₦airaland Forum

abuhusna1:
Court will is the final hope. I dont think what she wants to do is possible. The only reason she extend to August might be because of the election coming in may

Why do you think it's not possible?

abuhusna1:
Court will is the final hope. I dont think what she wants to do is possible. The only reason she extend to August might be because of the election coming in may

The BBC seems to hint at the reason why this change is likely coming into force later this year and not next week like the changes to asylum https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cp32ddzdjxko

Labour has priced in their likely failures in the May elections already. They'll also have planned how to make their changes definitive. For what it's worth, both Starmer and Mahmood are lawyers.

abuhusna1:
It was an interview she granted. Many 2021 people are gonna escape

LOL

Many won't. Most people did not get sponsorship right off the bat so a lot will still get locked in. There's nothing that suggests they cant bring something up again when people are due at the end of their proposed 10 years

Goke7:
I remembered you mentioned and quoted a particular clause on GTV, where, to qualify for ILR, earnings and income considerations will also apply. Look, it's not about any visa category anymore, but reducing greatly the number of people who will eventually cross the Red Sea from visa to ILR.

Wahala come be like bicycle like this o

Who don get ILR no know wetin God do for am sha

abuhusna1:
Court will is the final hope. I dont think what she wants to do is possible.

I admire your optimism

Zahra29:
Why do you think it's not possible?

Their is precedence moreso i dont mean she wont implement it but I am sure it will be fought and won cos people have legitimate expectations.

abuhusna1:
Their is precedence moreso i dont mean she wont implement it but I am sure it will be fought and won cos people have legitimate expectations.

The (only) precedent is HSMP overturning the ILR extension and other new requirements which were applied to all skilled workers at the time. The main reason HSMP was successful is because they were able to prove legitimate expectation based on an unconditional and unambiguous guarantee from the Home Office of settlement in 4 years "regardless of any revisions" to the scheme.

AFAIK, no such explicit guarantees have been given since HSMP so it will be a lot more difficult to prove legitimate expectation in court - and even where it exists, legitimate expectation can be lawfully overridden if there is an overriding public interest or it is demonstrated that the change is a proportionate response to new circumstances.

There is probably a stronger chance in arguing proportionality.

abuhusna1:
Court will is the final hope. I dont think what she wants to do is possible. The only reason she extend to August might be because of the election coming in may

The courts obviously will have the final say!

HustlaOfLagos:
LOL

Many won't. Most people did not get sponsorship right off the bat so a lot will still get locked in. There's nothing that suggests they cant bring something up again when people are due at the end of their proposed 10 years

That’s why the courts need to intervene!

HustlaOfLagos:
LOL

Many won't. Most people did not get sponsorship right off the bat so a lot will still get locked in. There's nothing that suggests they cant bring something up again when people are due at the end of their proposed 10 years

There's too much optimism around this issue if you ask me. I expect by now folks should have started doing some basic research on other options rather than all these petitions, surveys, legal challenges etc.

Life itself is full of uncertainties and this is just another one folks will have to wiggle through. I don't see optimism as a strategy here.

Goke7:
[/b]

That’s why the courts need to intervene!

What makes you feel they haven't consulted with their legal team?

Raalsalghul:
What makes you feel they haven't consulted with their legal team?

Are they the only one with a legal team? Every one will argue their case and the court will decide, innit!

Goke7:
[/b]

That’s why the courts need to intervene!

There is a Yoruba proverb that is loosely translated as --> Person wey go report Mustapha give Abacha just dey waste in spit

Raalsalghul:
There's too much optimism around this issue if you ask me. I expect by now folks should have started doing some basic research on other options rather than all these petitions, surveys, legal challenges etc.

Life itself is full of uncertainties and this is just another one folks will have to wiggle through. I don't see optimism as a strategy here.

Hope is a dangerous thing

People should have started to make plans immediately the white paper and all came out but I guess they are still waiting for youtube influencers to tell them the next step

Lexusgs430:
The changes, cannot be retrospective...... Those on the old system, would still qualify for the 5 year route......

Once the white paper becomes black paper, only new applicants going 4ward, would be caught in the 10 year trap..... But if Kemi wins, she might make it 20 years...... 😉🤔😂

Labour don join bad gang, changes in legislation by default, is not usually retrospective in implementation.... We are indeed living in a different world now......

*Updated *
Labour don join bad gang, changes in legislation by default, is not usually retrospective in implementation.... We are indeed living in a different world now......

More visa / asylum reforms -

Shabana Mahmood says UK’s generosity abused as visas halted for nationals from Afghanistan, Cameroon, Myanmar and Sudan
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026/mar/03/uk-puts-emergency-brake-on-study-visas-for-four-countries-nationals

The stats are not good & its a reasonable decision

I see further changes like "If you have arrived on a student visa, you will not be eligible to claim asylum" based on this --> "According to Home Office figures, 39% of the 100,000 people who claimed asylum in 2025 did so after arriving in the UK through a legal migration route such as a study visa."

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqHZQE180pY

Illegal immigrants ✅
Legal immigrants ✅

The next set they would come after are ethnic minorities with ILR/Citizenship.

Raalsalghul:
Illegal immigrants ✅
Legal immigrants ✅

The next set they would come after are ethnic minorities with ILR/Citizenship.

This is why I was encouraging the anti immigration /Government policy defenders/supporters to come outside during the last widespread anti immigrant protests.

Let us see if they see you as British even though your skin is not white

Lexusgs430:
*Updated *
Labour don join bad gang, changes in legislation by default, is not usually retrospective in implementation.... We are indeed living in a different world now......

😂 Shebi you were arguing then? Do you still want the uk to leave the echr?

Raalsalghul:
Illegal immigrants ✅
Legal immigrants ✅

The next set they would come after are ethnic minorities with ILR/Citizenship.

That’s usually the progression; they will start by claiming they after only criminals, then move on by saying any illegal is a criminal then from there they will go after legal residents saying it’s not a right but a privilege then finally pounce on settled ethnic minorities by saying they are not English or British or attack DEI policies! You gerit? If you don’t gerit forget about rit 😂 same playbook in the US. That’s the right wing for you!

Goke7:
😂 Shebi you were arguing then? Do you still want the uk to leave the echr?

I never talked about ECHR...... 😂

My argument, was based on historical assumptions (I have chop humble pie)...... 😂🤗

Lexusgs430:
I never talked about ECHR...... 😂

My argument, was based on historical assumptions (I have chop humble pie)...... 😂🤗

Ok o 😂

Wahala too much for UK.

HustlaOfLagos:
This is why I was encouraging the anti immigration /Government policy defenders/supporters to come outside during the last widespread anti immigrant protests.

Let us see if they see you as British even though your skin is not white

Make them try am na!

Raalsalghul:
Make them try am na!

HustlaOfLagos:
This is why I was encouraging the anti immigration /Government policy defenders/supporters to come outside during the last widespread anti immigrant protests.

Let us see if they see you as British even though your skin is not white

Stop it please, don't you know all they have to say is "my ancestors came here from the commonwealth when they could get citizenship upon arrival", and the Reform folk will respond "aite mate you're a true Brit and entitled to be here, not like the other ones."



😆

Goodenoch:
Stop it please, don't you know all they have to say is "my ancestors came here from the commonwealth when they could get citizenship upon arrival", and the Reform folk will respond "aite mate you're a true Brit and entitled to be here, not like the other ones.



😆

No be me talk am o, you can raise it with Kemi Badenoch and the likes - the fortunate ones who actually deserve to be British

Sigh...

Goodenoch:
Stop it please, don't you know all they have to say is "my ancestors came here from the commonwealth when they could get citizenship upon arrival", and the Reform folk will respond "aite mate you're a true Brit and entitled to be here, not like the other ones.



😆

You’re not saying it very well jor. It’s like this ‘my parents and grandparents were proper and legal migrants (asylum seekers o) who made lots of net contributions to this country unlike you immigrants now coming here for benefits’ 😂 I understand what it means to be British unlike you! In summary am British but you cannot be one as our country shouldn’t become an hotel.

You never jam! 😂

Zahra29:
Sigh...

Remember what I said some months ago? Easier to pay / recruit someone than installing crap in Chinese cars?

HustlaOfLagos:
Remember what I said some months ago? Easier to pay / recruit someone than installing crap in Chinese cars?

Who's to say that both or even more are not happening