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Nigeria’s non-oil exports outpaced oil exports in the third quarter for the first time, the Finance Ministry (MOF) and Central Bank (CBN) said, marking a symbolic break with the country’s long-standing reliance on crude revenue as foreign-exchange reserves climbed above $55 billion.https://moneycentral.com.ng/markets/article/nigerias-non-oil-exports-overtake-crude-for-first-time-as-reserves-exceed-55-billion/
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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) foreign exchange (FX) market reforms have fundamentally altered domestic capital market liquidity, lifting average daily FX turnover to over $500.0 million.https://moneycentral.com.ng/exclusive/article/nigerias-daily-fx-turnover-hits-500-million-on-liquidity-surge-from-market-reforms/
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LegitGirl:Dangote Cement Year to Date return that is (January 1 2026 - Sept 14 2026) is +69.7%. Dangote Cement 1-Year Return (Sept 2025 - Sep 2026) is +110%. Dangote Cement 2010 listing price at N135 per share, today N1,034. Of course they have paid dividends every year since. In 2025 they paid N45 per share. So what exactly is dipping ![]() |
LegitGirl:Plummeting from where to where. What was the price at IPO and what is the price today? What is the 1 year return and Year-to-date return? You people dont know anything about investing but keep typing |
The 700,000 barrels per day (bpd) Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals (DPRP) complex, built by Africa’s richest man, Aliko Dangote has put Nigeria on the global map amid geopolitical uncertainty and is providing numerous benefits to the economy than meets the eye at first glance.https://moneycentral.com.ng/markets/article/10-benefits-of-the-dangote-refinery-to-nigerias-economy/
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emoneyrano:Private Placement buyers are required to hold for 1-year. So they cant exit until next year. |
The Dangote Refinery IPO has gotten off to a strong start as billions of naira has been poured into the offer in the first hour. This is according to Aigboje Aig-Imoukhuede, the Chairman of Access Holdings. Aig-Imoukhuede was speaking at the Dangote Refinery IPO, Facts behind the Offer presentation at the NGX. The ₦2.15 trillion ($1.5 billion) Initial Public Offering (IPO) of Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals FZE officially opened for public subscription today, September 14, 2026, across 32 SEC-approved receiving institutions, bank apps, and digital investment portals. The offer will remain open for four weeks, closing on October 13, 2026. Priced at ₦525.00 per ordinary share, the offering represents a primary float of 4.1 billion shares (3.41% public equity stake before green shoe options). https://moneycentral.com.ng/markets/article/subscribers-pour-billions-into-dangote-refinery-ipo-in-first-hour/ |
comfort91:Use any of the 40 channels listed below https://moneycentral.com.ng/featured/article/updated-full-list-40-approved-channels-to-buy-dangote-refinery-ipo/ |
Billionaire industrialist Aliko Dangote has confirmed that small retail investors will receive preferential equity allocation during the upcoming ₦2.15 trillion ($1.5 billion) Initial Public Offering (IPO) of Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals FZE. Speaking ahead of the September 14 book-building launch, Dangote stated that subscription orders from retail buyers purchasing entry blocks of ₦50,000 to ₦100,000 will be approved and fully allotted prior to institutional scaling. “Those small investors who want to buy with ₦50,000 or ₦100,000 will get approval first, then the rest will share,” Aliko Dangote, said in an interview with Abis Fulani. The promoter framed the public offering—priced at ₦525.00 per share with a minimum entry threshold of 10 shares (₦5,250)—as a wealth-creation vehicle for domestic retail investors. Dangote projected long-term upside toward a ₦10,000 per share valuation target, emphasizing that the complex’s dollar export revenue streams will support dual-currency (Naira or USD) dividend payout options to hedge investors against currency devaluation. “The share now is ₦525. This share will one day become ₦10,000. So, if you buy and it becomes ₦10,000, and you put in ₦5 million, it becomes ₦50 million plus. You have become rich, and there is no need to sell. You don’t have to fear devaluation. You can choose dividend in naira or in dollars,” Dangote said. Watch the interview below:
https://moneycentral.com.ng/markets/article/dangote-predicts-share-price-appreciation-to-%e2%82%a610000-ahead-of-landmark-%e2%82%a62-15-trillion-refinery-ipo/ |
Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals FZE generated $2.60 billion of EBITDA in the first half of 2026, delivering an 18.7% margin as the facility moved closer to full utilization and captured higher values from gasoline, diesel and jet fuel. The half-year performance is the clearest evidence yet of the earnings power behind the proposed “People’s IPO.” Renaissance Capital Africa estimates Dangote Refinery’s post-IPO equity value at $57.11 billion to $65.44 billion, equivalent to $0.46 to $0.53 a share, or about ₦608.20 to ₦696.94 a share on a post-offer, enlarged-share-count basis, positioning the high end fair value some 32% above the SEC-approved public offer price of ₦525.00 per share. The investment case rests on the refinery’s unusually high complexity, scale, low operating costs and ability to sell products domestically or abroad depending on where netbacks are strongest. It also depends on execution of a planned Phase 2 expansion that would double crude-processing capacity to 1.4 million barrels a day. Dangote Refinery reported revenue of $13.91 billion in the six months through June 2026, gross profit of $2.50 billion and net income of $1.82 billion. The refinery averaged 83.6% utilization over the period, climbing from about 45% in January to full crude-distillation-unit utilization by the second quarter, according to the Renaissance report. The $2.60 billion first-half EBITDA was almost five times the refinery’s $545.3 million EBITDA for the whole of 2025. The comparison reflects the rapid move from ramp-up operations toward steadier production after improvements to the Residual Fluid Catalytic Cracker, or RFCC, and a shift away from lower-value reduced crude oil output. Margin story The refinery’s gross refining margin (GRM) rose to $24.50 a barrel in H1 2026, compared with $13.70 a barrel in 2025 and $10.70 a barrel in 2024. In the first quarter alone, the margin reached $33.70 a barrel before easing in the second quarter as conflict-driven global crack spreads normalized. Renaissance estimates that the H1 average implies a second-quarter gross refining margin of around $18 a barrel, reflecting a sharp normalization from first-quarter highs. Its 2026 forecast nevertheless assumes a full-year GRM of $27.55 a barrel, implying a renewed strengthening to roughly $29 to $30 a barrel in the second half. The H1’26 EBITDA margin was 18.7%, according to the report. https://moneycentral.com.ng/markets/article/dangote-refinery-generated-2-6bn-ebitda-1-82bn-profit-in-h1-as-renaissance-sees-n696-as-fair-value/ |
EmmyXerxes:After the shares start to trade on NGX. |
Nigerian billionaire, Aliko Dangote is currently worth $35.5 billion on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (BBI), ranking him as the 64th richest person globally, with $18.6 billion of that fortune attributed to his 92.3% stake in the Dangote Petroleum Refinery — a figure Bloomberg still calculates using the plant’s roughly $20 billion construction cost rather than a market price.https://moneycentral.com.ng/markets/article/dangotes-wealth-set-to-jump-past-56-billion-into-worlds-top-40-on-ipo/
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...Amid Police Fraud Probe Kudiwave Technologies Ltd. is facing mounting questions over the ownership, control and beneficial use of a PalmPay account that police investigators allege received ₦750 million traced to a suspected digital-banking fraud. The dispute, which has prompted protests at PalmPay’s Lagos office and a series of court applications, is increasingly focused on a basic issue: who opened, controlled and was authorized to operate the Kudiwave account into which the disputed funds were transferred? The company (Kudiwave) has challenged the transfer of about ₦750.37 million from its PalmPay account into a designated Police Special Fraud Unit recovery account. But police investigators have found that that the funds were laundered through various accounts and banks in a spate of 24 hours, and ultimately ended up in the account of Kudiwave Technologies at PalmPay. The competing claims have not been finally determined by a court. The account-owner question According to sources familiar with the investigation, the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System Plc, (NIBSS) and the Police Special Fraud Unit (SFU) traced the allegedly fraudulent funds through a series of bank accounts before they reached a PalmPay account held in Kudiwave Technologies’ name. The money reportedly moved into the account in three transfers of approximately ₦250 million each, occurring on the same day and at nearly the same time. Banking sources say that, the pattern of transfers—large, rapid and closely timed incoming credits—is the kind of transaction sequence that would ordinarily draw scrutiny under anti-money-laundering, fraud-monitoring and suspicious-transaction frameworks. Police officers also visited the address supplied in the KYC documentation and could not locate the stated premises. Meanwhile people familiar with the investigation said a man who presented himself as Kudiwave’s company secretary at the SFU notified the police that the person who opened or signed for the account had travelled, meanwhile the purported account owner has not subsequently appeared before the SFU. The complex nature of the alleged crime explains why investigators may view the account’s ownership and control as a central issue rather than a technical dispute over a PalmPay debit. Court order, recovery account Public news reports indicate that the Police Special Fraud Unit obtained a Federal High Court order requiring PalmPay to disclose the account balance and transfer or recover the disputed money into a Nigeria Police Force Microfinance Bank exhibit or recovery account. On that account, the available evidence points toward a law-enforcement preservation mechanism rather than an independent claim by the Police Microfinance Bank to the money. The Police Microfinance Bank account was reportedly identified as an SFU exhibit account—a controlled account used to hold disputed money pending the outcome of investigation and court processes. That is materially different from a private beneficiary account or a commercial account controlled for ordinary banking transactions. This in essence means that the police cannot make the funds disappear as alleged, experts said. Based on that information, the Lagos Police Command and Police Microfinance Bank appear to have been involved in the recovery process in response to an SFU investigation and court directives. Their stated role was to preserve the funds and support the effort to identify the original source, trace the transaction chain and determine the lawful owner. PalmPay’s position PalmPay has become the visible target of the dispute because it held the Kudiwave account and implemented the restriction and reported transfer. But the company’s role must be assessed against the legal instructions it received. Public news reports say PalmPay was directed to freeze, disclose and transfer funds under a court order linked to the SFU investigation. Kudiwave has disputed the transaction and sought a reconciliation, including account activity, supporting instructions and details of the beneficiary account. That does not mean PalmPay is beyond scrutiny. Financial institutions must be able to show that they acted within the four corners of a valid order, maintained proper records, protected account-holder rights and responded correctly if a ruling was later varied, vacated or stayed. But the evidence currently described does not support a simple characterization of PalmPay as having unilaterally removed a customer’s money. The key question is whether the payment service provider acted in compliance with an SFU-led process and judicial orders. The Matter still before the courts The case has taken several procedural turns. First the SFU obtained an initial order allowing the funds to be recovered into its exhibit account. Kudiwave later challenged the order, arguing it had not been served with the underlying application, then a Federal High Court vacated the recovery order on service-related grounds. The Police appealed the decision and sought a stay of execution, meanwhile Kudiwave separately pursued a fundamental-rights action in Abuja. The Police have now filed criminal charges against persons they consider connected to the alleged fraud. These steps mean the case is ongoing and no final judicial ruling has been cited establishing that Kudiwave is innocent, that the funds belong to Kudiwave, or that police investigators, PalmPay or Police Microfinance Bank acted unlawfully. Legal experts said the correct forum for resolving those issues is the courts, supported by transaction data, KYC evidence, testimony from account signatories and the trace of the funds through the banking system. Why banks must act against suspected fraud Nigeria’s financial system has a strong public-interest reason to respond rapidly when fraud is suspected. Nigerian financial institutions lost an estimated ₦25.85 billion to electronic-payment fraud in 2025, while cumulative losses between 2020 and 2025 reached ₦134.48 billion, according to data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System Plc (NIBSS). The Kudiwave case highlights a difficult balance. Banks, fintech companies, NIBSS and law-enforcement agencies must act quickly enough to freeze and trace suspected criminal proceeds before money disappears through multiple accounts. At the same time, they must observe court procedures, retain a complete audit trail and give affected account holders a lawful route to challenge restrictions. If institutions wait until every ownership dispute is settled before freezing suspicious inflows, alleged fraud proceeds can be dispersed beyond recovery within hours. The protesters’ narrative focuses on a ₦750 million debit from a PalmPay account; however, the broader investigative record raises a more fundamental issue: who owned and controlled the Kudiwave account that received the allegedly fraud-linked funds, and who can establish a legitimate claim to the money? Legal experts say that until the named account opener, signatory and beneficial owner are identified and provide verifiable documentation, the ownership question will remain central. The available account of events suggests the SFU recovery mechanism and Police Microfinance Bank were seeking to preserve contested funds while investigators followed the fraud trail, not acting as private claimants to the money. The final answer will depend on evidence presented in court—not protests, social-media campaigns or competing public statements. https://moneycentral.com.ng/markets/article/kudiwaves-account-ownership-kyc-gaps-under-scrutiny-in-%e2%82%a6750m-recovery-issue-amid-police-fraud-probe/ |
iwaeda:Dangote Cement is worth N17.44 trillion as of today Friday September 4th, 2026. Its definitely not worthless |
Okjay:N525 https://moneycentral.com.ng/markets/article/dangote-refinery-ipo-to-open-at-%e2%82%a6500-%e2%82%a6595-per-share-aims-to-raise-1-55-billion/ |
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially granted regulatory approval for the Initial Public Offering (IPO) of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE. Communicated via formal clearance to lead issuing house Vetiva Advisory Services Limited, the authorization approves draft transaction documents and clears the pathway for the Completion Board Meeting and Signing Ceremony. The offering comprises 4.1 billion ordinary shares priced at ₦525.00 per share ($0.40), generating a gross capital raise of ₦2.15 trillion (~$1.50 billion) if fully subscribed. In parallel, the regulator registered the company’s 120.13 billion existing ordinary shares, establishing the legal base for post-listing equity trading on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX). The implied Market Capitalization for Dangote Refinery Reaches ₦63.07 Trillion based on the ₦525 Offer Price, according to MoneyCentral calculations. Key Market Takeaways Dominance on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX): At ₦63.07 trillion, the market value of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery alone will equal 39.12% of the entire current NGX market capitalization (₦161.20 trillion). Upon listing, the combined NGX equities market capitalization will expand to approximately ₦224.27 trillion or $162 billion. Impact on Global Indices: The public offering of 4.1 billion shares (~₦2.15 trillion / $1.67 billion) represents about a 3.41% public float (before the 15% green shoe option). This float size satisfies the minimum liquidity and free-float market cap requirements for weighting within the FTSE Russell Frontier Market Index following Nigeria’s September 21 readmission. This means a future rebalancing perhaps in 2027 could see Dangote Refinery admitted to FTSE Frontier index. https://moneycentral.com.ng/markets/article/dangote-refinery-implied-market-cap-reaches-%e2%82%a663-07-trillion-to-become-40-of-ngx-as-sec-clears-ipo/ |
FTSE Russell has confirmed the first formal list of Nigerian large-cap stocks eligible for its Frontier Index Series, with ten securities — spanning banking, telecoms, cement, and consumer goods — designated “Newly Eligible” in the index provider’s September 2026 annual review file, according to data reviewed by MoneyCentral Nigeria. The file, which FTSE Russell had flagged would begin publishing September 2 as part of Nigeria’s reclassification from Unclassified back to Frontier Market status, lists Guaranty Trust Holding Company, Zenith Bank, MTN Nigeria Communications, Dangote Cement, Stanbic IBTC Holdings, First HoldCo, Nestlé Nigeria, Nigerian Breweries, Presco, and Aradel Holdings as the ten Nigerian names cleared into the Large Cap tier. The reclassification itself takes effect at the market open on Monday, September 21, 2026, with the review file’s changes not considered final until close of business September 7. The Ten Newly Eligible Large Caps # Company Sector 1 Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO) Banking 2 Zenith Bank Banking 3 MTN Nigeria Communications Telecommunications 4 Dangote Cement Industrials / Cement 5 Stanbic IBTC Holdings Banking / Financial Services 6 First HoldCo (FBN Holdings) Banking 7 Nestlé Nigeria (Nestle Foods) Consumer Goods / FMCG 8 Nigerian Breweries Consumer Goods / Brewing 9 Presco Agriculture / Palm Oil 10 Aradel Holdings Oil & Gas (E&P) Source: FTSE Russell Banking dominates the list with four names — GTCO, Zenith Bank, Stanbic IBTC, and First HoldCo — reflecting both the sector’s scale on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) and its historically high free-float ratios, several of which sit above 50-80% of issued shares. MTN Nigeria’s inclusion confirms its position as the most closely watched non-bank candidate, while Dangote Cement’s presence is major for the industrial sector. Notable Absences and Second-Tier Placements Not every name landed in the Large Cap tier. Access Holdings and United Bank for Africa — both widely tipped alongside GTCO and Zenith as banking favorites — appear instead in the file’s Mid Cap Inclusions tab, alongside Fidelity Bank, FCMB Group, Guinness Nigeria, Oando, Okomu Oil Palm, Unilever Nigeria, Wema Bank, and Dangote Sugar Refinery. A further eleven Nigerian names — including Julius Berger, Nigerian Exchange Group itself, Transnational Corporation (Transcorp), United Capital, and NASCON — were newly designated eligible at the Small Cap level. Two names conspicuously do not appear anywhere in the file under Nigeria: BUA Cement and Seplat Energy. BUA Cement’s absence is consistent with its own free-float disclosures, which have run as low as roughly 1.5-2.3% of shares outstanding — well short of FTSE’s minimum float threshold. Seplat Energy’s absence is less easily explained by float or liquidity, given a free float above 30%; it may reflect the company’s dual-listed structure on the London Stock Exchange under a separate country classification rather than a Nigeria-specific eligibility judgment, though MoneyCentral has not independently confirmed that explanation. What Happens Next FTSE Russell’s own timetable treats the September 2 file as indicative rather than final: queries and revisions run through September 4, with changes locked in from close of business September 7. The underlying country reclassification — from Unclassified to Frontier Market status — takes effect separately at the market open on September 21, 2026, following FTSE Russell’s August 27 confirmation that Nigeria’s shift to T+1 settlement had not created material problems for international investors. Passive funds benchmarked to the FTSE Frontier Index Series would be expected to begin adjusting positions around the effective date, with the ten Large Cap names likely to draw the largest share of any resulting inflows given their combined weight in the index’s investable universe. https://moneycentral.com.ng/markets/article/ftse-russell-names-ten-nigerian-large-cap-stocks-in-frontier-index-return/ |
freeman500:Uber is shutting down to focus on driverless cars and robotaxis. Thats the future. Has nothing really to do with Nigeria. Also its an opportunity for Nigerian tech firms to build a mobility app. Maybe you can try your hands on it and be a problem solver not a complainer waiting for others. |
Nigeria’s economy grew at its fastest quarterly pace in five years, with real GDP expanding 4.43% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026.https://moneycentral.com.ng/markets/article/nigerias-economy-expands-17-in-dollar-terms-as-naira-rally-boosts-growth-story/
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SixSeven:Whats your point? |
commoditiesnig:Yes. Oil is rebounding but non oil is the major growth driver. |
DatNiggaDaz:You dont trust the data? |
Kukutente23:Yea we should be growing closer to 6% per annum. The potential is there |
Parachoko:Nigeria is gradually doing well again. Tinubu's reforms are on course. ![]() |
Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) shows Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 4.43% year-on-year (YoY) in real terms during Q2 2026. This represents a sequential acceleration from the 3.89% expansion recorded in Q1 2026 and an improvement over the 4.23% growth logged in Q2 2025. The economic expansion was supported by steady performance across both the oil (+7.30% YoY) and non-oil (+4.31% YoY) sectors. Although oil sector growth moderated relative to the high base effect of Q2 2025 (+20.5% YoY), non-oil performance gained momentum—anchored by services, agriculture, trade, ICT, and real estate. Sectoral Highlights & Economic Drivers Services Lead Contribution: The services sector expanded by 4.60% YoY (vs. 3.94% in Q2 2025), contributing 56.62% of real GDP. Key sub-sectors driving performance included telecommunications (ICT), financial institutions, and real estate. Agricultural Rebound: Agriculture output grew 4.39% YoY, significantly outperforming the 2.82% recorded in Q2 2025, driven by improved crop production performance during the early harvest season. Industrial Drag: The industrial sector expanded by 3.96% YoY, slowing from 7.46% in Q2 2025 due to elevated diesel costs and persistent manufacturing input price inflation earlier in the year. https://moneycentral.com.ng/exclusive/article/nigeria-q2-gdp-accelerates-to-4-4-driven-by-on-non-oil-and-upstream-gains/ |
IronGalaxy:This is not true. Nigeria had always been the largest MTN market for a while now. It however dipped between 2023 and 2024 due to the steep devaluation of the naira which when u converted to Rand or dollar made the revenue items small in those currencies. That Nigeria has bounced back so strongly in about 2 years despite Naira moving from N500 to N1,400 per dollar is a testament of the economic strength of the country and huge demographic advantages. In a sense South Africa is a mature market that has potential for very little growth. So while MTN Nigeria's revenue is growing 30+ percent and Ghana at 40+ percent, South Africa is growing at 1.5%. That's why Nigeria will reclaim its place as the biggest economy in Africa by far, by 2030 with a projected GDP of $600 billion. And you are wrong that it is not something to brag about, If you notice the only reason Trump is able to sanction Mexico and Canada is because they are so dependent on the USA. Just like MTN Group is dependent on Nigeria for growth. That being said, Nigeria should not make any move against MTN even if the PIC will feel the pain, because the company offers far more benefits to Nigeria's economy and enables so many sectors. It will also send a terrible message to other potential and actual investors in the country. Dont forget MTN came with the capital to invest in Nigeria when others refused to do so. There is the story of a prominent European Telco, Vodacom i believe whose CEO insulted Nigerians when Obasanjo was going cap in hand begging for investments. He later regretted it though. Nigeria and South Africa should come together and build greater economic links for the benefit of the continent, just as Aliko Dangote is doing with the Dangote Refinery in East Africa, Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania. The PIC is also a major investor in Dangote Cement and they will likely invest in the Dangote Refinery. South African youths can invest in MTN Group on the JSE , while Nigeria youth can buy MTN Nigeria on the NGX and its a win-win for both. |
Pan-African telecommunications leader MTN Group Ltd. released its H1 2026 financial results, with MTN Nigeria generating R35.33 billion in service revenue—accounting for 30.6% of total group service revenue and leading all operating units. Revenue from Nigeria was up 25.7% in constant currency. MTN Ghana revenue rose by 32.3% in constant currency to R22.12 billion, contributing 19.2% in service revenue, while MTN South Africa service revenues rose by 1.5% in constant currency to R21.93 billion, and contributed 19% to service revenue. Nigeria also led in terms of Group data revenues recording R20.23 billion Rand, up 38.2% in constant currency, Ghana data revenues came in at R12.996 billion, up 47.3% in constant currency and South Africa 10.9%, up 4 percent in constant currency terms. Service revenue from Nigeria grew 25.7% year-on-year in constant currency (CC), driven by surging data demand and subscriber expansion. Group-wide service revenue expanded 17.5% CC (9.7% reported) to R115.3 billion, underpinned by strong operational momentum in West Africa. This supported a 24.4% CC increase in pre-once-off EBITDA to R56.0 billion, widening the group EBITDA margin by 3.1 percentage points CC to 47.6%. In response to robust free cash flow generation and balance sheet strength, MTN announced the launch of an R6 billion (~31 million shares) share buyback program under its Ambition 2030 capital allocation framework. Data and Fintech Expansion Data Dominance: Group active data users grew 9.1% to 179.3 million, lifting overall network traffic by 22.8% to 14.3 petabytes. Nigeria led data revenue generation across the group at R20.23 billion (+38.2% CC), followed by Ghana (R13.00 billion, +47.3% CC) and South Africa (R10.90 billion, +4.0% CC). Fintech Scaling: Monthly active Mobile Money (MoMo) users reached 70.8 million (+12.1%), processing 13.0 billion transactions (+17.2%) with total transaction value rising 33.8% CC to $330.5 billion. Strategic Execution: MTN reaffirmed progress on its planned $6.2 billion acquisition of IHS Holdings, including regulatory compliance steps to execute a 30% local equity sell-down of IHS Nigeria. The transaction is expected to close in H2 2026. MTN Group President and CEO Ralph Mupita said: “MTN delivered a strong consolidated first-half performance in 2026, with growth in our subscriber base accelerating in Q2 2026. We combined double-digit service revenue growth with pleasing EBITDA margins, robust FCF generation and a resilient balance sheet. This performance reflects disciplined execution, the quality of our diversified portfolio and sustained investment in our networks, platforms and customer experience. Importantly, we advanced a number of strategic initiatives, including the fintech separations and the IHS transaction, while launching Ambition 2030 to guide the next phase of MTN’s growth and value creation.” https://moneycentral.com.ng/exclusive/article/mtn-group-h1-2026-nigeria-contributes-30-6-and-solidifies-position-as-group-growth-engine/
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Campaigning for Nigeria’s January election is officially underway, with voters in Africa’s largest democracy offered the same slate of candidates as three years ago — and many of the same challenges. President Bola Tinubu is widely tipped to win a second term, despite public anger over the high cost of living on his watch. He’ll again face Peter Obi of the Nigeria Democratic Congress and former Vice President Atiku Abubakar of the African Democratic Congress. The 2023 election was the tightest since the West African oil giant returned to multiparty rule at the turn of the century, with Tinubu scraping over the line in a three-way race. Abubakar’s bid to avoid a replay by unifying the opposition collapsed several months ago, boosting the president’s chances. “The election result may not be done deal, but President Tinubu is in pole position,” said Matthew Page, associate fellow at Chatham House, a London-based think-tank. Tinubu, he said, has strengthened the ruling party’s hold over every level of government and kept its vast patronage networks well-lubricated, which “suggests that Tinubu and his party will triumph in a low-turnout election, just like they did in 2023.” The issues likely to sway voters boil down to three key themes: insecurity, electricity and the high cost of living. Tinubu ended costly fuel subsidies, overhauled the tax code and ended the naira’s fixed peg against the dollar. That improved public finances and lifted investor confidence. But it also triggered surging inflation that hammered ordinary Nigerians. Abubakar has previously campaigned on selling state assets like Nigeria’s moribund refineries, restructuring the country to ensure greater independence for its states, and whittling down government involvement in running the economy. The energy of the so-called Obidient Movement may have waned, but Obi’s campaign is likely to be boosted by his running mate Rabiu Kwankwaso, a popular politician from Kano state. Kwankwaso polled 1.5 million votes in 2023 and may aid Obi’s lack of support in vote-heavy northern Nigeria. Obi has previously spoken about boosting production, cutting waste in governance and rooting out endemic graft. https://moneycentral.com.ng/news-for-you/article/nigeria-presidential-election-campaigns-begin-with-tinubu-as-clear-favorite/ |
MCentral:OPAY has surged past Sterling Bank in the top 10 banks by profit in Nigeria. They could be coming for the likes of FCMB and Fidelity Bank next. |
…OPay’s Growth Sharpens Questions Over Access Capital Allocation as Valuation Lags Access Holdings Plc’s expansion across Africa and beyond is facing question marks from investors as the lender’s asset growth and cross-border ambitions have yet to translate into a valuation comparable with faster-growing digital-finance rivals such as OPay Ltd. Access Bank Chief Executive Officer Roosevelt Ogbonna said in July 2024 that the group had invested about $1.2 billion in its African and international banking subsidiaries. The spending was part of a broader strategy to build a continent-wide bank, with the lender targeting trade, payments and corporate-banking flows across African markets and beyond. Access rapid push abroad, led to the snapping up of assets from Standard Chartered Plc, Atlas Mara Ltd., and KCB Group Plc, among others, to counter naira weakness and non-performing loans. The question now is whether the investment has spread Access too thin just as fintechs have intensified their hold on Nigeria’s mass-market payments, transfers, merchant acquisition and consumer-finance businesses. “We are chasing the money,” Ogbonna said during Access Holdings’ rights-issue presentation at the Nigerian Exchange in 2024, describing southern and eastern Africa as more profitable banking markets than parts of West Africa. He said Access had shifted from an investment phase into a period of consolidation after years of acquisitions, expansion and technology spending. Scale vs. Market Value Access remains Nigeria’s largest bank by assets, but the market is placing a far lower value on the group than on OPay’s prospective $4 billion IPO valuation. At ₦1.46 trillion, Access’s market capitalization is roughly one-quarter of OPay’s proposed valuation. That disparity does not make the two businesses directly comparable. Banks carry far larger balance sheets, tighter regulation, credit risk and capital requirements, while fintech valuations are often driven by growth expectations, customer acquisition and payment volumes. Still, the contrast reinforces investor concern that Access’s rapid asset expansion has not yet produced sufficiently strong returns on shareholder capital. Moreover OPAY is just 8 years old in Nigeria and its growth has coincided with the period that Access went chasing the elusive Golden goose overseas. OPay’s Growth Spurt OPay reported 2025 revenue of $536.25 million, up 161% from a year earlier, and net income of $72.47 million (₦101.45 billion) compared with a $50.98 million loss in 2024, according to the latest figures seen by MoneyCentral ahead of its IPO. Opay’s 2025 profit was larger than that of Sterling Bank which reported Profit after tax of ₦76.3 billion in 2025. Gross transaction value rose 115% to $358 billion, lending increased 285% to $938.3 million, and monthly active users grew 57% to 39.3 million. The numbers highlight how fintech platforms are monetizing the retail market through high-frequency transactions, merchant payments, wallet balances, credit and digital distribution. For Access, which acquired Diamond Bank in 2019 in a transaction that significantly expanded its Nigerian retail footprint, OPay’s scale raises questions about whether the group is extracting enough value from its domestic customer base. Access has argued that its strategy is not centered only on Nigeria. Ogbonna said the lender had built a presence in 15 African countries, alongside operations in the UK, France and the UAE, and was pursuing a globally connected African banking platform. He said the bank had about 60 million customers, making it one of Africa’s largest retail banking franchises by customer count. Access Returns Under Pressure Access Holdings reported full-year 2025 profit after tax of ₦743 billion, a 15.6% increase from ₦642 billion a year earlier. Interest income rose 5.4% to ₦3.27 trillion, while net fee income gained 40.9% to ₦585 billion. The headline profit growth masked balance-sheet pressure. Loan impairment charges increased 209% to ₦287.3 billion, while impairment on other financial assets climbed 463% to ₦258.8 billion. Total comprehensive income fell to ₦459 billion from ₦1.01 trillion, weighed down by a ₦272 billion foreign-currency translation loss and a ₦137 billion fair-value loss on debt securities. Access’s 0.37-times book-value valuation is the clearest market signal of investor caution. Such a discount can reflect concern about future earnings quality, rising credit costs, capital demands, exposure to foreign-currency volatility and uncertainty over whether overseas expansion will deliver returns above the group’s cost of equity. Capital Allocation Debate Aigboje Aig-Imoukhuede, Access Holdings’ chairman, told investors during the 2024 rights-issue event that companies eventually need to consolidate and “sweat the assets” they have built. That challenge has become more urgent as the group balances regulatory capital needs with shareholder demands for better returns. Access’s expansion has increased its geographic reach, diversification and potential access to higher-growth African markets. But it has also required substantial capital, added regulatory complexity and exposed the group to currency translation effects, varying credit cycles and execution risks across multiple jurisdictions. It has also led to delays in filing quarterly financial results leading to the inability of investors to get a timely snapshot of its operations and leading to a sense of opacity and lack of clarity about its earnings outlook. The central issue is not whether Access should have built an African or international platform, as its cross-border franchise provides strategic value in trade finance, remittances, corporate banking and regional payments. The issue is whether the group can now convert scale into stronger returns on assets and equity, while defending Nigeria’s retail-banking franchise against digitally native competitors. Opay as the New Bride as old Banking Assumptions Fall Apart Opay has become the new banking bride as investors including established banks seek a piece of the fast growing fintech ahead of its IPO. Standard Bank Group Ltd., Africa’s largest lender by assets and parent company of Stanbic IBTC Holdings Plc, is in early-stage negotiations to acquire a equity stake in Nigeria-focused digital payments platform OPay Digital Services Ltd. The strategic transaction comes as OPay prepares for a New York initial public offering (IPO) that could value the fintech firm at $4.0 billion—double the $2.0 billion valuation achieved during its Series C funding round in 2021. OPay has retained Citigroup Inc., Deutsche Bank AG, and JPMorgan Chase & Co. as lead underwriters for the planned US listing. Nigerian lenders like Access Bank and Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO) pushed to transform into a Holding Company (HoldCo) model thinking that growth will come from varied non-bank subsidiaries such as Pensions, Asset management and Payments. So far the lesson has however been that core retail banking and using technology to crack consumer lending like the fintech’s (Opay, Moniepoint) have done has been far more of a growth driver. What Investors Will Watch The next phase for Access is less about acquiring new assets and more about proving it can extract higher returns from the ones it already controls. OPay’s rapid move from loss to profitability shows the value investors place on scalable retail payments and digital distribution. For Access, the challenge is to turn its larger customer base, banking license, deposit franchise and regional network into a similarly compelling shareholder proposition. https://moneycentral.com.ng/exclusive/article/access-banks-1-2-billion-international-expansion-faces-scrutiny-as-opay-gains-ground-in-nigeria/
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Zenith Bank led Nigeria’s banking industry in 2025 profit after tax, becoming the first lender to exceed the ₦1 trillion mark. GTCO and Access Holdings followed, while OPay’s return to profitability placed the fintech ahead of Sterling Financial Holdings and Jaiz Bank. Key takeaways Zenith’s ₦1.04 trillion PAT establishes a new profitability benchmark for Nigerian banks, putting it about ₦174 billion ahead of GTCO and roughly ₦297 billion ahead of Access. The top three—Zenith, GTCO and Access—generated a combined ₦2.65 trillion, representing about 62% of profit among the top 10 conventional banks in the comparison. OPay swung to profit from a $50.98 million loss in 2024, reporting $72.47 million in 2025 as revenue jumped 161% to $536.25 million. Wema’s ₦194.4 billion profit underscores the growing earnings capacity of digital-led tier-two lenders. First HoldCo’s ₦45 billion figure appears materially lower than its tier-one peers and is as a result of the kitchen sink year it had in 2025, when it took billions in provisions for bad loans. Profit has rebounded to ₦526.1 billion as at Half-Year, 2026. Profit After Tax for the twelve (12) banks hit a whooping ₦4.3 trillion. https://moneycentral.com.ng/markets/article/nigerias-top-banks-by-2025-profit-zenith-breaks-%e2%82%a61-trillion-as-opay-pulls-ahead-of-sterling/ |
Access Holdings, a tier-one Nigerian lender closed trading in the first week of January 2024 at around N26.55 per share. On August 12, 2026 the stock traded at N27.40 a share, meaning it has gone nowhere over the past two and a half years. To make matters worse for investors, Access Holdings has not paid a dividend since the 2024 fiscal year. It was not supposed to be like this for what has become Nigeria’s largest bank by assets but its smallest by market capitalization among the top-5 FUGAZ or tier one banks. Access Holdings N1.49 trillion market capitalization, compares to United Bank for Africa (UBAs) at N2 trillion, Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO) at N4.697 trillion, Zenith Bank at N5.126 trillion and FirstHoldCo at N6.36 trillion. FirstHoldCo, Nigeria’s largest bank by market capitalization now dwarfs Access Holdings, and is now more than four-times larger by market capitalization. Access Holdings meanwhile has an asset base of N53.4 trillion, compared to N30.6 trillion for FirstHoldCo, N32 trillion for Zenith Bank, N33.13 trillion for UBA and N18.74 trillion for GTCO. Access Holdings Valuation shows investor skepticism Access Holdings currently trades at a Price to Book ratio of 0.37 times. In essence investors are not willing to pay for the value of net assets on its book. This may indicate that investors expect low profitability, fear hidden bad loans, or distrust the accuracy of the bank’s balance sheet. Analysts say Access Bank, the Holding Company’s Bank subsidiary is exposed to cross border execution risk for its numerous acquisitions in Africa and beyond as it sought to strengthen its franchise with geographic diversification, over the past 5 years. Access led Nigeria’s post-2016 recession push abroad, snapping up assets from Standard Chartered Plc, Atlas Mara Ltd., and KCB Group Plc,, among others to counter naira weakness and non-performing loans. It is trying to integrate holdings in what it calls a “consolidation phase.” “Access Bank has a record of integrating domestic acquisitions, but the large number of cross border acquisitions creates execution risks and may pressure financial metrics,” said Fitch Ratings. Regulatory action Hits Access Hard, From Selling Stakes to Potential Huge Capital Raises Access Holdings Plc plans to sell down equity in select overseas subsidiaries to meet new Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) rules capping foreign investments at 10% of shareholders’ funds, Access Bank CEO Roosevelt Ogbonna said on a recent investor call. The lender, with banking operations in 24 countries, currently holds 19.4% in foreign units—exceeding the limit. “We’re looking at divestments” but will retain control and strong value creation, Ogbonna said on May 2026, with a 12-month compliance window. More damaging for Access is the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) proposed regulatory overhaul for financial holding companies, which could trigger a massive ₦971.8 billion ($704 million) equity capital raising round for the country’s top banking groups. Access Holdings faces the steepest hurdle by far among the tier-one banks, and may be required to raise ₦656.04 billion, according to a July 16, research report published by Renaissance Capital Africa. “This massive requirement, representing 48.9% of its market capitalization, reflects Access’s aggressive, asset-heavy pan-African and international expansion,” Renaissance Capital Africa said. Access Holding Balance Sheet Clean-up Still Unfolding Access Holdings Plc reported full-year 2025 profit growth of 15.6% even as bad-loan impairments more than doubled and total comprehensive income plunged 58%, prompting the group to skip its dividend payout. Profit after tax climbed to ₦743 billion from ₦642 billion, supported by interest income of ₦3.27 trillion (up 5.4%) and net fee gains of ₦585 billion (up 40.9%). Impairment charges on financial assets ballooned 113% to ₦523.55 billion from ₦245 billion, slashing net interest income after provisions by 18.4% to ₦833 billion. Impairment charge for impairment on loans and advance to customers jumped 209% to ₦287.3 billion, while Impairment charge on impairment on financial assets in other assets rose by 463% to ₦258.8 billion. Total comprehensive income cratered to ₦459 billion from ₦1.01 trillion, dragged by a ₦272 billion foreign-currency translation loss and ₦137 billion fair-value hit on debt securities. In the first quarter (Q1) of 2026, Access Holdings Plc’s profit after tax rose 18.5% to ₦216.53 billion from ₦182.75 billion, tempered by soaring bad-loan charges amid Nigeria’s lending pressures. A 239% surge in net impairment charges on financial assets (from ₦21.77 billion to ₦73.8 billion) absorbed a significant portion of the operating revenue. Specific provisions on loans and advances to customers rose by 116% to ₦23.3 billion. Any Hope for Access Holdings Paying Dividends in 2026? At a fact behind the Rights Issue Presentation in July 2024, on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) where Access is listed, Roosevelt Ogbonna, CEO of Access Holdings banking unit told investors that Access was close to finishing its growth and investment phase and by the first quarter (Q1) 2025, it will be consolidating for the future and there will be more dividend payout for shareholders. Ogbonna outlined plans for expansion into new markets such as Morocco, Egypt and the US as part of a strategy to double the share of assets outside its home market by 2027 and rank among Africa’s five biggest banks. “We are very selective about the markets we are going to, and we are chasing the money. We are focused on where the money is. If you split the African continent from an economic power and banking profit basis, it’s in Southern Africa, followed by East Africa, then North Africa, West Africa, then Central Africa,” Ogbonna said. Those plans now look like pipe-dreams with hindsight given the CBN’s crackdown on Nigerian Banks overzealous expansion overseas. Access Bank Plc recently offloaded a 25% plus one-share stake in its South African subsidiary to a Black Economic Empowerment (B-BBEE) consortium, complying with local ownership mandates. The new CBN’s rules capping Nigerian Banks foreign investments at 10% of shareholders’ funds, would also mean overseas retrenchment for Access Holdings and not expansion. At the facts behind the Rights Issue Presentation in 2024, many shareholders asked the Access Holdings Directors about the need for the share price to keep growing, and to maintain and increase dividend payments. “The earnings forecast for Access Holdings is about N17 a share annually. This is not a bank that needs further re-investment to make that money, so its not going to be seeking additional capital that will dilute those earnings. We did a rights issue because it will be sad if our shareholders have gotten us so far, stayed with us through the thick and thin, through the times of investing, blood, sweat and tears, and then this money-making machine is about to start dropping money and then you are not a part of it. Don’t make that mistake,” Aigboje Aig Imoukhuede, the Chairman of Access Holdings Plc , said at the event. The investors and shareholders that listened to Mr. Aig Imoukhuede then, are still waiting for the Access money-making machine to reward their long-suffering, some 2 plus years later. https://moneycentral.com.ng/exclusive/article/largest-assets-lowest-valuation-access-holdings-long-suffering-shareholders-seek-turnaround-in-2026/ |


