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Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 - Business (204) - Nairaland

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Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by randomShek: 4:58pm On Apr 11
Cashhy11:
So if you trade a 1:3rr, you are comfortable risking 1% per trade on a prop account? And beneath your post, you were preaching about risk management? That's ironic!

Anyone with a 1:3rr will definitely have a lower win rate compared to if the person was running 1:1. Risking 1% of your account on a low winning rate strategy is a bad money management skill.

My own goal is to be right, with that I'm sure money will follow. And that's why I strive for efficiency instead of higher RR.
And beneath your post, you were preaching about risk management? That's ironic!
2 trades per day with each presenting my setup on H4/H1 timeframes and then confirmation on M15/M5 are all I need.

You lose 2 and win 1, you’re down -1%
I lose 2 and win 1, I’m up +1%

Who’s ironic now?

Anyone with a 1:3rr will definitely have a lower win rate compared to if the person was running 1:1


Again, you’re less informed.

Even if you have a 100% win rate risking 1% over 10 trades on a $10k challenge, you’d make a $1000. I only need 4 trades (and I’d have $200 as a nice bonus).

There’s no rule that has me losing the first 4 trades too. You could also lose your first four.

Points are
- you’re a price sniper sergeant with precise entries and exits but I still made more money.
- you’re more profitable by data and records with 100% but I still made more money.
- you time travel effectively and efficiently to know future market direction but guess what? I still made more money.

Risking 1% of your account on a low winning rate strategy is a bad money management skill.

You say so because you have a suboptimal strategy for a 1% risk. It’s so wrong that even a 30% win rate doesn’t make you profitable hence “it’s bad money management”.

You do 1:1RR so you need to be right 6 times just to make 1% and that’s honestly fine. It’s still profit.

2 trades per day doesn’t even put me at risk of breaching the daily drawdown and I definitely don’t plan on being wrong 8-10 times to hit the max 8-10% limit.

If you’re a very conservative trader, again, that’s fine. I prefer to be a tad aggressive with challenges, get funded and then scale down to 0.5% - giving me my refund to purchase another challenge sooner, than to risk 0.25% with more exposure to my emotions and mentals to pass the phase 1 alone.

Using 1:3:
1% risk for 3% return = 3 trades to get to 8% profit target
0.25% risk for 0.75% return = 12 trades to get to 8% profit target

I’ll be getting my first payout by the time you receive your phase 2 login credentials lol.

Again, I’m not saying my approach is right or your approach isn’t wrong either. We’re getting the same USD, that’s all that matters.

What I am saying however is that my “low winning rate and bad money management” approach would always make me more money than you in a game of probabilities.

3 Likes

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by Cashhy11: 5:11pm On Apr 11
No long talks, this is a buystop on NzdCad, if it doesn't get triggered before the next 1hr candle closure, it will be deleted.

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by Cashhy11: 5:22pm On Apr 11
randomShek:


2 trades per day with each presenting my setup on H4/H1 timeframes and then confirmation on M15/M5 are all I need.

You lose 2 and win 1, you’re down -1%
I lose 2 and win 1, I’m up +1%

Who’s ironic now?



Again, you’re less informed.

Even if you have a 100% win rate risking 1% over 10 trades on a $10k challenge, you’d make a $1000. I only need 4 trades (and I’d have $200 as a nice bonus).

There’s no rule that has me losing the first 4 trades too. You could also lose your first four.

Points are
- you’re a price sniper sergeant with precise entries and exits but I still made more money.
- you’re more profitable by data and records with 100% but I still made more money.
- you time travel effectively and efficiently to know future market direction but guess what? I still made more money.


You say so because you have a suboptimal strategy for a 1% risk. It’s so wrong that even a 30% win rate doesn’t make you profitable hence “it’s bad money management”.

You do 1:1RR so you need to be right 6 times just to make 1% and that’s honestly fine. It’s still profit.

2 trades per day doesn’t even put me at risk of breaching the daily drawdown and I definitely don’t plan on being wrong 8-10 times to hit the max 8-10% limit.

If you’re a very conservative trader, again, that’s fine. I prefer to be a tad aggressive with challenges, get funded and then scale down to 0.5% - giving me my refund to purchase another challenge sooner, than to risk 0.25% with more exposure to my emotions and mentals to pass the phase 1 alone.

Using 1:3:
1% risk for 3% return = 3 trades to get to 8% profit target
0.25% risk for 0.75% return = 12 trades to get to 8% profit target

I’ll getting my first payout but the time you receive your phase 2 congratulatory email lol.

Again, I’m not saying my approach isn’t right and your approach isn’t wrong either. We’re getting the same USD, that’s all that matters.

What I am saying however is that my “low winning rate and bad money management” approach would always make me more money than you in a game of probabilities.
I'm not arguing with you about who's better or not. But it's not rocket science that you are going to have higher win % if you're taking profit at 1:1 compared to waiting for 1:3.

I don't know who preached about how bad it is to have a 1:1rr. I searched and read through forexfactory, almost everyone is against a 1:1rr, no matter your win%. And I begin to wonder why it is so.

You don't really think the king of prop account[Boss Gab] on this thread is doing 1:3?? His win rate and accuracy is more likely to be achieved by taking profits earlier.
And with this your bragging, I do hope you're really killing it.
Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by Cashhy11: 5:41pm On Apr 11
Cashhy11:
No long talks, this is a buystop on NzdCad, if it doesn't get triggered before the next 1hr candle closure, it will be deleted.
I was expecting a bottom wick on this GJ 1hr candle before the bull move to the upside, but GJ didn't even give me chance to get in.

Guess this NzdCad won't be activated. The bottom wick I was expecting has failed to come up since I set the buystop on it.

2 Likes

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by F1re(m): 5:45pm On Apr 11
Still with the bulls on Gold

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by F1re(m): 5:51pm On Apr 11
Done for the day🚀

1 Like

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by nzechu(m): 6:10pm On Apr 11
How do I find a way to enter and join the journey to 423%.


Sell signals:
trade already in motion, yours truly didn't see it. Can it still fail, ofcos it can, nothing is set in stone here.

Eurusd, GBPUSD sell to 423%. Hustle for your entry cos I really don't know where to enter from. As entry was yesterday but I didn't see it.



NB: An educational purpose post, not really a trade call

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by samfelly: 6:23pm On Apr 11
Gold Sell Limit @ 2412 cheesy grin

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by dmahn(m): 6:35pm On Apr 11
This is what I've been battling recently. I'm just too indiscipline to call mysef a good trader, Last 4 trades was a beautiful run but instead of hitting TP, they all came back to BE after doing more than 70pips. Audjpy has given $120 initially arround 1pm only for me to check 3 hours later and find out it's running towards my BE.. I don't want this to be like the last 4 trades so I closed with this little profit. I checked now and find out that market reversed back into my direction and on its way to my initial TP, now it's too late to enter cry cry. I wished I never checked the chart when I did..... We go Again

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by F1re(m): 6:39pm On Apr 11
PriceActionZ:
gold bull run likely continue.
I dont trust that gold

It came through bro lol

1 Like

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by dmahn(m): 7:02pm On Apr 11
samfelly:
Gold Sell Limit @ 2412 cheesy grin

And where stop loss go dey if I follow your call my oga cheesy cheesy... Well!! I've not seen my pattern on gold so I'm just observing...

Join me on usdcad sir, I'm looking to buy if the next candle that closes on H1 by 8pm comes bullish. My Sl 10 pips below the swing low... If we get stopped out, we sell with double lotsize cheesy

1 Like

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by GabsonFX2: 7:09pm On Apr 11
Wow! Gold was brutal on the upside. I lost this trade.

I will go on standby on gold until Friday or Monday. I will be looking for only short.

My risk risk appetite was reached and I exited.

Davigle, what fundamental is making gold behave like this since Feb 13? You know? I read somewhere that Russia is doing gold to trash dollar, something like that.



GabsonFX2:
Gold Swing Short

The swing short I have waited for is here: wait for the close of the currently forming H4 candle. Short her, SL = 2352.

TP = Open (D1 is not ready to swing short, therefore, I may get out in less than 3days ish) but who knows, this H4 may force D1 to yield, then I will plan to leave the trade till next week Friday
Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by Donsheddy: 7:20pm On Apr 11
GabsonFX2:
Wow! Gold was brutal on the upside. I lost this trade.

I will go on standby on gold until Friday or Monday. I will be looking for only short.

My risk risk appetite was reached and I exited.

Davigle, what fundamental is making gold behave like this since Feb 13? You know? I read somewhere that Russia is doing gold to trash dollar, something like that.




This gold no wan gree for bears, today close might mean another three straight days of bullish candle And with gu looking like its on its way to 28000

E no go easy

😭😭😭😭

Imagine analyzing all this thing and not making a single pips from this my well analysed analysis 😭😭
Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by samfelly: 7:28pm On Apr 11
Hear me out, please, IT PAYS TO STUDY CANDLESTICKS

2 Likes

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by samfelly: 7:47pm On Apr 11
dmahn:


And where stop loss go dey if I follow your call my oga cheesy cheesy... Well!! I've not seen my pattern on gold so I'm just observing...

Join me on usdcad sir, I'm looking to buy if the next candle that closes on H1 by 8pm comes bullish. My Sl 10 pips below the swing low... If we get stopped out, we sell with double lotsize cheesy

SL n TP open grin cheesy

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by samfelly: 7:49pm On Apr 11
GabsonFX2:
Wow! Gold was brutal on the upside. I lost this trade.

I will go on standby on gold until Friday or Monday. I will be looking for only short.

My risk risk appetite was reached and I exited.

Davigle, what fundamental is making gold behave like this since Feb 13? You know? I read somewhere that Russia is doing gold to trash dollar, something like that.

I don take ma share of the Bull since he no gree for Bear

2 Likes

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by Donsheddy: 8:09pm On Apr 11
samfelly:


I don take ma share of the Bull since he no gree for Bear
you no wan gree for the market true true
Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by dmahn(m): 8:24pm On Apr 11
dmahn:


And where stop loss go dey if I follow your call my oga cheesy cheesy... Well!! I've not seen my pattern on gold so I'm just observing...

Join me on usdcad sir, I'm looking to buy if the next candle that closes on H1 by 8pm comes bullish. My Sl 10 pips below the swing low... If we get stopped out, we sell with double lotsize cheesy

@ samfelly ... I'm in... If SL picked, I will be selling on retest from the exact buying point down to 1.36111...So help me God
Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by samfelly: 8:31pm On Apr 11
Donsheddy:
you no wan gree for the market true true

Lol. The matter serious o cheesy

If bull's strength no diminish, we go step in again and load and rock n roll with it

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by samfelly: 8:34pm On Apr 11
dmahn:


@ samfelly ... I'm in... If SL picked, I will be selling on retest from the exact buying point down to 1.36111...So help me God

Look First / Then You Leap. Wishing you luck, king 🤴
Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by rhynoemmie(m): 8:42pm On Apr 11
randomShek:

I was almost a victim of the last factor today - FUD would have made me execute a 1:5 RR (image 1) that should have been a sweet 1:3 RR (image 2). I stayed out altogether though since I didn’t want to get slipped by the broker.




What broker do you trade with?
Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by PriceActionZ: 9:24pm On Apr 11
F1re:


It came through bro lol
That guy is always on colos. I believe that some powerful cabals are doing price war against dollars. After i saw the pullbacks of yesterday and again, this morning early drop and immediate pullbacks during the news, and refused to follow other indices movements, i know its a trap for sell from my own analysis. Funny thing was that about 150pips i got today from bear and bull run before the news, i lost all immediately after the news. It was just hitting my SL, not selling o, but buying. The last trade i made on it, i didnt use SL. I just risked it, when i got out of drawdown, i closed it manually, then remove the gold to trade dax. Only for me to check it, and saw wonders of the bulls. It will likely keep on until the last week of the month that we may see a drop on monthly candle. Until i see a sharp drop engulfing candle that closes without a wick on daily TF. I will know say bull run is likely over. I may even trade less of gold now for dax and Euro indices.

1 Like

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by Cashhy11: 9:35pm On Apr 11
Cashhy11:
No long talks, this is a buystop on NzdCad, if it doesn't get triggered before the next 1hr candle closure, it will be deleted.
If I had got triggered on this trade, I would be closing now, I close all trades once it's 9pm. This is what it would look like now. But I just didn't like the price action I was seeing, so I deleted it before it could get to my entry.
That would have yielded a megre 1:0.4 return.

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by F1re(m): 9:43pm On Apr 11
PriceActionZ:

That guy is always on colos. I believe that some powerful cabals are doing price war against dollars. After i saw the pullbacks of yesterday and again, this morning early drop and immediate pullbacks during the news, and refused to follow other indices movements, i know its a trap for sell from my own analysis. Funny thing was that about 150pips i got today from bear and bull run before the news, i lost all immediately after the news. It was just hitting my SL, not selling o, but buying. The last trade i made on it, i didnt use SL. I just risked it, when i got out of drawdown, i closed it manually, then remove the gold to trade dax. Only for me to check it, and saw wonders of the bulls. It will likely keep on until the last week of the month that we may see a drop on monthly candle. Until i see a sharp drop engulfing candle that closes without a wick on daily TF. I will know say bull run is likely over. I may even trade less of gold now for dax and Euro indices.

Gold is a beast for real, I expected a bearish run today too in the morning after the sharp drop, even Gabzy confirmed it, just for the beast to make a U-turn and sprint. It's indecisiveness is the reason I scalp it these days, you'll be happy it's going your way in the morning only for NY session to reverse price and take your SL lols😂

1 Like

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by nzechu(m): 9:47pm On Apr 11
nzechu:


I think this will continue to play out in the following weeks Especially gold and it's xxxusd brothers

423% remains the target
Now at 685%.

Even me no believe am

*The man who saw tomorrow, but didn't know the value of what he saw

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by PriceActionZ: 9:52pm On Apr 11
F1re:


Gold is a beast for real, I expected a bearish run today too in the morning after the sharp drop, even Gabzy confirmed it, just for the beast to make a U-turn and sprint. It's indecisiveness is the reason I scalp it these days, you'll be happy it's going your way in the morning only for NY session to reverse price and take your SL lols😂

yes o, scalping all the way on it if need be. I am not always comfortable leaving it for long. For the past 2 weeks now, everything it gives me, it takes it back for what na. Thats why i am exploring dax, Euro cash and JPN cash indices now. Very smooth and predictable now. I am not coping with gold trades anymore. It takes super patience and a lot of screen time on lower time frame to get it right most time because if you enter lets say 1hr tf and above , it may be too late at that movemnt. I am to make profits not play games, abeg.

1 Like

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by peteregwu(m): 9:57pm On Apr 11
On EURUSD, I am going long and my target is 1.09138 and 1.11325 risky trade.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by PriceActionZ: 10:03pm On Apr 11
anyone that hold on to gold since january ending with just 0.1 lot with just $100 risk will be in big money now. Over 3500 pips. Do the maths and tell me cheesy cheesy cheesy
A friend of mine on reddit is still adding 0.01 position everyday since then. Crazy people
Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by Davigle(m): 10:34pm On Apr 11
Evening folks, thanks a lot for the encouragement and the advice today. I really am humbled and I appreciate the support. I did learn a lot from trading the account and I must confess that it did improve my trading because this time last year I wasn't as good as I am now. I had to depend on indicators b4 I make a trade but now trade solely off price. I plan on funding my cent account by the end of the month so that I can also trade live too. I've also analyzed most of my trades and I find out that they average 1:2 more often but my greed has been a big issue because it always eats me up to see a trade go 4/5 times my risk reward after I settle for just 1:2. But this is an issue that I have to deal with by all means possible. I have decided to stop pyramiding by all means, it has been my Achilles heel which did me more harm than good. I had a short trade on gold during London session, my entry was at 2338, and I had a target of 2328 but later removed it thinking that price was going to drop further and price dropped 120 pips from my entry, but when I saw price pulled back up into a FVG on the 30 mins chart I loaded another short trade, unfortunately price not only reversed but went on to hit the stoploss of the first trade, if only I hadn't changed my tp I would have bagged a 1:2 trade. I know that I am my own problem, and I am determined to not only take full responsibility but to seriously work on myself. I appreciate every one here for the value that they bring in here day by day. I really consider FTA as my forex family. Thanks again everyone.

2 Likes

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by Davigle(m): 10:38pm On Apr 11
GabsonFX2:
Wow! Gold was brutal on the upside. I lost this trade.

I will go on standby on gold until Friday or Monday. I will be looking for only short.

My risk risk appetite was reached and I exited.

Davigle, what fundamental is making gold behave like this since Feb 13? You know? I read somewhere that Russia is doing gold to trash dollar, something like that.




Ahhh baami, I feel honored that you would ask my opinion on why gold continues to fly, even what I may say, may sound like mumbojumbo and too much English 😂, but nevertheless this is why I think gold is flying from a fundamental perspective.

At first I was expecting some sort of technical correction on gold after making all time high at 2360's on the back of a very hot CPI which confirm that the inflation might be picking up due to the recent rally in oil which affected the prices of food and transportation in America and other strong economic release. But a repeat of NFP occurred with CPI as price only dipped before it continues to rally, although I had suspected that should PPI come in weaker this would definitely make gold to continue to rally, I did not trust my analysis which was why I did not make the call earlier today. There are three components which the Fed use to track inflation which is CPI, PPI and PCE. CPI came in stronger which means that inflation is on a bumpy part to the Fed's target hence like to become an issue for the Fed if it continues like this which is why the Fed are adamant on keeping rates higher for longer. PPI coming in weaker confirms that despite inflation likely to be an issue or rebounding, it's still on its downward trajectory to the Fed's target, the next key reading that would affect the market is PCE data, when PCE was released last month, it came in line with market expectations which sent gold rallying until it hit 2350 for correcting lower a bit. If PCE comes in again in line with market expectations or weaker, that will definitely harm dollar and probably send gold to 2400's.

Secondly, I believe China is one of the factors that makes gold Bullish and not Russia. China has been in a trade war with the US for a long period of time which has sort of morphed into a pseudo cold war between the two world powers. One of the bone of contention is the race on semiconductors between china and america which is a key resource in the AI space between the two world powers and secondly china are trying to reduce their dependence on the dollar for international trade or transaction hence the reason for the creation of BRICS. Also central banks around the world has been buying gold in larger quantities in order to build or foster their gold reserves which started in February, the countries involved that accounts for the largest buying spree are China, India and Turkey. The world gold council (WGC) which tracks central banks gold reserves globally stated on 13th of March , that china single handedly accounts for the largest gold accumulation by a whole 22 tonnes of Gold in the month of February which by far outpaces both India and Turkey by a very wide margin. Another reason for that is due to the poor performance of the Chinese economy which makes their stock market to underperform as this makes investors to avoid the Chinese Stock market, so the PBOC are trying to back the Chinese economy with gold.

And finally, geopolitical tensions in the middle east seems not to be abating, as Iran promised to retaliate against Israel for striking their embassy in Syria, killing some of their generals, which Israel responded that they will also retaliate should Iran strikes them, and US also confirms the Iranian threat and has been on red alert as they don't know when and how Iran intend to strike Israel. There has also been a peace talk between Hamas and Israel in Egypt within the week which both parties rejected the call for truce, this also gave rise to the tension between the two as Israel is still very much intent on invading the raffa strait of Palestine which nations around the world condemn.

I believe this are factors supporting gold which makes it resilient even in the face of strong economic data that has been supporting the dollar rally. It's possible we may continue to see both gold and dollar rally side by side if this factors don't change...

I hope you find it insightful sire....

3 Likes

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by nzechu(m): 10:40pm On Apr 11
nzechu:
423% journey just resumed, I hope it's sustained
Seems signal changed.
23% interaction is not to be taken for granted.

Buy signal
Buy 23%,
SL 0%
Tp 423%

This post is for personal educational purposes pls

Re: Forex Trade Alerts / Discussions: Season 24 by Davigle(m): 10:40pm On Apr 11
i also appreciate everyone that takes the time to read what I wrote above, and if you find it too long and boring I apologize for that.

Next target for gold before the end of the trading week is 2390

2 Likes

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