₦airaland Forum

Tinubu lack integrity and honesty.
Everything about Tinubu are lies and lies and scam.
Since the youths realized that bad character about Tinubu his approval rating got to bottom 8% .
Nigerians are wiser than 2015.
The youths can't be scammed always by greedy politicians

chukwukadibia20:
Tinubu has a challenger in his backyard as Peter Obi who has certain factors against him, 1) same religion tickets as 70 percents christians would punish him for that and give Obi their votes. 2) campaign DG of Tinubu said the Yoruba CHRISTIANS are just 30%< if it is anything to go by, it means Yoruba Christians are minority and their votes are just too little. Yoruba muslems are fully behind Tinubu is life and death. 3) most Yoruba youths are not happy with him as they think he is old and sick and he has been a Lord in their land with some pocket of signs, this would work against him, at the end , what Obi needs in the entire South West is 25 to 30% votes as South West is a battle ground for him.

Coming to South East and South South, both Tinubu and Atiku can't get 20% votes in this areas and that is 11 states. In case you don't know, these states would vote massively because they think their own is contesting. Unless the politicians in those areas empowers youths to destroy polling centers, tb bumps and threaten these two zones not to come out and vote. But for South West,Atiku can't get up to ten percent votes, what this means is that Atiku is out of this game.

Coming to North Central, Obi has better chances in Abuja, Plateau, Benue, Nassarawa, Kogi, Niger and Kwara. Obi would cross 25% votes in Kwara but may not defeat Tinubu in Kwara due to muslems votes, Imams in Kwara will tell them to vote Tinubu. In Niger, Obi would get up to 40 percent votes while tinubu and Atiku shares 60%. Reason is simple, large CHRISTIANS in Niger, large Igbo population or presence, campaign by churches, youths influence from Abuja. Both APC and PDP would apply tribes and religion to campaign against LP in North central to muslems. In Nassarawa, LP would take at least 50 to 60% votes due to same religion, Igbo, non Nassarawan populations in that state and youths influence. in Kogi, it would be 60% LP as those half christians populations in that state would go Labour while few Muslems there too are going Labour too. Tinubu and Atiku would share 40% there. So, North central is tough for both APC and PDP with these two parties not getting 25% in Benue, Plateau, Abuja, and Kogi. What happens in NC will determine the winner of the election. So, Obi is coming into the race with SE, SS on at least 90 percent, NC on at least 60 percent and SW on at least 30%.

For North East,LP would take TARRABA at 70 percent , Adamawa at 30 percent and Gombe at 50 percent. His chances in other 3 states would be below 25%. The three states I mentioned now have large and crazy Christian populations. Don't joke with that factor.

In North West, LP would take only Kaduna. Kaduna is in two parts, christian south and muslem North. The christians South would vote LP by 90% while Muslem North would bring in like ten percent due to Datti, Obi's VP, that would give Obi the chance to take Kaduna state. Obi may get up to 20 to 25% in Sokoto and Kano, up to or less than ten percent in Bauchi, and Borno.
Who are campaigning in this?
1) Imams, but their dilemma is that they have 3 muslems, and their entire muslem votes nationwide would be split.
2) pastors, for the first time, churches are turning their alters to campaign ground and almost all churches in SS and SE are fully locked for LP, churches in South West are 70 percent speaking to promote LP. Churches in NC are fully locked for LP and if christians population should come out and vote, then no body can defeat their candidate.
3) religion, it would be extremely difficult for a muslem to vote for LP though some muslems would vote LP, Yoruba muslems are fully behind Tinubu, almost 30% christians too. In North, choice of Shettima has weakened Atiku's clear chances but Atiku would win majority muslem votes in NC, NE and NW with Tinubu coming second and Kwankwaso third , that is, if Kwankwaso doesn't step down for Tinubu. Na, if muslem votes in Northern Nigeria is 100% 55% goes to Atiku, 35% goes to Tinubu and ten percent to others. For LP, they would sweep the entire christian votes by 90 percent while ten is left for others in both SE and SS. In South West, it would take 70% percent Christian votes while Tinubu gets almost 30% with Atiku less than 5%. In NC, LP would take 85% christian votes while 15% goes to Atiku and Tinubu. In North East, LP would take 90% christian votes in TARRABA, Gombe, Borno, Bauchi and NW , it would take 90% christian votes in Sokoto, Kano and Kaduna.
4) Tribe. It is much easier for someone in SS to vote a competent SE candidate than a competent NE or NW or SW candidates. Tribally, SE and SS would vote Obi by 90% and above. By tribe, NW and NE largely by its muslems would vote Atiku by 70% and vote Tinubu by 30% as someone who have helped North under Buhari. In SW, yorubas would vote at least 70% by tribe.only NC is neautral on this except Niger and Kwara.
5) Youths and Age. This factor would make it hard for Tinubu to coast home easily in SW. Age and youths factor would make him dangle with 60 to 70% instead of 90 to 95% LP would get in SE and SS. Age and youths would also work against Atiku in NC.
6) insecurity. Especially Atiku, insecurity would make it hard for NC and Christians in the North to trust him as they see him as Northern Fulani muslem.

Look at this. LP has SS, SE,NC, TARRABA,Gombe, bit Adamawa. Kaduna, bit Sokoto and Kano

APC has the entire SW by 70% , NC by less than or 25% NE and NW at 35 to 40%.
PDP has SW at less than 10% ,NC at 30%, NE and NW at 55%

Next year's election may not produce more than 40 million votes despite youths awakening. But 40M shows progress. How do I mean? New PVC is between ten to 12M, replacement and transfer is like 8 to ten Million votes, it you add all, it is like 20M, add 20 to 25M as obtained last election , you may have between 40 to 45M. Subtract riggings which card reader and manual voting through incidence forms brought and voter aparthy that may occur in some core Northern states, then you would have highest 40M voting.
Out of this 40M, SE would have the least votes of 4 to 4.6M, SS would have 6 to 6.5M, SW would have like 6to 7M, NC, 6 to 6.7M , North East 6 to 6.4M and NW 8 to 9M votes.
LP may go home with 15 to 19M votes, APC 12 to 13 M and PDP 7 to 8M votes.

See this shocker, APC and PDP may not get up to 25% in 24 states, let's starts from PDP, Atiku is seen as injustice to the entire Southern Nigeria and they would punish him for that , his party too has internal wrangles, PDP would loose SE, SS and SW, 17 states off already, meaning he would be left with 19 Northern States, he can't scale through in Benue, Plateau, TARRABA,Kaduna, Kogi, Kwara.

For APC, SE and SS is off. Meaning APC is left with 6 in SW. APC may get 25% in NW and NE making it 18 states, in North central they would likely get 25% in Nassarawa, Kogi and Kwara, may be, just may be Niger, making it 22 states and off by two states as Benue, Plateau, TARRABA, Gombe can't give it to APC.
LP would likely get 25% in all 17 Southern states and 6 in NC making it total of 22 states, then Kaduna, TARRABA, Gombe, Adamawa and may be, just may be, Sokoto, making it 26 to 27 states. Only Labour comfortably cross this line.

Dear Nigerians , I don't need a prophet or prophecy to know this. I am fully on ground and in the field. I know what is happening in many states.

I believe the election would be free and fair (due to BVAS machines, absence of manual voting through incidence forms and electronic transmission from polling units) and if it does, APC and PDP can't win this election.
I won't comment on LP national assembly candidates, too hard for me to call bur take it, as it stands, LP is far from winning here. Labour would surely win NASS especially in Abuja, win some state govs like Abia, Benue, plateau and some states like Lagos ,that is, if Tinubu looses Lagos in Presidency.
LP=first
APC=second
PDP= third
My own fair Judgement from my political studies for the past 18 years.
Please, APC, PDP and LP, don't look down on the following:
1) the power of the social media,
2) the power of the churches, so long as Christian states are concerned, the church is the highest grassroot mobilizer.
3) the power of the youths,nobody convince people more in any election than them
4) competence and capacity in delivering promises and speech.
I stand by this and no prophecy can alter it except God alters it himself.
If LP didn't raise up to 50B to 100B to run its campaign, their chances would be affected. If Igbo men are rich, this is the time to proof it.

CHIKA IGWE ESQ.

Iam in the north central, I think you are dreaming.
Nobody in the north central will vote for someone that want to divide this country.
A vote for Peter Obi is a vote for ipob.

asanausana91:
Iam in the north central, I think you are dreaming.
Nobody in the north central will vote for someone that want to divide this country.
A vote for Peter Obi is a vote for ipob.

You don't need to worry, what Buhari did to Nigeria is worst than division still he couldn't succeed.
Nobody can divide Nigeria again What the reasonable citizens want today naa capable young Person to Re-pair the Damages

kay1one:
That's something already cos as of 3 months ago it wasn't that way. FYI SS has joined the train. NC is joining too and SW is tending towards at least 40% already.

Forget about being anybody's supporter. If this was happening in Ghana, you'll warn the opposition to be careful

Which north central is joining? Keep deceiving yourselves, who persons in North Central will do Arab spring for Obi. You funny

Spirit04:
Tinubu will clear south west. In South South, he will easily wipe the entire Edo North (Oshiomole will even be on the ballot that day) Pdp will clear Edo central which is where I'm from, they will split Edo south depending on how much oyegun and the others corporate.
PDP will clear Delta North. APC will most likely win Delta Central (Omo Agege will win governorship election and the wave will affect presidential election) Rivers all depends on where Wike sway. APC won't win Rivers but the margin could reduce. Akwa Ibom win most likely follow Pdp. I don't know of Cross Rivers.
Apc will win North West. APC will win Niger, Kwara and Kogi. Nasarawa will most likely follow Pdp. APC chairman is not a serious person.
Apc will wipe Borno and Yobe and might win Gombe. Pdp will wipe Adamawa, Taraba and Bauchi they might win Gombe.

LP and NNPP are not even in the race

You try. But it's still wishful thinking. You think people will vote a political party because of one chairman or politician that was useless to them? I need statistical data and demographics. I need to how what will control the minds of the majority of the populations and how that will affect the general results.

Kaiser20:
You don't need to worry, what Buhari did to Nigeria is worst than division still he couldn't succeed.
Nobody can divide Nigeria again What the reasonable citizens want today naa capable young Person to Re-pair the Damages

unfortunately we don't have that.
Atiku is 71
Tinubu is 70
Obi is 62

Stop lying. Don't just copy and paste.

Ruto was the online king and Wajackoyah who didn't win a single online poll. The online polls were won by either Ruto or Rails Odinga.

If you say it is a lie, screenshot and show me the online poll(s) that George Wajackoyah won.

Softmirror:

Pandev:
prove me wrong. You must have read anambra1stson1 fake news claiming that the social media candidate won . Omo you people just swallow everything hook line and sinker.

so Reno omokri you guys despise so much is now your news supplier?
whatever he posts is the absolute truth?
your delusion is incurable....



he will soon post one rubbish against Tinubu, don't come here and start fighting him...

MikeofAfrica:
I support Peter Obi and want him to win but the truth is that it will take a miracle for him to win notwithstanding the support of the youths.
Nigeria is a third world nation where elections are not won on merit. That is the reason why Buhari won his re- election in 2019 after 4 years of poor leadership.
Party Structure is the primary factor that wins election in Nigeria. Most Nigerians live in villages and vote according to the dictate of their political leaders.
Religion and ethnicity are two other factors. This is the reason PDP went against her zoning principle in a bid to get massive votes in the north. APC then went for a muslim- Muslim ticket to counter the move of PDP.
Had Nigeria been a develop nation like America, Obi will win the election with a landslide. Unfortunately, the youths still have a mountain to climb before APC and PDP can be defeated.

..

Pandev:
hey boy, I never argue that Obi will be our pioneer Biafran president. We're ready

hope ur saw IMO today wait for JOS AND UYO SOON 2MILLION MATCH FOR OUR INCOMING PRESIDENT

8 REASONABLE REASONS TO ELECT PETER OBI

1. Peter Obi is averse to waste

At the root of the poor infrastructural development all over Nigeria is criminal wastefulness, corruption and inflated contracts. Road or rail projects that can be done with N2 billion are inflated to N20 billion. The consequences of this is that projects go on forever and funds that would have been used to do 4 or 5 projects are spent on just 1 project.

A very good example is the Lagos light rail project. It was conceptualised by Jakande in the early 80s but still remains uncompleted till date, even after 23 years of APC/Tinubu unbroken stranglehold of Lagos State.

2. The people's president

Of the 3 main candidates, only Peter Obi is banking on the power of the people to get elected. Tinubu and Atiku are relying/relied heavily on the support of the delegates (bought with dollars), governors, senators, house of representatives and other structures of their political party to get elected.

The consequences of this is clear. If Peter Obi is elected, naturally he will take decisions that will benefit the overwhelming majority of Nigerians who voted him to power.

Unlike the other candidates who if elected will spend reasonable public funds and time to reward the structures that got them elected.

3. A visionary president
In 2023, we need a president who, while catering for the current generation and solving the myriads of the current problems, also plans for the future, our children and the unborn generation.

A president who realises that Nigeria will still be existing in 100 and 200 years to come and sets aside some funds for the future and unborn generations.

That is what Peter Obi represents, as he demonstrated in Anambra by saving some money for the future.

We do not need people who believe we should consume everything today and let the future take care of itself.

4. He is young, vibrant and energetic

With the plethora of problems plagueing Nigeria currently, we need a president that is relatively young, energetic and vibrant.

A president that has the physical and mental capacity to supervise the effective implementation of his programs and policies across all sectors simultaneously across the country.

A president with hands on approach on all the issues.

That is what Peter Obi represents.

5. A courageous president

We need a president who has the courage to take and implement critical decisions that can move Nigeria forward.

Peter Obi demonstrated great courage when he opted to be impeached as Anambra governor rather than deploy public funds to pacify the greedy lawmakers. It takes courage and conviction to take such risky personal political decision because the impeachment court case could have gone either way.

6. His message is clear and concise

His campaign message in all the media interviews has centred around reducing waste and moving Nigeria from consumption to production. This is very clear message that tackles the root cause of many of the problems bedevilling Nigeria today.

7. A president that communicates to Nigerians
So far, of the 3 main candidates, only Peter Obi has granted to several live TV interviews. It shows he is a believer in the power of communication. He believes you and I have the right to know.

Atiku only managed to grant a recorded interview while Tinubu has not granted any at all.

This time around, we need a president that has the confidence to speak to Nigerians directly about his policies and challenges if any. Enough of deaf and dumb Presidents, hijacked by cabals in Aso Villa.

8. A listening president

As governor of Anambra State, Peter Obi was always visiting schools, hospitals, etc to hear and feel the challenges. At some point, he gave his phone number to the school prefects to get direct feedbacks. This demonstrates that Peter Obi will be a listening president.

We don't need a president that will be hijacked by the Aso Rock cabal and only brought out once in 6 months to show proof of life.

In conclusion, 2023 presents another opportunity for you and I to choose a leader that will serve Nigeria and Nigerians in the next 4 to 8 years. For me, it is a very easy decision.

#ObiDatti 2023.

Naajjii:
You keep referencing youths youths ,how many youths are supporting Obi and from which part of the country? Majority of the youths supporting him are Igbos and few others from South South and North Central , most of them are following what their pastors and churches are saying to them. Obi doesn't have support of Muslims youths.

If after 16 years of PDP failure and 8 years of APC failure, you want Nigerians to reward one of them with the 2023 presidency, then it shows you do not love this nation.
I mentioned the support of the youth for Obi because it is the responsibility of the youths of a Nation to vote out bad leaders and secure their future.
It is also the responsibility of the youths to raise above religion and ethnic bigotry while making decisions. I believe that SW youths are the most enlighten youths in Nigeria. Hence I expect many of them to vote Obi. Unfortunately, I cannot say the same for NW and NE youths hence my fear that Obi might not win.
Religion and ethnic bigotry gave us Buhari. It will give us a worse president if we repeat the same mistake in 2023.

Spirit04:
are you a dog that wants to be obedient to your owner?

I support Obi but I hate it when these people say nonsense like "be obidient".. "I'm obedient." As if they're kids or servile dogs like you said.

MikeofAfrica:
If after 16 years of PDP failure and 8 years of APC failure, you want Nigerians to reward one of them with the 2023 presidency, then it shows you do not love this nation.
I mentioned the support of the youth for Obi because it is the responsibility of the youths of a Nation to vote out bad leaders and secure their future.
It is also the responsibility of the youths to raise above religion and ethnic bigotry while making decisions. I believe that SW youths are the most enlighten youths in Nigeria. Hence I expect many of them to vote Obi. Unfortunately, I cannot say the same for NW and NE youths hence my fear that Obi might not win.
Religion and ethnic bigotry gave us Buhari. It will give us a worse president if we repeat the same mistake in 2023.

.
..

About structure, people tend to forget that Buhari's hurriedly formed CPC didn't have any structure, yet it amassed 12 million votes and gave GEJ a run for his money in 2011.

About social media, people tend to forget that social media was instrumental in sweeping Buhari to power in 2015... Buhari was the social media candidate in 2015. People tend to forget and mix things up too easily.

Naajjii:
Was your Obi not a member of PDP? How old is Obi in Labour party less than 5 months but he was more than 8 years old in PDP. These people you think you can scam us
Talking about religion and ethnic bigotry,Obidient people enjoy doing that alot. Insulting and threatening people ,what about what your churches and pastors are saying ,Christians should Obi. We will see how Christians only will name hin president.

Peter Obi was a former member of PDP but he was not part of any former Government of PDP that failed Nigeria. Hence we cannot link him to the failures of PDP.
APC and PDP spited on millions of Christian across Nigeria by denying them the right to produce the next president after the tenure of a Muslim. Hence Peter Obi is calming this anger by visiting different churches.
Had APC and PDP present a Christian to succeed a Christian president, our Muslim brothers would have burn many churches in the north and kill many Christians. However many Christians have endured the shame and embrace Obi yet you are not satisfy.
You classified their decision as bigotry but they were only reacting to the bigotry of APC and PDP.
If all christians vote Obi and all muslims vote for either Tinubu, Atiku or Kwankwanso, then Obi will win the election.