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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? (4555 Views)
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OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by ejimatic: 8:31am On Sep 19, 2018 |
Critically evaluate the Osun state and give your result permutation. Please don't attach sentiments. |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by ejimatic: 8:43am On Sep 19, 2018 |
APC will win Ilesa West Ilesa East Atakumosa West Atakumosa East Oriade and Obokun... APC will win Ayedadade Ejigbo And Irewole and six or seven Local governments in Osun Central..................PDP will win Ede North and South with Egbedore..... ADP will win Iwo local govt..... ADC may win Odo Otin slightly..... SDP will win Ife East South and Central.... Ife North is either APC or SDP..... Any party with 15 local government wins will present the governor. Your guess is as good as mine... However I'm almost sure is APC 10 Likes 1 Share |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by Cajal(m): 9:37am On Sep 19, 2018 |
ejimatic:....egbedore may not go the way of PDP.... I know najeem....and prof mojeed 8 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by ejimatic: 9:41am On Sep 19, 2018 |
Cajal:You are right both of them are bigwigs there.... Good permutation 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by yarimo(m): 10:13am On Sep 19, 2018 |
In all poling unit in osun state, this is how people of the state will vote APC 90 % of votes PDP 5 % of votes and other political party with share the remaining 5 % of votes 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by modath(f): 10:27am On Sep 19, 2018 |
ejimatic: I have nothing to add to this... ***Modified**** + This: https://www.nairaland.com/4741860/osun-2018-what-result-permutation/1#71334694 Neyoor: Brilliant!!!! 9 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by senatordave1(m): 10:34am On Sep 19, 2018 |
yarimo:No sir,the results will be closer.osun doesnt vote in a landslide manner for a particular party.it will be like the ekiti,anambra,ondo or oyo polls.lets say in a polling unit of 500,apc 105 pdp 90 sdp 77 adp 75 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by Nobody: 10:34am On Sep 19, 2018 |
APC to win all the local governments in Ilesa and Osogbo, APC to win 8 out of ten local governments in the central because that's the region where the flagbearer is coming from. SDP to win 2L.G in Ile-Ife to lose Modakeke, win Ayedaade and slug it out with PDP in Isokan. PDP to win the 2 L.G in Ede, win Irewole slightly, PDP to win Ayedire as well. PDP to win 6 out of the ten Local governments in Osun west APC to win Ejigbo, orolu ADP to win Iwo. ADC might win Odo otin. At the end, APC will win with not less than 50k votes but less than 100k votes. 12 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by senatordave1(m): 10:38am On Sep 19, 2018 |
ejimatic:I think pdp will win 6 lgas in osun west narrowly.adeoti should win 3 while apc wins ejigbo.in osun central,apc will win 9 lgas with a large margin especially in osogbo/olorunda. In osun east,sdp will narrowly win ife areas with pdp coming close while in ilesa apc will win closely followed by sdp 5 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by Nobody: 10:44am On Sep 19, 2018 |
senatordave1: APC to follow closely in Ile-Ife because of the influence of people like Omoworare, Remi Makinde and this APC house of assembly honourable from Ile Ife. Ife election would be too close for the 3 parties. 5 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by senatordave1(m): 10:47am On Sep 19, 2018 |
Neyoor:Ya but its always been a pdp stronghold due to omisore's influence.anyway,it will turn to a battleground same as osun west. 2 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by vacettetommy(m): 10:49am On Sep 19, 2018 |
senatordave1:If you ever stay/reside at any major town in Osun central you won’t be boast of APC winning 5 LGA’s not to talk of 9. Without rigging and vote buying I swear APC is a goner in Osun State. People are suffering and they can’t just wait to vote APC out 4 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by senatordave1(m): 10:53am On Sep 19, 2018 |
vacettetommy:Apc is too entrenched and established to be voted out.the pdp candidate is even worse plus everyone understands why aregbe is owing 11 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by ejimatic: 10:56am On Sep 19, 2018 |
vacettetommy:Your opinion is respected but time will tell if it will be so. If APC won Ekiti and Ondo I strongly believe it will win their base in South West.... Osun State. 8 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by ejimatic: 11:00am On Sep 19, 2018 |
senatordave1:Good reasoning and conclusion 3 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by Nobody: 11:08am On Sep 19, 2018 |
vacettetommy: This your opinion looks sarcastic. Osogbo is having two local governments and the results from there alone can convincely outnumbered that of 4 L. Gs in OsunWest. Osogbo witnessed unprecedented development it has never witnessed in the history of Osun state and the people there will reciprocate that gesture by voting for APC. Apart from that, Osogbo and EDE people have been enemies from time immemorial. They've never been on thesame lane. Late Adeleke also had problem there when he won Osun election in 1991. It is the believe of Osogbo people that Ede people will claim there land if they should allow them to get to power. Don't forget Oyetola is from Central, Boripe local government which he will win convincingly. How about Ikirun where their king led the APC rally and used thug to disrupt PDP rally there last week. If worse come to worst, APC will still convincingly win 7 out of 10 L. G in the central 16 Likes 1 Share |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by ejimatic: 11:12am On Sep 19, 2018 |
Neyoor:This permutation is thorough and indicates you are an insider in Osun State. I agree with you. 13 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by gurnam: 11:13am On Sep 19, 2018 |
yarimo: You are wrong, PDP will not even come 2nd, PDP will either come a distant 3rd or 4th. 6 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by Nobody: 11:17am On Sep 19, 2018 |
ejimatic: That's just it and it still doesn't change the fact that PDP will win not less than 6 L.Gs convincingly in the west because that's where their candidate hails from and the yearnings of people from the west for power will pull them through. When PDP captures West and APC captures Central. The East will be the determinant and that's where PDP will have problem. Aregbesola is from the East, Ilesa and it's environments alone house 4 L. Gs which Aregbesola will deliver convincingly. Omisore will capture Ife zone and PDP will hardly win 2 L. Gs in the east zone 9 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by ejimatic: 11:22am On Sep 19, 2018 |
Neyoor:You are right. Additionally Ilesa has six local governments that can die for Aregbesola. They are Ilesa west and East. Atakumosa west and East Obokiun and Oriade. APC will win convincingly there 13 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by fergie001: 11:37am On Sep 19, 2018 |
Nice thread.... People who will vote,no abuses,no foul languages.... Except one or two permanent mischievous persons (they know themselves) This is how a thread should be...thumbs up,guys.. I wish Osun Good luck on Sat..... 8 Likes 1 Share |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by ejimatic: 11:49am On Sep 19, 2018 |
fergie001:Good observation. This is a mature thread I have seen so far on Nairaland. people's opinions are respected with good use of language even when there are differences ...I am proud of all of you on this thread. keep it up 7 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by Nobody: 11:54am On Sep 19, 2018 |
Waiting for Johnyessence to come and analyze his party's strength and their tendency of winning the election 5 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by senatordave1(m): 11:57am On Sep 19, 2018 |
fergie001:You can see how apc guys always marshall out electoral stats and indices to back up their claims that buhari and apc will always win while pdp fans will only mouth that apc will lose without corresponding evidences. Ede and osun west before the death of serubawon was apc strongholds.pdp natural strongholds were ife.now ife belongs to sdp while a large part of osun west is where pdp is restricted to. 5 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by senatordave1(m): 11:59am On Sep 19, 2018 |
ejimatic:If care is not taken,omisore will overtake pdp and finish 2nd.this election will be like the 2015 polls in adamawa where pdp took third or the 2015 polls in oyo where pdp finished fourth 5 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by fergie001: 12:00pm On Sep 19, 2018 |
senatordave1:Please,let the thread be as civil as possible... I have seen counter foul languages in the past from both sides,yours inclusive.... You are not even in Osun.... Let's all hope the Osun people vote for who will give them the best leadership....they will be the ones to suffer or enjoy for the next four years....I am optimistic that the latter will prevail 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by madridguy(m): 12:07pm On Sep 19, 2018 |
Following... 1 Like |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by Mostfavoured010(m): 12:11pm On Sep 19, 2018 |
ejimatic:. ADC has no ground in ODO otin, former Gov,Oyinlola the back borne of ADC can't deliver Okuku is home town 6 Likes 1 Share |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by Dannyset(m): 12:18pm On Sep 19, 2018 |
I dey here 1 Like |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by Nobody: 12:31pm On Sep 19, 2018 |
Mostfavoured010: That's true. Even when Oyinlola decamped to APC before 2014 election, yet he failed to deliver the L.G to APC. The town used to be PDP stronghold but I don't know if that persist. 3 Likes |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by Mostfavoured010(m): 12:50pm On Sep 19, 2018 |
If you're in Osun, you'll understand how the election result will be, people aren't voting for party, they are voting for personality, PDP loose in Osun last GOv election because of the strongholds that decamp to APC what happened during the second term election of Bisi Akande would have repeat itself , take a look at the breakdown, some strongholds in OSun APC decamped to ADP, some are serving state Hon and former commissioners in APC and Former Gov Oyinlola decamped to ADC, the fact that APC flag bearer will follow the step of Aregbe in managing the state and will make people not to Vote for APC especially the state Govt Workers & students of tertiary institutions, election isn't predicted by crowds that attend the campaign or social Media polls, Osun West is a base of APC ,in the previous Bypass election ,despite the power of incumbency and federal power, APC lost woefully,If APC had given Adeleke the ticket, he will won. Omisore should have settled for 2019 senate ticket either in SDP or PDP cus its sure he will win but not in Governorship poll, APC ,PDP and SDP has the money to buy votes so money isn't the problem, but people will vote massively for Sen Adeleke, not because people like PDP but because of the love people have for the late Sen Adeleke ,people doesn't want the continuity of Aregbeslola's policies and besides PDP is still a strong party in the state. breakdown of the past Osun west bypass election result as follows: Iwo Local Government: APC-12,205 PDP-12,547 Olaoluwa Local Government: APC 5,316 PDP 5,618 Ayedire Local Government: APC 5,360 PDP 5,789 Ejigbo Local Government: APC 12,229 PDP 9,723 Irewole Local Government: APC 8,952 PDP 9,096 Ede North Local Government: APC 2,784 PDP 18,559 Ede South Local Government: APC 2,096 PDP 13,406 Ayedaade Local Government: APC 7179 PDP 9,061 Egbedore Local Government: APC 4,768 PDP 7,142 Isokan Local Government: APC 5227 PDP 6,539 4 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: OSUN 2018: What Is Your Result Permutation Across The State? by ejimatic: 12:58pm On Sep 19, 2018 |
Mostfavoured010:Your permutation is respected. However you did not talk about Osun Central and Osun East. please give your permutation in the two senatorial districts too and your final opinion on the overall result 6 Likes |
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