₦airaland Forum

DomPerignon:
Total Resident Population ÷ Incidence Reports = Crime rate.

You are the one who needs a proper education


Now divide SE resident population by Incidence report of crimes and you will see that SE had a 30% rate which translates to 1 in 3 people in the SE are prone to be victims of a violent crime.

Do that for the NE and see it drop to 15% which is 1 in 6 people being prone to being victims.

At 30% compared to 15%, SE had a 100% higher rate of crime prevalence than the Boko NE.

So that says that SE is the most crime ridden zone.

Do you now see why I said you should get proper education first before coming online to argue topics you have no knowledge of?

The formula for calculating crime rate is not population ÷ crime incidents.
The formula is crime Incidents ÷ Population

Dividing population by crime incidents the way you are doing does not produce a crime rate, it produces a senseless meaningless ratio.
This again also exposes your illiteracy

Next time I'll be taking fees

lawani:
I used NIN registration figures and voter registration figures. In NIN SE is 8,580,610 while SW is 23,711,984. As at the last count. It is even more than 2.5 times. NW is over 26 million

shortgun:
The only officially recognized population figures comes from the National Population Commission.
You can't use NIN and voter registration you mentioned to equate population, they are not the same.

They do not represent total population
NIN covers only people who have successfully registered. Large segments who are yet to register are excluded.... children, residents and people with access barriers. Voter registers exclude everyone under 18, doesn't count those voluntarily chosed not to register

This is why no serious statistical analysis uses NIN or Voter register them in place of population figures.

lawani:
You won't believe anything apart from official census?. Active GSM lines also tell exactly the same story. I think you better believe.

shortgun:
Active GSM lines tell exactly one story which is how many GSM lines are active.
It doesn't tell you the population.

Many individuals maintain 2–5 active SIMs.
POS terminals, alarms, trackers, routers and corporate lines are counted as active GSM lines...are they people?

lawani:
Such things are always directly proportional to the population. The number of active telephone lines in any city on Earth is directly proportional to the population. The more the lines the higher the population. Why do you think Lagos has the highest number of lines?

shortgun:
This is not true.
In Kabul, Afghanistan the population is 4.6million and Active SIMs is 3 million.
Pyongyang, North Korea has a population of 3million and active GSM lines is 500k.
Hong Kong has a population of 7.5 million with active GSM lines of 15.5million.

lawani:
I did not say equal. I said proportional. This is normal because it is human beings that use lines. In those cities they may have laws that allow or disallow individuals from having multiple lines. That will affect population to number of lines ratio. Such laws don't exist in Nigeria and Nigerians use GSM lines for the same purposes. Population to GSM lines ratio will be similar across Nigerian states. There will be very little difference.
NIN data registration figures, voter registration figures, active GSM lines, VAT collection and etc are all valid metrics you can use to determine how the population of one state compares to another in the absence of an official census and if any census goes against the trend already observed I will know it has been doctored
Considering the size, why will anyone be surprised the SW is almost three times the SE in population?

loffyloffy:
Yes it was Nigerian govt that ask People to kill 'police' and 'none Ibos or ibos that disobey the sit at home order,

Nigerian Govt killed 'Mr Akunyili' ask people to 'Burn down properties and business in Lagos' etc.

When you are blind and don't you are blind, you are a man to be pittied.

gidgiddy:
And before all this, your Nigerian government was busy shooting and killing peaceful unarmed Biafran protesters?

gidgiddy:
And before all this, your Nigerian government was busy shooting and killing peaceful unarmed Biafran protesters?

loffyloffy:
Peaceful when, do you mean after death?

helinues:
I didn't make that comments because of you. It's to enlighten those who might want to fall for wrong statistics.

I owe you no explanation

gidgiddy:
This is to show you that the insecurity your country suffers today was largely created by your federal government, through injustice. When people rise in peaceful agitation, your government will send the security forces to gun them down, and bring violence into a situation that had no violence. It is not until it becomes the security forces at the receiving end that you people remember that injustice is bad.

Former President of the USA, JFK, once said:

Those who make peaceful agitation impossible, will make violent agitation inevitable

Not following this advice is largely why Nigeria is today 8th most insecure country on earth, and getting worse

shortgun:
Do you now see why I said you should get proper education first before coming online to argue topics you have no knowledge of?

The formula for calculating crime rate is not population ÷ crime incidents.
The formula is crime Incidents ÷ Population

Dividing population by crime incidents the way you are doing does not produce a crime rate, it produces a senseless meaningless ratio.
This again also exposes your illiteracy

Next time I'll be taking fees

banku:
Honestly, arguing with people who do not want to be convinced with facts is useless. The only way you know if they believe in their own convenient distortion of crime rate is why they run away from the beautiful houses they built there.

They run to Lagos. Even run to Abuja. Their rich and famous run to Lagos for peace of mind. Even their old professors and teachers retired in Ibadan. Why?

lawani:
You have to also compare population. SE and SW have similar number of crimes but SW population is like 2.5 times SE. On a per capita basis SE is highest. NW should have had three times the number of SE for them to be equivalent

ariesbull:
Stats is not done based in population but by percentage oga ...why are people this shallow


China has a population of over 1 billion
Nigeria has a population of over 200 million

But Nigeria has a higher crime rate than China !

Dude it isn't about population it's about percentage


China generally has a significantly lower crime rate, especially for violent crimes, compared to Nigeria, with China often cited as having very low crime in public spaces and Nigeria facing high crime levels from various threats like kidnapping and jihadists, impacting its overall safety perception.

While China's recorded crime rates per 100,000 have been consistently low (around 0.5 in 2020), Nigeria's rates (around 21.74 in 2019) reflect a more dangerous environment, though official stats can vary.


China's Crime Profile:
Low Overall Rates: China is often described as having low crime, with even major cities experiencing minimal petty theft and violence.
Low Violent Crime: Intentional homicides and armed robbery are rare, with swift, harsh penalties for serious offenses.
Statistics: Rates per 100,000 have fallen, reaching around 0.5 in 2020.

Nigeria's Crime Profile:
High Crime Environment: Nigeria is considered a high-crime country, ranking poorly on global peace indexes.

Diverse Threats: Violence stems from kidnappers, bandits, jihadists, and general criminal activity, with thousands killed annually.
Statistics: Rates per 100,000 were around 21.74 in 2019, significantly higher than China's.


In Summary:
Nigeria experiences a far more dangerous and crime-ridden environment than China, which maintains very low rates of both violent and petty crime, making it appear much safer.

shortgun:
Official census remains the authoritative source
Only the NPC census provides a consistent, methodologically sound population baseline across all states.

NIN, voter registration, GSM lines or VAT figures are indicators of activity or engagement, they not reliable population measures.

loffyloffy:
Yes it was Nigerian govt that ask People to kill 'police' and 'none Ibos or ibos that disobey the sit at home order,

Nigerian Govt killed 'Mr Akunyili' ask people to 'Burn down properties and business in Lagos' etc.

When you are blind and don't you are blind, you are a man to be pittied.

Emyogalanya:
who killed over 3m of it's citizens 58 years ago

Emyogalanya:
who killed over 3m of it's citizens 58 years ago

gidgiddy:
And before all this, your Nigerian government was busy shooting and killing peaceful unarmed Biafran protesters?

shortgun:
The only officially recognized population figures comes from the National Population Commission.
You can't use NIN and voter registration you mentioned to equate population, they are not the same.

They do not represent total population
NIN covers only people who have successfully registered. Large segments who are yet to register are excluded.... children, residents and people with access barriers. Voter registers exclude everyone under 18, doesn't count those voluntarily chosed not to register

This is why no serious statistical analysis uses NIN or Voter register them in place of population figures.

helinues:
Logically based on my own personal observations

South South
South West
South East
North Central
North West
North East

If you use the rate of crime and population, that should be the outcome

ariesbull:
my brother Awolowo did a terrible thing on SW education ...I love the way you are lecturing them....


Baba Awo deliverers quantitative education not qualitative education