Nataba's Posts
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ojeysky:I was wondering too until I asked ChatGPT. Here's the response: Yes, there's a strong reason behind why the price of a stock listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) — or any major international exchange — can influence or even determine the price of the same stock listed on a local market. Here's a clear breakdown of why this happens: 📌 1. Arbitrage Opportunities Arbitrage is the practice of buying an asset in one market where it's cheaper and selling it in another where it's more expensive — risk-free profit. So if a stock is listed on both: Nigeria Exchange (NGX) at ₦100 London Stock Exchange (LSE) equivalent of ₦110 Then traders can: Buy in Nigeria at ₦100 Sell in London at ₦110 Make ₦10 profit (minus fees) This forces prices to align across both markets, because traders will keep exploiting the difference until the gap closes. 📌 2. Foreign Exchange Adjustments Prices in different countries are converted using exchange rates. So even if the stock is ₦100 in Nigeria, and £1 = ₦1000, the equivalent price on LSE would be £0.10 — and vice versa. If the LSE price rises to £0.12, the Nigerian price may rise to ₦120 to match. So the foreign price changes affect the local price after exchange rate adjustments. 📌 3. Liquidity and Market Influence The London market often has greater liquidity, more trading volume, and more global investor participation. This makes the London price a more "accurate" reflection of global investor sentiment. Local markets often "follow" the global one because the price discovery (real value assessment) happens on the larger, more active exchange. 📌 4. Depositary Receipts / Cross-Listing Rules In many cases, what’s listed on the foreign exchange is a Depositary Receipt (like GDR or ADR). These are representations of the local stock, and their prices are contractually tied to the price of the actual shares. So movements in one will directly impact the other. 📌 5. News and Time Zones Sometimes, price changes in LSE happen first because: Global markets open earlier or later than local ones. International investors react faster to news or economic data. The local market then adjusts once it opens or when the news reaches it. ✅ Real-Life Example: Seplat Energy is dual-listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) and the LSE. If Seplat’s share price increases by 5% on LSE due to news (e.g., oil price surge), it’s highly likely that NGX will reflect a similar increase the next trading day. If not, arbitrageurs and informed traders will exploit the mispricing until prices converge. |
Nataba:Aliko Dangote doesn’t make major moves emotionally or randomly. His decision to build Nigeria’s biggest and deepest seaport in Ogun State is based on a powerful combination of: ⸻ 🔍 1. Control over Supply Chain Dangote’s Problem: • He produces fertilizer, petrochemicals, and (soon) LNG in massive volumes • The existing Lagos ports (Apapa, Tin Can) are congested, slow, expensive, and unreliable • Relying on government-controlled ports means delays, bottlenecks, bribes, and lost billions His Solution: Build his own port — where he controls the flow of exports, equipment imports, and costs. Precedent: He already built a private jetty for his refinery in Lekki. Now, he’s simply scaling up that logic. ⸻ 🌍 2. Vision to Compete Globally Dangote’s Ambition: • He doesn’t just want to be rich in Nigeria — he wants to dominate globally • Fertilizer, LNG, and refined petroleum are strategic exports that Africa can supply at scale • To compete with Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Russia, you need global-class port infrastructure A deep seaport allows Dangote to host super tankers that typical ports in Nigeria cannot. This move makes him globally competitive — not just big locally. ⸻ 📦 3. Vertical Integration What this means: • Dangote likes to own every part of his value chain: • Mining → Manufacturing → Logistics → Distribution → Export • Owning the port gives him total vertical control: • No middlemen • No foreign pricing power • No disruption Just like he built his own trucks, refinery, jetty, fleet, he’s now building the next layer: ocean logistics. ⸻ 🗺️ 4. Strategic Location: Olokola Why Olokola (Ogun State)? • Close enough to his refinery and fertilizer plant in Lagos • Less congested and easier to acquire land than in Lagos • Coastal, deepwater potential = perfect for a deep seaport • Revives the abandoned Olokola Free Trade Zone project (planned since Obasanjo era) He saw what government couldn’t finish — and decided to finish it on his own terms. ⸻ 💸 5. Future-Proofing His Empire • West Africa’s demand for infrastructure is rising • Nigeria will become a major LNG hub by 2030+ • Owning a port means his companies are not tied to political risk, customs delays, or competitors’ influence He’s building not just for now — but for the next 50 years. ⸻ 🧠 6. Global Trend Recognition Dangote is watching the world. Key global shifts include: • Deglobalization → Countries want more local refining and export control • Rising fertilizer demand → due to food insecurity • Energy shift → LNG is now a major transition fuel • Africa’s trade potential → AfCFTA (African Continental Free Trade Agreement) means ports = power He’s positioning Nigeria to become an export leader, not just an import-dependent economy. ⸻ ⚖️ 7. Private Port = Regulatory Influence • Government ports are tied to NPA (Nigerian Ports Authority), unions, and customs • A private port gives him negotiating power with: • Importers • Governments • Regional trade blocs • He may even set prices and terms for use — making money from others shipping through his port It’s not just about exports — it’s about owning the gate. ⸻ 🔥 8. He Thinks Generationally This move aligns with how billionaires like: • Jeff Bezos (built warehouses + air cargo for Amazon) • Elon Musk (controls his own factories, gigaships, and satellite internet) • Li Ka-Shing (built ports and telcos across Asia) Dangote isn’t thinking like a businessman. He’s thinking like a nation builder with private capital. |
megawealth01:Overview by ChatGPT This news is highly strategic — and has national, economic, and geopolitical implications. Here’s a breakdown of what’s happening, why it matters, and what it means for Nigeria, Dangote, and possibly you. ⸻ 🔎 WHAT’S HAPPENING? Aliko Dangote — Africa’s richest man — is: • Planning to build Nigeria’s biggest and deepest seaport • Location: Olokola, Ogun State (near Lagos, by the Atlantic coast) • Purpose: To export fertilizer, urea, liquefied natural gas (LNG) and other industrial goods • Status: He has filed paperwork with the Nigerian government (June 2025) to begin construction ⸻ 🧱 WHY IS HE DOING THIS? Dangote’s empire is logistics-heavy. He already: • Owns one of the world’s largest fertilizer plants (Lagos) • Has a 650,000-barrel/day oil refinery • Exports via private jetty, which limits scale A deep seaport would allow: • Larger vessels = cheaper exports • More control over supply chains • Integration between Lagos and Ogun industrial corridors • Reduced dependence on congested Lagos ports ⸻ 🌍 STRATEGIC LOCATION: OLOKOLA, OGUN STATE Olokola is: • Coastal and deepwater-friendly • Previously proposed as Olokola Free Trade Zone (OFTZ) under President Obasanjo but abandoned • Less congested than Lagos = easier expansion This would finally activate that dormant potential and turn Ogun into a logistics and industrial powerhouse. ⸻ ⚖️ WHO DOES THIS AFFECT (AND HOW)? ✅ 1. Dangote Group • Gains independence from Lagos logistics • Builds multi-modal export empire (road, sea, possibly rail + LNG) • Becomes a dominant force in African exports, not just Nigerian ✅ 2. Nigerian Economy • Boosts non-oil exports (fertilizer, LNG, petrochemicals) • Attracts foreign direct investment (FDI) to Ogun State • Could decongest Lagos ports and balance development ✅ 3. Lekki Deep Sea Port • Faces serious competition — Dangote port could rival or surpass it • May reduce Chinese influence in Nigerian maritime infrastructure ✅ 4. Ogun State • Massive opportunity for jobs, infrastructure, and real estate boom • Ogun could become a logistics hub for West Africa if managed well ⸻ 💼 POTENTIAL BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES 1. Logistics & Haulage: Port construction and operations will demand local transport solutions 2. Real Estate: Land near Olokola may become prime for residential, industrial, and commercial use 3. LNG & Fertilizer Trading: Export and distribution value chains will grow 4. Local Manufacturing: The port may attract light industry, packaging, and warehousing 5. Security & Port Services: Huge need for maritime security, inspection, customs, and insurance |
Chatgpt...
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Wow! Daar Communication already on full bid!! |
Nataba:I just wanted to take a moment to send out a heartfelt thank you to each and every one who consistently shares their insights, analysis, ideas, encouragement, as well as humor in this space. You’re the reason this community thrives. It's amazing to see how much value is created here every day simply because people like you take the time to contribute. In a world where the markets can often feel overwhelming, having a space like this — full of smart, generous, and supportive investors — makes a big difference. I'm ever grateful to God for the day I stumbled on this thread. It's been a mind-shifting experience. So again, thank you. Your contributions don’t go unnoticed, and this community is better because you’re a part of it. Thank you all!! |
I really can't keep this to myself anymore...! ![]() I joined the NGX almost a year ago with the aim of making quick money and short term gains. Fortunately, I was humbled after paying several school fees with my hard earned money. But the conversations that go on here daily and materials recommended has really helped broaden my mindset. I now see NGX as a path for transgenerational wealth creation rather than a get-rich-quick scheme, if only I can seek for quality knowledge, do my due diligence, act promptly and exercise patience. With the wisdom I gain here and other platforms I learn from, I've been able to realize some of my mistakes and make more informed decisions. And the result is showing already in my portfolio. The margin may not be that significant for now, but the lessons I've learnt so far can never taken from me. Thank you everyone!!! |
Good morning everyone. Please, I'd like to open a separate account for long time investment. Which of the brokerage firms would you recommend? NB: my current broker is Morg.Cap Thanks in anticipation |
Good morning everyone. Please, I'd like to open a separate account for long time investment. Which of the brokerage firms would you recommend? NB: my current broker is Morg.Cap Thanks in anticipation |
Toluway:Out of the 100+ stocks listed on NGX, only 19 recorded an increase in price. |
Equity Market Sustains Bullish Trend With ₦15 Billion Gain https://punchng.com/equity-market-sustains-bullish-trend-with-n15bn-gain/ |
Streetinvestor2:Wow! Never knew I could do that. Would really appreciate if you could put me through sir |
Please help! I've requested for withdrawal on my morgancapital account for more than 12 hours and I'm yet to receive the funds in my bank account. What could be wrong?? |
Good afternoon everyone. I already have an account with one of the Nigerian stock brokers, but I want to open another account which will be strictly for short term trading. In summary, I want to be using one account for short term trading, and the second for long term investment. Please, How do I go about it? |
Massive accumulation continues @UBA. The stock just broke its 52W High price and closed at #35.05
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brodalikeme:The best crash course you need is this thread! Almost everything you need to safely navigate the market is here. Would recommend going through the older pages and take notes. You will be able to make informed decisions and safeguard your hard-earned money. SCHOOL FEE is real o! |
Can't believe UBA & Fidelity has silently returned 40% and 50% respectively between August and October |
Caverton already on a u-turn?? |
unite4real:Exactly my thoughts! |
Equity market drops 1.19% amid sell-offs in dangote cement, 27 others https://businesspost.ng/economy/equity-market-drops-1-19-amid-sell-offs-in-dangote-cement-27-others/ |
Tpharell:Same here! ![]() |
MARKETJJC:I had a similar experience too last week. I was the 7th person on the seller list, and my order was filled even before the first 6 people before me. Never knew that was possible until that day. |
Mankind2024:Your inputs are always like mentorship session for me. Thank you so much! |
emmanuelewumi:MorganCapital |
emmanuelewumi:Thank you so much. I actually tried to do that, unfortunately I received an alert that I can't set a price below the lowest price currently offered by the other sellers. |
Princkez:Thank you so much! |
sterlingD:Thank you so much. I tried selling for a lower price, but it wasn't executed. So, I had to fix the same price as the 90% other sellers. |
Good evening everyone. Thank you so much for the insightful inputs hitherto. Please, I've been trying to sell some of my Geregu stocks for the past 3 days, unfortunately I've not received any offer since. There is no demand for it at the moment. Is there any other way I can offload the stocks? |
Bimmms:https://ng.investing.com/equities/ |
