₦airaland Forum

JagabanBorgu:
Just tell them what they want to hear, they will be happy, say what they don't want to hear, they will start talking about proofs.

JagabanBorgu:
U Eluu P supporters are d ones who always ask for evidence but u never have evidence for ur own claims, this Iamè attitude of turning tables that u people have don't work with me ok

SlayQueenSlayer:
In this, the party that declared as winner is also claiming that the elections were rigged.

udeh3:
And that was how he won the major places, including Lagos and Abuja... It took APC over 10yrs to get upto 6m with plenty merger.
With less money, Obi surpassed it with a party he joined less than a year or thereabout. If you see a genius raising standards, celebrate him

gawu1:
That is definition of the Lunatics party supporters dominated by ipob terrorist mobs.
Just because that guy call Charles Anazodo advocated on his Twitter page for calm now that election is over and we have someone declared as winner; can't believe the kind of insults those children of hates threw at that gentle guy. They used all sorts of unprintable names, character assassination, abuses, and blackmail against him. Most of them even used life threatening words.
But like how the guy ignored the pigs with no reply.

Okealaaye:
There's no rule or law anywhere that disallows anyone from delighting himself in delusion of grandeur or finding the occasion to relieve himself of pent-up bitterness and anger.

JoshTim:
Bursted!!!!
Samples have already been determined apriori, so claims that you used a random sample is a lie, you know that.

If you understand statistics so well as you claimed, you will understand that what you just generated is an estimate not the accurate figure.

It's also important to get a representative sample rather than get a sample that is skewed so that your analysis can follow a normal distribution. Else, what you just generated will have standard deviation greater than zero, skewness greater than zero, and kurtosis less than 3 or greater than 3.

I will like to ask the confidence interval for this your result?

What is the standard error?

It is an estimate and we cannot say for sure how accurate your estimate is. I believe your data is skewed to places where peter obi got majority of his votes.

Massiveglory:
Bring out your evidence. Do your work.

JagabanBorgu:
U all ovèrràté Obi too much.
What APC and PDP's votes that were supressed in South East and added to Obi?
Should we talk about that?

Beverlyjean:
Most of u think like illiterates ... who in his right senses will vote APC in SE ?? You really don't understand the igbos .... I am even surprised that APC got a few votes... go check out what happened to Andy Uba in the last gubernatorial elections in Anambra... the supreme court governor finished 4th in the last gubernatorial elections in imo ... if APC gets 15% on any SE state, then APC rigged to get the best they cud hv rigged ... SE are people that make their own decisions, they don't support evil , u can't convince them to do the wrong thing like what's happening in SW .... SW were just voting based on tribe disregarding voting the bad one , as long as he's SW ... if Osibanjo contested under LP and okorocha was APCs presidential flag bearer , the result will still not change... igbos are the only ones that don't vote based on tribe , they vote based on credibility...

Gbogbowa:
kindly bring out the proof dont just talk, if Obi can win Tinubu handsdown because of majority igbo vote what do you expect in SE

JoshTim:
Bro, i am telling you what you did is a lie. It's quite sad to realise you lie as pertaining to selecting the samples randomly using Microsoft excel...such pettiness, i don't tolerate.

Obinoscopy:
Recall I had performed an analysis of the presidential results on the IREV portal and came to the conclusion that APC won based on the results on IREV. See link to the thread here: https://www.nairaland.com/7626424/inec-result-analysis-based-samples

However I noticed some discrepancies in the result for Rivers State and decided to probe further. Again I used simple random sampling and multistage sampling to ensure that every polling unit had equal chance of being selected. I used a sample size of 198. I got the sample size using the formula:

Sample Size = S/(1+S/N)
Where S = z²*p*(1-p)/e²

And where z is the z-score which is 1.96 for a 95% confidence level
p is the population proportion of those who voted in Rivers State which is 15.6%
e is the margin of error which we take as 5%
N is the population size (total number of polling units in Rivers State) which is 6866.

The result is mind boggling.

RESULT
So after collating the results sheets from randomly selected 198 polling units, APC got a total of 4637 votes, LP got 8129 votes, NNPP got 47 votes and PDP got 3578 votes. So LP (and not APC as we were meant to believe) got the majority of votes followed by APC, then PDP and finally NNPP. Infact LP got more than 50% of the vote such that if you combine APC and PDP votes its still less than LP’s votes. This corroborates Peter Obi claim that he got 50% of the votes in Rivers State.

This means LP won more than 12 States (13 States or perhaps more) and APC won less than 12 States (11 States or perhaps less). With this result, I begin to wonder if there are other States with this kind of glaring discrepancies.

---

Caveat:
Whether the results from IREV is authentic or not is a matter for another discuss. My focus was just to use the results I saw on the IREV Portal.

JoshTim:
Bursted!!!!
Samples have already been determined apriori, so claims that you used a random sample is a lie, you know that.

If you understand statistics so well as you claimed, you will understand that what you just generated is an estimate not the accurate figure.

It's also important to get a representative sample rather than get a sample that is skewed so that your analysis can follow a normal distribution. Else, what you just generated will have standard deviation greater than zero, skewness greater than zero, and kurtosis less than 3 or greater than 3.

I will like to ask the confidence interval for this your result?


The River state as INEC upload in the IREV please watch


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ibk3mo_pgyY

What is the standard error?

It is an estimate and we cannot say for sure how accurate your estimate is. I believe your data is skewed to places where peter obi got majority of his votes.

JoshTim:
Oh boy, you have to admit it that the samples you used are skewed to favour Obi. If e sure for you, use another sample set and run the test, result will shock you your self.

If i begin to analyse your results and methods, you will be amased by the standard error in your result. Come alive, stop sleeping.

Obinoscopy:
Recall I had performed an analysis of the presidential results on the IREV portal and came to the conclusion that APC won based on the results on IREV. See link to the thread here: https://www.nairaland.com/7626424/inec-result-analysis-based-samples

However I noticed some discrepancies in the result for Rivers State and decided to probe further. Again I used simple random sampling and multistage sampling to ensure that every polling unit had equal chance of being selected. I used a sample size of 198. I got the sample size using the formula:

Sample Size = S/(1+S/N)
Where S = z²*p*(1-p)/e²

And where z is the z-score which is 1.96 for a 95% confidence level
p is the population proportion of those who voted in Rivers State which is 15.6%
e is the margin of error which we take as 5%
N is the population size (total number of polling units in Rivers State) which is 6866.

The result is mind boggling.

RESULT
So after collating the results sheets from randomly selected 198 polling units, APC got a total of 4637 votes, LP got 8129 votes, NNPP got 47 votes and PDP got 3578 votes. So LP (and not APC as we were meant to believe) got the majority of votes followed by APC, then PDP and finally NNPP. Infact LP got more than 50% of the vote such that if you combine APC and PDP votes its still less than LP’s votes. This corroborates Peter Obi claim that he got 50% of the votes in Rivers State.

This means LP won more than 12 States (13 States or perhaps more) and APC won less than 12 States (11 States or perhaps less). With this result, I begin to wonder if there are other States with this kind of glaring discrepancies.

---

Caveat:
Whether the results from IREV is authentic or not is a matter for another discuss. My focus was just to use the results I saw on the IREV Portal.

broadman20:
Still hiding the evidence why?

JagabanBorgu:
U all ovèrràté Obi too much.
What APC and PDP's votes that were supressed in South East and added to Obi?
Should we talk about that?

ozo13:
thank God you are doing all this.The last time I checked before this ur very post again was the one u posted for the whole presidential election using same statistical method if am not mistaking.
Let's see if Obidients will believe the other one too or they will just believe this one and jettison the other one u made because only this one favor Obi where as the other one favored Tinubu

Obinoscopy:
Recall I had performed an analysis of the presidential results on the IREV portal and came to the conclusion that APC won based on the results on IREV. See link to the thread here: https://www.nairaland.com/7626424/inec-result-analysis-based-samples

However I noticed some discrepancies in the result for Rivers State and decided to probe further. Again I used simple random sampling and multistage sampling to ensure that every polling unit had equal chance of being selected. I used a sample size of 198. I got the sample size using the formula:

Sample Size = S/(1+S/N)
Where S = z²*p*(1-p)/e²

And where z is the z-score which is 1.96 for a 95% confidence level
p is the population proportion of those who voted in Rivers State which is 15.6%
e is the margin of error which we take as 5%
N is the population size (total number of polling units in Rivers State) which is 6866.

The result is mind boggling.

RESULT
So after collating the results sheets from randomly selected 198 polling units, APC got a total of 4637 votes, LP got 8129 votes, NNPP got 47 votes and PDP got 3578 votes. So LP (and not APC as we were meant to believe) got the majority of votes followed by APC, then PDP and finally NNPP. Infact LP got more than 50% of the vote such that if you combine APC and PDP votes its still less than LP’s votes. This corroborates Peter Obi claim that he got 50% of the votes in Rivers State.

This means LP won more than 12 States (13 States or perhaps more) and APC won less than 12 States (11 States or perhaps less). With this result, I begin to wonder if there are other States with this kind of glaring discrepancies.

---

Caveat:
Whether the results from IREV is authentic or not is a matter for another discuss. My focus was just to use the results I saw on the IREV Portal.

benjaminlawson:
That irregularities is what he is fighting for, this is an intensional irregularities and manipulation. All those people that cause the irregularities must be sacked and prosecuted including the chairman, how can you spend about 400 billion naira on something and come and tell Nigeria that you failed, is the person that appointed you use there own money to pay you, or collective tax payers money, until all those that compromised our electoral system are sacked and prosecuted, Nigeria will continue to make noise and demand for justice.

JagabanBorgu:
U all ovèrràté Obi too much.
What APC and PDP's votes that were supressed in South East and added to Obi?
Should we talk about that?

2elliot:
Throughout human existence, your likes have dotted history, but despite your wickedness and bloated egos, time and life still reduced them to dust. Yours won't be any different.

Felabrity:
yes, regional party that won atleast a state in over 4 zones

Continue living in delusion

Obinoscopy:
I've done mine. And I'm 95% confident. Meaning if you repeat this research 100 times, you will get something similar to my result 95 times. Scientist like Carl Friedrich Gauss have demonstrated this already. But if you are still in doubt, perhaps you can do yours and tell me what you got.

JoshTim:
Oh boy, you have to admit it that the samples you used are skewed to favour Obi. If e sure for you, use another sample set and run the test, result will shock you your self.

If i begin to analyse your results and methods, you will be amased by the standard error in your result. Come alive, stop sleeping.

NapoleonHill:
There are over 5000PUs in Rivers which mean you did 3.5% of the result. How can you be 95% sure of a result by inference using 3.5% sample size.

This is especially when we have the actual results.

You cannot call figures that way and say you're 95% sure. Stop misleading people.

Obinoscopy:
Recall I had performed an analysis of the presidential results on the IREV portal and came to the conclusion that APC won based on the results on IREV. See link to the thread here: https://www.nairaland.com/7626424/inec-result-analysis-based-samples

However I noticed some discrepancies in the result for Rivers State and decided to probe further. Again I used simple random sampling and multistage sampling to ensure that every polling unit had equal chance of being selected. I used a sample size of 198. I got the sample size using the formula:

Sample Size = S/(1+S/N)
Where S = z²*p*(1-p)/e²

And where z is the z-score which is 1.96 for a 95% confidence level
p is the population proportion of those who voted in Rivers State which is 15.6%
e is the margin of error which we take as 5%
N is the population size (total number of polling units in Rivers State) which is 6866.

The result is mind boggling.

RESULT
So after collating the results sheets from randomly selected 198 polling units, APC got a total of 4637 votes, LP got 8129 votes, NNPP got 47 votes and PDP got 3578 votes. So LP (and not APC as we were meant to believe) got the majority of votes followed by APC, then PDP and finally NNPP. Infact LP got more than 50% of the vote such that if you combine APC and PDP votes its still less than LP’s votes. This corroborates Peter Obi claim that he got 50% of the votes in Rivers State.

This means LP won more than 12 States (13 States or perhaps more) and APC won less than 12 States (11 States or perhaps less). With this result, I begin to wonder if there are other States with this kind of glaring discrepancies.

---

Caveat:
Whether the results from IREV is authentic or not is a matter for another discuss. My focus was just to use the results I saw on the IREV Portal.