₦airaland Forum

You keep underestimating Obi in NW and NE.

In NW, Kaduna state alone will give Obi more votes than the figures you put up there...
In NE, Gombe, Adamawa, Taraba and Bauchi will collectively give Obi over 700k votes.
300k from Taraba, 100k from Adamawa and Bauchi, 80k from Gombe...
These states has huge Christians voters running in their millions. Obi has 60% of Christian voters in NE/NW..

STORY.

AbujaCitiBlog:
Obi will soundly defeat Tinubu in Lagos. Watch and see. The margin may be very wide.

you dey smoke igbo

I don't know from where Obi will get these numbers from north central you guys keep projecting

A

Lol where exactly is Obi getting 30% from in North Central?
Tinubu Will get a minimum of 60% in
Niger, Kogi and Kwara. Nassarawa, Benue and Plateau will give him at least 30%
The remainder will go to Atiku.
There's zero chance of PDP winning North East when APC will be getting 90%+ in Borno and Yobe and Bauchi governor declaring he will work for anyone Buhari tells him to work for.
Atiku winning North West? Lmao biggest joke of the year.
The election will not be close. Apc will win by 4m margin minimum.

Keep deceiving urself, this the first time the IGBO's are going to come out passionately to vote

ashacot:
South east will never produce up to 3million votes

Agbado trash

ubest1:
Keep deceiving urself, this the first time the IGBO's are going to come out passionately to vote

That is what you all said during Anambra election and less than 200k votes was recorded.

Without IPOB madness in 2015 and 2019 we couldn't record 3m votes.

Now that IPOB have gone nut?

Naira20:
Kikikiki... Self consolation.
In the north, 90% Christians will vote Peter Obi
SS, SE and 50% SW are OBIdient.

For now
18% Lagos is for Atiku
5% Kwankwaso
4% Sowore
45% Peter Obi
20% Tinubu
6% invalid votes for APC

In the next few days PO will increase

And the clowns think that 90% of northern Christian's is a small figure but they are in for a shocker!

Very realistic projection Kudos however I differ on a few points.

1. I think the turnout will be 50-55%

2. I think Tinubu will slightly win North Central

3. Their won't be a rerun Tinubu and Atiku will comfortably get 25% from at least 28 states.

Other than that can't accurately predict a winner. The anger towards the ruling party is palpable but the opposition might be too divided to capitalize.

Trollronaldo:
Below is the amount of registered voters by regions.
I am going to make this analysis based on 40% voters turnout in every region, it's not certain but it's enough to give us an insight to as to what will happen in February.

Based on 40% voters turnout, here is the figure from each region

1. NW 8,902,224
2. SW 7,183,506
3. NC 6, 145, 492
4. SS 5, 776, 285
5. NE 5,016,971
6. SE 4,363,042


Analysis based on regions based on my predictions are as follows

Northwest
1. Atiku 35% 3,115,778
2. TINUBU 30% 2,670,667
3. Kwankwaso 25% 2,225,556
4. Obi 5% 445,111

SouthWest
1. Tinubu 50% 3,591,753
2. Obi 25% 1,7996,876
3. Atiku 15% 1,077,526
4. Kwankwaso 2% 143,670

Southsouth
1. Obi 45% 2,599,328
2. Atiku 30% 1,732,885
3. Tinubu 20% 1,155,257
4. Kwankwaso 2% 115,525

Northcentral
1. Atiku 30% 1,843,647
2. Obi 30% 1,843,647
3. Tinubu 30% 1,843,647
4. Kwankwaso 10% 614,549

Northeast
Atiku 40% 2,006,788
Tinubu 30% 1,505,091
Kwankwaso 15% 752,545
Obi 10% 501,697

Southeast
Obi 70% 3,054,129
Atiku 15% 654,456
Tinubu 10% 436,304
Kwankwaso 1% 43,630


TOTAL
Tinubu : 11,202, 719
Atiku: 10,431,080
Obi: 10,239,788
Kwankwaso: 3,895,475


I see Tinubu getting the most votes, however, this is not certain. Tinubu will get the most votes but won't get 25% required coverage. Tinubu will go into a rerun with Atiku.
Atiku will beat Tinubu in the rerun by winning SE and SS. However, it's still too close to call, Tinubu and Atiku may lose the momentum to Obi.


Thanks for reading guys

Trollronaldo:
Below is the amount of registered voters by regions.
I am going to make this analysis based on 40% voters turnout in every region, it's not certain but it's enough to give us an insight to as to what will happen in February.

Based on 40% voters turnout, here is the figure from each region

1. NW 8,902,224
2. SW 7,183,506
3. NC 6, 145, 492
4. SS 5, 776, 285
5. NE 5,016,971
6. SE 4,363,042


Analysis based on regions based on my predictions are as follows

Northwest
1. Atiku 35% 3,115,778
2. TINUBU 30% 2,670,667
3. Kwankwaso 25% 2,225,556
4. Obi 5% 445,111

SouthWest
1. Tinubu 50% 3,591,753
2. Obi 25% 1,7996,876
3. Atiku 15% 1,077,526
4. Kwankwaso 2% 143,670

Southsouth
1. Obi 45% 2,599,328
2. Atiku 30% 1,732,885
3. Tinubu 20% 1,155,257
4. Kwankwaso 2% 115,525

Northcentral
1. Atiku 30% 1,843,647
2. Obi 30% 1,843,647
3. Tinubu 30% 1,843,647
4. Kwankwaso 10% 614,549

Northeast
Atiku 40% 2,006,788
Tinubu 30% 1,505,091
Kwankwaso 15% 752,545
Obi 10% 501,697

Southeast
Obi 70% 3,054,129
Atiku 15% 654,456
Tinubu 10% 436,304
Kwankwaso 1% 43,630


TOTAL
Tinubu : 11,202, 719
Atiku: 10,431,080
Obi: 10,239,788
Kwankwaso: 3,895,475


I see Tinubu getting the most votes, however, this is not certain. Tinubu will get the most votes but won't get 25% required coverage. Tinubu will go into a rerun with Atiku.
Atiku will beat Tinubu in the rerun by winning SE and SS. However, it's still too close to call, Tinubu and Atiku may lose the momentum to Obi.


Thanks for reading guys

Election is next month I hope guys finally find rest.

Trollronaldo:
Below is the amount of registered voters by regions.
I am going to make this analysis based on 40% voters turnout in every region, it's not certain but it's enough to give us an insight to as to what will happen in February.

Based on 40% voters turnout, here is the figure from each region

1. NW 8,902,224
2. SW 7,183,506
3. NC 6, 145, 492
4. SS 5, 776, 285
5. NE 5,016,971
6. SE 4,363,042


Analysis based on regions based on my predictions are as follows

Northwest
1. Atiku 35% 3,115,778
2. TINUBU 30% 2,670,667
3. Kwankwaso 25% 2,225,556
4. Obi 5% 445,111

SouthWest
1. Tinubu 50% 3,591,753
2. Obi 25% 1,7996,876
3. Atiku 15% 1,077,526
4. Kwankwaso 2% 143,670

Southsouth
1. Obi 45% 2,599,328
2. Atiku 30% 1,732,885
3. Tinubu 20% 1,155,257
4. Kwankwaso 2% 115,525

Northcentral
1. Atiku 30% 1,843,647
2. Obi 30% 1,843,647
3. Tinubu 30% 1,843,647
4. Kwankwaso 10% 614,549

Northeast
Atiku 40% 2,006,788
Tinubu 30% 1,505,091
Kwankwaso 15% 752,545
Obi 10% 501,697

Southeast
Obi 70% 3,054,129
Atiku 15% 654,456
Tinubu 10% 436,304
Kwankwaso 1% 43,630


TOTAL
Tinubu : 11,202, 719
Atiku: 10,431,080
Obi: 10,239,788
Kwankwaso: 3,895,475


I see Tinubu getting the most votes, however, this is not certain. Tinubu will get the most votes but won't get 25% required coverage. Tinubu will go into a rerun with Atiku.
Atiku will beat Tinubu in the rerun by winning SE and SS. However, it's still too close to call, Tinubu and Atiku may lose the momentum to Obi.


Thanks for reading guys

rubbish statistics here, not reality at all. As if you have voters card to cast your votes. The likes of you predicted the clueless party destroyer Oyetola that he will win the July 16th governorship Election last year, so tell me the outcome of the election now. Tinubu tun ma lule piii Lekan siii. Tinubu is a clueless goner. February 25th, 2023 presidential election is the date.

Trollronaldo:
Below is the amount of registered voters by regions.
I am going to make this analysis based on 40% voters turnout in every region, it's not certain but it's enough to give us an insight to as to what will happen in February.

Based on 40% voters turnout, here is the figure from each region

1. NW 8,902,224
2. SW 7,183,506
3. NC 6, 145, 492
4. SS 5, 776, 285
5. NE 5,016,971
6. SE 4,363,042


Analysis based on regions based on my predictions are as follows

Northwest
1. Atiku 35% 3,115,778
2. TINUBU 30% 2,670,667
3. Kwankwaso 25% 2,225,556
4. Obi 5% 445,111

SouthWest
1. Tinubu 50% 3,591,753
2. Obi 25% 1,7996,876
3. Atiku 15% 1,077,526
4. Kwankwaso 2% 143,670

Southsouth
1. Obi 45% 2,599,328
2. Atiku 30% 1,732,885
3. Tinubu 20% 1,155,257
4. Kwankwaso 2% 115,525

Northcentral
1. Atiku 30% 1,843,647
2. Obi 30% 1,843,647
3. Tinubu 30% 1,843,647
4. Kwankwaso 10% 614,549

Northeast
Atiku 40% 2,006,788
Tinubu 30% 1,505,091
Kwankwaso 15% 752,545
Obi 10% 501,697

Southeast
Obi 70% 3,054,129
Atiku 15% 654,456
Tinubu 10% 436,304
Kwankwaso 1% 43,630


TOTAL
Tinubu : 11,202, 719
Atiku: 10,431,080
Obi: 10,239,788
Kwankwaso: 3,895,475


I see Tinubu getting the most votes, however, this is not certain. Tinubu will get the most votes but won't get 25% required coverage. Tinubu will go into a rerun with Atiku.
Atiku will beat Tinubu in the rerun by winning SE and SS. However, it's still too close to call, Tinubu and Atiku may lose the momentum to Obi.


Thanks for reading guys

I'm doing this to enlighten agbadorians because they have been wailing since yesterday albeit ignorantly.

Let's see the percentage by zone and see who wins according to the polls all things being equal.

Total registered voters by zone.
NW = 22.67 million
SW = 18.3 million
SS = 15.2 Million
NC = 14.1 Million
NE = 12.8 Million
SE = 11.49 Million

1. Peter Obi — (NC = 3,384,000) + (NE = 1,024,000) + (NW = 2,493,700) + (SE = 5,745,000) + (SS = 6,992,000) + (SW = 2,745,000) TOTAL = 22,383,700.

2. Tinubu — (NC = 1,269,000) + (NE = 1,920,000) + (NW = 3,400,500) + (SE = 114,900) + (SS = 1,368,000) + (SW = 4,026,000) TOTAL = 12,098,400

3. Atiku — (NC = 1,128,000) + (NE = 2,944,000) + (NW = 3,853,900) + (SE = 114,900) + ( SS = 456,000) + (SW = 732,000) TOTAL = 9,228,800.

You can see this is for 100% turnout but you can still work it out for lesser percentages of turnout.

Obi is leading with almost double margin of the closest rival so even if the South has a lower turnout, he will still be leading.

I don't see how Tinubu can overturn this since he runs away from the Media.

Naira20:
YES
Tinubu's major votes are from 60% SW Muslims and 1% Churchgoers (who are his beneficiaries) which are not much.
Other Muslims would vote Atiku, Kwankwaso, and Even PO.

The Muslim-Muslim Ticket would backfire here in the SW.

Abeg don’t enlighten him here, he’s APC strategist looking for people’s views in the next month presidential election. Tinubu will be thunderously defeated in the poll. The Christians in Yoruba land will votes against APC Muslim-Muslim ticket in February 25th presidential election. Pvc the weapon is in our various hands. Abeg we can’t wait for the election to commence next month. Tinubu tun ma lule piii Lekan siii. Tinubu is a clueless goner. Yoruba people will rather votes for Atiku Abubakar than voting for Tinubu the drug baron.

It's too late for pounded yam to revert to raw yam.
Tinubu is destined to lose.

Johnnyessence:
Abeg don’t enlighten him here, he’s APC strategist looking for people’s views in the next month presidential election. Tinubu will be thunderously defeated in the poll. The Christians in Yoruba land will votes against APC Muslim-Muslim ticket in February 25th presidential election. Pvc the weapon is in our various hands. Abeg we can’t wait for the election to commence next month. Tinubu tun ma lule piii Lekan siii. Tinubu is a clueless goner. Yoruba people will rather votes for Atiku Abubakar than voting for Tinubu the drug baron.

Naira20:
It's too late for pounded yam to revert to raw yam.
Tinubu is destined to lose.

100% yes. That was what they were projecting for party destroyer Oyetola last July 16th governorship Election last year, at the end, Governor Ademola defeated Oyetola in all the APC strongholds in Osun State. It will repeat it again in next month February 25th presidential election cos’ the electorates will votes against APC bad leadership they have been in power for the last 8 years in government. In all the 6 states in Yoruba land, Pdp wins much States here not to talk of having over 40% voting strength in Lagos State. Tinubu will adopt votes buying method to buy votes same way Pdp will adopt votes buying methods to get the spread well in the poll. Tinubu is a clueless goner, Tinubu will be thunderously defeated in the February 25th presidential election. Pdp and Atiku Abubakar campaign team are much prepared for the next month presidential election. Tinubu ma lule piii Lekan siii.

ashacot:
South east will never produce up to 3million votes

they will, they have produced more in the past. Their son is on the ballot

tinsel:
I don't know from where Obi will get these numbers from north central you guys keep projecting

Obi is the favorite to win Benue, Abuja, Plateau and nasarawa

Spirit04:
Lol where exactly is Obi getting 30% from in North Central?
Tinubu Will get a minimum of 60% in
Niger, Kogi and Kwara. Nassarawa, Benue and Plateau will give him at least 30%
The remainder will go to Atiku.
There's zero chance of PDP winning North East when APC will be getting 90%+ in Borno and Yobe and Bauchi governor declaring he will work for anyone Buhari tells him to work for.
Atiku winning North West? Lmao biggest joke of the year.
The election will not be close. Apc will win by 4m margin minimum.

Peter Obi is the favorite to win Benue, Plateau and Abuja.

Maybe nasarawa. It's no Brainer, no sentiment

Trollronaldo:
Below is the amount of registered voters by regions.
I am going to make this analysis based on 40% voters turnout in every region, it's not certain but it's enough to give us an insight to as to what will happen in February.

Based on 40% voters turnout, here is the figure from each region

1. NW 8,902,224
2. SW 7,183,506
3. NC 6, 145, 492
4. SS 5, 776, 285
5. NE 5,016,971
6. SE 4,363,042


Analysis based on regions based on my predictions are as follows

Northwest
1. Atiku 35% 3,115,778
2. TINUBU 30% 2,670,667
3. Kwankwaso 25% 2,225,556
4. Obi 5% 445,111

SouthWest
1. Tinubu 50% 3,591,753
2. Obi 25% 1,7996,876
3. Atiku 15% 1,077,526
4. Kwankwaso 2% 143,670

Southsouth
1. Obi 45% 2,599,328
2. Atiku 30% 1,732,885
3. Tinubu 20% 1,155,257
4. Kwankwaso 2% 115,525

Northcentral
1. Atiku 30% 1,843,647
2. Obi 30% 1,843,647
3. Tinubu 30% 1,843,647
4. Kwankwaso 10% 614,549

Northeast
Atiku 40% 2,006,788
Tinubu 30% 1,505,091
Kwankwaso 15% 752,545
Obi 10% 501,697

Southeast
Obi 70% 3,054,129
Atiku 15% 654,456
Tinubu 10% 436,304
Kwankwaso 1% 43,630


TOTAL
Tinubu : 11,202, 719
Atiku: 10,431,080
Obi: 10,239,788
Kwankwaso: 3,895,475


I see Tinubu getting the most votes, however, this is not certain. Tinubu will get the most votes but won't get 25% required coverage. Tinubu will go into a rerun with Atiku.
Atiku will beat Tinubu in the rerun by winning SE and SS. However, it's still too close to call, Tinubu and Atiku may lose the momentum to Obi.


Thanks for reading guys

Tinubu will win the election more convincingly than you predicted, you forgot to add the Federal Government Magic factors.

APC is not going anywhere, they have the Military & Supreme Court behind them, no honor amongst politicians in the country of the fantastically corrupt.

Trollronaldo:
Peter Obi is the favorite to win Benue, Plateau and Abuja.

Maybe nasarawa. It's no Brainer, no sentiment

On Election Day you would realize that those people no send Igbo candidate wey no sabi speak Hausa, Rochas Okorocha or Orji Kalu will stand a far better chance.

You ipobians turned Obidients should keep deceiving yourselves.

sapele914:
On Election Day you would realize that those people no send Igbo candidate wey no sabi speak Hausa.

You ipobians turned Obidients should keep deceiving yourselves.

ok, if this makes you happy, I am also happy for you

Tinubu and Atiku have the capacity to get 25% in 24 states in Nigeria. They only just need a simple majority to be president of Nigeria. The only person that doesn't have that spread is Peter Obi.

Outside South East and some parts of South South, Obi will struggle for 25% in other parts of Nigeria. Forget the loud noise from the vocal minority.

Trollronaldo:
ok, if this makes you happy, I am also happy for you

Fact unless you are deceiving yourself about Nigeria?

For an Igbo man or any Southern aspirant to convince the North that he is on their side, either you are a Muslim, or you speak their language, if not whoever isn’t such is wasting their time.

Tinubu will have required 25% in all d 19 states in d north + 6 states in SE including FCT

sapele914:
Fact unless you are deceiving yourself about Nigeria?

For an Igbo man or any Southern aspirant to convince the North that he is on their side, either you are a Muslim, or you speak their language, if not whoever isn’t such is wasting their time.

ok, happiness, no bad energy

Trollronaldo:
Below is the amount of registered voters by regions.
I am going to make this analysis based on 40% voters turnout in every region, it's not certain but it's enough to give us an insight to as to what will happen in February.

Based on 40% voters turnout, here is the figure from each region

1. NW 8,902,224
2. SW 7,183,506
3. NC 6, 145, 492
4. SS 5, 776, 285
5. NE 5,016,971
6. SE 4,363,042


Analysis based on regions based on my predictions are as follows

Northwest
1. Atiku 35% 3,115,778
2. TINUBU 30% 2,670,667
3. Kwankwaso 25% 2,225,556
4. Obi 5% 445,111

SouthWest
1. Tinubu 50% 3,591,753
2. Obi 25% 1,7996,876
3. Atiku 15% 1,077,526
4. Kwankwaso 2% 143,670

Southsouth
1. Obi 45% 2,599,328
2. Atiku 30% 1,732,885
3. Tinubu 20% 1,155,257
4. Kwankwaso 2% 115,525

Northcentral
1. Atiku 30% 1,843,647
2. Obi 30% 1,843,647
3. Tinubu 30% 1,843,647
4. Kwankwaso 10% 614,549

Northeast
Atiku 40% 2,006,788
Tinubu 30% 1,505,091
Kwankwaso 15% 752,545
Obi 10% 501,697

Southeast
Obi 70% 3,054,129
Atiku 15% 654,456
Tinubu 10% 436,304
Kwankwaso 1% 43,630


TOTAL
Tinubu : 11,202, 719
Atiku: 10,431,080
Obi: 10,239,788
Kwankwaso: 3,895,475


I see Tinubu getting the most votes, however, this is not certain. Tinubu will get the most votes but won't get 25% required coverage. Tinubu will go into a rerun with Atiku.
Atiku will beat Tinubu in the rerun by winning SE and SS. However, it's still too close to call, Tinubu and Atiku may lose the momentum to Obi.


Thanks for reading guys

...op you try but it can't come out in that way.
In all ramifications Tinubu will win without rerun.
Here are why, one, this election is West against East, that is, Atiku and Obi were from the East while Tinubu is from the West, the West was always won against East.
Second, Nigeria never drops her traditional regional political partisan which is North, West, East. On that 2/3 we win .means Tinubu will win in the North and in the West. this also mean 2/3 is also in favour of Tinubu

oladeebo:
...op you try but it can't come out in that away.
In all ramifications Tinubu will win without rerun.
Here are why, one, this election is West against East, that is, Atiku and Obi were from the East while Tinubu is from the West, the West was always won against East.
Second, Nigeria never drops her traditional regional political partisan which is North, West, East. On that 2/3 we win .means Tinubu will win in the North and in the West. this also mean 2/3 is also in favour of Tinubu

Tinubu cannor get 25% in these states

1. Anambra
2. Abia
3. Ebonyi
4. Enugu
5. Imo
6. Rivers
7. Delta
8. Bayelsa
9. Akwa ibom
10. Crossriver
11. Benue
12. Sokoto
13. Adamawa
14. Kano
15. Taraba
16. Bauchi


It means that he cannot get 25% in 24states of the country

Atiku will get over 60% in South south.
Tinubu win this election? Just dey play

Obi all the way.
Get your T-Mobile esim from me.
Let me help you set it up and I can also tutor you on how to be helping people set it up.
It’s a win-win for you.

Trollronaldo:
Tinubu cannor get 25% in these states

1. Anambra
2. Abia
3. Ebonyi
4. Enugu
5. Imo
6. Rivers
7. Delta
8. Bayelsa
9. Akwa ibom
10. Crossriver
11. Benue
12. Sokoto
13. Adamawa
14. Kano
15. Taraba
16. Bauchi


It means that he cannot get 25% in 24states of the country

....according to your calculation 36-16= 20
Then the twenty state plus Kano,Sokoto,Rivers, Deltal will make Tinubu win
Be sure of that.