Who told you so You know next to nothing. Who are those that betrayed baba Awo Honestly I don't know why SEC. school don't teach student history again

Many of we yorubas dey vote other party .... Hunger dey land, high cost of living dey there, just go price building materials ... O je maa gba èpè

Aiel123:

That's how I believe the election will pan out
Yorubas has never voted for another candidate when their son is on the ballot.
It won't change now.

Sammy07:
Shey wahala no too much bayi.
Probably because PDP no produce strong candidate

Not that.
I am talking about Presidency. Nobody votes for Guber ooooo. That has always been the pattern.

Alaba International is mainly dominated by the Igbos esp Anambarians whilst the Rago Market just adjacent it is dominated by the Northerners, and they don't joke with Kwankwaso at all.

He has visited there twice in the last 6 months.

Aiel123:

Only in Lag will LP surpass PDP in the SW.
U never ceases to amaze me
So you believe Sen Nenadi is strong and Sen Markafi is lightweight abi?
My SW prediction
Lagos: APC 55 PDP 20% LP 25%
Ogun: APC 65 PDP 25 LP 10%
Ondo: APC 55% PDP 25% LP 20%
Osun: APC 60% PDP 35% LP 5%
Ekiti: APC 80% PDP 15% LP 5%
Oyo: APC 70% PDP 25% LP 5%
Total percentage:
APC:64.17%
PDP:24.16%
LP:11.66%

I'll go with this

Troublemaker111:
Who told you so You know next to nothing. Who are those that betrayed baba Awo Honestly I don't know why SEC. school don't teach student history again

Many of we yorubas dey vote other party .... Hunger dey land, high cost of living dey there, just go price building materials ... O je maa gba èpè

Awo always got bloc votes in yorubaland

garfield1:


In 2015 and 2019,buhari got 55% in sw.it can increase to 60%.lp and pdp are almost from the same pool or sharing same supporters in the sw except for new voters.the remaining 40%-45% will be shared by both parties.


Lagos
Tinubu 50% obi 38% atiku 10% nnpp 2%

Ogun
Tinubu 65% obi 15% atiku 20%

Ondo
Tinubu 60% obi 15% atiku 25%

Ekiti
Tinubu 80% obi 5% atiku 15%

Osun
Tinubu 55% obi 10% atiku 35%

Oyo
Tinubu 60% obi 15% atiku 23% nnpp 2%



Cc mynd44
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Abagworo

How much you wan bet that Obi will not get 25% in Lagos?

Una dey put too much value in this Obi. APC owns Lagos and PDP will beat Obi in Lagos.

The fight for Lagos is between PDP and LP. By default victory is going to APC, but will PDP, after so many years of invested interest allow a new comer to scatter their gains? .
Never ever!

Troublemaker111:
Make I help you correct your nonsense

Lagos
Tinubu 52% Obi 28% Atiku 18% nnpp 2%

Ogun
Tinubu 60% Obi 10% Atiku 30%

Ondo
Tinubu 56% Obi 8% Atiku 36%

Ekiti
Tinubu 65% Obi 5% Atiku 30%

Osun
Tinubu 40% Obi 5% Atiku 55%

We just wan teach that baba and hai cousin more lessons.

Oyo
Tinubu 40% Obi 10% Atiku 50%

I deliberately give Tinubu 40 here that's if Makinde and his boys allow people vote their conscience, but if put madness together with it Atiku will sweep Oyo state. I discussed this with some guys today. Atiku actually needs reconcile aggrieved party members sha

You see why I like ignoring you? So Oyo people love buhari more than tinubu? Even buhari won osun

fergie001:

Haaaaa, you are also talking about a Zone that has never produced the President before, are you aware?

Why didnt they vote him in 2019? The north west has taken for them

garfield1:


Why didnt they vote him in 2019? The north west has taken for them

Because he was contesting against the man who owns the votes.

lhordspy:
Obi 38% in lagos? .. You kidding me right?

Lagos state as a voter's registration of 7million and expected voters turnout of atleast 5million atleast.

So mathematically, you are trying to tell me OBI will have over 2million votes in Lagos, where you also stated that Atiku will be having 10% Which is like 500,000?


Lol. This is joke right? Atiku 500,000 then obi 2million.

No be only 7 million, ewedu brain see how Lagosians voted in last two presidential election

No dey argue , Tinubu can never win Oyo and Osun . Just know this and know peace ... Who care of you ignore me.... Oro ki mi nikun àgbà

garfield1:


You see why I like ignoring you? So Oyo people love buhari more than tinubu? Even buhari won osun

fergie001:

Mimiko controls the PDP in Ondo so if he reconciles with Atiku, he might close the gap. This election is not about whether you win or not but how you win in your strongholds.

The win has to be very comprehensive to give you a chance coupled with the 25% of 24 States, you need to get. Not Lagos or SE, even in the North, I have said it countless times that this election will be ethnic, no contest on that. All these ones you are giving 70% upandan, even in the North, it's not gonna be a smooth sail.

I heard about Atuma's case since last week nah. I expect Ogar to also lose as well.

Don't know about the voting, but they will hold NEC tomorrow, call off Friday and return to classes on Monday.

Miniko lost his relevance between 2016-2020 polls.jegede is in control of ondo pdp.I even heard agboola ajayi is campaigning for tinubu..

I thought the strike will last till DEC,I have so much unfinished business that I an trying to tidy up.them for delay small.it seems that appeal court order is a factor

lhordspy:


It will be different this time, brother.

Tinubu is contesting bro. I think we will be having upto atleast 4million voters.

And talking about obi having more votes than atiku. Bro, forget the internet sensation and buzz. I was born in Lagos, i grew up there before moving up North.
PDP has wards in every streets, same with APC. With atleast 100 members. Now we have almost like 20streets more or less in each local government.

Guy, that is structure.. You guys are underrating PDP in lagos just because of Tinubu influence.
PDP is a bomb in lagos.. Lagos was nearly lost last time remember? Not because of sentiment or tribe or religious affiliations. It was the structure bro.

I am not saying base on what i heard, i have been in the system.

Peter obi will come a distant third in lagos.

In 5million expected voters turnout, i think Tinubu will have like 3million, Atiku 1.5million, and Peter obi 400,000. Then the rest of the parties 100,000.

Your analysis is very accurate. Lagos will have the largest turnout in this election the Yoruba have decided to prove a point. APC has 90% political family, even members of PDP have in the course of their political career have something to do with APC I mean, AD, AC, ACN and APC. In short Lagos political family is one. Expect nothing less than 3million votes from Lagos for APC

Troublemaker111:
Who told you so You know next to nothing. Who are those that betrayed baba Awo Honestly I don't know why SEC. school don't teach student history again

Many of we yorubas dey vote other party .... Hunger dey land, high cost of living dey there, just go price building materials ... O je maa gba èpè

Check the Nigerian presidential election results
Falae won SW in 1999
Abiola won in 1993
OBJ won in 2003
Awolowo won in 1979
Na money wey you want collect for election na you want use build house?
Maybe my statement was wrong what I meant was SW person always win in SW

fergie001:

Not that.
I am talking about Presidency. Nobody votes for Guber ooooo. That has always been the pattern.

Alaba International is mainly dominated by the Igbos esp Anambarians whilst the Rago Market just adjacent it is dominated by the Northerners, and they don't joke with Kwankwaso at all.

He has visited there twice in the last 6 months.

Oh that's a better explanation!

lhordspy:
Obi 38% in lagos? .. You kidding me right?

Lagos state as a voter's registration of 7million and expected voters turnout of atleast 5million atleast.

So mathematically, you are trying to tell me OBI will have over 2million votes in Lagos, where you also stated that Atiku will be having 10% Which is like 500,000?


Lol. This is joke right? Atiku 500,000 then obi 2million.

Mumu, you think it's by seizing market women PVC and buying others? Obi is winning Lagos and that's a sure banker!!!

@op, you're assuming that illiterates and agberos are in the majority in the SW so that's why you're giving Tinubu those numbers.

Most educated Yorubas I know are voting Obi and most Yoruba Christians too. So, you do the maths. Obi is certainly getting up to 30% in all SW states!

fergie001:

Because he was contesting against the man who owns the votes.

How can a region love an outsider more than their son? The ne has the highest concentration of tribes in nigeria,you cannot get a political warriors oneness.but the kanuris of yobe borno have always voted their son

garfield1:


Miniko lost his relevance between 2016-2020 polls.jegede is in control of ondo pdp.I even heard agboola ajayi is campaigning for tinubu..

I thought the strike will last till DEC,I have so much unfinished business that I an trying to tidy up.them for delay small.it seems that appeal court order is a factor

The Appeal Court was a factor, and Gbaja bailed them out.

Jegede has been pro-Atiku from time immemorial, but majority of the structure seems shared, meaning his contribution can't be wished away.

For Agboola, he is going for Senate... He will gain nothing supporting Tinubu but you may never know.

post=117506019:

No be only 7 million, ewedu brain see how Lagosians voted in last two presidential election

You are the abasha brain, bro.

If you can comprehend things easily and political incline. You will know registered voters is different from expected voters turnout.

Registered voters as of today is 7million. We are only projecting the expected voters to be around 5million.

Ttalk:


Your analysis is very accurate. Lagos will have the largest turnout in this election the Yoruba have decided to prove a point. APC has 90% political family, even members of PDP have in the course of their political career have something to do with APC I mean, AD, AC, ACN and APC. In short Lagos political family is one. Expect nothing less than 3million votes from Lagos for APC

Lagos gave gej 1 mil in 2011.they can do it again

fergie001:

The Appeal Court was a factor, and Gbaja bailed them out.

Jegede has been pro-Atiku from time immemorial, but majority of the structure seems shared, meaning his contribution can't be wished away.

For Agboola, he is going for Senate... He will gain nothing supporting Tinubu but you may never know.

I feel they just needed an excuse to cover their shame and call of the strike then they can call another strike after obeying the court order

garfield1:


All the lgas dominated by pdp in lagos are dominated by igbos and ss people

That's not true, remove the word dominated. Even in Ojo and Festac, the population of Igbo without Yoruba and other ethic support can't give Igbo candidate a win

EndsarsReloaded:


Mumu, you think it's by seizing market women PVC and buying others? Obi is winning Lagos and that's a sure banker!!!

@op, you're assuming that illiterates and agberos are in the majority in the SW so that's why you're giving Tinubu those numbers.

Most educated Yorubas I know are voting Obi and most Yoruba Christians too. So, you do the maths. Obi is certainly getting up to 30% in all SW states!

What you need to know is south-west votes relies solely on structures. Like i stated APC and PDP has over 100members in each ward. Like active party members in each wards. In a street we can have like 3 wards. In a LGA we can have like 20streets.

Just do the maths bro.

fergie001:

This is the very closest you have given since all your predictions, however, you understand that a Yoruba man is on the ballot. The way he will win you will see.

Leave SM, Lagos is the only place he will face some sort of challenge, yet win big because PDP and LP are sharing their votes. Osun, Ondo (that's if he reconciles with Wike) & Oyo is where Atiku hopes to close the gap.

Ojo LGA is a PDP fortress, alongside Amuwo-Odofin LGA. They have won all the Presidential elections there since '07 but now APC will likely take it.

The Vice-Chairman of the LGA is Igbo, the PDP Guber Candidate is from the LGA, the Lagos State APC Chairman is from the Zone. Candidates the APC gave their tickets to (HoA & co) are grassroots-men. I mean die-hards.......

With PDP/LP doing their thing, it gives APC the upper hand. That's how it's going to be in parts of the State.

You sabi road

EndsarsReloaded:


Mumu, you think it's by seizing market women PVC and buying others? Obi is winning Lagos and that's a sure banker!!!

@op, you're assuming that illiterates and agberos are in the majority in the SW so that's why you're giving Tinubu those numbers.

Most educated Yorubas I know are voting Obi and most Yoruba Christians too. So, you do the maths. Obi is certainly getting up to 30% in all SW states!

Obi can only get 25% in Lagos
Else where in the west,He won't get up to 10%
Unless you wanna import voters from SE it is practically impossible.

lhordspy:


What you need to know is south-west votes relies solely on structures. Like i stated APC and PDP has over 100members in each ward. Like active party members in each words. In a street we can have like 3 wards. In a LGA we can have like 20streets.

Just do the maths bro.

Thanks for this bro.
SW has the highest number of party faithfuls ( Traditional Voters)

EndsarsReloaded:


Mumu, you think it's by seizing market women PVC and buying others? Obi is winning Lagos and that's a sure banker!!!

@op, you're assuming that illiterates and agberos are in the majority in the SW so that's why you're giving Tinubu those numbers.

Most educated Yorubas I know are voting Obi and most Yoruba Christians too. So, you do the maths. Obi is certainly getting up to 30% in all SW states!

Oh educated Yoruba that don't visit FB twitter and Nairaland with your hate and abuse, you have burnt the little respect Yoruba have for some of you. In politics from now it's going to be an for an eye

garfield1:


Lagos gave gej 1 mil in 2011.they can do it again

Lagos will beat Kano in voters turnout this time around. That am certain of. The fight of titan starts from there. We are not joking with Lagos at all. There is a point to prove

garfield1:


I feel they just needed an excuse to cover their shame and call of the strike then they can call another strike after obeying the court order.

The bolded is correct!
FG has agreed to pay their 8 months salaries
Also put revitalisation funds in the 2023 budget
The only issue is IPPIS...

Not reason enough.

I don't know for other SW states but Tinubu is not winning Oyo state. It's like you guys do not know how Oyo people dislike this man.

garfield1:
How can a region love an outsider more than their son? The ne has the highest concentration of tribes in nigeria,you cannot get a political warriors oneness.but the kanuris of yobe borno have always voted their son

We are talking about Buhari here.

fergie001:

The bolded is correct!
FG has agreed to pay their 8 months salaries
Also put revitalisation funds in the 2023 budget
The only issue is IPPIS...

Not reason enough.

Has fg agreed or house of reps agreed? How much revitalization are they putting? What of salary raise

garfield1:
Has fg agreed or house of reps agreed? How much revitalization are they putting? What of salary raise

Salary raise plus revitalisation funds for tertiary institutions:
N470bn