₦airaland Forum

Obi never mentioned CBN policy. Stop telling lies. He ask for votes, most especially.

Zico5:
We need to ground this country. No money, no fuel, how do these fools expect common man to survive. He no go better for them o

We are not grounding anything. Na today Buhari enter office? Tinubu's boy should go & hide their face. Nicompos.

ycat:
You must be high on cheap drug this early.

Where do you see me asking for help from other regions?

Why do you find Yoruba's existence a threat?

So, in a simple sentence what do U want us to do with Information U posted?

Rubbish. When other regions are having problems your Tinubu will never try to help. Now things are going bad he is calling on everybody. Yeye old man.

tolue42:
Politicians own those banks you know ??

Abeg go tell market woman say U wan make she vote for ur party after that U go do transfer for am. Shay U they wine us, after ur party win U go say, network dey fail.

Apart from the implications that it comes with in court, people will not want to here transfer. "Baba give me money for hand, I vote ur party finish". Who one hear say network nor they again to do transfer? Who be mumu?

lOXOl:
Not Nigeria content

Blood Sisters, Man of God, Anikulapo and Shanty Town are produced & distributed by Netflix.

lOXOl:
Netflix don't produce only distribute

Wrong, Netflix produce movies. Anikulapo and Shanty Town were produced by Netflix. That's why it's called Netflix Original.

garfield1:
Like I said,he doesnt need to win the north.if he gets 3 mil in sw and atiku gets 1 mil and he gets 6 million in north while atiku gets 6.5 mil,he wins

Keep deceiving urself, Tinubu share equal vote with Atiku and Kwankwaso gets zero vote.

garfield1:
They voted buhari not because he I their brother but because they see him as simple minded,radical,fanatic Muslim,incorrupt,lover of the talakawas.atiku doesnt have those qualities so they dont like him.kwankwaso has those qualities but he is weak so they are confused.they will divide their votes along the three parties equally. Tinubu will win the north narrowly or lose narrowly.once he gets 35%,it is enough.he doesbt need to win the north but stayvclose to atiku.but he will defeat atiku in north central

Good now you are talking. But the problem is this. If he doesn't win the North he will not win the general election.

garfield1:
The failure of his patty doesnt really matter to many.in se,ss he will match atiku.
As a Yoruba,he will get 4 mil from south west,3.5 mil from non buharists up north.when Buhari order his followers to vote him,at least 2.5 million will vote him plus 1 million from new PVC holders and a possible 1 mil from se/ss

Understand something clearly. If Tinubu was from the North the North will vote for out of sentiment and ethnicity. Now that he is not from North they will vote based on character. If you like continue to deceive yourself. February go tell you.

garfield1:
Kwankwaso and atiku will share 5 mil.the north divide equally among the three.they like tinubu.buhari had 9 mil from north,tinubu can get 6 mil

Northerners see Buhari as their brother, they don't see him as an upright man who is a strong Muslim. Oga Tinubu doesn't have that grace. If Tinubu was from North I will give it to him.

Look, the Northerners are politically very smart, they are not as $tupid as you think. With Kwankwaso and Atiku on that ballot, bro it be difficult.

Kyase:
This is bullshit
You guys will seat down in the south and start typing rubbish
You mean OBi will get more votes than Atiku?
Are you serious rn or what

Tinubu is getting nothing less than 17 million votes
Atiku will get nothing less than 12 million votes
Obi will be below 8 million votes

You are manufacturing numbers. Like you said, you seat in your house and you manufacture numbers.

garfield1:
Why wouldn't he get it

You started by cutting Buhari's vote into 2 equal halfs which is 7.5 million for Tinubu, then from the balance 7.5 million you allocated another 2.5 million to Tinubu. This means the balance of the North vite
which remaining 4.5 million will be shared between Kwankwaso and Atiku will share only 4.5 million.

The North must really LOVE Tinubu...

garfield1:
Oga,I said tinubu will get 7.5 million nationally from what buhari got,an additional 2.5 million from fore buharists nationally and 1 million from new voters nationally and 1 mil additionally from sw.

I said atiku will get 5 mil nationally,2.5 mil nationally from buhari votes and1 mil from new voters nationally.read and stop talking nonsense

Then your calculations is a mess. How will he get 7.5 million nationally. You are manufacturing figures that don't exist.

garfield1:
You are not getting it.i am approximating.it doesnt mean it will fall exactly like my figures.obi cannot win because he will lose scandalously in ne/nw

If you want to predict use the right numbers. APC never got 7.5 million votes from SS, SE, SW and NC. It's 5.6 million. Also Atiku got on 7 million from SE, SS, SW and NC.

Oga talk with facts stop cutting corners to favour your candidate.

Chuksaluta:
Your analysis are logical. Can you use paragraphs to make it more readable.

I predict LP 11m, Pdp 9.3m, APC 9.2m, NNPP 3.9m
A rerun is possible

He missed something, Buhari got less than 6 million votes from SS, SE, SW and NC. I think about 5.6 million when I calculated it.

Shocking part is that Atiku got less than 4 million from NE and NW. 7 million from SS, SE, SW and NC went to Atiku.

garfield1:
Buhari recorded an average of 15 million votes between 2015 and 2019 while pdp recorded an average of 11.5 million in the same period.half of those buhari votes are from his northern fanatics who won't vote tinubu and may not scatter their votes between tinubu,atiku and kwankwaso.it means tinubu has about 7.5 million available votes in default and if those buharists share votes equally,tinubu will inherit a further 2.5 million which is one third of buhari votes.with tinubu being the only Yoruba on the ballot,his votes will slightly increase by a million meaning tinubu should score at least 11 mil.


Out of the 11.5 million atiku polled in 2019,6 million were from the south and they are almost gone with obi or tinubu.half of his northern Christian votes are gone which means he has 5 mil votes standing.a quarter of buharists voting him will push him to 7.5 million plus 1 mil new voters up north which puts his total at 8.5 mil.


Obi has 6 million out of the 11 million votes atiku had.out of the 9.5 million new voters,5 million should vote and 60% will go to obi which is about 3mil. plus 1 million new voters from ss/se/nc totalling 10 mil votes for obi.


With one million new pvc card holders voting tinubu,atiku and 500k voting kwankwaso,tinubu will now have 12 million,obi 10 mil and atiku 8.5 million.



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SORRY YOU ARE WRONG. NC, SS, SW and SE gave Buhari only 5.6 million votes. Pick a calculator and seat down and calculate it. I have done that already. Obi is going to win the next election. Tinubu has a lot oc work to do up North.

Again SS, SE, NC and SW gave Atiku 7 million votes.

Please calculate it yourself. NE and NW gave Atiku about 4 million. Go and check it.

Ttalk:
If personality doesn't matter according to you, how come David Lion was able to penetrate Bayelsa electorate who are PDP?

In the South South and South East, a good performing politician naturally can't influence the people's votes. Akpabio a good man couldn't win Udom, Oshiomole a good man couldn't win Obaseki, Igbinedion a strong politician couldn't win Oshiomole, Ogboru couldn't beat Udugahn. That's how politics in South South works. Listen Lyon supporters will not vote Tinubu because of Lyon. Understand that logic, maybe when APC understand that politics they will be able to win one state in SS or SE. If they don't learn that they will keep failing.

This one is talking nonsense. Only the best of us can represent the rest of us. To OBIdients Obi is the best.

favor914:
Tinubu will defeat Atiku in the North, same way Abiola destroyed Alhaji Tofa, even in his home state of Kano.

Most Northerners know that @ 76, Abubakar Atiku is a one term President, back door for Igbo people to enter power through Okowa.

No Yar’Adua Jonathan part 2 will happen, Muslim Muslim agenda is the acceptable ticket of Northern Nigeria.

Just remember you were given constructive notice in advance.

If you think Tinubu will win North, then just tell me that Atiku will win SW. February 25th U will understand.

Ttalk:
How did David Lion made Bayelsa to vote him as APC candidate?

Because David Lyon is supporting Tinubu you think he has the might to dictate to others. I don't know how SW plays politics o. But your politics is different from the politics in SS and SE that's why APC still can't win any SS or SE state on election day.

Almaigaa:
Apart from IPOB terrorist members, real Igbo won't vote Peter Obi. They don't like him.

It doesn't make sense to say Atiku will win SW. That's how it sounds in other regions. Tinubu can't win Atiku any state in North East and North West. Also, Atiku or Tinubu can never win Peter Obi in South East and South South. Anybody telling you otherwise is only confused. Just as nobody can win Tinubu is South West, so no one can win Peter Obi or Atiku in their region. Start making ur political calculations from there.

Moh247:



My hypothesis


SouthWest has highest number of PVC, standing at 19%

SouthSouth has 15%

SouthEast has 12%

Premesis for my permutations

SouthEast has 2 APC state that can deliver 25%

SouthSouth has Delta with a Deputy Senator, James Ibori, Ayiri Emami that can deliver 25%, Edo north has Oshiomole, Akwa Ibom has Akpabio, Cross Rivers is an APC State


.

I don't understand how you guys calculate. Are you calculating their weight or what? How can Ayiri in my state secure 25% vote for Tinubu in Delta? I don't understand o. You guys are holding on to impossible things. Just say Tinubu will get 25%, but adding Ayiri as the person that will give Tinubu 25% is impossible.

ElSudani:
What this shows is that Obi is not prepared for the job he is seeking. If your friend wants to look for a job like Obi is doing he cannot say my resume is in my head just take my word for it.
Would you hire such a candidate in your company?

Your candidate didn't even come for the interview.

Almaigaa:
Even Igbo in the East won't vote him, except some few IPOB Bandits members.

Let’s bet to it?

Onovo3:
hahahaha ! Obi win South South ? Big Joke !

Should we bet on it?

Peter Obi will win all South South and South East states. Forget it.

Correct Ghana is back.

Korea don vex. 2-2 Ghana what's happening now?

Metropelly1:
Check those Atiku choose, he balanced all, Religion, ethnic, name it. That man is the real Unifier. This is the man we need. Let leave distraction, let vote PDP and let kick out the virus in the system.

He is taking advantage of SS and SE. That can't fly because the SS and SE can never reason with you when they have Peter Obi as an option.

I am going to talk about how the 3 major candidates can fail the next year's general election.

From what I observed, failing the next year's election is very easy and is likely for even the two major parties, APC and PDP.

First, if Atiku wins the North East and North West he can still fail the next year's election if he doesn't secure at least 70% of the total South South and South East vote. Anything lower than that, Atiku should prepare to visit Dubai. He has failed.

My respected elder, Tinubu, the Jagaban will fail the election if he wins the South West but fails to secure 70% from North East and North West. It will be a regional vote but will not amount to any win for him.

As for the new "kid" in the game, very young but dangerous. If Obi wins the South East and South South with at least 70% he is already on his way to Aso Rock. But his win will be sure if he gets 50% from the North Central. He can only be beating by Atiku if Atiku gets 80% of the Northern votes. And, he will be blocking Atiku from winning if Tinubu wins at least 70% from the North.

Let’s summarize this quickly.

Atiku must get 70% for SS and SE, 70% from NE and NW to win the 2023 general election. Anything less than this is a win to Tinubu or Obi.

Tinubu must get 70% from SW, 10% from SE, 30% from SS, 60% from NE and NW, then at least 20% from NC. Anything lower than this is a fail already and a win to Atiku or Obi.

Peter Obi must get 70% from SS, 70% from SE, 30% from SW, 50% from NC and 10% from NE and NW. Anything less than this will likely favour Tinubu if Tinubu wins NE, NW and SW.