nigeria

ScamHunter:
Obi already has 3 zones on lockdown, but can he snatch a state or two from Tinubu in the South West and a state or two from Atiku in the NE or NW?

How can Nigeria be a better country?

Sonyboom:
Peter Obi will not win any state in the Middle Belt and South South.

He will only win state among his Igbo state and I will bet he will not win up to 3 states among the 5 or across Nigeria.

My bet is always open, if you doubt put your mouth where your money is.

Just as Agbado master will only win states populated by Afonja Muslims

Sonyboom:
Mark my words Tinubu vote will divine Peter Obi vote in 10 places in this same Lagos I live.

We can bet over that. If Obi get 2000 vote Tinubu will already have 200,000 vote in the bag. Put your money where your mouth is no time for long talk abeg.

Go and check the results of the last gubernatorial election in Lagos between APC and PDP that were mainly supported by the Ibo , why do you think ibos were disfranchised during the presidential election?

Peter Obi cannot win any state in SE, SS and MB expect maybe Anambra and even that would be a struggle.

post=116778164:

Lagos

lol

nnewsnjobs:


Thanks for your vast knowledge of the SS region.

I have told so many people here that Obi cannot win SS, but people are analysing politics with sentiment.

Even when I would have love Obi to win, so that we experience a shift from the old political class to a much younger class and see what they can do.
The truth remains that Obi cannot win SS and the general election is 2023.

In the Southern region, the votes will kind of be evenly distributed with the winner going home with a small margin, because the three zone are shared among the three candidate.

My prediction for the Southern votes:
SW is for Tinubu
SS is for Atiku,
SE is for Obi

I even saw some people claiming that Obi will win Lagos. PDP even when they were in power cannot win Lagos then. The good thing in Lagos is that the winning margin is not usually very wide.

Your prediction will most likely be the outcome in the Southern Part of the country, Ceteris paribus .

nnewsnjobs:


Thanks for your vast knowledge of the SS region.

I have told so many people here that Obi cannot win SS, but people are analysing politics with sentiment.

Even when I would have love Obi to win, so that we experience a shift from the old political class to a much younger class and see what they can do.
The truth remains that Obi cannot win SS and the general election is 2023.

In the Southern region, the votes will kind of be evenly distributed with the winner going home with a small margin, because the three zone are shared among the three candidate.

My prediction for the Southern votes:
SW is for Tinubu
SS is for Atiku,
SE is for Obi

I even saw some people claiming that Obi will win Lagos. PDP even when they were in power cannot win Lagos then. The good thing in Lagos is that the winning margin is not usually very wide.

I have gone through your posts, you are simply pro Atiku but have been smart enough to play neutral, you are not.

You are giving atiku a northerner to win ss after BUHARI's eight years ( both Fulanis) thank you,The southern electroates are dummies, bereaved of sense of reasoning and judgement.

Atiku can win one of the southern regions, ss according to you,but tinubu the candidate of APC the ruling party will not win any northern region with all the APC northern incumbent governors.

Then what is your yardstick and basis for your analysis?

The north will choose their own but the south will not, perfect analysis indeed.

The middle belterns will all also empower another Fulani to continue from where their kinsmen BUHARI and HERDSMEN stopped? just metion pdp and they will follow you like zombies, thanks for giving them such descriptions.

By the way why don't your bias analysis take into consideration the movement that started two months ago powered by the Nigerian youths and is now able to win one southern region according to you.

Your analysis is pinning that movement in just one region for next 5 months, this too is fact, thanks.

For your information sir, the south and christians are aware that 2023 have more implications than aso rock.
They are patiently waiting to make their statement.

Stop using an outdated
benchmarks, records and yardsticks.

2023 is different child.

No one thinks of party in 2023, however if you base your analysis on party's popularity then bola tinubu of APC takes it.
If it is the popularity of the presidential candidates then peter obi of labour shall win.

Your argument means that the northern voters will vote individual candidates and not parties and that individual is eventually Atiku.
But the southern voters will blindly vote parties not candidates wahoo.
The southern voters must be slowpokes?

What a judgement what a verdict.

Abdu81:


I have gone through your posts, you are simply pro Atiku but have been smart enough to play neutral, you are not.

You are giving atiku a northerner to win ss after BUHARI's eight years ( both Fulanis) thank you,The southern electroates are dummies, bereaved of sense of reasoning and judgement.

Atiku can win one of the southern regions, ss according to you,but tinubu the candidate of APC the ruling party will not win any northern region with all the APC northern incumbent governors.

Then what is your yardstick and basis for your analysis?

The north will choose their own but the south will not, perfect analysis indeed.

The middle belterns will all also empower another Fulani to continue from where their kinsmen BUHARI and HERDSMEN stopped? just metion pdp and they will follow you like zombies, thanks for giving them such descriptions.

By the way why don't your bias analysis take into consideration the movement that started two months ago powered by the Nigerian youths and is now able to win one southern region according to you.

Your analysis is pinning that movement in just one region for next 5 months, this too is fact, thanks.

For your information sir, the south and christians are aware that 2023 have more implications than aso rock.
They are patiently waiting to make their statement.

Stop using an outdated
benchmarks, records and yardsticks.

2023 is different child.

No one thinks of party in 2023, however if you base your analysis on party's popularity then bola tinubu of APC takes it.
If it is the popularity of the presidential candidates then peter obi of labour shall win.

Your argument means that the northern voters will vote individual candidates and not parties and that individual is eventually Atiku.
But the southern voters will blindly vote parties not candidates wahoo.
The southern voters must be slowpokes?

What a judgement what a verdict.

Am kind of busy right now and may not have time to reply you now. I will reply you when am chance, but in case I forget to reply you, we await the 2023 election results to know who was close.

N3TRAL:


BAYELSA STATE:

If there's anything that unites the Ijaw and Epie people in this State, it is their hatred for Igbos ( I don't know why).
From Akenfa to Agudama extending to Biogbolo, Igbos own more than half the shops. 90% of restaurants in Yenagoa are owned by Cross River or Akwa Ibom people. The three biggest supermarkets in the state aside Market square shopping mall are owned by Igbo men. The biggest pharmacy near FMC, hospital road is owned by an Igbo man. The Igbos are the loud minority in Yenagoa (not the whole of Bayelsa). Commerce in Yenagoa apart from grocery trade or open markets like Tombia market are completely dominated by foreigners.
Even 70% of Keke drivers in Yenagoa are not from the State.

98% of Indigenes with employment living in Yenagoa are employed in the Civil Service. Bayelsa people love free money they don't need to work for. They even organise vigils to pray for oil to be discovered in their communities.

By 4pm, boutiques and high profile shops are locked and only opened for customers to come in to buy and locked again immediately the customers come in. Igbo shops are attacked here without provocation. It doesn't make the national news but it is the truth. TBH, it was one of the oldest Igbo business men in Yenagoa that told me that Bayelsa people would rather a Northerner rules them forever than vote an Igbo candidate.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.vanguardngr.com/2019/05/igbo-traders-in-bayelsa-shut-shops-protest-hoodlums-attacks/amp/

https://www.sunnewsonline.com/attack-on-igbo-govt-beefs-up-security-in-bayelsa/


The rest of the local government areas in Bayelsa apart from Yenagoa (which has approximately 35% visitors) are made of at least 90% indigenes because they are largely swampy and riverine and not viable for retail business.

The Peter Obi march that made the news yesterday was at Tombia Roundabout/ Junction which is the equivalent of Lagos' computer village in Yenagoa. 80% controlled by the Igbos who are not up to 2000 traders combined. The rest of the Local Governments apart from Yenagoa are for PDP or in the worst case scenario the highest bidder. The civil servants in Yenagoa are for PDP. Labour Party cannot get up to 10,000 votes across Bayelsa. A bulk of the votes will come from Igbo people leaving there and young liberal Bayelsa indigenes below 35.

PDP will come first in Bayelsa, followed most likely by APC. One of the biggest campaign posters in Yenagoa are Tinubu's.

you don't even know what you typing. Epie is one of a kingdom in Ijaw

AdakaBoro8:
you don't even know what you typing. Epie is one of a kingdom in Ijaw

But can you speak Epie?

Can Izon speak Epie? Can you even understand it and vice-versa?

Let's forget my analysis between the different sub-groups in the larger Ijaw ethnic group. Let's deal with the substance:

Will your people vote Peter Obi?

N3TRAL:


But can you speak Epie?

Can Izon speak Epie? Can you even understand it and vice-versa?

Let's forget my analysis between the different sub-groups in the larger Ijaw ethnic group. Let's deal with the substance:

Will your people vote Peter Obi?

Epie is Ijaw and Olordia can understand Epie same with Atissa and other Ijaws understand Atissa and Okordia and even Epie dialect

Ijoh:
Epie is Ijaw and Olordia can understand Epie same with Atissa and other Ijaws understand Atissa and Okordia and even Epie dialect

From experience, Atissa isn't so different from Epie. They have a lot in common. But other parts of Bayelsa State do not understand Epie language. More than 20 people cannot be wrong.

I should have said central Ijaw in my initial opinion not just Ijaw which Epie people are part of. I agree that Epie is under the bigger Ijaw nation and spectrum

I apologise.

Let's talk about the substance, will Peter Obi win Bayelsa?

ScamHunter:
Obi already has 3 zones on lockdown, but can he snatch a state or two from Tinubu in the South West and a state or two from Atiku in the NE or NW?

Only the South East of Nigeria he will win in.

ScamHunter:
Obi already has 3 zones on lockdown, but can he snatch a state or two from Tinubu in the South West and a state or two from Atiku in the NE or NW?

interestingly,tacitly or will I say, technically; you have conceded three regions to him
It is no more about having structures.... Una never see anything.....

archangel1:
interestingly,tacitly or will I say, technically; you have conceded three regions to him
It is no more about having structures.... Una never see anything.....

It will be hard for other tribes of Nigeria to trust an Igbo man with the President of The Republic.

Tinubu will win the election rather convincingly because of this Apga & pdp traitor Peter Obi.

Buckeyemedia1:
It will be hard for other tribes of Nigeria to trust an Igbo man with the President of The Republic.

Tinubu will win the election rather convincingly because of this Apga & pdp traitor Peter Obi.

An Afonja Muslim calling Igbo traitors
Nigerians know who the backstabbing tribe is. You thought it's when they believe your Lagos Ibadan expressway media? The Northerners have already made it clear that they're not voting Tinubu but solidly behind Atiku. So it'll take a miracle for Tinubu to come second in this election. He may even drag number 3 with Kwakwanso. This election is between Peter Obi and Atiku Abubakar.

nnewsnjobs:



My prediction for the Southern votes:
SW is for Tinubu
SS is for Atiku,
SE is for Obi

Follow the number HE Atiku will get SE. SS will be shared between him and Asiwaju.
NW , NC and NE except Adamawa are in the kitty for Asiwaju.

Abdu81:


I have gone through your posts, you are simply pro Atiku but have been smart enough to play neutral, you are not.

You are giving atiku a northerner to win ss after BUHARI's eight years ( both Fulanis) thank you,The southern electroates are dummies, bereaved of sense of reasoning and judgement.

Atiku can win one of the southern regions, ss according to you,but tinubu the candidate of APC the ruling party will not win any northern region with all the APC northern incumbent governors.

Then what is your yardstick and basis for your analysis?

The north will choose their own but the south will not, perfect analysis indeed.

The middle belterns will all also empower another Fulani to continue from where their kinsmen BUHARI and HERDSMEN stopped? just metion pdp and they will follow you like zombies, thanks for giving them such descriptions.

By the way why don't your bias analysis take into consideration the movement that started two months ago powered by the Nigerian youths and is now able to win one southern region according to you.

Your analysis is pinning that movement in just one region for next 5 months, this too is fact, thanks.

For your information sir, the south and christians are aware that 2023 have more implications than aso rock.
They are patiently waiting to make their statement.

Stop using an outdated
benchmarks, records and yardsticks.

2023 is different child.

No one thinks of party in 2023, however if you base your analysis on party's popularity then bola tinubu of APC takes it.
If it is the popularity of the presidential candidates then peter obi of labour shall win.

Your argument means that the northern voters will vote individual candidates and not parties and that individual is eventually Atiku.
But the southern voters will blindly vote parties not candidates wahoo.
The southern voters must be slowpokes?

What a judgement what a verdict.

Thanks so much for this wonderful submission. The foool thinks himself a political analyst who's well vast in Nigeria politics forgetting that 2023 will be a different ball game.. I will be here to remind them come 2023

FreeStuffsNG:

Follow the number HE Atiku will get SE. SS will be shared between him and Asiwaju.
NW , NC and NE except Adamawa are in the kitty for Asiwaju.

HE Atiku can only get SS, SE is for Obi.
The side of NW, NE and NE being for Asiwaju is what is very difficult to come by. No wahala, after the election, we will remind each other of our predictions except that some people will go silent on this forum.

nnewsnjobs:

Am kind of busy right now and may not have time to reply you now. I will reply you when am chance, but in case I forget to reply you, we await the 2023 election results to know who was close.

There is nothing you can reply,he floored you mercilessly. You must be another Fulani or PDP errand boy to think we southerners are foolish.

You really think people from SS and SE will vote for a Fulani Muslim after eight years of Fulani leadership? even with the atrocities of Fulani herdsmen?

Atiku will win the north according to you because Northerners will support their own but southerners won't support Obi because we are bastards? The votes are evenly distributed in the south but the votes in the north are intact for Atiku?

APC will numerous governors will lose the north to Atiku but Obi won't win South because southerners are foolish? You are probably in your house waiting for Political elites to deliver the SS to your Atiku, southern Christians will vote for a Northern Muslim after eight years of Northern rule.

With the way I see things, Obi will spoil show for Atiku and PDP in Lagos, a divide house can't stand, APC will win Lagos for sure, Lagos as 20 Local government and 37 LCDA which are under APC control, most of the indigen of Lagos I mean the real Omo Onile didn't bother about Tinubu because he as settle all of them in one way or the other, every street or area have their own Bale, most of their youth are fully incorporated both at Local government and state level even Garage, you can't take lagos away from Tinubu am pretty sure, Lagos as population of over 20m I don't think Igbo in Lagos is upto 10m to give Obi the requir victory, going by the north Jonathan try all he could and they spoil show for him, Atiku is a Libra person that is the only issue he as with the north, Northerners like rigid person that is why Atiku lose 2019 election, 2023 Election is all about APC vs Nigerians which I don't see any sign of seriousness. Obi will try but he should try and continue the momentum till 2027.

Bomboiy:


There is nothing you can reply,he floored you mercilessly. You must be another Fulani or PDP errand boy to think we southerners are foolish.

You really think people from SS and SE will vote for a Fulani Muslim after eight years of Fulani leadership? even with the atrocities of Fulani herdsmen?

Atiku will win the north according to you because Northerners will support their own but southerners won't support Obi because we are bastards? The votes are evenly distributed in the south but the votes in the north are intact for Atiku?

APC will numerous governors will lose the north to Atiku but Obi won't win South because southerners are foolish? You are probably in your house waiting for Political elites to deliver the SS to your Atiku, southern Christians will vote for a Northern Muslim after eight years of Northern rule.

Good evening brother, let me reply you first before him, I am neither Fulani nor Hausa, I am from the SS and currently leaving in the the SS for the past 13years though not in my state of origin. Your write up is full of sentiments, I wish Obi can win comes 2023, but bro, I can't deceive myself, Obi is not winning this election.
Let me shock you with this, assuming Nigerian construction allow Bihari to contest 2023 election, he will still win again in 2023, that is how bad the situation has gone to.
Ok let me make you happy, Obi will win, lol

socialjustice93:


Thanks so much for this wonderful submission. The foool thinks himself a political analyst who's well vast in Nigeria politics forgetting that 2023 will be a different ball game.. I will be here to remind them come 2023

Why using the word foool if you think you are better in analysing the situation.
Good to know that you will be here to remind us of the outcome after 2023 election, that is what I want to hear, not the insult you are coming with.

N3TRAL:


But can you speak Epie?

Can Izon speak Epie? Can you even understand it and vice-versa?

Let's forget my analysis between the different sub-groups in the larger Ijaw ethnic group. Let's deal with the substance:

Will your people vote Peter Obi?

can igbo speak ebonyi?
Can igbo speak nsukka?
Can igbo speak anioma?

nnewsnjobs:

Good evening brother, let me reply you first before him, I am neither Fulani nor Hausa, I am from the SS and currently leaving in the the SS for the past 13years though not in my state of origin. Your write up is full of sentiments, I wish Obi can win comes 2023, but bro, I can't deceive myself, Obi is not winning this election.
Let me shock you with this, assuming Nigerian construction allow Bihari to contest 2023 election, he will still win again in 2023, that is how bad the situation has gone to.
Ok let me make you happy, Obi will win, lol

Why will Atiku win SS? please give me one reason.

post=116780016:

Noise maker go through history of Lagos voting, go through 2019 presidential election result, it was extra rigging and rewrite results that made APC gave PDP small edge 2019, talk more of now BVAS is involved, Muslim-Muslim ticket, financial mess and insecurity Tinubu losing will start from Bourdilon Ikoyi

Please,you should be mindful of the kind of people you engage here,not some hungry foolish lunatic whose their trademark is insult,abuse and how to drop account number online,begging everybody and everywhere.

When you see them talking about betting money on Tinubu's head,you would even think that the person is financially OK, not knowing that he's a chronic online begger buh if you doubt me,research more via 80% of all these mentally deranged Tinubu's urchins are online beggers and the proof are there,so the earlier you jump and pass their disgustingly primitive arguments,the better for your sanity...

I rest my case..Gracias!!!!

Sunnymatey:
He necessarily didn't need to win states outside those regions you mentioned, 25℅ votes in some of those state is ok

Just that most Nigerians like suffering and complaining, else this election would've been the easiest.

PO remain the best among the major contenders.

Did Peter Obi end suffering and complaining in Anambra State?

kettykin:


I have analyzed kogi state, Galla will never vote APC , the okenye axis will vote APC at state level, okun will vote APC at both state and federal level. The labor candidate will likely get 25% minimum votes unless Bello rig it , since Bello lost out of APC presidential race he has not been so loyal

You need to first know the correct spelling of the ethnic groups and Towns in Kogi State to show that you really understand what is happening in the State.

By the way, Peter Obi/Labour party will not win any LGA in Kogi State.

oyatz:


Did Peter Obi end suffering and complaining in Anambra State?

He is the best governor in Nigeria in terms of HDI.

In southwest obi will win at least 2states in north east he will win at least one in north west he will win at least 2states and get 25%in the rest