Ok

True

Whoever becomes the next president, we already know he'll be worse than Buhari. Suffering is our birthright as a nation.

wiseoneking:
This Edo seem to be the highest state after SE states that abhors APC as a party

That's not true.

In Presidential elections, APC has scored above 40% in the last two elections.

this guy is analysing social media trends,

1. there is no PU on social media

2. Social media is not representative of Nigerians. The typical Nigerian on social media has nothing in common with the market woman or farmer in the villages

khadaffi:


Even me self surprise with this kind yeye stat. After Peter Obi in Edo the second is going to be Atiku. This will be because of the governor having allied with Atiku. There is no BAT in Edo State. The only ones we have reside at kingsquare and only fly during the day. We have killed most of the bats in Edo State due to the large presence of skilled hunters.

Edo is just a dot and you should only SPEAK for yourself because no be everybody get maggot brain...

Lol this is not a true representation of event.

I don't know why you guys are overrating Peter Obi. 2023 should just come fast so that all these Obituary children can understand politics and structure.

Peter Obi will not win any state in the NC. It is impossible. Those Plateau/Benue/Taraba will be slightly won by PDP with APC having more votes than anything Obi will get in these states. PDP can't even win them with 58%.

Niger, Kwara, & Kogi will be won by APC.

Forget that thing!!
There are so many PDP men that are coming back to APC before December. Tinubu will have 52% in this election.

I just can’t wait for February 2023 to come.

All these stats go clear una eyes

You are not God, People should stop all this that they are spreading, until deal day abeg.

Faiththatworks:
I'm sure this data was gathered from the Biafran bureau of stastics,Haba this is a very childish representation of what 2023 polls will look like.
How will Peter Obi win any state in the South-south and 2 states in the North Central,that's a terrible fallacy.
Peter Obi will not win the election of 2023,I daresay he won't even come 3rd,if he's able to get up to 2 million votes around Nigeria then he tried.
Delta will be a straight fight between Okowa,Ibori and Omo-Agege,with PDP pulling off a victory,Edo will witness another battle between Oshiomole and Obaseki,I'm sure the margins between both parties will be small with Peter Obi playing the spoiler.
Akwa Ibom,Cross river and Bayelsa will be very tight also,but Peter Obi will play the spoiler again and reduce whatever large difference Atiku will give Asiwaju.
Rivers is not too certain,if Wike continues with his tantrums until the day of election,then It will be too close to call between APC and PDP, remember APC haven't had an elected aspirant in Rivers in 4 yrs,I'm sure it will be very bitter in Rivers this time around, again Obi will be the spoiler for PDP.
It will be a total decimation for Obi in the North-west and North-East,I expect a fierce battle between Atiku and Kwankwanso in the North-west,with Asiwaju playing catch-up,while Atiku and Shettima will battle out the North-East,I see Atiku winning that zone but with little Margin.
The North Central will be a battle between Atiku and Asiwaju,I expect it to be very close with Asiwaju winning kwara,kogi and Nassarawa,while Atiku will take Niger, Taraba,Benue.
Plateau will be too close to call.
I have left the south west and south east out of it because Asiwaju will win the south west,and Obi will win the South-east but the PDP will.be very close in both region.
Seriously Asiwaju will only win this election if he's able to stay very very close to whatever Numbers Atiku and Kwankwanso pull out from the North-west and North-East.
As for Obi,he will just end up spoiling whatever Numbers Atiku should have pulled to win the Election.
I daresay if u add up Obi numbers and Atiku numbers in 2023,it would have been enough to make Atiku the president of Nigeria.
That's a prophecy.
God bless Nigeria.

In this election, Obi might end up indirectly handing the victory to Tinubu.

Validated:
Peter Obi will deafeat Tinubu and Atiku to second and distant last. The analyst is bias. The only states Obi cannot get 50% are Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, and Lagos.

Do you smoke or drink alcohol?

Nonsense analysis. OBIDATTI youths go surprise una

These permutations makes sense.

Faiththatworks:
I'm sure this data was gathered from the Biafran bureau of stastics,Haba this is a very childish representation of what 2023 polls will look like.
How will Peter Obi win any state in the South-south and 2 states in the North Central,that's a terrible fallacy.
Peter Obi will not win the election of 2023,I daresay he won't even come 3rd,if he's able to get up to 2 million votes around Nigeria then he tried.
Delta will be a straight fight between Okowa,Ibori and Omo-Agege,with PDP pulling off a victory,Edo will witness another battle between Oshiomole and Obaseki,I'm sure the margins between both parties will be small with Peter Obi playing the spoiler.
Akwa Ibom,Cross river and Bayelsa will be very tight also,but Peter Obi will play the spoiler again and reduce whatever large difference Atiku will give Asiwaju.
Rivers is not too certain,if Wike continues with his tantrums until the day of election,then It will be too close to call between APC and PDP, remember APC haven't had an elected aspirant in Rivers in 4 yrs,I'm sure it will be very bitter in Rivers this time around, again Obi will be the spoiler for PDP.
It will be a total decimation for Obi in the North-west and North-East,I expect a fierce battle between Atiku and Kwankwanso in the North-west,with Asiwaju playing catch-up,while Atiku and Shettima will battle out the North-East,I see Atiku winning that zone but with little Margin.
The North Central will be a battle between Atiku and Asiwaju,I expect it to be very close with Asiwaju winning kwara,kogi and Nassarawa,while Atiku will take Niger, Taraba,Benue.
Plateau will be too close to call.
I have left the south west and south east out of it because Asiwaju will win the south west,and Obi will win the South-east but the PDP will.be very close in both region.
Seriously Asiwaju will only win this election if he's able to stay very very close to whatever Numbers Atiku and Kwankwanso pull out from the North-west and North-East.
As for Obi,he will just end up spoiling whatever Numbers Atiku should have pulled to win the Election.
I daresay if u add up Obi numbers and Atiku numbers in 2023,it would have been enough to make Atiku the president of Nigeria.
That's a prophecy.
God bless Nigeria.

FreeStuffsNG:
2023 is APC versus PDP and APC's Asiwaju Tinubu will win by landslide in NW, SW, NC and NE. SE is PDP to slug out with the mushroom parties while SS will be shared between APC and PDP.
Any other party is a mushroom party and just wasting their time and resources.

So said a shaky shaky voter for his shaky shaky candidate

Peter Obi won't have a million votes

Make una forget all these trivial analysis. Let's wait for the election, only then will we know.

sotall:


Who dash Emilokan 38% for Edo?

You join the person wen write this rubbish post smoke? Who dash Obi those states? Delta and Edo. If I hear say Obi see 25% for Edo

sotall:


Who dash Emilokan 38% for Edo?

The way these people insult Edo people is ridiculous!

An average Edo person will vote for Tinubu on what grounds exactly?!!

Rubbish. Imagine Benue voting for Baba wey no well....

Rubbish. Election never reach Dem don dey do nonsense.

sotall:


Who dash Emilokan 38% for Edo?

you took the word from my mouth!

kingscare1:


It's a good data representation, at least it came close to everyday realities. But I strongly believe that Peter obi is the predicted surprise that would happen in the 2023 presidential elections due to the power of its viral social media followerships, news, and trends, and coupled with the different bad news everywhere in Nigeria, people need hope, security, and money to buy foodstuff to eat with their families. So Obedient is a natural order of hope in Nigeria now.

Lastly, one cannot underage the power of social media and the reach of the internet, so offline campaign is dying giving way to the digital campaign Revolution. So those saying otherwise are merely wasting their time, after all, change is constant and may not be completely predicted. Apc made a grave mistake by giving the mandate to controversial timubu instead of Osibanjo and the terrible blow is the Muslim-muslim ticket.

Social media doesn't mean much in Nigeria political land space. Your analysis is fair though
. But saying social media will play anything with votes is unrealistic. How many Nigerians are on the Internet?

True sha

usibengate:
Baba should forget votes from Edo. Edo nor be Lagos still subsist, despite......??

enough said

Wh

Tinubu will not win Pla2 state, even with his CDG coming from Plateau state.

H100:
According to the trends data, using the past 7 (seven) days' filter 03-08-2022 to 10-08-2022.

OVERALL AVERAGE

Bola Ahmed Tinubu (49%)
Atiku Abubakar (26%)
Peter Obi (48%)
Rabiu Kwankwaso (3%)

There are still about 6 months before February 2023, but I can tell you that the significant contest will be between Bola Ahmed Tinubu, Peter Obi, and Atiku Abubakar.

There are also going to be lots of surprises, more swing states or battleground states are emerging.

Bola Ahmed Tinubu leads with about 15 states: Ekiti, Oyo, Osun, Ondo, Ogun, Kwara, Lagos, Jigawa, Plateau, Niger, Kogi, Kaduna, Bauchi, Borno, and Taraba.

It's good to share that in Lagos, Bola Ahmed Tinubu had 41%, while Peter Obi is at 38%.

Can Lagos be a swing state?

Next, Peter Obi leads with about 13 states: Edo, Delta, Benue, Nasarawa, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Cross River, Imo, Bayelsa, Abia, Ebonyi, Anambra, and Enugu.

Do you know that the FCT will also be a battleground?

Bola Ahmed Tinubu 37% and Peter Obi 37% each, according to the trends at this time.

Next, Atiku Abubakar with about 8 states: Kebbi, Yobe, Katsina, Sokoto, Zamfara, Gombe, Adamawa and Kano.

Yes, I was equally surprised with the traction from Kano - Atiku Abubakar 33%, Bola Ahmed Tinubu 26%, Rabiu Kwankwaso 24%, and Peter Obi 17%.

It’s good to share that Kwankwaso’s highest traction is from Kano, but they also have been growing in Jigawa, Katsina, Yobe, Bauchi, and Borno State.

SWING STATES OR BATTLEGROUND STATES:

(a) Katsina State - Bola Ahmed Tinubu 40% and Atiku Abubakar 41%.

(b) Yobe State - Atiku Abubakar 47% and Bola Ahmed Tinubu 41%.

(c) Lagos State - Bola Ahmed Tinubu 41% and Peter Obi 38%.

(d) Kebbi State - Atiku Abubakar 51% and Bola Ahmed Tinubu 49%.

(e) Edo State - Peter Obi 43% and Bola Ahmed Tinubu 38%.

(f) Plateau State - Peter Obi 37% and Bola Ahmed Tinubu 39%.

(g) Jigawa State - Bola Ahmed Tinubu 40% and Atiku Abubakar 39%.

(h) FCT - Peter Obi 37% and Bola Ahmed Tinubu 37%.

(i) Borno State - Bola Ahmed Tinubu 37% and Atiku Abubakar 36%.

(j) Benue State - Peter Obi 41% and Bola Ahmed Tinubu 36%.

(k) Nasarawa State - Bola Ahmed Tinubu 36% and Peter Obi 39%.

(l) Taraba State - Bola Ahmed Tinubu 36%, Peter Obi 34%, and Atiku Abubakar 30%.

Data Spreadsheet:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xcoddwJ21tVzj9n0EtJgBPN-jrNWIPSzPp2ssxoC8os/edit?usp=sharing

Credit : Aderogba Otunla

Lie lie Analysis...this is not USA...where Such Forecast can Stand...Keep Deceiving Urself with False Premise

it will shock u tinubu urchins. Tinubu won't get upto 30% of votes.

Peter will come out ontop of the pack with 50% and the rest to share the other 50% amongst themselves.