There are thirteen states that many Nigerians believe obi will win without stress which includes, Benue,Bayelsa,Plateau,Edo, Delta
Cross/R, Rivers,Akwa-ibom, Anambra, Ebonyi,Enugu,Imo and Abia.
However APC and PDP will frustrate his vote in atleast five states and at most six states.
This states are;

Benue state

In benue state political structure and bandwagon effects will help APC and PDP cause a great damage to labour party. Aside that money will play a very important role make people vote apc and pdp

Plateau state

The same political structure which many had fed from will reduce the % labour is supposed have.

Edo state

The people of the heart beat of the nation will tell you that " Edo no be Lagos" but when you look at results of governorship elections you will see that the pro Tinubu are not in anyway push over, they can pull 30% of the total vote and pdp in their own capacity can get something reasonable.

Bayelsa state

This is another state Labour Party might not win because they don't give shishi but you can't play here without shishi.

Delta state

What on earth makes you think PDP cannot get 45- 50% vote when okowa is on the ballot? Apc will also cause some trouble for labour party as 5% - 10% is sure for tinubu.

Cross River state
Cross/r is supposed to favour obi 70% but Atiku and Tinubu will smile from here with atleast 25% of the total vote each.

Obi no send ur analysis

States I project Obi to win:
Anambra, Imo, Enugu, Ebonyi, Abia, Cross River, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Bayelsa, Edo, Delta, Lagos, Osun, Benue, Plateau, Taraba, Nasarawa, Kaduna, FCT.


States for 15%-45% (if he explains himself well in SW, he might win all):
15%+: Bauchi, Borno, Kano, Adamawa (25%+), Niger, Gombe, Kebbi, Oyo (30%+), Ondo(37+), Ogun(35+) Ekiti(42+).


Yoruba support Peter Obi so that you may be in the circle of power. Peter Obi is yoruba candidate too. Tinubu is over and deadly sick (needs rest) and islamists might kee him.

With poor attendance rally in imo state, OBI can't win any state including anambra his home state.

NigerianAngelo:
States I project Obi to win:
Anambra, Imo, Enugu, Ebonyi, Abia, Cross River, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Bayelsa, Edo, Delta, Lagos, Osun, Benue, Plateau, Taraba, Nasarawa, Kaduna.

15%+

ogah let be realistic how can Peter obi win Kaduna Nasarawa, osun, Lagos and taraba state?
The most peter obi can win is 13 states

yarimo:
With poor attendance rally in imo state, OBI can't win any state including anambra his home state.

the least obi can win is 8 states and the most is 13 states

Thinkfree:
ogah let be realistic how can Peter obi win Kaduna Nasarawa, osun, Lagos and taraba state?
The most peter obi can win is 13 states

The way PDP won Osun in 2019. As for Lagos you should know. I'm not the one to tell you that.
Nasarawa and Taraba never have anything to do with APC (CPC) and LP is the new PDP.

Thinkfree:
the least obi can win is 8 states and the most is 13 states

At least we have gone from “he can’t win any state” to “he can only win 8 states”. Good development

BlazinGlory40:


At least we have gone from “he can’t win any state” to “he can only win 8 states”. Good development

1 state the Apga Judas will not win, even his home state of Anambra.

But on the internet he will win all the states in Nigeria, even the states in Cameroon & Republic du Benin.

favor914:
1 state the Apga Judas will not win, even his home state of Anambra.

But on the internet he will win all the states in Nigeria, even the states in Cameroon & Republic du Benin.

Would his not winning make you buy fuel cheaper than #280 price the fuel marketers are about to sell?