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Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) - Politics (6) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsPrediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) (9245 Views)

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Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by mbaboy(m): 10:42pm On Nov 13, 2022
You know nothing about politics Garfield. Your analysis are biased and always tilt towards APC. Take note that Tinibu wont get 20 percent votes in
adamawa, katsina and bauchi
garfield1:
How can you say binani is not campaigning for tinubu when her victory depends on tinubu winning? Apc have bigwigs like nyarkos,ribadu,ex gov bindow,boss gida,hon namdas,sen bent...the Christians of numan will divide votes.

Apc is very strong here esp with bwacha and hon shiddi joining apc and sen ikenya dumping pdp
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 10:43pm On Nov 13, 2022
Kingzeez10:
Thats because Obi needs SW votes more than Tinubu need SE votes. If Tinubu turn to an Angel tomorrow, they won't vote him in SE , so why do you expect him to penetrate the region?
I don't think so, Tinubu needs SS and SE.
He cannot beat Atiku in the north
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by obaaderemi: 10:44pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
Obi is more competent than Tinubu in all ramifications.

I am a citizen of Lagos from Oponu, Isheri in Alimosho and I was born and bred in Lagos. I don't like sentiments.
Tinubu is a godfather and nepotist, who didn't achieve much in Lagos except creating LCDAs to install touts as chairmen that will work for him as foot soldiers. We can talk little about what Tinubu actually used Lagos revenue to do in terms of infrastructure visavis what Peter Obi did in Anambra state. I know Lagos State very well.
You cannot point to any massive project today in Lagos that Tinubu did with Lagos State money.

In that basis, many yorubas will not vote him
Tinubu is far more competent than Obi. Obi virtually left Anambra the same way he found it.
Tinubu was the first governor in Nigeria to at least make an attempt to tackle poor power supply in Nigeria until the federal government under Obasanjo scuttled it. The BRT system he pioneered in Nigeria is yet to be copied successfully by any other state in Nigeria. Tell us what obi did in Anambra.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Kingzeez10: 10:48pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
I don't think so, Tinubu needs SS and SE.
He cannot beat Atiku in the north
He will beat him. Hausa people are grouped into 2 also, Kanuris and Fulani. This election is still between APC and PDP and you know it. He doesn't need SE votes cos they won't for him.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Kingzeez10: 10:49pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
Obi is more competent than Tinubu in all ramifications.

I am a citizen of Lagos from Oponu, Isheri in Alimosho and I was born and bred in Lagos. I don't like sentiments.
Tinubu is a godfather and nepotist, who didn't achieve much in Lagos except creating LCDAs to install touts as chairmen that will work for him as foot soldiers. We can talk little about what Tinubu actually used Lagos revenue to do in terms of infrastructure visavis what Peter Obi did in Anambra state. I know Lagos State very well.
You cannot point to any massive project today in Lagos that Tinubu did with Lagos State money.

In that basis, many yorubas will not vote him
Just give me 3 reasons why Obi is more competent than Tinubu.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by garfield1: 10:53pm On Nov 13, 2022
mbaboy:
You know nothing about politics Garfield. Your analysis are biased and always tilt towards APC. Take note that Tinibu wont get 20 percent votes in
adamawa, katsina and bauchi
Tinubu will win katsina,get 30% in bauchi and Adamawa boy
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by garfield1: 10:54pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
I don't think so, Tinubu needs SS and SE.
He cannot beat Atiku in the north
He doesnt need to beat atiku,a narrow loss is ok.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 10:58pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
He doesnt need to beat atiku,a narrow loss is ok.
he needs to.
You cannot become president if you don't win 24 states.
Not beating Atiku in the north makes that hard.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:04pm On Nov 13, 2022
Kingzeez10:
Just give me 3 reasons why Obi is more competent than Tinubu.
1. Obi brought Anambra from debt to no Debt, Tinubu left more debt than he met

2. There is no single Tinubu infrastructural project that he started and completed with Lagos State fund in his tenure that either is still in Lagos or his successors have not revamped today except from Abraham adesanya estate which is not a shadow of itself. Demo Okunnu estate that he built has been revamped.

We can still see that of Peter scattered all over Anambra, including an 10lanes highway

3. Tinubu has nothing to show for all the huge revenue he collected. No roads, bridges, rail system, transport system, water resource etc. He was busy looting
Whereas, Peter constructed teaching hospital, University, flyovers, roads and more schools than Tinubu with a much more tinier revenue.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:06pm On Nov 13, 2022
Kingzeez10:
He will beat him. Hausa people are grouped into 2 also, Kanuris and Fulani. This election is still between APC and PDP and you know it. He doesn't need SE votes cos they won't for him.
Illiterate, Hausa people are not grouped into Kanuri and Fulanis.
Kanuris are a distinct ethnic group in Borno and part of yobe.
Fulani are scattered all over the north
Hausa is the largest group in the north.

More proof that you don't understand the north. Tinubu go lule for there
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:09pm On Nov 13, 2022
obaaderemi:
Tinubu is far more competent than Obi. Obi virtually left Anambra the same way he found it.
Tinubu was the first governor in Nigeria to at least make an attempt to tackle poor power supply in Nigeria until the federal government under Obasanjo scuttled it. The BRT system he pioneered in Nigeria is yet to be copied successfully by any other state in Nigeria. Tell us what obi did in Anambra.
Tinubu didn't buy a single bus for BRT, not one

Obi built this road Anambra.
For all revenue Tinubu got, he didn't build up to 100km roads in Lagos. What are you saying?
You can name all the roads Tinubu built and let's calculate all in kilometers.

Even with all the monies. Tinubu na thief abeg

Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:12pm On Nov 13, 2022
obaaderemi:
Tinubu is far more competent than Obi. Obi virtually left Anambra the same way he found it.
Tinubu was the first governor in Nigeria to at least make an attempt to tackle poor power supply in Nigeria until the federal government under Obasanjo scuttled it. The BRT system he pioneered in Nigeria is yet to be copied successfully by any other state in Nigeria. Tell us what obi did in Anambra.
There's nothing Tinubu did in Lagos aside from his eye programme.

Dude was a total failure stealing Lagos money.

The hospital below was built by Peter Obi, which did Tinubu build? None, he built no hospital aside upgrading General hospital ikeja to teaching hospital without building anything there

Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by garfield1: 11:15pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
he needs to.
You cannot become president if you don't win 24 states.
Not beating Atiku in the north makes that hard.
He does not need to win atiku.if he gets 70% in sw,defeats atiku in nc,loses narrowly in ne and nw to atiku,he wins.for instance atiku gets 10 mil in the north,tinubu 9.5 million while tinubu gets 4 million in sw and atiku 1 million tinubu wins.tinubu will get 25% in 17 northern states and fct win all the sw which is 24 plus 25% in just one state in one se or ss state
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Kingzeez10: 11:16pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
Illiterate, Hausa people are not grouped into Kanuri and Fulanis.
Kanuris are a distinct ethnic group in Borno and part of yobe.
Fulani are scattered all over the north
Hausa is the largest group in the north.

More proof that you don't understand the north. Tinubu go lule for there
Baba e ni illiterate. Ashiere

You can't pass your message without insult.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Landowner101(m): 11:16pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
Those are just speculations.who are those northern elders? Most of them are with tinubu and buhari
. you're now a prophet to know who they are with ?
When buhari just told you to vote for who you want, as he isn't endorsing anyone.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Landowner101(m): 11:20pm On Nov 13, 2022
buhariguy:
hahahaha, ameachi will be relegated.
He will lose everything if he move out apc.
Because he know obi is going nowhere even if apc lose river state. ameachi will be the loser.
Wike is just waiting for ameachi to decamp before he will opening support tinubu.
Abe and wike are enough to deliver river state for tinubu
Rivers that I know won't vote for tinubu, rather they'll prefer Atiku, from the look of things Peter Obi is winning Rivers state with at least 60% votes .
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:20pm On Nov 13, 2022
Kingzeez10:
Baba e ni illiterate. Ashiere

You can't pass your message without insult.
iwo ati gbogbo idile e ni ashiere.
Imo ale, talking trash he knows nothing about.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:22pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
He does not need to win atiku.if he gets 70% in sw,defeats atiku in nc,loses narrowly in ne and nw to atiku,he wins.for instance atiku gets 10 mil in the north,tinubu 9.5 million while tinubu gets 4 million in sw and atiku 1 million tinubu wins.tinubu will get 25% in 17 northern states and fct win all the sw which is 24 plus 25% in just one state in one se or ss state
Tinubu cannot defeat win NC. Peter Obi might even get more votes there because of Abuja, Benue and Plateau.

Tinubu cannot win NE

Him no go see draw for NW.

Tinubu ma lule
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Kingzeez10: 11:25pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
iwo ati gbogbo idile e ni ashiere.
Imo ale, talking trash he knows nothing about.
Ashiere, you know fully well that LP is not going anywhere, thats why you're projecting PDP to win. Anyone but APC is okay with you. Omo iran kiran
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:27pm On Nov 13, 2022
Kingzeez10:
Ashiere, you know fully well that LP is not going anywhere, thats why you're projecting PDP to win. Anyone but APC is okay with you. Omo iran kiran
LP party will be 2nd, Tinubu 3rd.
Baba ma Lule

I don't do sentiments
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by garfield1: 11:35pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
Tinubu cannot defeat win NC. Peter Obi might even get more votes there because of Abuja, Benue and Plateau.

Tinubu cannot win NE

Him no go see draw for NW.

Tinubu ma lule
Nc will be won by tinubu or obi according to your stats.you said tinubu will win kwara and kogi,lose benue and plateau to obi.you gave tinubu 65% in kwara which is huge.he will defeat obi in niger.those three states give more votes.
Tinubu will win borno and yobe massively.if he wins gombe,he will win ne.obi will divide atiku votes in taraba and Adamawa.
In nw,your stats say kwankwaso will win followed by tinubu so thats good for tinubu
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by garfield1: 11:36pm On Nov 13, 2022
Landowner101:
. you're now a prophet to know who they are with ?
When buhari just told you to vote for who you want, as he isn't endorsing anyone.
When real campaign starts on Tues,we will know buhari true position
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:36pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
Nc will be won by tinubu or obi according to your stats.you said tinubu will win kwara and kogi,lose benue and plateau to obi.you gave tinubu 65% in kwara which is huge.he will defeat obi in niger.those three states give more votes.
Tinubu will win borno and yobe massively.if he wins gombe,he will win ne.obi will divide atiku votes in taraba and Adamawa.
In nw,your stats say kwankwaso will win followed by tinubu so thats good for tinubu
The only state Tinubu will win in NC na kwara and maybe Kogi.

You see NW and NE, Atiku lo ni, gbagbe.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by garfield1: 11:37pm On Nov 13, 2022
Landowner101:
Rivers that I know won't vote for tinubu, rather they'll prefer Atiku, from the look of things Peter Obi is winning Rivers state with at least 60% votes .
They can't prefer atiku.wike has buried atiku in rivers.obi will get 60%,tinubu will get 30% atiku 10%
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:38pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
They can't prefer atiku.wike has buried atiku in rivers.obi will get 60%,tinubu will get 30% atiku 10%
Rivers still vote Atiku more than Tinubu.
Be like you no know says Tinubu don case with all these him Yoruba lokan.

SS and SE are out to teach him a lesson for his tribalistic views and the Muslim Muslim ticket
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by garfield1: 11:41pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
The only state Tinubu will win in NC na kwara and maybe Kogi.

You see NW and NE, Atiku lo ni, gbagbe.
And those two states give bloc votes.fct and nasarawa wi divide.
According to your own stats,you said tinubu will defeat atiku in kano,katsina,kebbi,jigawa and Kaduna or where you high? Are you ok? Stop hating tinubu boy.atiku lule
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:42pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
And those two states give bloc votes.fct and nasarawa wi divide.
According to your own stats,you said tinubu will defeat atiku in kano,katsina,kebbi,jigawa and Kaduna or where you high? Are you ok? Stop hating tinubu boy.atiku lule
Kogi will not be won convincingly.

All together in 19 northern states, even if Tinubu win 9, he will still not have 24 states in the bag plus 6 I southwest. Can't you see it? grin

I doubt if Tinubu can win 9 out of 19 though
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by garfield1: 11:42pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
Rivers still vote Atiku more than Tinubu.
Be like you no know says Tinubu don case with all these him Yoruba lokan.

SS and SE are out to teach him a lesson for his tribalistic views and the Muslim Muslim ticket
Your just another ipobian.why did se and ss not teach buhari lesson? When will they teach atiku lesson for abandoning he?
Only 10% will vote atiku in rivers.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:44pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
Your just another ipobian.why did se and ss not teach buhari lesson? When will they teach atiku lesson for abandoning he?
Only 10% will vote atiku in rivers.
I am telling you realitty and you are calling me IPOB.

Tinubu is like a plague in SS, they will even vote a dog instead of him. Go there and check
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by garfield1: 11:45pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
I am telling you realitty and you are calling me IPOB.

Tinubu is like a plague in SS, they will even vote a dog instead of him. Go there and check
I am from ss boy.a lot will vote him here.concentrate on igboland
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:47pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
Your just another ipobian.why did se and ss not teach buhari lesson? When will they teach atiku lesson for abandoning he?
Only 10% will vote atiku in rivers.
Tinubu needs to get at least 25% in 18 northern states out of 19 to remain in the race.
This doesn't even guarantee him a win

Peter Obi needs to get 25% in 10 northern and 3 SW states and win big in SS and SE
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 11:49pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
I am from ss boy.a lot will vote him here.concentrate on igboland
Nobody knows Tinubu is southsouth dude, unless you want to make yourself happy .

Tinubu will be distant 3rd there and you know it deep down
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