APC=Tinubu, LP=Obi, PDP=Atiku

GEOPOLITICAL
North-West
91% APC
1% LP
8% PDP

North-East
78% APC
2% LP
20% PDP

North-Central
33% APC
31% LP
36% PDP

South-East
2% APC
87% LP
11% PDP

South-West
47% APC
27% LP
26% PDP

South-south
10% APC
37% LP
53% PDP

RELIGION
Muslim North
88% APC
2% LP
10% PDP

Christian North
8% APC
52% LP
40% PDP

Muslim South
68% APC
9% LP
23% PDP

Christian South
21% APC
52% LP
27% PDP

Traditional North
73% APC
1% LP
26% PDP

Traditional South
34% APC
41% LP
25% PDP

ETHNICITY
Hausa, Fulani, Kanuri
83% APC
1% LP
16% PDP

Yoruba
45% APC
32% LP
23% PDP

Igbo
2% APC
88% LP
10% PDP

OTHER TRIBES
22% APC
37% LP
41% PDP

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION
1. APC will get bloc Muslim vote. A northern Muslim will always vote a Muslim, likewise 77% of Southern/Yoruba Muslim.
2. PDP will get their most votes from minority tribes in the North-Central and south-south. These tribes a predominantly Christians.
3. Labour will gets its most votes from southeast and a sizable amount from north-central, Southwest and South-south. Many Yoruba (SouthWest) Christans will vote for LP.
4. Christian votes will largely be divided between LP and PDP.
5. Many Yoruba Christans, about ⅓, will still vote APC.

VERDICT
APC will win unless Christians give bloc votes to either LP or PDP and not spread their votes among these two opposition parties.

NOTE :
Kwankwaso, a Northern Muslim bigot is working for APC to return a Muslim Muslim president.
a. He would have worked for PDP if Tinubu had chosen a Christian as running mate.
b. He would have contested as the northern candidate if both PDP and APC had fielded Southerners as presidential candidates.
c. Just like Tambuwal, he is the joker of the caliphate.

Brazen up bruv, because your thread's about to become as messy as a slaughter house

But the truth is that, we Yoruba Christian's will never vote Tinubu since he have chosen a Muslim as VP, is an insult to we Yoruba Christian's and Tinubu must be punished

You must be really living in fools island if you believed what you wrote there

.

Mynd44
Lalasticlala
seun
David Hundeyin
Kindly push this to the front page for larger audience.

LMAO,you mean Tinubu will win Atiku's region with over 70% votes?

mrrandomguy:
Mynd44
Lalasticlala
seun
David Hundeyin
Kindly push this to the front page for larger audience.

You're calling mods to move a senseless trash to front page? So, any kid can now wake up, right nonsense and ask mods to move the rubbish to front page?

The owner of nairaland and some of his mods may be biased but they're not stupid to move rubbish to front page.

Pandora Peter Obi miscreants are already on the thread, they will start dishing out curses and threats to their parents

Bomboiy:
LMAO,you mean Tinubu will win Atiku's region with over 70% votes?

Tinubu won northern APC primary votes over a sitting Senate President backed by the powerful Aso rock cabals and northern national party chairman of the APC with how many percentage of votes exactly?

Yamiriflathead:


Tinubu won northern APC primary votes over a sitting Senate President backed by the powerful Aso rock cabals and northern national party chairman of the APC with how many percentage of votes exactly?

You are clowning, Tinubu only won because Buhari and his Northern cabals didn't interfere. Governor El rufai confirmed that the governors were willing to support Buhari's choice, even your Agbado Lord thanked Buhari for making the field Leveled.


General election is a different ball game, you can't share dollars to millions of electorates.

Yamiriflathead:


Tinubu won northern APC primary votes over a sitting Senate President backed by the powerful Aso rock cabals and northern national party chairman of the APC with how many percentage of votes exactly?

Read your statement again. That one is APC primaries and not the presidential election. Though, they might have collected their share. He has to pay again for this election else he will fail.

To sum it up, it is the youth vs bad governors.


You would not want to underestimate the youth, would you?

Go back and see the last Lagos presidential election result. PDP gave them a hot chase.


Your analysis is funny.

mrrandomguy:
Mynd44
Lalasticlala
seun
David Hundeyin
Kindly push this to the front page for larger audience.

Larger audience for what?

Some People no really get shame sha

Tinubu will win NE by 77%

And Northwest by 95%

And you want it pushed to front page.

Bomboiy:


You are clowning, Tinubu only won because Buhari and his Northern cabals didn't interfere. Governor El rufai confirmed that the governors were willing to support Buhari's choice, even your Agbado Lord thanked Buhari for making the field Leveled.


General election is a different ball game, you can't share dollars to millions of electorates.

So they would interfere in the general elections right?

You guy should at least by now know the power and strenght of this man called Jagaban. Some one who won the primary that was full of real battle. Not someone who ran away from party primary.

Coolsperm:
But the truth is that, we Yoruba Christian's will never vote Tinubu since he have chosen a Muslim as VP, is an insult to we Yoruba Christian's and Tinubu must be punished

when did you become their spokesman?

Yamiriflathead:


So they would interfere in the general elections right?

Without their support Tinubu won't get core Northern votes,you should stop overestimating your Tinubu.

It is delusional to think Tinubu will win Atiku in his own region, that's like hoping on Tinubu to win SE.

Light78:


Read your statement again. That one is APC primaries and not the presidential election. Though, they might have collected their share. He has to pay again for this election else he will fail.

To sum it up, it is the youth vs bad governors.


You would not want to underestimate the youth, would you?

Go back and see the last Lagos presidential election result. PDP gave them a hot chase.


Your analysis is funny.

So you mean APC governors in the northwest and northest will lose their states to Atiku in 2023 right?
And you think amaechi and Rochas couldn't have bribed APC govs with higher sums if money was the deciding factor right?

Coolsperm:
But the truth is that, we Yoruba Christian's will never vote Tinubu since he have chosen a Muslim as VP, is an insult to we Yoruba Christian's and Tinubu must be punished

Coolsperm: 12:41pm On Jun 25

"Is Yoruba Muslims that started it, and we the SS people will never support Tinubu due what he ( Tinubu ) did to Jonathan in Ojota protest"

Yamiriflathead:


So you mean APC governors in the northwest and northest will lose their states to Atiku in 2023 right?
And you think amaechi and Rochas couldn't have bribed APC govs with higher sums if money was the deciding factor right?

Oga

Buhari to Tinubu: Run to Nigerians, I don't sell presidency.

Petrol is now #250 and you are still calling APC. Suffer no dey tire you?

If Buhari and Osinbanjo couldn't fix Nigeria, na Tinubu go fix am

Bomboiy:


Without their support Tinubu won't get core Northern votes,you should stop overestimating your Tinubu.

It is delusional to think Tinubu will win Atiku in his own region, that's like hoping on Tinubu to win SE.

As at now, which of the northern APC governors have witdrawn allegiance to APC and support for BAT?

Yamiriflathead:


As at now, which of the northern APC governors have witdrawn allegiance to APC and support for BAT?

The people will make their choice not the governors, PDP were controlling most Northern states in 2011 when Buhari won core North with over 12million votes.


Imo state is an APC state, I'm sure you are not expecting Tinubu to win in imo state.

Bomboiy:


The people will make their choice not the governors, PDP were controlling most Northern states in 2011 when Buhari won core North with over 12million votes.


Imo state is an APC state, I'm sure you are not expecting Tinubu to win in imo state.

Buhari had always garnered over 8 million votes from the north by himself before tinubu formed an alliance with him, can that be said about atiku?

Rubbish.

Yamiriflathead:


Buhari had always garnered over 8 million votes from the north by himself before tinubu formed an alliance with him, can that be said about atiku?

There is Buhari from the north with 12million votes bank.

There is Atiku from the north who has contested before and got about 11million votes.


And there is Tinubu from the south who has never contested before.


There are adults that think Tinubu will get more votes from North than the two above. Did Buhari even win NE with 78%votes?

Bomboiy:


There is Buhari from the north with 12million votes bank.

There is Atiku from the north who has contested before and got about 11million votes.


And there is Tinubu from the south who has never contested before.


There are adults that think Tinubu will get more votes from North than the two above. Did Buhari even win NE with 78%votes?

I like ur analysis.. Let's see what the general election has in store then we can continue this conversation.

Penguin2:


Larger audience for what?

Some People no really get shame sha

Tinubu will win NE by 77%

And Northwest by 95%

And you want it pushed to front page.

he even mentioned the Muslim factor so atiku from the north is christian.