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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. (1966 Views)
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Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Trollronaldo: 7:09am On Jan 12, 2023 |
After the release of the voter's summary, it turns out that Peter Obi's stronghold of southsouth and southeast havd huge voter's card holders than Tinubu's stronghold. As a matter of fact, we cannot add Lagos state to Tinubu's stronghold, Tinubu might lose Lagos if care is not taking. However, I think that Tinubu will win in other parts of southwest. The voter's summary suggest that southeast has more registered voters than other 5 southwest states. Even without including southsouth were Peter Obi will obviously outperform Tinubu, there's still lot of issues: 1. Southwest, irrespective of whether their tribesman is contesting or they have security challenges has always shown voter's apathy. Take your time and look at past elections, people in southwest don't participate in elections as much as other parts of the country. They almost always register the lowest percentage of voter's turnout. 2. Peter Obi is likely to get more votes in other 5 states of southwest than Tinubu will get in Southeast. Many people will argue this because they are hoping APC leaders in southeast can help them buy votes, it won't be enough to overturn the votes Peter Obi will get in southwest. Vote buying is not easy to orchestrate smoothly. 3. A good historical analysis of southeast voting record shows that southeast usually turns out to vote whenever they have a candidate that they like and want. You can take out time to do the analysis. 4. Tinubu Will have to win northwest and northeast do even have a chance in this election. Which is like the hardest thing in this election, knowing fully well that he has formidable opponents in Atiku and Kwankwaso. 5. Please let's vote for Sowore. 5 Likes
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Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by SmartPolician: 7:16am On Jan 12, 2023 |
With Simon Ekpa's breakaway IPOB, South East even has a bigger voter apathy due to insecurity. That said, I see this election going into a runoff because I can't pick out one clear leader. 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by PrinceOfLagos: 7:16am On Jan 12, 2023 |
Bola Tinubu and his herds of unintelligent urchins will be retired permanently in February 20 Likes 4 Shares |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by PrinceOfLagos: 7:17am On Jan 12, 2023 |
SmartPolician:Keep deceiving yourself o Voter apathy yet, they troop out for campaigns abi Peter Obi will be your President wether you like it or not 26 Likes 5 Shares |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Trollronaldo: 7:18am On Jan 12, 2023 |
SmartPolician:Well, that's true but we will see how this goes. Because there's also a lot of insecurities in northwest and northeast 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by YorubaNiBaba(m): 7:30am On Jan 12, 2023 |
Ogbeni, why u dey rush?.... Wait now, feb 25 no far again, boys will be separated from men, people go know who be oga in this naija politics 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by worldTina(f): 7:30am On Jan 12, 2023 |
Alright |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Trollronaldo: 7:31am On Jan 12, 2023 |
YorubaNiBaba:Okay sir |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by senatordave1(m): 7:37am On Jan 12, 2023 |
Trollronaldo: Even when sw record low turnout,it surpasses se.in 2011,turnout was 4.5 mil.in 2015,it was 4.2.in 2019,it was 4 mil.in se,2011 was 4.5 mil.2015 was 3.2 mil.in 2019,it was 2 mil.mind you in 2011 and 2015,gej was contesting and south east liked gej very well while in same period,the sw didnt really like anybody.so let's assume that highest se will turnout is 4 mil and with Tinubu being Yoruba sw,will churnout 5 mil.ss should average 5 mil. Average turnout in the north is 16 mil and tinubu will get at least 40% which is about 6 mil plus 3 mil in sw and 1 m in se/ss.obi gets 3 mil in se plus 3 mil in ss plus 1 mil in sw plus 1 mil in north.so tinubu wins 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by tempest01(m): 7:43am On Jan 12, 2023 |
PrinceOfLagos: Very unintelligent urchins. One was arguing with me back then that SS and SE are inconsequential. In an election with 3 major candidates, you are sidelining two major regions. They should keep suppressing voters in Lagos. We will respond accordingly. Thugs and miscreants will not be given power to run our affairs. This is a challenge to the Igbos to send out word, the boycotting of elections is not intelligent. This is a chance to stop all the evil of years. And if you miss this chance, it won't come back for years. You people should come out enmass, support your own as we join hands too. 12 Likes 4 Shares |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Trollronaldo: 7:43am On Jan 12, 2023 |
senatordave1:If you remove Lagos, southwest doesn't surpass SE. It is why I said, Lagos is not even Tinubu"s stronghold. Look at it critically 10 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by PrinceOfLagos: 7:44am On Jan 12, 2023 |
tempest01: |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by YorubaNiBaba(m): 7:45am On Jan 12, 2023 |
Trollronaldo:Lagos is obi's stronghold abi, we shall see 2 Likes |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Trollronaldo: 7:46am On Jan 12, 2023 |
YorubaNiBaba:nope, Lagos is no one's stronghold. The votes in Lagos will be evenly scattered between Obi and Tinubu 9 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Polchiz(m): 7:46am On Jan 12, 2023 |
SmartPolician:Did you say Simon Ekpa? The idiot should show his face and I will personally kill him. He cannot stop election in SE. Let him try it and see. 6 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by senatordave1(m): 7:48am On Jan 12, 2023 |
Trollronaldo: If you remove lagos,tinubu will still beat obi by 2 million in the other 5 states 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Trollronaldo: 7:48am On Jan 12, 2023 |
senatordave1:Lol Okay man, if that makes you happy. 12 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by YorubaNiBaba(m): 7:49am On Jan 12, 2023 |
Trollronaldo:As i talk am earlier, feb 25 no far again, u go see results and u go faint |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Trollronaldo: 7:50am On Jan 12, 2023 |
senatordave1:ok how much votes do you think Obi will use in beating Tinubu in southeast? 1 Like |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Racoon(m): 7:50am On Jan 12, 2023 |
The 2023 election is clearly going to be a watershed because as it stands now, the only person with clear led is Peter Obi. 7 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Trollronaldo: 7:51am On Jan 12, 2023 |
YorubaNiBaba:we have already agreed on this, just that you cannot have comments here going against your personal opinions. I understand |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 7:57am On Jan 12, 2023 |
senatordave1:Keep dreaming 1 Like |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by mrvitalis(m): 8:04am On Jan 12, 2023 |
senatordave1:You suspiciously removed how many votes obi would get in the south west ? Obi would get 1 million vote in the north ? Is that for Kaduna ,or for taraba or Adamawa or plateau or Benue or nassarawa ? There is no way Tinubu is getting 40% of northern votes absolutely no way ...obi is getting minimum of 20% , kwankwaso 15% minimum Atiku 35% minimum the maximum Tinubu would get is 30 percent 2 Likes |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by DSC7: 8:08am On Jan 12, 2023 |
Victory is sure for Peter Obi..... In other news;Sowore's parents are unaware he is contesting for president!!! 2 Likes |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by senatordave1(m): 8:11am On Jan 12, 2023 |
mrvitalis: I said obi will get 1 mil in sw.if atiku gets 35%,kwankwaso gets 15%,tinubu will get 40% and obi 10%. |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by senatordave1(m): 8:12am On Jan 12, 2023 |
Trollronaldo: 2.5 mil highest. |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by copyrites: 8:19am On Jan 12, 2023 |
Tinubu would do anything to have Makinde work for him, over 3m from Oyo alone. It will be in Obi's interest if Makinde decides to work for LP or PDP at the presidential election. Obi's votes will come mainly from Lagos and partly from Ondo and Ogun. Adeleke/Atiku will ruin Tinubu's chances in Osun, which is good for Obi. While the Ondo state governor is loyal to his party, he is not a tribalist. I don't see him buying votes or rigging elections for anybody as far as the presidential election is concerned. Moreover, his wife is Igbo and he has done quite a lot in terms of opposing impunity. More so, Ondo is predominantly Christian state, like Ekiti. Ekiti's voting population is not so much and even Tinubu can't do much there. It is easier for Tinubu to win Kwara state than any SW states (...because of the majority Muslim population). 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Trollronaldo: 8:40am On Jan 12, 2023 |
senatordave1:okay, going by that, we agree that Peter Obi can get more votes in southwest and southeast combined? 1 Like |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Indispensable85(m): 9:30am On Jan 12, 2023 |
Trollronaldo: You're so ashamed of openly supporting your Obi. Why are you camouflaging with sowore? Your comments on the thread gives you away cheaply as a zombiediot. Be proud of what you believe. |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by Indispensable85(m): 9:31am On Jan 12, 2023 |
I have observed that the Igbos are very poor in the art of politics. They're all about emotions and nothing else. They're poor students of politics. Lol....they know nothing. This is why they're always on the losing side over and over again. 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Inec Voter's Summary, Tinubu's Camp Should Be Worried. by senatordave1(m): 9:33am On Jan 12, 2023 |
Trollronaldo: No |
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