₦airaland Forum

ekanx27:
Atiku is not in the contest. Kwakwanso will share the block votes he is hoping to get. The south south and south east is sealed for Obi. Southwest and north Central will be a battle field for all candidate. Obi already got two geo political zones in the bag. Tell me which zone can a candidate boast of amongst the other candidates?

Atiku and Tinubu ti lu le

Vinnie2000:
Dat's why I gave him 20% percent.

Even@that, He will still have Votes in Hausaland.

One things is Core Hausa Men (talakawas) do Not like Rich, Aristocratic and Influential Men like Tinubu and Atiku for a leadership Position..

They love Simple-minded and Plain looking men with Appearance of Honesty and Integrity. This is why they Adored Muhammadu Buhari and Aminu Kano of old!

If you leave all Hausas in the North to Vote their Personal choice without Influence from EMIRS AND IMAMS, They will all VOTE FOR PETER OBI!

Emeskhalifa:
It's quite ironic how "the unifier" cannot even unite his party yet thinks he can unite Nigeria

Emeskhalifa:
It's quite ironic how "the unifier" cannot even unite his party yet thinks he can unite Nigeria

Vinnie2000:
As things stand, Atiku Abubakar and PDP have already FAILED in the Presidential election.

The Only thing dat can Salvage their Hopeless situation is TO WHIP HEAVY RELIGIOUS AND ETHNIC SENTIMENTS in Northern Nigeria.
Atiku has to use BBC Hausa and Imams Propaganda to claim he is being Victimized and oppressed by Southerners and all Hausas and Fulanis should vote him!

This is the hope Atiku Has.

But in this 2023 election,
*South-south/ South-east- 90% Peter Obi
*South West- 70%Tinubu
*Middle Belt- 100% Peter Obi
*North-Atiku 50%, Tinubu 30% and Peter Obi 20%.

So PETER OBI wins it!

Emeskhalifa:
It's quite ironic how "the unifier" cannot even unite his party yet thinks he can unite Nigeria

Vinnie2000:
As things stand, Atiku Abubakar and PDP have already FAILED in the Presidential election.

The Only thing dat can Salvage their Hopeless situation is TO WHIP HEAVY RELIGIOUS AND ETHNIC SENTIMENTS in Northern Nigeria.
Atiku has to use BBC Hausa and Imams Propaganda to claim he is being Victimized and oppressed by Southerners and all Hausas and Fulanis should vote him!

This is the hope Atiku Has.

But in this 2023 election,
*South-south/ South-east- 90% Peter Obi
*South West- 70%Tinubu
*Middle Belt- 100% Peter Obi
*North-Atiku 50%, Tinubu 30% and Peter Obi 20%.

So PETER OBI wins it!

Vinnie2000:
As things stand, Atiku Abubakar and PDP have already FAILED in the Presidential election.

The Only thing dat can Salvage their Hopeless situation is TO WHIP HEAVY RELIGIOUS AND ETHNIC SENTIMENTS in Northern Nigeria.
Atiku has to use BBC Hausa and Imams Propaganda to claim he is being Victimized and oppressed by Southerners and all Hausas and Fulanis should vote him!

This is the hope Atiku Has.

But in this 2023 election,
*South-south/ South-east- 90% Peter Obi
*South West- 70%Tinubu
*Middle Belt- 100% Peter Obi
*North-Atiku 50%, Tinubu 30% and Peter Obi 20%.

So PETER OBI wins it!

Rollins777:
With this coming election, the G5 will affect PDP and the person they will support will surely win if they announced the person few time to the Election. Surely with what happening here nairaland, Obi will win because same it happened during Buhari time.

Ruggedniggaone:
It won't have much effect on Atiku because irrespective of who they work for pdp will still come second at worse from their states because it's only seyi makinde that is fighting Atiku oyo pdp never said they won't work for Atiku and even if wike work for tinubu he may still not come second in river state unless wike will be forcing people at gun point to vote for his muslim muslim tickets.ortorm will not have much impact in who will win Benue because Atiku still has large % of the strong politician in Benue that are still supporting him like David Mark, Gabriel suswan,Ayu and others the other two state will not be different they are only following wike because they don't want to betray him but they won't work against Atiku because they are also contesting for senate.all Atiku has to do is to get bulk votes from both north west and north east and try to come second in other zones

Vixlot:
The election is done and dusted, stop wasting your time

APC Wins with the following:
South West- Six States
North Central- Four States
North West- Six States
North East- Four States
South South- Two States with G5 support
South East- 25 % in Imo & Ebonyi


God Bless Incoming President Bola Tinubu

Aboki99:
G5 are relevant only if INEC didn't apply BVAS and they there4 have the leverage to swing their states to particular candidates by manipulating votes.

Otherwise, they're inconsequential.

Vinnie2000:
As things stand, Atiku Abubakar and PDP have already FAILED in the Presidential election.

The Only thing dat can Salvage their Hopeless situation is TO WHIP HEAVY RELIGIOUS AND ETHNIC SENTIMENTS in Northern Nigeria.
Atiku has to use BBC Hausa and Imams Propaganda to claim he is being Victimized and oppressed by Southerners and all Hausas and Fulanis should vote him!

This is the hope Atiku Has.

But in this 2023 election,
*South-south/ South-east- 90% Peter Obi
*South West- 70%Tinubu
*Middle Belt- 100% Peter Obi
*North-Atiku 50%, Tinubu 30% and Peter Obi 20%.

So PETER OBI wins it!

Vinnie2000:
As things stand, Atiku Abubakar and PDP have already FAILED in the Presidential election.

The Only thing dat can Salvage their Hopeless situation is TO WHIP HEAVY RELIGIOUS AND ETHNIC SENTIMENTS in Northern Nigeria.
Atiku has to use BBC Hausa and Imams Propaganda to claim he is being Victimized and oppressed by Southerners and all Hausas and Fulanis should vote him!

This is the hope Atiku Has.

But in this 2023 election,
*South-south/ South-east- 90% Peter Obi
*South West- 70%Tinubu
*Middle Belt- 100% Peter Obi
*North-Atiku 50%, Tinubu 30% and Peter Obi 20%.

So PETER OBI wins it!

Daversscript:
PDP can't go far without the G5 governor's. River State is the stronghold for PDP in the south south... Atiku will surely loss this election amid recent developments.

walex2:
Your analysis is 80 percent accurate, see the result of this coming election, Obi would have overwhelm votes in south East and South South, Atiku Will do same in North East and North West, Tinubu in South west and North Central. TINUBU is winning the election because of substantial votes in north east and north west

LegalWolf:
I have previously asked this question before and I think the G5 will adversely affect PDP chances a lot. Let us break it down in a state-by-state analysis.

Rivers

This is one of the most powerful strongholds of PDP. Given what we see on ground, Wike commands a large followership because it appears he has done well. Now add the fact that he has access to resources (13% derivative + normal revenue - IGR + repaid moneys owed by FG = massive war chest). There is NO WAY on earth any of the people working for Atiku in Rivers State can match that.

Verdict: Atiku chances are gone in Rivers

Oyo

Oyo story is similar to Rivers but slightly different. Makinde has done well and also commands large followership. However, he does not have the war chest of a Wike and there are still gladiators in Oyo politics that can pull funds together to salvage Atiku.

Verdict: Atiku votes will be slightly affected (Not that he can win Oyo state on a norms. To my knowledge, he has never won the state)

Benue

This is where it gets interesting. Unlike the previous two, Ortom is a disaster. Coupled with the fact that Benue is a BROKE state. Now add the fact that powerful men in the State are in support of Atiku. I would not be surprise if Atiku wins the state.

However, I am not unaware of the sentiments on ground. The media has so much tarnished the Fulani image and it is possible sentiments are whipped to campaign against Atiku. Benue promises to be interesting to watch.

Verdict: Indifferent

Abia and Enugu

I will do a joint analysis due to the similarities of both States. The chances of Atiku in these states are slim not necessarily because of G5, but Peter Obi. However, as the question relates to G5, I think the governors not working for Atiku will dim the very slight chances he has in those states. He cannot and would not win those states unfortunately....

2023 will be interesting as it will demystify so many people and unravel many things. Let us see how it will go

Beremx:
The G5 governor's only have five votes. They should all getat.

PO all the way!!

LegalWolf:
I have previously asked this question before and I think the G5 will adversely affect PDP chances a lot. Let us break it down in a state-by-state analysis.

Rivers

This is one of the most powerful strongholds of PDP. Given what we see on ground, Wike commands a large followership because it appears he has done well. Now add the fact that he has access to resources (13% derivative + normal revenue - IGR + repaid moneys owed by FG = massive war chest). There is NO WAY on earth any of the people working for Atiku in Rivers State can match that.

Verdict: Atiku chances are gone in Rivers

Oyo

Oyo story is similar to Rivers but slightly different. Makinde has done well and also commands large followership. However, he does not have the war chest of a Wike and there are still gladiators in Oyo politics that can pull funds together to salvage Atiku.

Verdict: Atiku votes will be slightly affected (Not that he can win Oyo state on a norms. To my knowledge, he has never won the state)

Benue

This is where it gets interesting. Unlike the previous two, Ortom is a disaster. Coupled with the fact that Benue is a BROKE state. Now add the fact that powerful men in the State are in support of Atiku. I would not be surprise if Atiku wins the state.

However, I am not unaware of the sentiments on ground. The media has so much tarnished the Fulani image and it is possible sentiments are whipped to campaign against Atiku. Benue promises to be interesting to watch.

Verdict: Indifferent

Abia and Enugu

I will do a joint analysis due to the similarities of both States. The chances of Atiku in these states are slim not necessarily because of G5, but Peter Obi. However, as the question relates to G5, I think the governors not working for Atiku will dim the very slight chances he has in those states. He cannot and would not win those states unfortunately....

2023 will be interesting as it will demystify so many people and unravel many things. Let us see how it will go

ybalogs:
He will definitely be definitely without the G5. He knows this so I'm pretty sure they're working behind the scene to ensure they come back and soon.

Biodun556:
With G-5 governors with holding funds for campaign, Atiku will find it difficult to get tangible votes in those states

Even some governors who are not part of the G-5 are already discouraged.

engineerboat:
1. 2019 Atiku wins both Oyo and Ondo State its still the same people working for him now

3. Oyo is going for second Term He equally have a strong opponent. Remember there is 2 week interval between presidential and Governorship election. That js what is called dangerous 2 weeks in politics. APC Tinubu win will/Can affect Makinde Chances which is possible.

4. Wike, Ortom, Ngwanyi, Ikpeazu have their successors on PDP ballot for Governorship. Presidential election result will definitely affects their chances as well. And remember the Dangerous 2 weeks break

LegalWolf:
I have previously asked this question before and I think the G5 will adversely affect PDP chances a lot. Let us break it down in a state-by-state analysis.

Rivers

This is one of the most powerful strongholds of PDP. Given what we see on ground, Wike commands a large followership because it appears he has done well. Now add the fact that he has access to resources (13% derivative + normal revenue - IGR + repaid moneys owed by FG = massive war chest). There is NO WAY on earth any of the people working for Atiku in Rivers State can match that.

Verdict: Atiku chances are gone in Rivers

Oyo

Oyo story is similar to Rivers but slightly different. Makinde has done well and also commands large followership. However, he does not have the war chest of a Wike and there are still gladiators in Oyo politics that can pull funds together to salvage Atiku.

Verdict: Atiku votes will be slightly affected (Not that he can win Oyo state on a norms. To my knowledge, he has never won the state)

Benue

This is where it gets interesting. Unlike the previous two, Ortom is a disaster. Coupled with the fact that Benue is a BROKE state. Now add the fact that powerful men in the State are in support of Atiku. I would not be surprise if Atiku wins the state.

However, I am not unaware of the sentiments on ground. The media has so much tarnished the Fulani image and it is possible sentiments are whipped to campaign against Atiku. Benue promises to be interesting to watch.

Verdict: Indifferent

Abia and Enugu

I will do a joint analysis due to the similarities of both States. The chances of Atiku in these states are slim not necessarily because of G5, but Peter Obi. However, as the question relates to G5, I think the governors not working for Atiku will dim the very slight chances he has in those states. He cannot and would not win those states unfortunately....

2023 will be interesting as it will demystify so many people and unravel many things. Let us see how it will go