Efewestern:
Delta North: PDP might get the upper hand, although the margin won't be high because of emergence of LP, but I'm projecting LP to win the Urban areas and the PDP clearing the Rural areas.

Delta South: This region always give unrealistic/unbelievable numbers in every election, but with the crack in the PDP and sudden deal with the boys in the creek, whosoever they "Work" for clears the zone.

Delta Central: Been the most urbanized zone and having Omo-agege as the leading figure, the zone will be heavily shared by the three contesting parties.

My prediction:

PDP: 30-40%
LP: 25-40%
APC: 20-25%

Also note that the our "Son" sentiments won't fly in a state like Delta. It would be a miracle for any party to get 50% of total votes cast.

Aiel123:

Don't you think that the nass seats held the same day as the presidential election will affect the outcome of the presidential election result?
And pls clarify how north will be shared btw LP and PDP?

highchief1:
lp is very strong now in north because of the closeness to anambra.but pdp will win all elections.

Aiel123:

Don't you think that the nass seats held the same day as the presidential election will affect the outcome of the presidential election result?
And pls clarify how north will be shared btw LP and PDP?

highchief1:
lp is very strong now in north because of the closeness to anambra.but pdp will win all elections.

Efewestern:


Wining isn't the problem but at what margin? Also the Guber election will be closely contested.

Aiel123:

Ok...
I factored in asaba and Oshimili axis for LP

highchief1:
upto ika area

Aiel123:

Ika south maybe but for lka north east they will vote for Okowa

highchief1:
no be by like that again o.the Obi movement is even higher in ika norh east

Aiel123:

Agege delivered for Buhari the marginal difference is irrelevant all what matters is a win
I disagree with your last assertion.
PDP will win delta it's just by what margin.
I pretty sure the margin between PDP and the rest will be about 200k upward.

Efewestern:
Delta North: PDP might get the upper hand, although the margin won't be high because of emergence of LP, but I'm projecting LP to win the Urban areas and the PDP clearing the Rural areas.

Delta South: This region always give unrealistic/unbelievable numbers in every election, but with the crack in the PDP and sudden deal with the boys in the creek, whosoever they "Work" for clears the zone.


You're right..Our Son mentality can't work firstly the paradigm of politics is changing....
I went back home to Warri....I was discuss politics with my Parents..I told them that PDP would win since our state since Okowa is our own..

My Mum refuted in the Market if you talk APC or Pdp ...this insult would be too much ...She said the Market leader was mocked when she tried campaigning for Apc...

Omo that's why I realised that this Obi matter is getting serious

Delta Central: Been the most urbanized zone and having Omo-agege as the leading figure, the zone will be heavily shared by the three contesting parties.

My prediction:

PDP: 30-40%
LP: 25-40%
APC: 20-25%

Also note that the our "Son" sentiments won't fly in a state like Delta. It would be a miracle for any party to get 50% of total votes cast.

Efewestern:


You tend not to realize the influence of LP and its impact in the coming election. Also you should note that a margin of 200k won't be helpful to the PDP in the general election considering the fact that this same state is projected to be a stronghold of the opposition party.

Yes we all agree that PDP is projected to win the state.

Efewestern:


You tend not to realize the influence of LP and its impact in the coming election. Also you should note that a margin of 200k won't be helpful to the PDP in the general election considering the fact that this same state is projected to be a stronghold of the opposition party.

Yes we all agree that PDP is projected to win the state.

Sammy07:



Truth! And in every elections what is important is the margins

Imagine this
Delta state (V. P)
PDP - 400k
LP - 200k
Apc - 100k

Now if Borno (V. P)
Apc - 900k
PDP - 100k
LP - 10k

They'll just declare apc winner irrespective weather they didn't win delta.
Margins wins are very important in elections.

P. O emergence will seriously hurt PDP in the south where it's has a stronghold

oluwadabira111:
A.P.C will not do that big number in borno with the emergence of Bvas.... can bet anything for that.

Udoboss:

You're right..Our Son mentality can't work firstly the paradigm of politics is changing....
I went back home to Warri....I was discuss politics with my Parents..I told them that PDP would win since our state since Okowa is our own..

My Mum refuted in the Market if you talk APC or Pdp ...this insult would be too much ...She said the Market leader was mocked when she tried campaigning for Apc...

Omo that's why I realised that this Obi matter is getting serious

Aiel123:

That's true
I don't rate the LP at all
I'll rate them after the polls by their performance.
I know Obi is eating into PDP's traditional strongholds but it doesn't resonates with me that LP is strong enough to do much damage in Delta.
It will be PDP first,APC and LP second and third runner up.

Efewestern:


Maybe you aren't in the state. I'm in the heart of Warri and I can tell you for free that Obi is gaining momentum.

If you are a party loyalist then you shouldn't sleep on LP.

Sammy07:


Truth! And in every elections what is important is the margins

Imagine this
Delta state (V. P)
PDP - 400k
LP - 200k
Apc - 100k

Now if Borno (V. P)
Apc - 900k
PDP - 100k
LP - 10k

They'll just declare apc winner irrespective weather they didn't win delta.
Margins wins are very important in elections.

P. O emergence will seriously hurt PDP in the south where it's has a stronghold

Aiel123:

I'm in Delta, agbor to be precise.
Not a loyalist of any party ,just like PDP.
Obi's publicity is just springing up,only a few posters and bill board here.

Efewestern:


Margin is important. As it stands, I don't see any state in SS giving any bloc votes to the PDP. The northern ticket isn't helping matter and the emergence of LP brought in a greater alternative. Forget about SE, that region is the only region in Nigeria that can give 95% bloc votes and their turn-up will help shoot the figures of Obi.

Interesting times ahead.

DeLaRue:
APC will be hoping for a strong Labour party performance in every SE, and SS state.

In fact, APC will benefit a lot if Wike supports Obi.

Anything that depresses PDP vote is a plus for APC.

Efewestern:


Agbor is the home state of the contesting VP. You don't expect LP to make any move there. Try visiting Uvwie and Warri.

Salvador1:
What Obi needs in this election is if there is a big turnout of voters.
Southeast will be 90%
South south will be 58%
Southwest 29%
North Central 38%
North east 15%
North West 12%.
Knowing fully well that northern votes will be divided heavily
By January we will know how the pendulum will swing to.