ’s letter
was borne out of a strained relationship with GEJ,
resulted to his resignation from PDP BOT chair. GEJ’s
picking of same OBJ’s defeated Aneni didn’t go down
well with BABA, GEJ’s independent minded posture/
total detachment from his benevolent god-father didn’t
go down well with OBJ, unconsulting attitude of GEJ
to OBJ lately was seen as rude posture by god-father.
Whenever u say no to OBJ’s ideas, advanced god-
fatherism you are in for a serious trouble coated in a
salvaging missionary design to deceive the simple
minded. Atiku is a rogue to him. Tinubu is an animal.
Audu Ogbe is a bush man. His own son GBENGA is an
idiot/a prodigal son. Jonathan is incompetent and
docile. GEJ’s aids are sycophants. It is only OBJ that is
wiser than all put together. Those of us who still
remembered what it used to be before GEJ knows that
president Jonathan is the best we have seen since
1999. And no past president or head of state did
achieve all he has done in just three years in
infrastructural development etc. let’s be honest for
once! Obj did a million times all the allegations he
leveled against Jonathan in that letter, which some are
lies, OBJ talked of corruption, OBJ spent close to
sixteen billion dollars on NEPA/PHCN alone, OBJ as a
sitting president did coarse governors, government
contractors, ministers and business moguls to raise a
whopping seven billion naira in two hours for a private
library project, Today larger part of that money was
converted to building of five star hotels in Otta, can
Obama try that in America even closer south Africa
and Ghana? Let obj call for lunching now and see if he
can raise even twenty million naira ,he took undue
advantage of his position. Cartons of naira were
displayed as bribe money at the chambers of the
national assembly to support third term agenda, OBJ
talking of witch hunting , chased Orji Kalu’s Slok
airline to Gambia simply because he challenged Aneni
on the monies, three billion naira expended on Lagos/
Ibadan and Lagos/Benin road without anything to
show for it, Savanna bank was closed because of Jim
nwobodo’s interest to presidential contest, OBJ chased
Globacom to Ghana because of his vested interest in
South African MTN. OBJ used to change national
assembly officers at will, same for PDP chairmen just
to soothe his whims and caprices. Brutal force at Odi,
Zakibiam on defenseless civilians, OBJ used five
legislatures to impeach a sitting governor Alamesiegha
in Bayelsa state, He virtually supervised the
kidnapping of Ngige, another sitting governor in
Anambra and that was the beginning of the monster
“KIDNAPPING BUSINESS” was born, even Rotimi
Amechi received a little dose of OBJ’s Venom though
later saved by the court, Morris Iwu of INEC used to
right election results in Aso-Villa for OBJ. I think we
Nigerians are people of short memory or we have
refused to be open to facts. Dr Bola Ige was killed,
Dikibo was murdered and so many politically
motivated assassinations during OBJ’s regime, the
killers are yet to be found. In all sectors Jonathan
despite deliberate insecurity problems has
outperformed his predecessors, in infrastructure,
agriculture, aviation and unbundling of phcn.
Nigerians please do not bother about OBJ’s letter to
President Jonathan. He still practice the pull him down
mindset. GEJ has excelled where OBJ failed and we
may not have gotten to Eldorado but the road map is
clearer now and Nigerians are now hopeful because of
Jonathan’s performance. If really OBJ means well, why
did he make a private letter public? Could he have
allowed this type of letter delivered to the public
during his tenure? OBJ’s intention is to appease some
section of the country and incite the people against
GEJ. I suspect this whole game is pointing to 2015
revenge of a god-father to an estranged god-son,
choosing a northern stooge to spite GEJ and well
meaning Nigerians, just because it can never be done
through the ballot box. BABA does not want GEJ to
contest so who does OBJ want to be the President?
These groups buying this deceit by supporting OBJ’s
letter are doing so because they have no stake in GEJ’s
government. There are very few honest persons in
Nigeria. They support when they are a part of the
looting, and against when they are not part of the
process. They are nothing but slimy leeches. If GEJ
goes hard on them, they will call it a political witch
hunt, if he plays gentle they will say he is docile. Is it
because he is from the minority? Therefore you can
never please Nigerians. This letter is definitely not
about corruption because corruption was worse under
OBJ. It is about 2015 as OBJ with his hubris wants to
continue to be the King maker. If GEJ surrenders to
OBJ today the game and OBJ’s language changes over
night. But GEJ should be ready to go into exile
because good number of Nigerians that know what the
fight is all about (2015 relevance) will be highly
disappointed in him. Nigeria belongs to all of us and if
OBJ thinks that the South/South and the South East
that lay the golden eggs don’t deserve a stake in the
Nigerian project, I say bring it on. If he is calling for
the destruction of Nigeria so be it and that will benefit
the South/South and South East better. OBJ is
offended because he thought he was foisting a push
over that he can remove at any time and replace with
another. If OBJ has fangs, why didn’t he use it when
Abacha almost killed him in jail? Stay strong GEJ
because all well-meaning Nigerians are solidly behind
you, we know what the hypocritical-sugar-coated fight
is all about and there is nothing OBJ or anyone can do
about it. Let every one test his or her popularity at the
polls, be it primary or general elections PERIOD!

A Nation @ War @_yemia 3h
I've called owners of Rainbow FM. Iyabo
Obasanjo didn't call in & they have not
interviewed her. cc @rosanwo @nzesylva @
lanreneville....
Btw, Vanguard maintains the letter was sent to them by Iyabo and they've reconfirmed, also Chief Olusegun Osoba has confirmed that the opinions in the letter are that of Iyabo
Note also that there were
references to specific events and conversations
which only she could have narrated?
Read 'Bittersweet' By Mojisola obasanjo,OBJ's first wife and mother to Iyabo to obtain more perspective on the brutish ape.
NL mods should also learn to verify before posting on FP, they rushed to publish the rebuttal without any veritable source cc@seun

Words of Saint Buhari in 2001
[size=14pt]Calls for 'total' Sharia in Nigeria[/size]
2001-08-27 21:32

Lagos - A former military ruler of Nigeria, Muhammadu Buhari, has called for the introduction of 'total' Islamic law across the country, reports said on Monday.

Buhari, who ruled Nigeria from a coup in December 1983 to his ouster in 1985, told a seminar in Kaduna, northern Nigeria, at the weekend that the strict Islamic law code known as the Sharia should be introduced in full across Nigeria.

"I will continue to show openly and inside me the total commitment to the Sharia movement that is sweeping all over Nigeria," Buhari said, quoted in press reports.

"God willing, we will not stop the agitation for the total implementation of the Sharia in the country," Buhari said.

Northern Nigeria is mainly Muslim but southern Nigeria is mainly Christian and has led criticism of the introduction of Islamic law in a dozen northern states in the past 18 months.

Africa's most populous country has been shaken repeatedly in the past by religious unrest. In February 2000 between 2 000 and 3 000 people were killed by Christian-Muslim riots in Kaduna over the introduction of Sharia.

Call for Sharia across the country

Buhari's comments were interpreted by the southern-based papers as a call for the imposition of Sharia all across the country, even in the mainly Christian south.

"Buhari calls for Sharia in all states," was the headline of the respected newspaper The Guardian.

Buhari's comments were defended by supporters as simply a call for the full implementation of Sharia in areas where Muslims predominated.

But the comments are the second by Buhari that have courted controversy after he called earlier this year for Muslims to vote at the next presidential elections only for someone who would defend their faith.

This was criticised by the press as a call for voting along religious lines, as well as an attack on the current president, Olusegun Obasanjo, who is a Christian.

Buhari made the latest comments at a seminar organised by the Supreme Council for Sharia in Nigeria, a newly set up body attended by northern state governments and Islamic scholars.

"It is a legal responsibility which God has given us, within the context of one Nigeria, to continue to uphold the practice of Sharia wholeheartedly ,  and to educate non-Muslims that they have nothing to fear," he said.

"What remains for Muslims in Nigeria is for them to redouble their efforts, educate Muslims on the need to promote the full implementation of Sharia law," he went on. - AFP

- SAPA

http://www.news24.com/xArchive/Archive/Calls-for-total-Sharia-in-Nigeria-20010827
Can a leopard change its spots

Indications emerged yesterday that the Kwara State
governorship candidate of the defunct Action
Congress of
Nigeria (ACN) in 2011, Mr Mohammed Dele Belgore,
SAN, has
finally agreed to join the Peoples Democratic Party
(PDP).
Belgore’s new-found romance with PDP was
informed by the
recent defection of former Governor Bukola Saraki
and his
supporters, including Governor Abdulfatah Ahmed,
to the All
Progressives Congress (APC). Saraki is currently
representing
Kwara Central in the Senate.
Though Belgore, who briefed newsmen last Sunday
shortly
after addressing his supporters, had said he
remained a
member of the APC, he expressed indignation with
the
national leadership of APC for not considering the
cause to
take away the politics of Kwara State “from the
hands of a very
domineering selfish few”, apparently referring to
Saraki’s control
in Kwara politics.
Sunday Trust gathered that no sooner had Saraki
and his
supporters defected to APC than the PDP members
in the state
tossed an invitation to Belgore to join the party and
join the
struggle to demystify Saraki’s domineering influence
in Kwara
politics.
It was gathered that the Chairman of the Federal
Character
Commission (FCC), Professor Oba Abdulraheem who
has just been
confirmed for another term of five years despite
opposition Saraki
held a meeting with Belgore last week to invite him
to the PDP.
Source

Indications emerged yesterday that the Kwara State
governorship candidate of the defunct Action
Congress of
Nigeria (ACN) in 2011, Mr Mohammed Dele Belgore,
SAN, has
finally agreed to join the Peoples Democratic Party
(PDP).
Belgore’s new-found romance with PDP was
informed by the
recent defection of former Governor Bukola Saraki
and his
supporters, including Governor Abdulfatah Ahmed,
to the All
Progressives Congress (APC). Saraki is currently
representing
Kwara Central in the Senate.
Though Belgore, who briefed newsmen last Sunday
shortly
after addressing his supporters, had said he
remained a
member of the APC, he expressed indignation with
the
national leadership of APC for not considering the
cause to
take away the politics of Kwara State “from the
hands of a very
domineering selfish few”, apparently referring to
Saraki’s control
in Kwara politics.
Sunday Trust gathered that no sooner had Saraki
and his
supporters defected to APC than the PDP members
in the state
tossed an invitation to Belgore to join the party and
join the
struggle to demystify Saraki’s domineering influence
in Kwara
politics.
It was gathered that the Chairman of the Federal
Character
Commission (FCC), Professor Oba Abdulraheem who
has just been
confirmed for another term of five years despite
opposition Saraki
held a meeting with Belgore last week to invite him
to the PDP.
Source

Trying so hard to make the president appear ethnically bias

The Presidency qua Presidency is staffed by key
officials from all parts of the country. The
Secretary to the Government of the Federation is
from Ebonyi State. The Chief of Staff and the
Head of the President’s Secretariat are both from
Edo, the Protocol Liaison Officer and Principal
Private Secretary are from Adamawa, the Chief
Detail is from Borno, the Aide De Camp (ADC) is
from Kogi, the Perm Sec, State House is from
Benue, the State Chief of Protocol is from Kwara,
the Special Adviser, Media and Publicity is from
Ogun, the Chief Physician to the President is from
Rivers. Only the Chief Security Officer, the
Special Assistant, Domestic and the Special
Adviser, Research and Strategy are from Bayelsa.

MONDAY morning, specifically November 25, 2013,
Nigeria’s biggest drama in decades is about to
begin. The main actors begin to arrive. They are led
by a former General, Muhammed Buhari, with his
favourite side-kick and former Lagos Governor,
Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, who sees himself and has been
acknowledged as the leader of the All Progressives
Congress, APC.
When Tinubu saunters into the reception hall of the
official residence of the Kano Governor, his former
sworn foe and former
Governor of Osun State, Prince Olagunsoye Oyinlola
is there with both hands to shake him. In toe is Chief
Bisi Akande, who got the traditional prostration from
Oyinlola.
In between the drama, steps in the Niger State
Governor, and the state chief executive who prefers
to be addressed as the chief servant of the state, Dr.
Muazu Aliyu Babangida.
Not many know a coup is in the offing, even though
political enemiesof President Goodluck Jonathan,
including one from RiversState who continues to say
he respects the President, but will not stop
undermining him, are there.
Midway into the political coup, the Niger snake in
the monkey shadow steps out of the meeting. He is
followed by Kwara Governor, AbdulFatah Ahmed.
Some journalists, keeping vigil at the meeting,think
there is a crack, whatever the kind of meeting that is
going
on among the strange bedfellows that are massed
there.
When the meeting ends and the coup speech is read
by a less than coordinated new Peoples Democratic
Party, nPDP, chieftain, Alhaji Kawu Baraje, it is a
bombshell!
Many suspect that the Niger Governor, who is
conspicuously (others think, conveniently) absent
when the communiqué declaring that the nPDP and
the renegade G7 Governors had merged, is up to his
usual “actor” moves. He has not been short of them
since he came to power in a manner that surprised
tested politicians in the State.
In his usual deft footwork, like his namesake in
NigerState, he dissociates himself from the merger
of the nPDP and the G7 Governors and the APC
within an hour; never mind that bumbling Baraje
told the press that he got permission, like
AbdulFatah Ahmed, to step out of the meeting to
attend to other matters.
Danladi Ndayebo, Aliyu’s spokesman, quickly rushes
on air to say his boss is not part of the merger.
Aliyu’s deputy, Musa Ibeto, follows suit to exonerate
his boss, but for 48 hours, the Governor does not
utter a word. What manner of man is this who keeps
mute when silence is not golden?
But confusion continues to trail the merger or
“working together” as it has been variously
described. Even Baraje, in his press conference, is
not too sure. In the same breath, he says an
agreement has been signed and an agreement is
going to be signed.
Sule Lamido thunders that he is not part of the
merger, but knowing him to hobnob with men like
Rabiu Kwankwaso and Aliyu, his thunder may be a
drum beat. Many who know Lamido say he is a man
of his words.
Murtala Nyako, the drama king Obasanjo foisted on
democrats in the North Eastern state of Adamawa, is
in a class of his own. The white-bearded former Navy
chief now knows the hard truth: that Bamanga
Tukur will suffocate him out of the party.
In Adamawa, where he thinks all will be well, he is
learning the hard way that not everyone wants him
in the APC; as the man Tinubu, Buhari, and others go
to reconcile him with the APC, Mark Gundiri bares
his fang, describing Nyako as a political liability and
one contaminated with a political virus capable of
destroying any party. He advises Nyako to go look
for another political platform.
In Kwara, political observers are not sure it is the
Governor that speaks, believing that it is the son of
the late strongman of Kwara politics who is muscling
the Governor to take a position he does not believe
in.
But the confusion does not end there. Is there
actually an agreement? Extracts from a news report
in the Daily Trust newspapers speaks volumes: “…,
The Abubakar Baraje-led group of defectors
announced that a memorandum of understanding
was signed with the APC, though the contents were
not disclosed.”
Spokesman for the group, Chukwemeka Eze issues a
statement in which he says a power-sharing
agreement is still being considered, and that it is
only after the details have been worked out that the
merger will be consummated.
The drama does not end there. Eze thereafter sends
a text message to reporters saying that the
memorandum of understating has been signed by
the two sides. “Please I am just being corrected by
the national chairman, Alh. A. K. Baraje, that the
MOU has been signed and the merger has been
effected,” he says in a text message.
In the first statement, Eze says a committee has
been set up by the two merging parties to work out
“conditions of the merger.” He says the “merger
deal will spell out how to ‘share positions.’ We have
to agree on what will go to us and what will go to
(them). That is what the committee is still working
on and nobody has signed the
MOU.”
Eze after that says the merger agreement has been
signed; he does not specify the conditions and the
details of how positions will be shared between the
two sides.
With the confusion, it is increasingly clear that the
merger is not well thought out, and for many who
enjoy the sympathy of the opposition, the whole
drama does not show that the opposition men are
any better than the PDP. It appears that the group,
rushing into the APC, is merely afraid of the sledge
hammer of the PDP. It therefore decides to rush
from under the umbrella to hide under the broom.
The broom men are gloating as astonished umbrella
men continue to wonder what kind of Tsunami hit
them.
But the Tsunami, apart from the noise in the media,
looks a failed gambit with the rash of meetings and
fears that some aggrieved individuals in the APC,
who distanced themselves from the PDP in the first
place because of certain individuals, now find they
are back in the same boat.
Lawmakers in the National Assembly are treading
softly, fearing they can lose their seats because of
the crafting of the law, despite the assurances from
Baraje.
The like of Asiwaju Tinubu and Chief Akande, though
statesmen in their own sights and rights, appear to
relish drama, and finding a willing tool in a normally
conservative Buhari, who tags along them to win
popularity, not for himself, but for them, delight
Nigerians who love drama.
In the face of the confusion, it appears that the
problem is not President Jonathan, but a party
chairman who starts a battle with his state governor
over control of the PDP machinery in the state,
because both men want to install their sons as
governor. The
question that continues to nag watchers is whether
the President will continue to take flaks for his
bumbling party men and aides even if it paints him in
bad light.
If Jonathan wields the big stick the way one of his
predecessors in the recent past did, he may bring
sanity to the body politic and douse the self-inflicted
tension by his party men and their band of
treacherous followers who want him to look
incompetent and divert attention from his
achievements because 2015 is on its way.
It is time to act, and thwart the antics of all these
snakes in the monkey shadow.

Meanwhile, Sokoto State Commissioner for  Information, Alhaji Danladi Bako, yesterday said the recent defection of   Wamakko  to APC  was in line with the yearnings and aspirations of the people.

He also announced that all commissioners, special advisers and the 23 local government chairmen in the state have resolved to join APC.
Addressing reporters in Sokoto after a stakeholders' meeting, Bako said Wamakko had in the last few months held consultations with party stakeholders, lawmakers, traditional rulers and leaders at the grassroots, adding that the move to APC was a unanimous decision by the people of Sokoto State.

According to him, the people have lost confidence in PDP and have unanimously resolved to join APC as a result of the impunity of the national leadership of the PDP.

However, the state Deputy Governor, Alhaji Mukhtari Shagari, yesterday said he would remain in PDP and therefore, he would not follow Wamakko to APC.

He added that he had no problem   with Wamakko but he would remain loyal and committed to the ideals of the PDP.

He told reporters  in Sokoto that he joined PDP not because of any individual but based on principle and as such he would remain in the party.
The deputy governor also said  it was only yesterday that he was informed by Wamakko during a meeting of the decision taken by stakeholders on the need to move to APC.
www.thisdaylive.com/articles/wamakko-g-5-governors-gone-for-good/166298/

Dasuki has done a splendid job, Under him,there have been no church bombings and Abuja has been relatively secure with no bombings in Abuja,this year alone the SSS has carried out nearly a 153 security operations in abuja alone neutralizing BH cells, these are not normally shared to the media, he has introduced better co-ordination among the intelligence agencies, and BH has been severely restricted to the rural areas of borno,last week's airforce base attack was the first attack in maiduguri in months and they are handling it.....he's a true professional,shys away from d media and does his job, the NSA's office is probably one of the most important positions in this country

donphilopus: PDP, I'm sorry to say that Sule Lamido and Babangida Aliyu have long left you! They are only claiming to still be with you! None of the m was even present at the meeting, the best Aliyu could do was to send his deputy governor to that crucial meeting!

Dude Sule lamido,Kwankaso,Wamakko and Aliyu met with GEJ yesterday, Aliyu's deputy just represented him at the PDP's govs meeting which was holding simultaneously with the president's meeting at House 7 and the first lady's conference room all in the villa, Kwankasso and Wamakko are still on the fence, only Amaechi and Nyako have decamped and they are liabilities, Tukur tho will have to be sacrificed to keep em,

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Mine are Dec 2047 and Nov 2052, however it is purely speculatory as death could strike at any time....lolz, don't be scared or superstitious, take the test and feel the power of the dark side,

Small earthquake, President slightly hurt
Disarray and defections are undermining the
governing party and the President but don’t
yet put the opposition clearly in the lead
The defection of five state governors from his party
to the new opposition alliance on 26 November can
hardly have surprised President Goodluck
Jonathan, who has been procrastinating over the
growing political crisis for the last four months. The
most generous interpretation is that he was torn
between the vengeful faction of the governing
People’s Democratic Party (PDP) under National
Chairman Bamanga Tukur, who wanted the
toughest sanctions against party dissidents, and
more tactical operators such as former President
Olusegun Obasanjo, who wanted to tie the rebels
up in tortuous negotiations about reconciliation. In
the end, it may be that Jonathan and his party
provoked the defections more by accident than
design.
They came at the end of what had been an unusually
eventful week for the President. On 19 November,
he had failed to read the budget – again – in the
National Assembly, this time because of a dispute
over the forecast international price of oil, according
to his officials. Then he boarded the presidential jet
to London for a meeting of his Honorary
International Investor Council hosted by its
Coordinator, Lynda Chalker, a British
Conservative former Minister for Africa and of
Development, on 21-22 November. After that, the
accounts diverge. The official version has it that
Jonathan retired to the presidential suite at the
Intercontinental Hotel to prepare diligently for a
presentation to investors the following morning.
Very unofficially, the more colourful versions of the
evening posted on social media, some by card-
carrying opposition politicians, had a tired and
emotional President energetically celebrating his
56th birthday with several delighted guests. Both
versions, however, end with his seeking urgent
medical attention and then skipping the first day of
the investors’ conference.
After a speedy recovery allowed him to rejoin the
meeting, Jonathan spent the weekend in London
before flying home, ostensibly for discussions on 25
November to bring the rebel governors back into the
mainstream PDP fold. In the event, he complained of
jet-lag after the six-hour flight and called it off. For
five of the seven rebel governors, that was the end of
the line. The next day, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso
(Kano State), Aliyu Wamakko (Sokoto), Murtala
Nyako (Adamawa), Rotimi Amaechi (Rivers) and
Abdulfatah Ahmed (Kwara) assembled at
Kwankwaso’s house in Abuja and announced they
would join the opposition All Progressives’ Congress
(APC, AC Vol 54 No 23, Politics versus the budget &
Anambra kicks off the race).
Rebel leaders
Beaming alongside them was Abubakar Baraje, a
thwarted contender for the national chairmanship of
the mainstream PDP, who has played a catalytic role
in this rebellion (AC Vol 54 No 19, Punching out the
PDP & Reshuffle may not help Jonathan's chances).
His key partners are former Vice-President Atiku
Abubakar (from Adamawa State, in the north-east)
and Abubakar Bukola Saraki (Kwara, in the
Middle Belt). All three helped to orchestrate the
walk out from the PDP national conference by seven
rebel governors on 31 August and their subsequent
press conference to announce their rebellion and the
formation of the New PDP. Then they had the
advantage of surprise over Jonathan, Tukur and the
rest of the mainstream leadership.
In the interim, they’ve squandered that advantage.
Their hesitation about how seriously to pursue talks
with Jonathan or how enthusiastically to take up the
seductive offers from the APC leadership may prove
politically costly. Not only has their indecisiveness
cost them time, it makes them look weak and
unprincipled.Nor do the defections cover the APC in
glory. Why should it welcome into its ranks
governors from the President’s party who are widely
accused by opposition supporters of having rigged
themselves into power? Mainstream Nigerian
politics continues to be an almost ideology-free and
policy-free zone.
When they arise, policy considerations are usually
linked to personalities. There are a few exceptions in
the APC strongholds in the south-west, where
support for Lagos State Governor Babatunde
Fashola and his counterpart in Ekiti, Kayode
Fayemi, is based on their popularity but also on
their policies, which have palpably improved schools
and health services, and cleaned up the
environment.
The PDP defectors pose a conundrum for the
opposition. They will certainly weaken the governing
party but how much will they strengthen the APC?
There is a risk that they will import their quarrels
and rivalries into the opposition. That at least is the
concern voiced privately by Mohammadu Buhari,
whose decision this year to merge his northern-
based Congress for Progressive Change with the
south-western based Action Congress Nigeria
created the APC as a national opposition force.
With a strong following across all the northern
states, Major General (Retired) Buhari, is a
frontrunner for the APC presidential nomination.
Kwankwaso and Nyako have brought to the APC
some of the political resources of governor’s office
and it may be that they too regard themselves as
contenders for the APC’s presidential nomination.
Resolving the question of the APC’s candidate and
running mate for a poll only a year away is now the
party’s biggest challenge. Everyone knows Buhari’s
stern anti-corruption candidacy would win votes in
the north but it could lose the support of more liberal
electors and of Christians in the south.
The PDP reels
Whichever way the PDP spins it, the defection of five
governors is still a serious blow: perhaps more to the
party than to Jonathan. Indeed, his allies are already
setting up alternative party structures in the rebel
governors’ states. All the rebel governors are in their
second terms, so their defection allows Jonathan and
his allies to choose successor candidates from within
the PDP. As for election tactics, the critical figure is
the director of police in each of the 36 states, who is
appointed, like the director of the Independent
National Electoral Commission, by the President.
Another key determinant of the defectors’ power is
their financial position. In the case of Amaechi, who
has been in dispute with Jonathan for much of this
year, the Presidency has succeeded in almost
shutting down the Governor’s office. It suspended
Amaechi from the PDP and then, with the help of
Chief Ezenwo Nyesom Wike, Education Minister
and a close friend of the First Lady, Patience Faka
Jonathan, fomented a political crisis in the state
which ended with the closure of the State Assembly
and severe restrictions on state budget allocations.
There’s every reason to suspect that the other four
rebel state governors will get the same treatment.
Already, all allocations to the states and to local
governments have been delayed because of serious
oil revenue shortfalls.
The other warning sign which flashed up during the
defections was Baraje’s insistence that seven
governors were quitting the PDP for the opposition.
In fact, two of the original seven rebel governors,
Mu’azu Babangida Aliyu of Niger and Sule
Lamido of Jigawa, declined to join the others.
Their reluctance seems to be linked partly to a fear
of retribution by the mainstream PDP hierarchy and
the powerful influence of two former military
leaders. Despite his doubts about the merits of
Jonathan’s presidency, Gen. Ibrahim Babangida,
remains a powerful political force in Niger State and
seems to have restrained the Governor.
The same goes for Gen. (Rtd.) Obasanjo, who
returned to power in 1999 as the first president
elected on the PDP ticket after the return to civilian
rule. He also has his quarrels with Jonathan but is
determined to maintain a grip on the PDP and has no
time for the opposition. Lamido was Obasanjo’s
presidential candidate and he may still harbour the
idea of persuading Jonathan to include him on the
ticket as running mate in the next election.
President Jonathan should not be underestimated.
He may also be playing games with the two
governors, perhaps suggesting to each of them that
they could replace the lacklustre Namadi Sambo as
Vice-President. Whatever the case, Aliyu’s and
Lamido’s aides quickly contradicted Baraje’s
announcement that they had quit the PDP and
professed to be puzzled about how their position
could be misinterpreted.
That suggested more chaos in the opposition camp.
Then on the same day, Jonathan invited Edo
Governor Adams Oshiomole, who is ostensibly
aligned with the APC, for talks at Aso Rock. He
rushed in and out of the presidential villa and looked
irritated when journalists asked him what he was
doing there. There is evidently disarray at the top of
both the opposition and the governing party. The
one certainty is that the APC has finally broken the
PDP’s monopoly on national political organisations
and will present a serious challenge in the next
elections.
www.africa-confidential.com/article/id/5133/Small_earthquake%2c_President_slightly_hurt
NB This Analysis Is From Africa Confidential, the continent's top policy magazine,depended widely on by diplomats

Category: NewsPublished on Friday, 29 November 2013 05:00Written by Isiaka WakiliHits: 819
The chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Professor Attahiru Jega yesterday held a close-door meeting with President Goodluck Jonathan.
Although journalists did not know the exact time the INEC boss arrived the State House, he was sighted at about 4.00pm when he was leaving.
There was no official commu-nication as to why Jega went to the Villa.
dailytrust.info/index.php/news/11234-jega-meets-with-jonathan-in-villa

The Federal Government on Thursday directed the
immediate re-opening of all Federal Universities in
Nigeria. It also directed that the position of any
academic staff who does not resume by December
4th, 2013 should be declared vacant and advertised.