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Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review - Politics - Nairaland

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Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op):
Edo state has 2.6 million voters and an average turnout of 550,000 ..it will be a three horse race come Saturday 21 September. Below are my scientific and theoretical analysis


Edo south senatorial Zone

Egor LGA: APC 30% PDP 40% LP 30%

Oredo LGA: APC 28% PDP 40% LP 32%

Ikpoba Okha: APC 25% PDP 45% LP 30%

Orhiomnwon LGA: APC 45% PDP 35% LP 20%

Uhumnwonde LGA: APC 46% PDP 44% LP 10%

Ovia South West LGA: APC 40% PDP 30% LP 30%
Ovia north East LGA: APC 40% PDP 40% LP 20%

Edo central senatorial district

Esan Central LGA: APC 60% PDP 35% LP 5%

Esan west LGA: APC 45% PDP 42% LP 13%

Esan South East LGA: APC 40% pdp 53% LP 7%

Esan North East LGA: APC 45% PDP 40% LP 15%
Igueben LGA : APC 46% PDP 50% LP 4%

Edo north senatorial district

Owan West LGA: APC 42% PDP 42% LP 16%

Owan East LGA : APC 53% PDP 37% LP 10%

Etsako Central LGA: APC 55% PDP 40% LP 5%

Etsako east LGA: APC 60% PDP 36% LP 4%

Etsako West: APC 70% PDP 15% LP 15%

Akoko Edo LGA: APC 47% PDP 37% LP 16%


Mynd44
Nlfpmod
Fergie001
Jorussia
Oredopikin
Chinjo2
Brunxy
Deadlytruth
Slurity
Spafu
Sparko1
Earth science
Sugarboyy
Famology
Aswani
Theceaser
Peacecore
Kedeojo
Indispensable85
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by WhizdomXX(m): 6:16pm On Sep 15, 2024
Overall PDP victory
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by ddippset(m): 6:23pm On Sep 15, 2024
Okpebholo1:
Edo state has 2.6 million voters and an average turnout of 550,000 ..it will be a three horse race come Saturday 21 September. Below are my scientific and theoretical analysis


Edo south senatorial Zone

Egor LGA: APC 30% PDP 40% LP 30%

Oredo LGA: APC 28% PDP 40% LP 32%

Ikpoba Okha: APC 25% PDP 45% LP 30%

Orhiomnwon LGA: APC 45% PDP 35% LP 20%

Uhumnwonde LGA: APC 46% PDP 44% LP 10%

Ovia South West LGA: APC 40% PDP 30% LP 30%
Ovia north East LGA: APC 40% PDP 40% LP 20%

Edo central senatorial district

Esan Central LGA: APC 60% PDP 35% LP 5%

Esan west LGA: APC 45% PDP 42% LP 13%

Esan South East LGA: APC 40% pdp 53% LP 7%

Esan North East LGA: APC 45% PDP 40% LP 15%
Igueben LGA : APC 46% PDP 50% LP 4%

Edo north senatorial district

Owan West LGA: APC 42% PDP 42% LP 16%

Owan East LGA : APC 53% PDP 37% LP 10%

Etsako Central LGA: APC 55% PDP 40% LP 5%

Etsako east LGA: APC 60% PDP 36% LP 4%

Etsako West: APC 70% PDP 15% LP 15%


Mynd44
Nlfpmod
Fergie001
Jorussia
Oredopikin
Chinjo2
Brunxy
Deadlytruth
Slurity
Spafu
Sparko1
Earth science
Sugarboyy
Famology
Aswani
Theceaser
Peacecore
Kedeojo
Indispensable85
No wonder your name is Okphebolo.

😂😂😂
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by tempest01(m): 6:39pm On Sep 15, 2024
Okpebholo1:
Edo state has 2.6 million voters and an average turnout of 550,000 ..it will be a three horse race come Saturday 21 September. Below are my scientific and theoretical analysis


Edo south senatorial Zone

Egor LGA: APC 30% PDP 40% LP 30%

Oredo LGA: APC 28% PDP 40% LP 32%

Ikpoba Okha: APC 25% PDP 45% LP 30%

Orhiomnwon LGA: APC 45% PDP 35% LP 20%

Uhumnwonde LGA: APC 46% PDP 44% LP 10%

Ovia South West LGA: APC 40% PDP 30% LP 30%
Ovia north East LGA: APC 40% PDP 40% LP 20%

Edo central senatorial district

Esan Central LGA: APC 60% PDP 35% LP 5%

Esan west LGA: APC 45% PDP 42% LP 13%

Esan South East LGA: APC 40% pdp 53% LP 7%

Esan North East LGA: APC 45% PDP 40% LP 15%
Igueben LGA : APC 46% PDP 50% LP 4%

Edo north senatorial district

Owan West LGA: APC 42% PDP 42% LP 16%

Owan East LGA : APC 53% PDP 37% LP 10%

Etsako Central LGA: APC 55% PDP 40% LP 5%

Etsako east LGA: APC 60% PDP 36% LP 4%

Etsako West: APC 70% PDP 15% LP 15%


Mynd44
Nlfpmod
Fergie001
Jorussia
Oredopikin
Chinjo2
Brunxy
Deadlytruth
Slurity
Spafu
Sparko1
Earth science
Sugarboyy
Famology
Aswani
Theceaser
Peacecore
Kedeojo
Indispensable85
This is the result you people have written down for INEC abi. In a free and fair election in any SS and SE state, APC won’t get up to 25% of votes.
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by aswani(m): 7:56pm On Sep 15, 2024
Okpebholo1:
Edo state has 2.6 million voters and an average turnout of 550,000 ..it will be a three horse race come Saturday 21 September. Below are my scientific and theoretical analysis


Edo south senatorial Zone

Egor LGA: APC 30% PDP 40% LP 30%

Oredo LGA: APC 28% PDP 40% LP 32%

Ikpoba Okha: APC 25% PDP 45% LP 30%

Orhiomnwon LGA: APC 45% PDP 35% LP 20%

Uhumnwonde LGA: APC 46% PDP 44% LP 10%

Ovia South West LGA: APC 40% PDP 30% LP 30%
Ovia north East LGA: APC 40% PDP 40% LP 20%

Edo central senatorial district

Esan Central LGA: APC 60% PDP 35% LP 5%

Esan west LGA: APC 45% PDP 42% LP 13%

Esan South East LGA: APC 40% pdp 53% LP 7%

Esan North East LGA: APC 45% PDP 40% LP 15%
Igueben LGA : APC 46% PDP 50% LP 4%

Edo north senatorial district

Owan West LGA: APC 42% PDP 42% LP 16%

Owan East LGA : APC 53% PDP 37% LP 10%

Etsako Central LGA: APC 55% PDP 40% LP 5%

Etsako east LGA: APC 60% PDP 36% LP 4%

Etsako West: APC 70% PDP 15% LP 15%


Mynd44
Nlfpmod
Fergie001
Jorussia
Oredopikin
Chinjo2
Brunxy
Deadlytruth
Slurity
Spafu
Sparko1
Earth science
Sugarboyy
Famology
Aswani
Theceaser
Peacecore
Kedeojo
Indispensable85
Your LP figures are too high. Maybe they will get 3% in Oredo polling units around Mission Road (and we all know why) but the rest places, they are looking at less than 1%.

Still too close to call and sadly we are looking at the real possibility of election day violence all over Ẹdo South. Shame.
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op): 8:14pm On Sep 15, 2024
aswani:
Your LP figures are too high. Maybe they will get 3% in Oredo polling units around Mission Road (and we all know why) but the rest places, they are looking at less than 1%.

Still too close to call and sadly we are looking at the real possibility of election day violence all over Ẹdo South. Shame.
Why violence in south
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op): 8:14pm On Sep 15, 2024
tempest01:
This is the result you people have written down for INEC abi. In a free and fair election in any SS and SE state, APC won’t get up to 25% of votes.
But as you can see Lp are eating votes meant for pdp
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op): 8:17pm On Sep 15, 2024
ddippset:
No wonder your name is Okphebolo.

😂😂😂
Comment intelligently na
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op): 8:18pm On Sep 15, 2024
WhizdomXX:
Overall PDP victory
No, An APC victory
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by justified007: 8:23pm On Sep 15, 2024
The votes allocated to LP is too much. They will only do well in some couple of places
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op): 8:37pm On Sep 15, 2024
justified007:
The votes allocated to LP is too much. They will only do well in some couple of places
Like?
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Lordsugar(f): 9:06pm On Sep 15, 2024
Helpful ideas
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Isokiscool(m): 9:25pm On Sep 15, 2024
Okpebholo1:
Edo state has 2.6 million voters and an average turnout of 550,000 ..it will be a three horse race come Saturday 21 September. Below are my scientific and theoretical analysis


Edo south senatorial Zone

Egor LGA: APC 30% PDP 40% LP 30%

Oredo LGA: APC 28% PDP 40% LP 32%

Ikpoba Okha: APC 25% PDP 45% LP 30%

Orhiomnwon LGA: APC 45% PDP 35% LP 20%

Uhumnwonde LGA: APC 46% PDP 44% LP 10%

Ovia South West LGA: APC 40% PDP 30% LP 30%
Ovia north East LGA: APC 40% PDP 40% LP 20%

Edo central senatorial district

Esan Central LGA: APC 60% PDP 35% LP 5%

Esan west LGA: APC 45% PDP 42% LP 13%

Esan South East LGA: APC 40% pdp 53% LP 7%

Esan North East LGA: APC 45% PDP 40% LP 15%
Igueben LGA : APC 46% PDP 50% LP 4%

Edo north senatorial district

Owan West LGA: APC 42% PDP 42% LP 16%

Owan East LGA : APC 53% PDP 37% LP 10%

Etsako Central LGA: APC 55% PDP 40% LP 5%

Etsako east LGA: APC 60% PDP 36% LP 4%

Etsako West: APC 70% PDP 15% LP 15%


Mynd44
Nlfpmod
Fergie001
Jorussia
Oredopikin
Chinjo2
Brunxy
Deadlytruth
Slurity
Spafu
Sparko1
Earth science
Sugarboyy
Famology
Aswani
Theceaser
Peacecore
Kedeojo
Indispensable85
I stop reading your prediction when I saw the results of esan west,Highest APC can get in Ekpoma is 30%.Lp will not get up to 10000 votes on election day
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by aswani(m): 9:29pm On Sep 15, 2024
Okpebholo1:
Why violence in south
You know why, Airport road shooting, Tony Kabaka attacking people during accredition.

Ẹdo South is once more the casting vote and this time it is close to call.
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Isokiscool(m): 9:29pm On Sep 15, 2024
The only place APC can win in Edo Central is Esan central.The only place they can win in Edo South is ovia South West and in Edo North PDP is going to win owan and Akoko Edo axis
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Isokiscool(m): 9:31pm On Sep 15, 2024
Lordsugar:
Helpful ideas
Op is only wishing his party get such votes grin grin grin
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op): 9:40pm On Sep 15, 2024
aswani:
You know why, Airport road shooting, Tony Kabaka attacking people during accredition.

Ẹdo South is once more the casting vote and this time it is close to call.
Tony Kabaka abi pdp prevented APC faithfuls from registering.. Edo south might likely decide the polls. If it is too close to call, apc wins overall because APC will surely clear Edo north. Pdp chance of winning is getting bloc votes in Edo south
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op): 9:43pm On Sep 15, 2024
Isokiscool:
The only place APC can win in Edo Central is Esan central.The only place they can win in Edo South is ovia South West and in Edo North PDP is going to win owan and Akoko Edo axis
You are gradually waking up to reality. Like I told you,APC will take esan north east and west. If you have conceded ovia SW, then you will concede orhiomnwon and uhumnwonde where APC is even stronger
If obaseki cannot win akoko,how will Asue fair? Use your upstairs na
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op): 9:45pm On Sep 15, 2024
Isokiscool:
I stop reading your prediction when I saw the results of esan west,Highest APC can get in Ekpoma is 30%.Lp will not get up to 10000 votes on election day
Comedy... Esan west that the chairman is in detention? Most of the students in AAU will vote LP esp with the obi rally yesterday
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by LandMann: 9:47pm On Sep 15, 2024
It's labour party that will sink PDP.

APC will get block vote in Edo north.

In Edo south labour party and all the atrocities and betrayals of Obaseki will cut into PDP block vote....

In Edo central APC and PDP will share the votes almost equally.
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by aswani(m): 9:52pm On Sep 15, 2024
Okpebholo1:
Tony Kabaka abi pdp prevented APC faithfuls from registering.. Edo south might likely decide the polls. If it is too close to call, apc wins overall because APC will surely clear Edo north. Pdp chance of winning is getting bloc votes in Edo south
I actually don't care who wins as I am not partisan, my concern is the violence and bullets hitting the innocent.
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op): 9:54pm On Sep 15, 2024
aswani:
I actually don't care who wins as I am not partisan, my concern is the violence and bullets hitting the innocent.
Obaseki and pdp are overheating the polity with their inflammatory comments
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Isokiscool(m): 10:01pm On Sep 15, 2024
Okpebholo1:
Comedy... Esan west that the chairman is in detention? Most of the students in AAU will vote LP esp with the obi rally yesterday
APC defeat was too glaring that was why Esan west chairman was arrested.
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by aswani(m): 10:54pm On Sep 15, 2024
Okpebholo1:
Obaseki and pdp are overheating the polity with their inflammatory comments
And what is Tony Kabaka doing, underheating the polity abi?

The finger pointing is not necessary, what needs to happen is for people from both Party's to sheathe their sword and let people cast their vote peacefully.
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Covid19lockdown: 10:56pm On Sep 15, 2024
aswani:
Your LP figures are too high. Maybe they will get 3% in Oredo polling units around Mission Road (and we all know why) but the rest places, they are looking at less than 1%.

Still too close to call and sadly we are looking at the real possibility of election day violence all over Ẹdo South. Shame.
You might even receive the shock of your life that day about LP considering what played out in the recent LG pool where LP won without fielding any candidates.
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op): 11:04pm On Sep 15, 2024
Isokiscool:
APC defeat was too glaring that was why Esan west chairman was arrested.
Lol, it was too glaring and he had to attack APC members who are now hospitalized? Kelly Inegbedor your chair has also been fingered in violent attacks and will be arrested any moment... Why has esan SE and IGUEBEN chair not been arrested? Why is Obaseki and Aziegbemi crying and releasing press conferences everyday? The earlier you accept the truth,the better
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op): 11:05pm On Sep 15, 2024
LandMann:
It's labour party that will sink PDP.

APC will get block vote in Edo north.

In Edo south labour party and all the atrocities and betrayals of Obaseki will cut into PDP block vote....

In Edo central APC and PDP will share the votes almost equally.
Gbam
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by famology(m): 3:21am On Sep 16, 2024
Isokiscool:
I stop reading your prediction when I saw the results of esan west,Highest APC can get in Ekpoma is 30%.Lp will not get up to 10000 votes on election day
So ekpoma is esan west? Go sleep joor
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by Okpebholo1(op): 3:59am On Sep 16, 2024
famology:
So ekpoma is esan west? Go sleep joor
Ekpoma is in Esan west LGA na...I believe he used Ekpoma to rep the whole lga like Uromi for Esan NE and Auchi for Etsako west...

Late Ambrose Alli daughter has endorsed Moden
Re: Permutations For Edo Guber Polls: Field Review by famology(m): 4:15am On Sep 16, 2024
Okpebholo1:
Ekpoma is in Esan west LGA na...I believe he used Ekpoma to rep the whole lga like Uromi for Esan NE and Auchi for Etsako west...

Late Ambrose Alli daughter has endorsed Moden
The first lga that apc will win is esan west. I'm so sure of that lga. E get why. Just save this comment.
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