₦airaland Forum

sukkot:
nwokem we saw that wind of change at the aerial view of the tbs rally

tinsel:
With unknown gun men ?

Which unknown gunmen? We are waiting for them.

Spandau:

caleboxylic:
Which unknown gunmen? We are waiting for them.

You are waiting for them and refused to break their backbones by not making monday sit at home since. You are waiting for them in Lagos.

Dsalvo:
Spot on. My opinion too. Nigeria mirrored a strong two-Party nation, that many western and developed nations are, before the deliberate machinations of Buhari and his crew when they opted for a divide-and-conquer weakening of our existing political Party reality to the detriment of APC.

Nothing indicates this more than the farce the APC Primaries was last year.

But for Buhari deliberately weakening the ruling Party he heads, the APC would be on course for a landslide victory today.

Obi may not even be contesting had APC sustained its characteristically strong and dominant ruling Party status that a committed, sincere, uniting and team-builidng APC President would have easily ensured.

the PDP was virtually at death's door before the self-destructive implosion of the APC Buhari and his pro-North cabal began precipitating with the open undermining of APC's candidate in Edo State that allowed PDP gain some reprieve with Obaseki's win.

Nonetheless, and despite the challenges thrown before BAT by those at the highest echelon of APC power structure, many leaders with political interests beyond May 29th, when Buhari officially bows out, will help Tinubu get over the line comfortably because they know an Atiku win negatively balkanises Nigeria politically forever and ruin their own future also.

Only a Tinubu win ticks all the boxes, for everyone, to include even the need for Nigeria to gain the best President out of all those available.

See dumb reasoning completely based on political sentiments n not the reality on ground…
Reality on ground is that tinubu will not win up to 12 states in the forth coming elections….
There’s going to be a runoff between PO N AA….

Mr. Peter Obi is the next president of Nigeria.

Sicilyjoe:
From what I heard ipob said that eastern border will be locked and any one seeing outside on the voting day will be killed

Which kind of lie is this?

Nice nice forecast
May the best man win

Jarus, Naptu

Ortom just endorsed Obi

So does this change your projection in Benue state

Another state lost by Atiku

hedonido:
One has to be mentally disturbed to project a BAT victory when it is clear the man has zero appeal to the average non Yoruba voter. I don't understand you pseudo-'enlightened' creeps.

Who would vote for someone like this really? At least Buhari had his unassailable 'integrity' selling point that guaranteed him votes from the entire North to the South West. What does BAT have that would give him votes outside the South West? Is it his drug dealing reputation, extreme corruption, dubious personality and background, obvious signs of age and drug induced dementia and mental degradation, or what exactly? Or you're merely expecting his 'structures' to buy votes, coerce votes or manipulate votes? If this is the expectation, shouldn't you lot be ashamed of yourselves and hide your faces in shame rather than insult our sensibilities with stupid forecasts?

How do you win an election when you are not popular on the strength of your own personality with the average voter across geopolitical divides?

Even the best of you in spite of your intellectual pretentions haven't been able to explain how it would be possible for a discredited and obnoxious entity like BAT to inspire the votes of the average non Yoruba Nigerian. Instead you're relying on magic from compromised governors. Just makes no sense. That's why I'm disappointed that old folks like Naptu or Jarus can't hide their jaundiced faces rather than come out in the open to display weakly disguised Yoruba awalokan motivated nonsense.

Shame on you all.

as in ehn...
I lack words to describe the thingly veiled partisanship disguised as pseudo intellect basing it on trends that have no basis in logic today

Dele Sobowale: Atiku Will Win Nigeria's Most Disputed Election
https://www.nairaland.com/7566728/dele-sobowale-atiku-win-most

hedonido:
One has to be mentally disturbed to project a BAT victory when it is clear the man has zero appeal to the average non Yoruba voter. I don't understand you pseudo-'enlightened' creeps.

Who would vote for someone like this really? At least Buhari had his unassailable 'integrity' selling point that guaranteed him votes from the entire North to the South West. What does BAT have that would give him votes outside the South West? Is it his drug dealing reputation, extreme corruption, dubious personality and background, obvious signs of age and drug induced dementia and mental degradation, or what exactly? Or you're merely expecting his 'structures' to buy votes, coerce votes or manipulate votes? If this is the expectation, shouldn't you lot be ashamed of yourselves and hide your faces in shame rather than insult our sensibilities with stupid forecasts?

How do you win an election when you are not popular on the strength of your own personality with the average voter across geopolitical divides?

Even the best of you in spite of your intellectual pretentions haven't been able to explain how it would be possible for a discredited and obnoxious entity like BAT to inspire the votes of the average non Yoruba Nigerian. Instead you're relying on magic from compromised governors. Just makes no sense. That's why I'm disappointed that old folks like Naptu or Jarus can't hide their jaundiced faces rather than come out in the open to display weakly disguised Yoruba awalokan motivated nonsense.

Shame on you all.

Hehehehehe

A Daniel come to judgment! See finishing!

hedonido:
One has to be mentally disturbed to project a BAT victory when it is clear the man has zero appeal to the average non Yoruba voter. I don't understand you pseudo-'enlightened' creeps.

Who would vote for someone like this really? At least Buhari had his unassailable 'integrity' selling point that guaranteed him votes from the entire North to the South West. What does BAT have that would give him votes outside the South West? Is it his drug dealing reputation, extreme corruption, dubious personality and background, obvious signs of age and drug induced dementia and mental degradation, or what exactly? Or you're merely expecting his 'structures' to buy votes, coerce votes or manipulate votes? If this is the expectation, shouldn't you lot be ashamed of yourselves and hide your faces in shame rather than insult our sensibilities with stupid forecasts?

How do you win an election when you are not popular on the strength of your own personality with the average voter across geopolitical divides?

Even the best of you in spite of your intellectual pretentions haven't been able to explain how it would be possible for a discredited and obnoxious entity like BAT to inspire the votes of the average non Yoruba Nigerian. Instead you're relying on magic from compromised governors. Just makes no sense. That's why I'm disappointed that old folks like Naptu or Jarus can't hide their jaundiced faces rather than come out in the open to display weakly disguised Yoruba awalokan motivated nonsense.

Shame on you all.

Words have never been said better

"One has to be mentally disturbed to project a BAT victory when it is clear the man has zero appeal to the average non Yoruba voter. I don't understand you pseudo-'enlightened' creeps"

One has to frame these words.

TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis
https://www.nairaland.com/7575511/tkb417s-presidential-election-analysis

onegig:
It just narrows the win margins. Doesn't flip anything.

Buhari had to combine his regular 12m votes with the Southwest and North Central to unseat a sitting president.

You think Kwankwaso and Obi have 12m votes standby somewhere and an additional 4m votes via alliances to flip the elections for them? If anything the opposition is fragmented and it's Tinubu's election to lose.

I can see him comfortably win by 2m votes.

What a lot of you are skipping is the fact that the Presidential elections holds same time with National Assembly elections. A lot of Nigerian voters are illiterates and the House of Rep and Senatortial candidates would be working to ensure that people just thumbprint their parties on the ballots. We saw this affect a lot of PDP senators and HOR in 2015 with Buhari helping a lot of less popular candidates sweep National Assembly elections. I definitely won't be out there telling my supporters to select ballots and vote whoever they want for presidency and vote my party for national assembly. So a lot of votes would still follow the same patterns in most areas. Parties with strongholds would win their strongholds.

More Cosmopolitan areas or the Southwest and south east might slightly variate but that's standard practice.

Turn out has always hovered around 39% . Even with increased participation we can see maybe a 7 to 10% increase but that still doesn't guarantee a win for the opposition. If anything. Atiku has had a large chunk of his SS/SE votes taken by LP. LP hasn't been able to successfully make inroads into the North where the large chunk of votes is. Kwankwaso has always had votes in Kano/Jigawa and don't discount that Ganduje is incumbent and also has his followers and should be able to get Tinubu at least 30%.

This prediction is much more realistic than the rubbish Anap/oi were putting forward. As usual Social media without the street work is not reality and you would see that is much reinforced this election.

Told you guys especially the illiteracy part. Badly affecting Makinde in Oyo and most Northern states. Incumbents loosing Reps and senate races due to them aligning with the opposition.

So the whole of South East State house of assembly has gone to LP?

Like I don't get it.

How did Jarus do?

(He made an updated forecast on the 23rd of February and you can see it here: https://twitter.com/SirJarus/status/1628878420993101829).

Final result.

Jarus yato si ANAP

naptu2:
How did Jarus do?

(He made an updated forecast on the 23rd of February and you can see it here: https://twitter.com/SirJarus/status/1628878420993101829).

I'd say he did great based on the results we are seeing with INEC.

naptu2:
How did Jarus do?

(He made an updated forecast on the 23rd of February and you can see it here: https://twitter.com/SirJarus/status/1628878420993101829).

He seriously underated obi and overrated the other two

naptu2:
How did Jarus do?

(He made an updated forecast on the 23rd of February and you can see it here: https://twitter.com/SirJarus/status/1628878420993101829).

He did well.
and I personally overrated SW votes for BAT.