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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate (2030 Views)
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Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 11:17am On Jul 02, 2022 |
Aiel123: It seems you are very objective. I love apc but you know I try to be honest.I was the first to write off omo agege in delta.I never gave this woman a chance against ribadu and bindow until I saw her record and popularity.we cannot use atiku to judge her victory because atiku will win Adamawa by a good margin afterall he won buhari here.you said she won with 96,000 margin.do you know that atiku and fintiri won with 40,000 margin? Buhari won Adamawa central with 35,000 votes in 2019 but he won that same central by 100,000 in 2015.bindowo in 2019 won central with 10,000 votes.PDP stronghold in Adamawa is Adamawa south and the highest margin they won was 60,000. Pdp strongholds in the north are madagali and michika.she has neutralized michika by picking her deputy from there.in that south,apc strongholds are mayo belwa and ganye.if this woman still picks 96,000 from Adamawa central,she will win because Adamawa south can't bring more than 70,000.she will win the north.anytime a fulani is fielded in Adamawa,they win |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 11:19am On Jul 02, 2022 |
[quote author=asobo1 post=114347416][/quote] You said yola do not give bloc votes but she won by almost 100k votes while fintiri won Adamawa south by 30,000...she will thrash bindow |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by Aiel123: 12:02pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
garfield1: |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by Aiel123: 12:08pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
garfield1:Is Fintiri Fulani? He is isolated now Nyako,Abbo have pitched their tent in APC Central will likely go to Binani Fintiri will win South North will be the battleground as Fintiri and the APC's running mate is from here |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 12:13pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
Aiel123: She will clear central not likely win.in north,apc controls mubi north and south and Maiha.PDP has michika,madagali.in 2019,abbo won north by 15,000 while bunus won south by 25,000.fintiri is a Muslim from madagali. |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by Penguin2: 12:20pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
garfield1: Wow! I respect your knowledge of every part of the country, man. I’m sure you are card carrying member of a political party (APC) and possibly a member of a strategy committee which is why you always have these figures. |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 12:24pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
Penguin2: No,I have always been interested in ethnicity,politics history,statistics,geography eyc right from a tender age.I am in apc but not part of the strategy committee...I thought bindow or ribadu will win the primaries but binani surprised us.I still wrote her off against fintiri but after some background checks,she is very formidable plus Aisha is backing her...she might just humiliate fintiri |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by Penguin2: 12:32pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
asobo1: And who won? |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by kokoA(m): 12:36pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
Parachoko:Do you know Plateau state at all? |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by Penguin2: 12:42pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
garfield1: We wait to see about that. But you seem to be writing off the Atiku effect in Adamawa. |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by asobo1: 1:32pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
Penguin2:PDP @ Hon Musa Agah |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by asobo1: 1:36pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
Penguin2:Ribadu is currently challenging her victory and senator Abbo's street credibility amongst the youth who massively voted for him is gone. |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 1:46pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
Penguin2: Does atiku really have an effect electorally? You can see kwankwaso and his red cap movement and his impact in kano.you can't say same for atiku.someone that lost his unit and ward,he always struggles to control adamawa even whrn boni haruna was gov.apart from Adamawa,the other northern states atiku won are christian dominated.he lost woefully in Muslim areas.in Adamawa,christian areas gave him huge margins.it simply means that atiku is not liked by the talakawas.this time around,a lot of those Christian votes will go to obi followed by tinubu. All I am saying is that if binani gets bloc votes from Adamawa central,it is over.in 2011,Muslim clerics campaigned against her yet she won heavily.she repeated it in 2019.it means there is something she does right. |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 1:48pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
asobo1: Ribadu challenge is normal for a loser.tinubu and Aisha will settle everything.abbo will have no problem winning mubi and maiha |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 1:49pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
Penguin2: The PDP candidate because of Christian votes.my guy,Christians in north central might just dump atiku |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by Aiel123: 1:51pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
garfield1:It's very dicey PDP needs Atiku now Is central the most populated? If yes,then I rest my case Those areas with bloc votes I fear them whenever they support any candidate |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 1:55pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
Aiel123: Yes.I fear bloc votes.the governor nominated that pastor so that he will get bloc votes from numan side to counter yola.I think the central is the most populated though has fewer LGAs.if tinubu can get bloc votes from borno,yobe,katsina,zamfara,he will win.I dont see atiku getting bloc votes |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by Aiel123: 2:06pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
garfield1:As for presidential election it's looking gloomy for PDP and Atiku If I say I get hope for PDP na lie be that Anything that will happen will happen I have learnt not to hope to much |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by StriveHard: 2:13pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
asobo1:binani is from fufore LGA and her husband is from girei.dont try to argue because i was born and raise in the state and currently posting right now from there |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 2:21pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
Aiel123: Even in delta,Edwin Clark has rejected him.as northern PDP leaders sabotaged PDP in 2015 is how southern leaders will do this time |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by asobo1: 2:55pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
garfield1:Abbo should be more concerned about winning his senatorial elections. |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 2:56pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
asobo1: He is a Christian but humiliated binta in Muslim dominated mubi and maiha.think of what he will do to rev yohanna |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by asobo1: 3:01pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
StriveHard:Ok, so she represented Girei, Yola south/north federal constituency based on her marriage to a Girei man right @Modibbo? |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by asobo1: 3:08pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
garfield1:Meaning? |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by Penguin2: 3:10pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
garfield1: Since morning I’ve been on Facebook searching different north central states people’s forum to see what they are saying by themselves. My first stop was Benue where I saw that if Fr Alia remains APC candidate, then there’s no need for guber election in the state. They hate Uba and everyone is saying “Yes Father”. Then I moved to Plateau. It was difficult finding a popular Plateau forum on Facebook but from the little I was able to gather, the PDP candidate might carry the day. From there I searched for Taraba. And I found out that APC held a sham Governorship Primaries in Taraba which gave rise to a lot of bad blood. Emmanuel Bwacha is on a wild goose chase. In Adamawa I found out that Binani is quite popular like you said. But some others are making a case for Fintiri that his performance deserves a second tenure. Adamawa is too close to call. Then ultimately I found out these people are all ‘OBIdient’ with some of them having Peter Obi banner as dp. Peter Obi will North Central. |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 3:32pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
Penguin2: Your research are valid and true.PDP have the edge in plateau due to imposition but nentawa was an inec rec and knows his way around inec like t.a orji in abia.taraba is true.I supported power shift to the north or central but if bwacha can divide jukun votes esp in wukari,takum and donga,he would win because the central and north are apologetic to apc... Peter can win nc due to christian votes but he must have bloc votes from benue and plateau because kwara and Niger will deliver for tinubu while nasarawa ,abuja and kogi can go either way... Again,using the internet to judge the northern electorate is deceptive.most middle belters in 2019 prefered atiku but you know how it ended and it looked like atiku would share the core north with bubu |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 3:32pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
asobo1: Michika and madagali cannot stop abbo |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by StriveHard: 4:45pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
asobo1:yap |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by garfield1: 4:55pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
StriveHard: Is she fulani? How popular is she |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by asobo1: 5:57pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
StriveHard:What local government is the first lady from? |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by Penguin2: 6:20pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
garfield1:Trust me Bwacha doesn’t stand a chance from what I saw. Obi will win Abuja. Votes will most likely reflect reality in 2023 due to the Electronic Transfer of votes so don’t expect that kind of abracadabra that happened in 2019 where war ravaged Borno was churning out miracle votes. |
Re: Adamawa Apc Guber Candidate Picks Running Mate by Penguin2: 6:37pm On Jul 02, 2022 |
StriveHard: Good to see someone on ground. Now from what is on ground, who is likely to win between Binani and Fintiri. |
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