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My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? - Politics - Nairaland

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My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by MeanChris(m): 11:05pm On Aug 24, 2022
1. Votes by percentage
2. Total Registered Voters from each region
3. Votes given a 100 % Voter turn out (Assumption)
4. Total Votes given a 40% voter turnout (More Realistic)

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by Prinxzona10: 11:07pm On Aug 24, 2022
Honestly,your analysis are in order buh I think Atiku will take a second position while Tinubu will take third position though I wouldn't be certain buh the votes you gave Tinubu in the North ain't viable and obtainable especially when you visualize what Nigerians have been through in this APC government coupled with the fact that two demi gods from the North,after Buhari will be on the ballot..
Buh the truth still remains that anyhow they arrange it,analyse it or dissect it,it always boils down to the fact that all the indices favors Peter Obi and certainly Peter Obi will win though ain't sure of the minimum of 25% votes from at least 24 states of the federation..
I rest my case..Gracias!!!!

21 Likes 1 Share

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by Ochemicals: 11:08pm On Aug 24, 2022
This is the truest forecast so far

19 Likes 1 Share

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by tobb: 11:11pm On Aug 24, 2022
SE cannot give obi 10m votes highest is 6m...
Obi cannot get 2m votes in NW..

Atiku and tinubu may win North Central, forget the majority Christian there, election is by money, stomach infrastructure..

Mind you Atiku will get more than 20 % votes in SE... Some people still think obi is in PDP, and also the LP and Pdp flag lookalike.


I still believe Apc and PDP has an edge with Apc still likely favorite due to poor masses and hunger in the land.. Apc will use rural areas and ready to give at least 20k per vote. Soo Apc has an edge.

10 Likes 2 Shares

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by duro4chang(m): 11:11pm On Aug 24, 2022
I can see that you underrated Tinubu and overrated Obi. I am just waiting eagerly for the election to come and go because by then narrative will change.

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Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by MeanChris(m): 11:13pm On Aug 24, 2022
tobb:
SE cannot give obi 10m votes highest is 6m...

Mind you Atiku will get more than 20 % votes in SE... Some people still think obi is in PDP, and also the LP and Pdp flag lookalike

I said given a 100% voter turnout. Given a 40% voter turnout like I’m predicting, the SE will give PO like 4.5m votes

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Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by Proudlyomonna: 11:17pm On Aug 24, 2022
Peter Obi will be the beginning of a new Dawn for this Country.
I stand with Peter Obi.

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Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by tobb: 11:18pm On Aug 24, 2022
MeanChris:


I said given a 100% voter turnout. Given a 40% voter turnout like I’m predicting, the SE will give PO like 4.5m votes
I know, is like you don't live in SE. The issue of Biafra agitation have made majority of people lose interest in anything Nigeria, even with obi on ballot, some foolish igbos won't still vote..

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Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by ItsTutsi(m): 11:19pm On Aug 24, 2022
Lol shove the prediction up ur ass! Ur Pandora follower so didnt expect any better

How did PO get 4.9 in NC? Terll us the States that will give him those votes

In NW too.. How will he ganner 2.7

See how ur just inflating votes

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Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by MeanChris(m): 11:22pm On Aug 24, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Lol shove the prediction up ur ass! Ur Pandora follower so didnt expect any better

How did PO get 4.9 in NC? Terll us the States that will give him those votes

In NW too.. How will he ganner 2.7

See how ur just inflating votes


Get the analyses well Oga. You are quoting figures for the 100% voter turnout assumption.
Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by MeanChris(m): 11:23pm On Aug 24, 2022
tobb:
I know, is like you don't live in SE. The issue of Biafra agitation have made majority of people lose interest in anything Nigeria, even with obi on ballot, some foolish igbos won't still vote..

Lol, I live in the SE. Those figures are greatly down rated, honestly. The kind of votes PO will receive from the SE go shock Nigerians

5 Likes

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by ItsTutsi(m): 11:24pm On Aug 24, 2022
How are the Christians majority in NC pls! undecided
Kogi, kwarra, niger and nasarawa are all Muslim majority and will go for APC

How PO got 4m there still baffles me
tobb:
SE cannot give obi 10m votes highest is 6m...
Obi cannot get 2m votes in NW..

Atiku and tinubu may win North Central, forget the majority Christian there, election is by money, stomach infrastructure..

Mind you Atiku will get more than 20 % votes in SE... Some people still think obi is in PDP, and also the LP and Pdp flag lookalike.


I still believe Apc and PDP has an edge with Apc still likely favorite due to poor masses and hunger in the land.. Apc will use rural areas and ready to give at least 20k per vote. Soo Apc has an edge.

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by wis3(m): 11:26pm On Aug 24, 2022
Kwankwaso is not as relevant as you think. NNPP Does not really count much outside Kano.

4 Likes

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by Onucs(m): 11:28pm On Aug 24, 2022
Prinxzona10:
Honestly,your analysis are in order buh I think Atiku will take a second position while Tinubu will take third position though I wouldn't be certain buh the votes you gave Tinubu in the North ain't viable and obtainable especially when you visualize what Nigerians have been true in this APC government coupled with the fact that two demi gods from the North,after Buhari will be on the ballot..
Buh the truth still remains that anyhow they arrange it,analyse it and dissect it,it always boils down to the fact that all the indices favors Peter Obi and certainly Peter Obi will win though ain't sure of the minimum of 25% votes from at least 24 states of the federation..
I rest my case..Gracias!!!!

In your dreams grin

2 Likes

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by wis3(m): 11:28pm On Aug 24, 2022
ItsTutsi:
How are the Christians majority in NC pls! undecided
Kogi, kwarra, niger and nasarawa are all Muslim majority and will go for APC

How PO got 4m there still baffles me
some people would just rather lie to themselves.

2 Likes

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by ItsTutsi(m): 11:28pm On Aug 24, 2022
Even with that, how could he pull that figure.. pls let us know the states from both region
MeanChris:



Get the analyses well Oga. You are quoting figures for the 100% voter turnout assumption.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by MeanChris(m): 11:31pm On Aug 24, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Even with that, how could he pull that figure.. pls let us know the states from both region

...
Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by ItsTutsi(m): 11:34pm On Aug 24, 2022
Lol!! See the way the guy is just dashing out inflated votes to PO and kwankwasso.. the guy even happens to live in SE, they think election is RadioBiafra
wis3:
Kwankwaso is not as relevant as you think. NNPP Does not really count much outside Kano.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by wis3(m): 11:37pm On Aug 24, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Lol!! See the way the guy is just dashing out inflated votes to PO and kwankwasso.. the guy even happens to live in SE, they think election is RadioBiafra
what I find hilarious is how PO gets 95% of SE votes with Tinubu getting 65% of SW . Very sentimental. Ended up allocating 25% SW votes to PO. Isn't it nice elections are not held on social media?

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Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by Aufbauh(m): 11:42pm On Aug 24, 2022
It is this kind of wishful fantasy that makes some cry & wail after election shouting rigging .

Even at the peak of PDP rigging and election inflated figures, Nigeria has not recorded up to 30m+ vote talk more of 48m vote under ur 40% forecast.

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by nadisms: 11:49pm On Aug 24, 2022
Sincere truth

Many people will doubt it


The truth is that sw votes would be divided between Atiku,tinubu and PO

2 Likes

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by ItsTutsi(m): 11:54pm On Aug 24, 2022
It would have been even better for him to have said PO will get more votes in NE than NW because of higher Christian population.. thast just shows how daft and dumb the guy is
wis3:
what I find hilarious is how PO gets 95% of SE votes with Tinubu getting 65% of SW . Very sentimental. Ended up allocating 25% SW votes to PO. Isn't it nice elections are not held on social media?

2 Likes

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by ItsTutsi(m): 11:56pm On Aug 24, 2022
Tell us what's the truth about it!! What are the states that will give PO those votes in NW and NC
nadisms:
Sincere truth

Many people will doubt it


The truth is that sw votes would be divided between Atiku,tinubu and PO

2 Likes

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by wis3(m): 12:00am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
It would have been even better for him to have said PO will get more votes in NE than NW because of higher Christian population.. thast just shows how daft and dumb the guy is
It won't be long now. :-D

1 Like

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by tobb: 12:07am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
How are the Christians majority in NC pls! undecided
Kogi, kwarra, niger and nasarawa are all Muslim majority and will go for APC

How PO got 4m there still baffles me
yes.. but I still think PDP will drag votes because of Apc misrule, that's why I hint Apc has an edge, not by supporters, but by vote buying. They are the ruling party it is not easy to defeat them, and also money will play a huge part in this coming election, if obi said he is not ready to share money, then he should be ready to lose.
Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by abobote: 12:14am On Aug 25, 2022
I'm an obidient, but your analysis is not fair to other opponents
Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by Prinxzona10: 12:33am On Aug 25, 2022
Onucs:


In your dreams grin

Hey abobi,direct that you silly empty talk to your type.
In my dream or in real life,just know that whether Peter Obi wins or loses,it affects me not...besides,I don't like nuisance fisting on my mention,so you can now run along....
NB:my bad of quoting you once buh ain't gonna give you not even a second again..
I rest my case...Gracias!!!!

2 Likes

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by SmartPolician: 1:02am On Aug 25, 2022
This analysis is sensible and reasonable.
However, Labour Party has to do a lot of grassroots campaigns to achieve the figures you allocated them because the party has no structure like APC and PDP.

IMO, I forecast a runoff between Atiku and Peter Obi. Tinubu and Kwankwanso don't stand a chance in this election.

2 Likes

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by pinkgoodies(m): 1:21am On Aug 25, 2022
MeanChris:
1. Votes by percentage
2. Total Registered Voters from each region
3. Votes given a 100 % Voter turn out (Assumption)
4. Total Votes given a 40% voter turnout (More Realistic)

Funny analysis.. so Kwankwaso dat got no base in SE will now get same 1% with Tinubu that has Imo and Ebonyi APC structures. Please name NW states dat will give PO dat % u listed dia. I'm in imo state, i know wetin dey go on, as Hope dey wan pack votes for BAT. Mark it here, imo will give BAT 25% up

3 Likes

Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by Obidient4life3: 5:07am On Aug 25, 2022
MeanChris:


I said given a 100% voter turnout. Given a 40% voter turnout like I’m predicting, the SE will give PO like 4.5m votes

Most of them don't know basic maths.
Re: My Analysis For The 2023 Election Result ___ What Do You Think?? by frugal(m): 5:08am On Aug 25, 2022
wis3:
what I find hilarious is how PO gets 95% of SE votes with Tinubu getting 65% of SW . Very sentimental. Ended up allocating 25% SW votes to PO. Isn't it nice elections are not held on social media?
Although I have my reservations with the figures. It's all predictions anyways. If you're a critical thinker you'd understand why, but I guess sentiments won't let you.

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