DynamicR:
Many persons are of the opinion that Buhari and APC will fail in the upcoming elections reason being that the country is currently in a socio-economic cum political quagmire. Contentious issues such as Fulani- Herdsmen killing, naming IPOB terrorist organization, recession, and so on are presenting us with a false hope that the Buhari will lose the upcoming 2019 election.
Despite the above shortcomings, current odds are still in the favour of APC and Buhari-led administration. The reasons are:
1. Support from the international community is increasing; don’t forget in a hurry the current commendation given to him for fighting corruption. For anyone to win election in Africa, the political actor must align with world powers that have interest in your country as they will project a nice image of your country through foreign media. APC has enjoyed this privilege and doesn’t seem it will dwindle in 2019. The foreign media have failed to project underage voting in the north and Fulani Herdsmen attacks on Nigerians as burning International issues within the African continent.
2. High Level of Illiteracy in the North: this makes it easy for the elite to manipulate the masses to support them through the use of money, religion and ethnicity. Buhari still enjoys the support of the North despite his failures in administration and will still get up to 15 million votes in Northern Nigeria.
3. Difficulty in Getting PVCs in Southern Nigeria: it is no longer news that it is difficult to get your PVCs in many centres in the south. Excuses are usually given by the INEC staff that their computers are not working, cards not printed and when you ask questions they cannot provide you with the right information. Politicians in the North make sure that cards are given to any living thing that shows interest in voting, age and underage. As a matter of fact, PVCs are delivered to their homes while in south will queue aimlessly for it. Our Politicians in the south are not thinking failed to ask questions while it is so.
4. PDP has failed to provide a Healthy Opposition: PDP as a party has not recovered from its internal crises and they have not been able to provide credible opposition to APC. Surprisingly, APC disgruntled members have made better opposition to the presidency.
5. Many Parents down South are Apolitical: many parents in the south will not allow their children to vote given the level of insecurity in the country. They prefer to remain in slavery than losing their children. Even the operations of IPOB encouraging Igbos not to vote will definitely work in APC’s favour due to the fact that South remains PDP strong hold.
6. State Apparatuses are in Buhari’s Control: to rig an election you need the military and the police. Once you have them, you are rest assured that you can win election and the only option for the opposition is to meet you at the tribunal and don’t forget the court is part of the state apparatuses.
Based on the above points, any voter or group (esp Southerners) still ranting on social media platforms should become circumspect, think and re-strategize on how to unseat the BUHARI because the odds are still in his favour.
My Humble Opinion


cc; Mynd44