₦airaland Forum

garfield1:
Oga north central always split votes like south west. Before 2015,pdp always won there.obj in 2003 won buhari there,gej in 2011 won there.whoever loses there is sure of 25% in a the States...but mind you,the north central are pro south and tired of core northerners

JohnBullMySon:
It is difficult to assertain whether it is really pro south or pro PDP. I still give it to Atiku because of a swing state like Niger. But where exactly does Tinubu expect a landslide victory? He needs it to have a fighting chance.

Thryphosa:
Who be this man wey dey skip number?

seunmsg:
Tinubu will win NC easily this time around. In Kogi, the Ebira and Okun voting bloc will vote massively for APC. The Igala votes will be divided but APC should have a slight victory due to party structure and incumbency. Overall, APC gets 55%.

In Kwara, it’s going to be a comprehensive victory. I’m projecting 70% for APC.

In Niger, PDP structure is very weak and APC very strong. Even when Babangida was the governor, CPC defeated Jonathan there in 2011. I’m projecting 60% for APC.

In Nasarawa, it’s going to be different from the previous elections where the Christians always vote for PDP. Tinubu will do better among the Christian voters than Buhari and with the party structure and bigwigs like Adamu and Al-Makura, APC should get a little over 50%.

FCT vote will be divided this time around between APC, PDP and LP. The easy victory Atiku got there in 2019 was largely as a result of southern voters. This time around, Igbos will vote for Peter Obi and Yoruba voters will support Tinubu. PDP will win but the margin will be very slim.

Benue and plateau will be divided evenly.

Sannisege:
E pain am!

lordjosh:
We've done 1000 and we are still counting...

JohnBullMySon:
Lol. really? FR y'all are the ones who have your future and family at stake not me. I love to predict politics that's why I'm here. I already predicted Tinubu to win the primaries long since. As for the general elections it's likely Atiku, bruh. Don't really fancy him BTW, with Tinubu as well. Osinbajo for me was the best pick, far better than Obi IMO. I love his yesterday speech, inspiring and educative. I never knew Nigeria had six unicorns before now.

Parachoko:
You're underestimating Tinubu, especially in the South West.

JohnBullMySon:
I hope I'm not. He's the man to beat in the south west. Beside Lagos, he's taking all states from 65-70%. But I'm afraid he needs total victory (90%) there to put up with the uncertainties of other regions. Tinubu will put a fight, but I don't think his reliance on party members will deliver for him on the national level. I'm looking at figures and details from all past elections and making my comments based on them. It seems to be more about the person. It explains why people crisscross parties a lot.

Sannisege:
The way they voted for Ahmed Lawan in this primaries. Keep deceiving yourself.

JohnBullMySon:
It is difficult to assertain whether it is really pro south or pro PDP. I still give it to Atiku because of a swing state like Niger. But where exactly does Tinubu expect a landslide victory? He needs it to have a fighting chance.

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Atiku is not lawn mate, Atiku is Fulani,lawan is from a minority

JohnBullMySon:
I hope I'm not. He's the man to beat in the south west. Beside Lagos, he's taking all states from 65-70%. But I'm afraid he needs total victory (90%) there to put up with the uncertainties of other regions. Tinubu will put a fight, but I don't think his reliance on party members will deliver for him on the national level. I'm looking at figures and details from all past elections and making my comments based on them. It seems to be more about the person. It explains why people crisscross parties a lot.

garfield1:
Niger is not a swing state.it always goes massively for buhari and will still go to tinubu.swing States are nasarawa,benue,plateau,kogi...borno,yobe,katsina,zamfara will go heavily to tinubu

seunmsg:
Tinubu will win NC easily this time around. In Kogi, the Ebira and Okun voting bloc will vote massively for APC. The Igala votes will be divided but APC should have a slight victory due to party structure and incumbency. Overall, APC gets 55%.

In Kwara, it’s going to be a comprehensive victory. I’m projecting 70% for APC.

In Niger, PDP structure is very weak and APC very strong. Even when Babangida was the governor, CPC defeated Jonathan there in 2011. I’m projecting 60% for APC.

In Nasarawa, it’s going to be different from the previous elections where the Christians always vote for PDP. Tinubu will do better among the Christian voters than Buhari and with the party structure and bigwigs like Adamu and Al-Makura, APC should get a little over 50%.

FCT vote will be divided this time around between APC, PDP and LP. The easy victory Atiku got there in 2019 was largely as a result of southern voters. This time around, Igbos will vote for Peter Obi and Yoruba voters will support Tinubu. PDP will win but the margin will be very slim.

Benue and plateau will be divided evenly.

Parachoko:
So you believe him when he said Nigerians will go to the moon in 10 years time?

CornOak:
Emeka Nwajuba — 1 vote
Dave Umahi — 38 votes
Tunde Bakare — 0 votes
Ahmad Rufair Sunni — 4 votes
Rotimi Amaechi — 316 votes
Prof. Yemi Osinbajo — 235 votes
Rochas Okorocha — 0 votes
Yahaya Bello — 47 votes
Jack Rich — 0 votes
Christopher Onu — 1 vote
Ahmad Lawan — 152 votes
Ben Ayade — 37 votes
Ikeobasi Mokelu — 0 vote

CornOak:
FINAL SCORES

Emeka Nwajuba — 1 vote
Dave Umahi — 38 votes
Tunde Bakare — 0 votes
Ahmad Rufair Sunni — 4 votes
Rotimi Amaechi — 316 votes
Prof. Yemi Osinbajo — 235 votes
Rochas Okorocha — 0 votes
Yahaya Bello — 47 votes
Jack Rich — 0 votes
Christopher Onu — 1 vote
Ahmad Lawan — 152 votes
Ben Ayade — 37 votes
Ikeobasi Mokelu — 0 vote
Bola Tinubu — 1271 votes

Congratulations to the winner.

garfield1:
The nc and sw may determine the winner