₦airaland Forum

That number of votes for APC in delta state doesnt sound brutal to me at all

globemoney:
PDP zombies are already everywhere complaining rigging

How is the voting in Anambra

Do you agree?

zeuss:
Does that include. Shi'ite, kwankwasiya fanatics, aboki victims of herdsmen terrorist as buhaei stood alof and the masaes of who hunger has reset their zombieism who all voted Buhari in 2015 but have now sworn to send him back to daura. By voting the highly Islamic Atiku

When result show tommorow you will know who it includes

Kaduna, Kano and Katsina set to sink PDP as in 2015.

APCsupporter:
inyamurai dai akwai su da san yaudaran kansu. Arewa ta Buhari ce.

Kwarai da gaskiya

Clerverly:
Yesterday you were from Mubi, last week you were from Gombe, today you live in Kano...

Continue deluding yourself, you will be alright on Monday.

Dont mind that guy, he is Chinonso, typing from Aguluzigbo in Aniocha LGA of Anambra state

BabangidaHamza:
Makaryaci Spotted ta ina ka zama Dan Kano?

Ka mantar da muna pukin, shi inyamiri ne

agabusta:
I am being sincere. Forget governors. I'm talking about real life survey. Between 2015 and now, Buhari has lost a lot of SW supporters. In my office in 2015, there was no controversy about Buhari's victory. But now, its 50/50.

So he lost the support to Atiku? What statistical evidence suggests he has lost support. APC has won 3 elections in the SW since 2015 so what are you talking about

agabusta:
The PDP has really gained inroads to the SW stronghold of the APC. I will give Buhari just 53% of the SW and PDP 47%.

Inroads Gained in roads in which SW state? In 2015 PDP has 2 governors, now they have lost both to APC, and you said they gained inroads? No be only inroad na outroad?

Clerverly:
Where will you get 8.5 Million from the two Zones?

South East 2.5 Million Votes Highest.

South South 4 Million Votes Highest..

APC will get more than 2.5 Million Votes from the two Zones.

Akwaibom 500K
Rivers. 500K
Imo. 350K
Edo. 300K
Delta. 500K
Ebonyi. 150K
Enugu. 80K
Bayelsa. 100K
Anambra. 150K
Cross River. 150K
Abia. 150K

Dont mind senatordave1, he keep overestimating PDP, i have told him that SE, aint producing anything above 2.5m votes, he thought i was joking. Him eye go clear on Saturday.

zizi4real:
you are funny bros �����lol

Na true na most of these likes you see here dont have PVC, most of them are living in Europe, America Canada and other African and Asian countries. I took my time to take a survey accross the country and to my surprise I discovered that the mood online is very different from what is online.

kenodrill:
You just said it all..in live in port Harcourt I can tell you I was at inec office on three different occasions to collect my PVC all to no avail.the inec personnels will be acting like one stupid mini god.make them choup the pvc na

And you follow people clicking likes and share for Atiku here. SMH

fergie001:
Not true,Ogun is for APC and is expected to create the biggest marginal difference for the SW. That is the home state of the present VP. It is easier for Atiku to win Osun or Ondo than win Ogun state. Osun and Ondo will give Atiku some marginal in-routes though but don't see him winning any SW states,I jthink he knows that and will want to fight for 40-45% from the region........

Kogi is very tentative especially with the Igalas and Okuns not likely to vote him because of the stupid boy there as Gov.

Sowore will only help divide Ondo very very well.....
The SW will have to be careful because Muoghalu, Sowore Fela and Olawepo are known here in Lagos and SW states than in the East or North......

All in all....no permutation or combination can work now,its gonna be tough for both sides and they realise that.....

But the PDP strategy is simple,decimate Buhari's NW votes by 40% if possible why not win Sokoto and maybe Jigawa...reduce Kaduna, Kano and Katsina by whatever you can.....win 4 of the 6 NC states (bar Niger,which APC will win)....then give it a shot.......Of course the ruling party have their own machinations as well which is using the getting more than 30% of the NE and SE/SS.....then win above 70% in the NW and SW........

Time shall tell...

30% of NE? Seriously Atiku will be very lucky to get 30% from Northeast. PMB will defeat Atiku in Yobe, Bornu and Bauchi with a landslide. He will win very Gombe comfortably, then Share Adamawa, then might marginally lose Taraba. I just think what you put there in bolded is just a typo

raumdeuter:
I think SE will still have up to 3-4M turnout

Its the SS that will have a serious reduction in turnout. Unlike 2015 when a SS man was on the ticket this time, no incentive for massive turnout

And Unlike in 2015, People like Akpabio and other SS governors were fiercely for Jonathan, Now they are lukewarm and more concerned about their own local election

I expect the SS turnout to be about half of 2015 and Buhari to pick lots of vote there. I am actually expecting Buhari to win Edo marginally

I am looking for Atiku supporters who will be bold enough to stake money on him winning

3 to 4 million from where?.

3 million means and average of 600k votes.
3.5 million is an average of 700k.
4 million is an average of 800k votes.

Ebonyi will not generate more than 300k, take it to the bank. That leaves us with 900k average for each of the rest, if we are are looking at 4 million overall turn out.

I dont see that happening, i can bet anything on it. IT WILL NEVER HAPPEN.

Again bookmark this page. Southeast will north generate more 2.5 million votes.

raumdeuter:
Out of those 7M collected only about 4million will vote

Atiku will get about 3M and Buhari like 1M

In the Katsina 3.1M collected about 2.3M will vote and 2M will vote Buhari

So Buhari about 2M in Katsina has almost canceled the entire SE votes for Atiku

See dayo, why are you too generous to these people. Mark this comment, Southeast will be very very lucky to generate more than 2 million votes, max is 2.5m. If it's 2m votes PMB will get nothing less than 500k. Infact, i dont see Atiku coming out of the entrie southeast with more than 1 million margin.

Anambra. PDP =250 - 300k. APC = 80 -100k.
IMO. PDP = PDP - 350-400k . APC =150 - 200k.
Ebonyi. PDP = PDP = 200k. APC = 80k.
Abia. PDP = 300k APC = 80-90k
Enugu. PDP.=400 -450k . APC = 50 - 100k.

If the outcome is not anywhere near this call me a bastard

SouthEastFacts:
I am not here to convince you. We have already locked down 6 million votes for Atiku in SE.

Ebenebe. 6million votes ni, 60 million votes ko

Asshurbanipal:
Why are you narrow minded ethnic blockhead analysing atiku with SE?

You look to me like a slowpoke, where do you know in the Southeast? Where are you from the southeast

SouthEastFacts:
Oga, 6 million of those 7 million PVC are going to Atiku.

No region can give that bloc votes currently maybe except NW.

Last election, 4 million voted in SW but Buhari won with 580k votes, about 2.3 voted in SE but Jonathan won with over 2 million votes.

6 million people vote out of 7 million pvc collected? Are you high?
Out of that 7 million. You cant have more than 2.5 million votes total

Ripples Nigeria Poll: Buhari wins by votes, Atiku by comments
February 14, 2019
2019: Atiku has agreed to a mental health test, Buhari must agree too- CUPP

By Editor
Nigeria’s presidential election holds on Saturday, February 16 to decide who Nigerians want to lead them for another four-year tenure.

Asides from activities of the various political parties, among which was the struggle to throw up representatives for the several elective positions available, the race for the 2019 elections officially kicked off on November 18, 2018 when the electoral umpire, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) blew the whistle for the commencement of campaigns for the Presidential and National Assembly elections.

The various parties and candidates, therefore, went to town to convince the electorate to cast votes in their favour.

According to INEC records, a list which was signed by its Secretary, Rose Oriaran-Anthony, containing the names of political parties, their presidential candidates and running mates shows that a total of 73 political parties presented candidates for the presidential elections, meaning, about 73 persons are running to become the next Nigerian president.

Despite the large number of contestants, Nigerians are amazed to realize that there are just two major front runners in the race, either of which is expected to carry the day, at the end of the polls.

The two major contestants in this case are incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari of the All Progressives Congress (APC) and the former Vice President Abubakar Atiku of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

In efforts to gauge the mood of Nigerian voters, and foretell the possible outcome of the presidential election, Ripples Nigeria embarked on an online survey to get a sample opinion of who voters are likely to choose as their new president.

The poll titled – Ripples Nigeria Poll – 2019: Who would you vote? – published on www.ripplesnigeria.com ran for several weeks, and was distributed across various social media platforms, while it was also shared by hundreds of thousands of Nigerians, among their social media contacts.

Ripples Nigeria Poll: Buhari wins by votes, Atiku by comments
Pie chart showing distribution of votes

In all, the poll reached about 909,463 people and was shared by 2,448 persons, even as it attracted over 29,000 comments on Facebook alone.

A total of 18,989 people cast their votes in the survey, with President Buhari receiving a total of 10,360 votes representing 54.6 per cent, while Atiku got 7,815 votes representing 41.2 per cent.

Other contestants, together, attracted 814 votes representing 4.3 percent.

However, comments by Nigerians on social media, especially on Facebook threw up a different scenario about the way Nigerians feel concerning the two main figures in the contest.

From 29,292 comments collated, 16,198 were in favour of Atiku, while Buhari had 12,963 comments in his favour.

Those in favour of other contestants who spoke in favour of neither Atiku or Buhari dropped 131 comments.

This, in itself, is a reflection of the reality associated with the Nigerian electorate, where there are active participants in the electoral process, as opposed to commentators who do not vote on Election Day.

Ripples Nigeria Poll: Buhari wins by votes, Atiku by comments
The survey as put up by Ripples Nigeria

While Buhari took the lead in the actual number of votes cast, Atiku got the highest number of support from commentators, but come Saturday, the actual picture will be revealed.

Recall that a related analysis titled ‘Ripples Nigeria 2019 Election Forecast: Predicting the winner‘ announced a slim victory for Buhari In the coming election.

Below are some of the comments passed by Nigerians;



https://www.ripplesnigeria.com/ripples-nigeria-poll-buhari-wins-by-votes-atiku-by-comments/

afrodoc2:
Mentality is a large chunk of it, but it is more than that. He truly has difficulty being effective off the ball.
All the off the ball runs and "in and out" runs that come naturally to Lingard, and to a lesser extent Rashford are alien to Martial.

Despite his poor mentality he is our best player in 1v1 situations in space, and he is our best finisher. His struggles are when he is not in those exact situations.

Nobody is doubting his qualities body he has to add determination, and more fight. His contract had been renewed to an extortionate amount, he should put in a shift. Have u forgotten the way Rooney, Ronaldo, Park JS, and Tevez played too much energy and fight. Martial lacks it, he must be told to sit up, he is a Man utd player.

liveLongNprospa:
Doc just say the truth about Martial.. His inconsistency is down to his mentality.. Nothing else.

People keep pampering Martial, yes we like hi. But lets say the truth, if it were to be lingard that put the kind of shifts that Martial put most times, the fans would have called for him be buried alive. Lingard was peppering PSG defence with dangerous runs and movements creating spaces for everybody that came close, helping out defensively, despite the fact that its young that is behind him. Martial on the other hand was lazying about, even Luke shaw looked more dangerous than him in the match, No Marking, no runs, careless touches and lackadaisical countenance. I was surprised people are even bashing Pogba here, Pogba played very very well even Matic. When your forward players are lazying about, it leaves you with little options to operate. Luke shaw even performed better moving forward after Martial left. That will tell you something.

Martial should just look himself in the mirror and tell himself the hard truth if he really want to make it at the top level.
We fans pamper the guy too much. If he had started this match the way lingard started with his talent and ability it would have been different.

Shaw, Young, Matic and Pogba did well.

My halftime take .

* Matic is a very important player. He performed very very well so far .
* to be frank Lingard has been our best attacking outlet.
* our midfield is ok. They did go forward much to avoid Mbappe giving our defence too much problems.

* Rashford and Martial has to up their games TBH.

I still see us winning the game with a clean sheet

senatordave1:
With ipob boycott,am seeing less than 1 million but in full polls,i see 2.5 million.

Even without the ipob boycott.
Highest PDP will poll in the following states are: highest ooo.

Anambra - 250k, Imo - 300k Enugu - 400k, Ebonyi -250k, Abia. 300k.
Where is your 2.5 million comming from?
Kano and Jigawa will wipe out the entire southeast for PMB. Sokoto, Katsina, Kaduna and Kebbi will do the magic on Southsouth. .

Adamawa will neutralize Taraba. .

Kogi, Kwara, Nassarawa and FCT will fall on Platueae and Benue.


Bauchi, Zamfara, Bornu, Yobe, Niger and Gombe are on the standbye oo

I have not yalked about southwest ooo

PaChukwudi44:
Presidential polls always generate huge voter turnout.

Na lie oga. Gubernatorial polls generates more votes.

senatordave1:
He will get up to 500,000 while atiku wont exceed 2.4 million.

Bookmark this please. Dont forget to quote me after election. Atiku will not score more than 1.5 million votes in southeast. Please dont forget to quote me after election.

fyneguy:
total votes cast in Rivers wont be up to 700k. Bookmark my post

Dont mind them. I am seeing 500k sef

Guzel:
How many of the 2 million registered voters have collected their PVCs. Most of the young people that registered in Abia were students who have since left the state for better economic prospect. Some of the are ardent followers of Nnamdi KANU. There are more posters of no election in Abia than buhari and Atiku posters combined . then some will not turn up because of the poor performance of the ikpeazu govt in Abia. Peter Obi is not a huge unifying factor in Abia. Apga and APC members in Abia will vote for Buhari

PDP supporters are not smart at all, they thought everybody in igboland give a Bleep about peter obi. People from Abia, Imo and Ebonyi dont even bother on who peter obi is. ANAMBRA and imo will cause a huge shock for PDP.

chozzy:
2019 presidential election results will be very close. The table below is my candit prediction without political inclinations and baring in mind Buhari's incumbency factor and a promise of a free and fair election.

Incumbent president Buhari is projected to emerge victorious in more than half the states, but trails Mr Abubakar in total votes . He will gain more votes in SS and SE than he did in 2015 but this will not be enough to offset those Mr Abubakar will gain in Mr Buhari's former strongholds of NW, NE and NC. Mr Buhari is however, projected to win all SW states but with minimal margins.

Currently, Atiku Abubakar has a slight edge but must work harder and use the remaining week to widen his victory margins. From the Nigerian experience, when results are close the incumbent wins. It's not yet Uhuru for Mr Abubakar.

1. ABIA... Buhari will not do well here, but what you dont know is the those who like Alex Otti of APGA will most likely not vote PDP, if Atiku wins, the momentum for the guber race in 2 weeks time will be with okezie ikpeazu. Again, there is no way in this world is Abia turning out more than 400-450k votes in total.
PDP - 235,000. APC - 87,000.

2. ADAMAWA. Buhari win defeat Atiku in Adamawa. You may not like it, but thats the truth.
PDP- 300k. APC - 450k.

4. ANAMBRA - I laff at your Anambra prediction, i was at Anambra during the last election, I can swear that the number of people that voted that day were not up to 300k overall, but PDP recorded 660k votes, that will never happen. First Anambra will not record more than 400k-450k votes. Check the pattern of all the governorship elections in the state. Willie Obiano and Victor Umeh has collapsed APGA into APC for the presidential race, with his eye on the 2022 governorship election. Tony Nwoye from Anambra north is the APC national presidential youth cordinator. That guy is very very popular in Ayamelum, Anambra east and west LGAs, his political godfather Arthur Eze controls Njikoka and Dunukofia, these are chronic vote buyers, they will surely deliver, u am very certain. Andy Uba will run PDP very close in Anambra south.

PDP. 211k APC.- 98k, APGA and others - 25k.

5. BAUCHI - you must be dreaming with that your numbers. PDP will not score up to 25% here. Mark this
PDP- 200k. APC. 1.1 million

6.
You are correct on Bayelsa. Though i doubt if APC can score up to 80k.

9. CROSSRIVER.
Your percentage might be ok but i dont see, crossriver turning out that number of voter.
PDP - 400k APC 100k.

11. EBONYI. There wont be more than 300k votes here.
PDP. 200k APC 80k.

15. GOMBE. Buhari will Edge Atiku here.

PDP. 200k APC 300k.

16. IMO. LOL!!!! You make me laff here, you visits twitter a lot.
PDP 300k APC. 200k

19. KANO. seriously.
PDP. - 500k APC - 1.9million.

26. NIGER. where are you getting your info from for Gods Sake? You dont know Niger. This is the state Atiku will not score 20%.

APC - 750k. PDP. 120k.

30. OYO. You are dreaming.
APC- 550k PDP. 250k.

32. RIVERS . What gave you the impression that 1.3million people will vote in rivers? You forgot Amaechi is from Rivers state, check recent elections.
PDP. 500k. APC 350k.

33. Sokoto. Keep deceiving yourself.
PDP. 200k APC 650k.

34. TARABA. this will be very very very close. PDP will be heavily shocked here..

Overall Buhari will defeat Atiku with over 5million votes. Take this to the bank

RemiOAjayi:
Buhari does not need to win any state in South East, surely Southwest cancel South East Votes with one more state higher.

In SS is against of 50:50, Akpabio will deliver his state, Edo will follow ApC, And Ayade is APC( worst that can happen will be 60:40) so out of the six states let's give pdp 4, that brings the state to 9. And APC 8.

Northwest is no go area, PDP might get votes there but cannot win any state there, so is 7 for APC and 0 to PDP. That is now 15 against 9.

Northeast, give PDP Taraba while the remaining states belong to APC, that means APC now has 20 States and PDP 10 states.

In the North Central, is a bit tight but sure states for APC are Kwara , Kogi, Nassarawa, Niger, PDP can have Jos and Benue. That means APC has 22 States and PDP 12 states, and of course FCT is For APC.

Save this, Buhari will win.

Atiku will not win imo state

Indispensable85:
Hahaha. .....
This your own is too ruthless bros.

Next week is not far na