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Phydell's Posts

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PoliticsRe: Laolu Akande Asks Nigerians To Name Road Projects Completed In Last 10 Years by phydell(m): 4:44pm On Mar 01, 2016
Ezenwammadu:
1. The Benin-Ore road
2. East- west road
3. Abuja-Lokoja Abaji Dualisation
4. Kano-Maiduguri Dualisation
5. Onitsha head-bridge
6. Onitsha Owerri expressway
7. Von-Machok RD
8. Katsina Daura rd
9. The east-west RD
10. IJEBU IGBO-SEKONA (OGUN STATE)
11. GOMBE BYPASS ROAD (GOMBE STATE)
For where? Na you complete themhuh??
When last did you travel on those roads. Smh
BusinessRe: Ifeanyi Ubah: 'I Can Bring The US-Dollar To N200 In One Month' by phydell(m): 2:50pm On Feb 22, 2016
Bevista:
Ordinarily, I should not comment on this thread since Ubah has not mentioned how he would go about it. However, for the benefit of those who might get swayed by his cheap claims, I'll say something.
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The exchange rate (PRICE of dollars) is determined primarily by SUPPLY of dollars (through exports, FDIs, foreign borrowing, etc) and DEMAND for dollars (through imports, payments of foreign school fees/medical bills, online purchases, etc). The NET flow of these transactions determine the Balance of Payments (BOP) account with the Central Bank. Elementary economics tells us that when demand exceeds supply, prices go up!
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Coming back to Nigeria, it is well known that oil accounts for 95% of our FX earnings. As oil prices have collapsed from ~$100 in 2014 to ~$30, our supply of dollars has dropped tremendously. This is even worse when one considers that our cost of oil production is ~$20/bbl, meaning that our dollar revenue from oil has dropped from ~$80/bbl to ~$10/bbl. On the demand side, the request for imports are increasing. With such supply shock and increasing demand, there is only one way for the exchange rate to go. This is basic economics and has nothing to do with Emefiele or Buhari, except you are simply being mischievous or grossly ignorant.
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When oil collapsed from around $147 to $38 due to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC), Nigeria had a Foreign Reserve of ~$62bn. The then CBN Governor had to spend ~$20bn from the Reserves to meet import demand thereby preventing devaluation/depreciation. Between 2011 & 2014, oil price was above $100, meaning that the administration never had a dollar supply problem and so could maintain a stable exchange rate. Fast forward to late 2014 when oil prices slid to ~$60, the CBN had to devalue the Naira twice within a period of 6 months (Nov 2014 & Feb 2015) because the Reserves were too low (<$35bn) to deplete to support imports. Now in 2016, oil prices are around $30/bbl while FX Reserves is less than $28bn. The supply shock has reached unprecedented levels, yet demand for imports has not decreased. There is absolutely no way that the exchange rate can stay below N250/$. Simple economics says that price will continue to move till a new equilibrium is reached where demand equates supply.
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There is no policy from Emefiele, Soludo, Greenspan, Bernanke or any other Central Bank governor that can strengthen the Naira in the near term. Except we want to completely deplete the Reserves or go to the IMF to borrow SDRs just to meet import demands. Brace up folks, if oil price collapses to $20 (thereby increasing the supply shock) the exchange rate shall hit N1000/$ and I repeat, this has nothing to do with Emefiele or Buhari but simply economic forces. The only thing that can save the Naira is either for SUPPLY of dollars to increase (through high oil price) or DEMAND to reduce. Since we do not have control over the supply side, we can at least focus on managing the demand side.
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So Mr Ifeanyi Ubah, you have zero knowledge on what you are talking about. With all the money you made from the last government, you can start by building a refinery or some other manufacturing facility (like Dangote) to help us substitute for imports. That would help the Naira more than you seeking cheap consultancy from the government. Or except you want to broker a deal for the government to give amnesty to your Dasuki-Gate friends, so they can bring out stashed up dollars from soakaways and graveyards to support the economy.
Good. Hope the wailing illiterates can read.....simply read
BusinessRe: Dollar Scarcity: 40,000 Jobs Threatened, Food Prices Soar - PUNCH by phydell(m): 1:43pm On Feb 22, 2016
All these negative comments on PMB won't put food on your table o. Better use your brains and data for something more constructive. I haven't seen any one raise questions as to their governors, senators et al. Abi Na PMB dey run una states too.... huhhuh
PoliticsRe: Kaduna Youths Block Roads, Protest 10-month Power Outage by phydell(m): 10:53pm On Jan 04, 2016
I live here in Kaduna, at Barnawa to be precise and I can confirm that most of the urban areas enjoy at least 18hours of light consistently on daily basis. I for one haven't used my generator for the past four months because I also have an inverter. The problem with Karmazo and some of the emerging areas is that of poor planning by the immediate past administration and greedy village heads who just keep selling lands without working out the corresponding infrastructural support for the growing population. In any case, the immediate past PDP led government did nothing for the state except build a multi-billion naira government house commissioned by a certain GEJ. So before you make conclusions on the present government, do try to get ur facts right. Me sef wey dey Kaduna no know about this protest; until I see am for here. Yet jobless bone heads wey dey miles away dey wail like say their papa join the protest.
Jobs/VacanciesRe: nothing by phydell(m): 7:45pm On Jul 21, 2007
Hi Sam, pls send to my mail too, ur blessings await u. Phydell4christ@yahoo.com smiley
Jobs/VacanciesRe: Everything Scatter Scatter In Intercontinental Bank Test In Lagos by phydell(m): 10:35am On Oct 09, 2006
I ve made up my mind not to apply to any bank again. The insult we graduates recieve from them is 2 much. Right now i ll keep up with my little business till my break comes. Enough is enough. angry sad embarassed
Jobs/VacanciesRe: Guiness Is Recruiting Graduate Trainees by phydell(m): 2:45pm On Jun 14, 2006
thanks chi and donaremu. you are blessed
Jobs/VacanciesRe: Job Seekers: What Course Did You Study by phydell(m): 10:55am On May 30, 2006
hi everyone, i m phydell and i read B.Sc. chemistry. i wont mind a teaching job. smiley
Jobs/VacanciesRe: Has Nestle Shortlisted by phydell(m): 9:45am On May 05, 2006
pls i also want to know cool

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