naijapips04:
The north is never divided. You will learn with this election.

I think they are and it is largely between Atiku and kwankwaso. For those giving Tinubu a chance in the north is just wasting his/her time. However, if APC had a northern candidate then it may have affected the voting pattern.

DukeofUmueri247:
The druggie will win only Borno,Kwara and Yobe states in the North..

Shey saraki na joke to u?
Kwara APC is even divided btw the governor and lai Mohammed and the governor even failed woefully

babyfaceafrica:
Can a divided south win election

60% of southern votes is going to Obi

It is during election and voting they will deceive us with a united north.

During massacre of northern Christians, they will segregate Hausa from Fulani and no one will come to our rescue.

babyfaceafrica:
Can a divided south win election

The truth is that south is divided and the north has not been this dis jointed in a long time.

Buddha3:


What are you even saying?

Because you come online and read news contents where 50,000 APC members decamp to PDP in Zamfara, you now begin to attach party sentiments to Northern politics?

Brotherly, the average northerner doesn't give two hoots about party politics. Religion is priority one. Brotherhood and the "born to lead" mentality follows closely. They don't care for whatever el-dorado you promise. They'll easily vote that their Muslim brother before thinking of you. Their loyalty to that course is unmistakable. I live and work amongst these people.

You folks need to start being realistic for once. Why else do you think is the reason Datti Ahmed isn't exactly pulling his resources into campaigning much for Labour Party in the North? He has recognised that the best LP can get is a moderate percentage of votes to constitutionally augment for what is to be gathered in the South and Central.

No Southerner, whether Muslim or Christian can beat a Northern Muslim in an election up North!

Alliance is the KEY.. go look at the statistics of the 1993 Presidential election

Buddha3:


Of the four top contenders, Peter Obi stands the least chance in the North West and North East. Let's not lie to ourselves.

Peter Obi is NOT looking for Massive Votes in the North, due to the Religion and Tribal Factor u Mentioned..

He Just need @least 20-30% Votes!

However, I am Telling you dat Left for an Average HausaMan, he will give Peter Obi or Kwankwanso!

Atiku and Tinubu's Capitalist or Aristocratic Image does NOT sit well with an Average HausaMan!

Madups:
The truth is that south is divided and the north has not been this dis jointed in a long time.

I

South is NOT divided!

South-south and South-east + 30% of South-West Votes is Going to PETER OBI.

hotplate:


Alliance is the KEY.. go look at the statistics of the 1993 Presidential election

Nigerians were not as hungry and jobless in 1993 as they are today.

Alliances crumble in the face of hunger and fight for survival.

If I had the time, I'd have done you a bit of service by laying bare some of these alliances you and Tinubu are banking on, so you'll see the hollowness embedded in their very cores.

Vinnie2000:


Peter Obi is NOT looking for Massive Votes in the North, due to the Religion and Tribal Factor u Mentioned..

He Just need @least 20-30% Votes!

However, I am Telling you dat Left for an Average HausaMan, he will give Peter Obi or Kwankwanso!

Atiku and Tinubu's Capitalist or Aristocratic Image does NOT sit well with an Average HausaMan!

The average northerner has no business with the capitalistic and aristocratic traits you just spelt out, where their brother is concerned.

There's no Muslim Northerner up there who will pick Peter Obi over Atiku Abubakar, if he had the liberty of making that choice without any form of external influence or inducement.

Ennoloa:
1. Tinubu might get up to 50% Total vote from NE & NW [Probablity tho]

Why do you think he would get up to 50, then Atiku, Kwankwaso and Obi would share the remaining 50?

Tinubu is not a northerner oh.

Obi will do better than Kwankwaso in those regions you mentioned.

Buddha3:


Of the four top contenders, Peter Obi stands the least chance in the North West and North East. Let's not lie to ourselves.

Reader530:
Imams are preaching all over the north that:
1. Tinubu is not a complete Muslim and his vice is Kanuri (minority tribe) amidst Hausa&Fulanis.
2. Voting Kwankwaso is a waste of vote.
Frankly speaking, Tinubu will win Borno and Yobe only in the north.
Kwankwaso will get 45% in Kano, Atiku 40% and Tinubu 12%. Even in Kano, many people agree that Voting Kwankwasiyya is a waste.
Atiku will win north central because most people in searching for Reps and senators in PDP may vote for Atiku.
I am North Eastern OBIdient but lack of structures and support to create awareness to our people reduce the number of our followers.
I am saying nothing but the truth as North stands. Even in Yobe rally for APC that was held at Stadium along Maiduguri road, Damaturu was not full like Buhari's campaign in previous years.
Thanks

What do you mean by lack of structure and your Obidient?
If you want to support an Armed rubber called Atiku please be open about and stop attaching Obi to that.

garfield1:


Yes.tinubu can get 50%,atiku 35% kwankwaso 10%

I sincerely pray that God will give you the grace not to get close to sniper after this coming election because of the way you are going about it.

broadman20:



I sincerely pray that God will give you the grace not to get close to sniper after this coming election because of the way you are going about it.

You need it more kid.

garfield1:


You need it more kid.

Hahahaha!

Mine is that I've always seen this election as a game that can go either way but yours is like if the Drug Lord didn't win mmmmmmm!

You will die by fire by force o!

broadman20:



Hahahaha!

Mine is that I've always seen this election as a game that can go either way but yours is like if the Drug Lord didn't win mmmmmmm!

You will die by fire by force o!

He will.apc will win as usual and you will wail

Vinnie2000:


95% of SOUTH-SOUTH AND SOUTH-EAST Votes is for Peter Obi.

While 70% of SOUTH-WEST Votes is for Tinubu.

The Other 30% of South-West votes, Peter Obi will claim 20% while Atiku,10%.

So in Reality, PETER OBI is the King of the South!

The race is really between APC and PDP; LP and NNPP are really just fringe players.

1Dray:
Peter Obi is obviously winning. The odds are all tending to his favour.

I quite agree with you.

Ennoloa:
1. Tinubu might get up to 50% Total vote from NE & NW [Probablity tho]

You're delusional. Emilokan can not get up 30% votes from both zones

adioolayi:
The op sef....divided North, where Jonathan and PDP won some states in the North, check Borno in 2011...and the States he didn't win, he came second..having more than 25% in many!

The same Jonathan clearing Southwest states..

I pity anyone comparing 2011 elections as a divided North and an advantage to the South candidate with a new movement to predict 2023 elections.

For the umpteenth time, 2023 elections is between Atiku and Tinubu to lose...with Tinubu having a slight advantage. Nothing has changed.

I believe in miracles though..will like to see one in Nigeria s election

You can't force 2023 election to be between Atiku and Tinubu, when Tinubu is not visibly in the race. The race is obviously between Obi and Atiku.

garfield1:


He will.apc will win as usual and you will wail

This is where the sniper taking issue comes in,

Hahahaha!

The person at disadvantage here is Atiku the votes have been divided most especially with emergency of PO from SE, Shettima as VP for APC from NE. Without PO on the ballot box Atiku might be lucky to win with a landslide but odds have changed BAT is cruising on an advantage the emergency of PO is a blessing in disguise for BAT.

Reader530:
Imams are preaching all over the north that:
1. Tinubu is not a complete Muslim and his vice is Kanuri (minority tribe) amidst Hausa&Fulanis.
2. Voting Kwankwaso is a waste of vote.
Frankly speaking, Tinubu will win Borno and Yobe only in the north.
Kwankwaso will get 45% in Kano, Atiku 40% and Tinubu 12%. Even in Kano, many people agree that Voting Kwankwasiyya is a waste.
Atiku will win north central because most people in searching for Reps and senators in PDP may vote for Atiku.
I am North Eastern OBIdient but lack of structures and support to create awareness to our people reduce the number of our followers.
I am saying nothing but the truth as North stands. Even in Yobe rally for APC that was held at Stadium along Maiduguri road, Damaturu was not full like Buhari's campaign in previous years.
Thanks

Atiku cannot win this our north central, Obi is too strong here. Already Benue and Plateau will go Obi's way at least 85%! The christians and even Muslims here aren't too religious and are still rooting for Obi. In fact Tinubu is likely to come second here and Atiku third.

Mrfixitt:
You're delusional. Emilokan can not get up 30% votes from both zones

I agree also

SenatePresdo:


Why do you think he would get up to 50, then Atiku, Kwankwaso and Obi would share the remaining 50?

Tinubu is not a northerner oh.

I'm giving urchins hope

1Dray:


You can't force 2023 election to be between Atiku and Tinubu, when Tinubu is not visibly in the race. The race is obviously between Obi and Atiku.

Of 36 states, Obi is only sure of getting 25% in at most 14 states (5 SE, 6 SS, Lagos, Abuja); He is nowhere in this race, and both He and Datti know this - Datti is barely even campaigning up north. The race is still between Atiku and Tinubu.

adioolayi:
The op sef....divided North, where Jonathan and PDP won some states in the North, check Borno in 2011...and the States he didn't win, he came second..having more than 25% in many!

The same Jonathan clearing Southwest states..

I pity anyone comparing 2011 elections as a divided North and an advantage to the South candidate with a new movement to predict 2023 elections.

For the umpteenth time, 2023 elections is between Atiku and Tinubu to lose...with Tinubu having a slight advantage. Nothing has changed.

I believe in miracles though..will like to see one in Nigeria s election

pls who will now win if it is between Atiku and Tinubu to win

Buddha3:


Of the four top contenders, Peter Obi stands the least chance in the North West and North East. Let's not lie to ourselves.

truth

garfield1:


Yes.tinubu can get 50%,atiku 35% kwankwaso 10%

The South will make or mar the candidates

alimiadedayo1:

pls who will now win if it is between Atiku and Tinubu to win

A bit close to call...with Tinubu having a slight edge as at today.

If Atiku resolves the issues with the G5....his chances will receive a massive boost.

adioolayi:


A bit close to call...with Tinubu having a slight edge as at today.

If Atiku resolves the issues with the G5....his chances will receive a massive boost.

I got you now a very Intelligent analysis but do you think the G5 issue will have much effect on Atiku? it will only have little effect cause most of the south eastern people will not vote apc, they hate tinibu with passion and the issue of muslim Muslim ticket will affect.. the day wike says vote tinibu, wike will loose rivers state , remember that was what happened to amechi today he was relegated in rivers politics because he supported a northern against Jonathan