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Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion - Politics - Nairaland

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Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Buhariislifeles(m): 6:36pm On Oct 18, 2018
I have been following the trend of elections in this country starting feom 1993 presidential elections till date, and have carefully analysed what will happen in the Northeast states in the forthcoming general elections, below is my prediction.


1. Taraba: This state has been under the fair grip of PDP right from 1999 till date, this is predominantly a Christian dominated state, and the key factor to winning elections in Taraba state is to get the endorsement of TY Danjuma, currently he is not happy with Buhari, and coupled with the herdmens crises there. It will be an easy victory for PDP. The recent defection of Hajiya Alhassan is a very big blow for the APC.
Verdict: PDP 80% APC 15% Others 5%.


Bauchi: Atiku was the person that sponsored the current governor of Bauchi state Mohammed Abubakar , the governor did not do well and many bauchi indigenes are also disenchanted with Buharis administration. With people like Speaker Yakubu Dogara having defected to PDP, their chances have greatly improved. APC will also get some votes too. The governor might work for PDP.

Verdict: PDP 50% APC 50%.

Adamawa: just like the governor of bauchi, Jibrilla Bindow was also sponsored by Atiku Abubakar during the last elections. Adamawa has a good number of Christians there who are sympathetic to PDP. This is the home state of Atiku the PDP candidate, so expect him to secure his home state. Also Aisha Buhari the wife of the president has distanced herself from supporting APC because her relative was denied governorship ticket.

PDP 65% APC 35%.

Gombe: this is a PDP state, the Governor Dankwanbo has ruled Gombe for 8 years now and due to his sterling performance, over his tenure, the people of Gombe like him and will likely listen to him, he has solidly thrown his weight behind Atiku. PDP is Gombe, Gombe is PDP, although APC will get some votes here.

PDP 65% APC 35%.

Bornu: this state has been under seige by boko haram even before Buhari came on board, its true that the government has recorded some success there, there are pockets of attacks here and there. Although former PDP factional chiarman and former governor Modu sheriff went back to APC, it will nor have much impact.

PDP 50% APC 50%.

Yobe state: although Buharis popularity has deceased in the north, he will clinch this state slightly, this is due to absence of strong opposition in the state. Its among the states which has been under the attack of Boko haram, but it has subsided a little. The margin of win might not be as big as in 2015, because Atiku is also a northerner and this is his region.

PDP: 45%. APC 55%

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by BeautifulMind2: 6:43pm On Oct 18, 2018
Buhariislifeles:
I have been following the trend of elections in this country starting feom 1993 presidential elections till date, and have carefully analysed what will happen in the Northeast states in the forthcoming general elections, below is my prediction.


1. Taraba: This state has been under the fair grip of PDP right from 1999 till date, this is predominantly a Christian dominated state, and the key factor to winning elections in Taraba state is to get the endorsement of TY Danjuma, currently he is not happy with Buhari, and coupled with the herdmens crises there. It will be an easy victory for PDP. The recent defection of Hajiya Alhassan is a very big blow for the APC.
Verdict: PDP 80% APC 15% Others 5%.


Bauchi: Atiku was the person that sponsored the current governor of Bauchi state Mohammed Abubakar , the governor did not do well and many bauchi indigenes are also disenchanted with Buharis administration. With people like Speaker Yakubu Dogara having defected to PDP, their chances have greatly improved. APC will also get some votes too. The governor might work for PDP.

Verdict: PDP 50% APC 50%.

Adamawa: just like the governor of bauchi, Jibrilla Bindow was also sponsored by Atiku Abubakar during the last elections. Adamawa has a good number of Christians there who are sympathetic to PDP. This is the home state of Atiku the PDP candidate, so expect him to secure his home state. Also Aisha Buhari the wife of the president has distanced herself from supporting APC because her relative was denied governorship ticket.

PDP 65% APC 35%.

Gombe: this is a PDP state, the Governor Dankwanbo has ruled Gombe for 8 years now and due to his sterling performance, over his tenure, the people of Gombe like him and will likely listen to him, he has solidly thrown his weight behind Atiku. PDP is Gombe, Gombe is PDP, although APC will get some votes here.

PDP 65% APC 35%.

Bornu: this state has been under seige by boko haram even before Buhari came on board, its true that the government has recorded some success there, there are pockets of attacks here and there. Although former PDP factional chiarman and former governor Modu sheriff went back to APC, it will nor have much impact.

PDP 50% APC 50%.

Yobe state: although Buharis popularity has deceased in the north, he will clinch this state slightly, this is due to absence of strong opposition in the state. Its among the states which has been under the attack of Boko haram, but it has subsided a little. The margin of win might not be as big as in 2015, because Atiku is also a northerner and this is his region.

PDP: 45%. APC 55%
Sincere analysis, thanks.

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by MalcoImX: 6:54pm On Oct 18, 2018
Mark my words, in the NE, Atiku can only win Taraba and possibly Adamawa. Notice that even in his native Adamawa I said "possibly."

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Buhariislifeles(m): 7:01pm On Oct 18, 2018
MalcoImX:
Mark my words, in the NE, Atiku can only win Taraba and possibly Adamawa. Notice that even in his native Adamawa I said "possibly."

He will defeat Buhari in Adamawa comfortably, the only state Atiku will may be lose is Yobe

8 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by SternProphet: 7:13pm On Oct 18, 2018
How can you start a thread based on lies. Atiku is not a politician who can beat Buhari in the NE. It has not happened before. Buhari's mum is from the NE. He was governor of the entire North East in the 70s. I don't know the ignorance and narrow mindedness that is afflicting people today. Buhari actually has Kanuri and Fulani blood and very wide acceptability. Atiku is just an inheritor of Shehu Yaradua's political structure. It was Yaradua 'death at the hands of Abacha that made Atiku (an ordinary business man to even get into politics to continue with the structure.

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Buhariislifeles(m): 7:16pm On Oct 18, 2018
SternProphet:
How can you start a thread based on lies. Atiku is not a politician who can beat Buhari in the NE. It has not happened before. Buhari's mum is from the NE. He was governor of the entire North East in the 70s. I don't know the ignorance and narrow mindedness that is afflicting people today. Buhari actually has Kanuri and Fulani blood and very wide acceptability. Atiku is just an inheritor of Shehu Yaradua's political structure. It was Yaradua 'death at the hands of Abacha that made Atiku (an ordinary business man to even get into politics to continue with the structure.

Odiegwu.
Atiku will defeat Buhari hands down in the Northeast by about 65% , dont you know that people are tired of Buahri in the north? Northerners will not vote him this time. Buahri is gone

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by dotcodotuk: 7:18pm On Oct 18, 2018
Buhariislifeles:


Odiegwu.
Atiku will defeat Buhari hands down in the Northeast by about 65% , dont you know that people are tired of Buahri in the north? Northerners will not vote him this time. Buahri is gone

You must be taking ganga to think Atiku will win Buhari anywhere in the north

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Yyeske(m): 7:25pm On Oct 18, 2018
dotcodotuk:


You must be taking ganga to think Atiku will win Buhari anywhere in the north
Don't mind those kids please, they said worse before the 2015 election between GEJ and Buhari and I don't need to tell you the final outcome, this was even when the PDP had the federal might to do whatever it wanted and which it carried out in several instances.

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by 9jaArea: 7:25pm On Oct 18, 2018
How did you come to this conclusion, did you visit any of these states or you concluded sitting comfortably in your room?
.

Buhariislifeles:
I have been following the trend of elections in this country starting feom 1993 presidential elections till date, and have carefully analysed what will happen in the Northeast states in the forthcoming general elections, below is my prediction.


1. Taraba: This state has been under the fair grip of PDP right from 1999 till date, this is predominantly a Christian dominated state, and the key factor to winning elections in Taraba state is to get the endorsement of TY Danjuma, currently he is not happy with Buhari, and coupled with the herdmens crises there. It will be an easy victory for PDP. The recent defection of Hajiya Alhassan is a very big blow for the APC.
Verdict: PDP 80% APC 15% Others 5%.


Bauchi: Atiku was the person that sponsored the current governor of Bauchi state Mohammed Abubakar , the governor did not do well and many bauchi indigenes are also disenchanted with Buharis administration. With people like Speaker Yakubu Dogara having defected to PDP, their chances have greatly improved. APC will also get some votes too. The governor might work for PDP.

Verdict: PDP 50% APC 50%.

Adamawa: just like the governor of bauchi, Jibrilla Bindow was also sponsored by Atiku Abubakar during the last elections. Adamawa has a good number of Christians there who are sympathetic to PDP. This is the home state of Atiku the PDP candidate, so expect him to secure his home state. Also Aisha Buhari the wife of the president has distanced herself from supporting APC because her relative was denied governorship ticket.

PDP 65% APC 35%.

Gombe: this is a PDP state, the Governor Dankwanbo has ruled Gombe for 8 years now and due to his sterling performance, over his tenure, the people of Gombe like him and will likely listen to him, he has solidly thrown his weight behind Atiku. PDP is Gombe, Gombe is PDP, although APC will get some votes here.

PDP 65% APC 35%.

Bornu: this state has been under seige by boko haram even before Buhari came on board, its true that the government has recorded some success there, there are pockets of attacks here and there. Although former PDP factional chiarman and former governor Modu sheriff went back to APC, it will nor have much impact.

PDP 50% APC 50%.

Yobe state: although Buharis popularity has deceased in the north, he will clinch this state slightly, this is due to absence of strong opposition in the state. Its among the states which has been under the attack of Boko haram, but it has subsided a little. The margin of win might not be as big as in 2015, because Atiku is also a northerner and this is his region.

PDP: 45%. APC 55%

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by phexx: 7:31pm On Oct 18, 2018
If u believe Mr Integrity will win North east,let him sign the amended electoral bill that will ensure automatic transmission of results from polling units to collation centres & leave Inec to be truly independent with no under-age voting,u will be surprised to note that people are tired of this govt.

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Buhariislifeles(m): 7:35pm On Oct 18, 2018
9jaArea:
How did you come to this conclusion, did you visit any of these states or you concluded sitting comfortably in your room?
.



Are you not seeing the trend of things happening in this country? The northerners are tired of dullhari. Its only Afonja betrayers that votes for the lifeless islamic jihadist

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Buhariislifeles(m): 7:36pm On Oct 18, 2018
phexx:
If u believe Mr Integrity will win North east,let him sign the amended electoral bill that will ensure automatic transmission of results from polling units to collation centres & leave Inec to be truly independent with no under-age voting,u will be surprised to note that people are tired of this govt.

Thank you very much. Buhari will lose if he tries that.

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by donphilopus: 7:44pm On Oct 18, 2018
MalcoImX:
Mark my words, in the NE, Atiku can only win Taraba and possibly Adamawa. Notice that even in his native Adamawa I said "possibly."

You're a patriot.

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Dannyset(m): 7:50pm On Oct 18, 2018
I am very happy with analysis like this, so that when your heart want to break it will pieces beyond repair. grin cheesy

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Nobody: 7:52pm On Oct 18, 2018
phexx:
If u believe Mr Integrity will win North east,let him sign the amended electoral bill that will ensure automatic transmission of results from polling units to collation centres & leave Inec to be truly independent with no under-age voting,u will be surprised to note that people are tired of this govt.

please can you throw more light on this
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Kanixt(m): 7:54pm On Oct 18, 2018
Buhariislifeles:


Odiegwu.
Atiku will defeat Buhari hands down in the Northeast by about 65% , dont you know that people are tired of Buahri in the north? Northerners will not vote him this time. Buahri is gone

We in the north we are tired of Buhari. You can listen to FM and AM radio stations and hear how people are rainnin curses on buhari

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by hucienda: 7:59pm On Oct 18, 2018
The election outcome would depend, ceteris paribus, to a large extent on Atiku's competitiveness in the north, especially the NW region.

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Aaronzy: 8:06pm On Oct 18, 2018
BUHARI HAS NEVER SCORED AS LOW AS 15% IN TARABA STATE EVEN WHEN HE WAS IN OPPOSITION, SO WHAT MAKES YOU THINK HE WILL SCORE 15% NOW THAT HE IS THE INCUMBENT....THE ANNOYING PART IS WHEN I SAW 50-50 IN BORNO STATE...OGA YOU ARE NOT SERIOUS

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Back2Daura(m): 8:07pm On Oct 18, 2018
9jaArea:
How did you come to this conclusion, did you visit any of these states or you concluded sitting comfortably in your room?


I currently reside in Maiduguri I can tell you with all sincerity that buhari is gone. Nobody likes poverty
.

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Back2Daura(m): 8:13pm On Oct 18, 2018
Aaronzy:
BUHARI HAS NEVER SCORED AS LOW AS 15% WHEN HE WAS IN OPPOSITION, SO WHAT MAKES YOU THINK HE WILL SCORE 15% NOW THAT HE IS THE INCUMBENT....THE ANNOYING PART IS WHEN I SAW 50-50 IN BORNO STATE...OGA YOU ARE NOT SERIOUS

Because when buhari was in opposition alot of northerners thought that he was going to be the Messiah to help the poor out of poverty and jail the elites so we believed him. That was why you saw the massive votes. But now people are tired of him. And want to try atiku because there is a believe that anything Atiku touches turns to Gold.

Let me also tell you that buhari is now seen as a President who might not make it to 2023. Therefore, it is better for Atiku which can guarantee them 8years if they try. Buhari is good as gone. Believeme#

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by senatordave1(m): 8:30pm On Oct 18, 2018
Aaronzy:
BUHARI HAS NEVER SCORED AS LOW AS 15% IN TARABA STATE EVEN WHEN HE WAS IN OPPOSITION, SO WHAT MAKES YOU THINK HE WILL SCORE 15% NOW THAT HE IS THE INCUMBENT....THE ANNOYING PART IS WHEN I SAW 50-50 IN BORNO STATE...OGA YOU ARE NOT SERIOUS
Very nonsense analysis.atiku has little or no grassroot links or connection in the north east.the op is high on atikulooted weed.buhari has always won heavily in bauchi,borno,yobe and gombe.atiku can only win taraba and adamawa narrowly.even im adamawa,hes struggling and may lose to buhari.

Based on my analysis,it will be:
Borno apc 800,000. Pdp 100,000

Yobe. Apc 600,000 pdp 100,000

Bauchi. Apc 1 million pdp 200,000

Gombe. Apc 500,000. Pdp 200,000

Adamawa. Apc 300000. Pdp 400000

Taraba. Apc 200000. Pdp 300000

5 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Roger3D(m): 8:31pm On Oct 18, 2018
Buhariislifeles:
I have been following the trend of elections in this country starting feom 1993 presidential elections till date, and have carefully analysed what will happen in the Northeast states in the forthcoming general elections, below is my prediction.


1. Taraba: This state has been under the fair grip of PDP right from 1999 till date, this is predominantly a Christian dominated state, and the key factor to winning elections in Taraba state is to get the endorsement of TY Danjuma, currently he is not happy with Buhari, and coupled with the herdmens crises there. It will be an easy victory for PDP. The recent defection of Hajiya Alhassan is a very big blow for the APC.
Verdict: PDP 80% APC 15% Others 5%.


Bauchi: Atiku was the person that sponsored the current governor of Bauchi state Mohammed Abubakar , the governor did not do well and many bauchi indigenes are also disenchanted with Buharis administration. With people like Speaker Yakubu Dogara having defected to PDP, their chances have greatly improved. APC will also get some votes too. The governor might work for PDP.

Verdict: PDP 50% APC 50%.

Adamawa: just like the governor of bauchi, Jibrilla Bindow was also sponsored by Atiku Abubakar during the last elections. Adamawa has a good number of Christians there who are sympathetic to PDP. This is the home state of Atiku the PDP candidate, so expect him to secure his home state. Also Aisha Buhari the wife of the president has distanced herself from supporting APC because her relative was denied governorship ticket.

PDP 65% APC 35%.

Gombe: this is a PDP state, the Governor Dankwanbo has ruled Gombe for 8 years now and due to his sterling performance, over his tenure, the people of Gombe like him and will likely listen to him, he has solidly thrown his weight behind Atiku. PDP is Gombe, Gombe is PDP, although APC will get some votes here.

PDP 65% APC 35%.

Bornu: this state has been under seige by boko haram even before Buhari came on board, its true that the government has recorded some success there, there are pockets of attacks here and there. Although former PDP factional chiarman and former governor Modu sheriff went back to APC, it will nor have much impact.

PDP 50% APC 50%.

Yobe state: although Buharis popularity has deceased in the north, he will clinch this state slightly, this is due to absence of strong opposition in the state. Its among the states which has been under the attack of Boko haram, but it has subsided a little. The margin of win might not be as big as in 2015, because Atiku is also a northerner and this is his region.

PDP: 45%. APC 55%
Hahahah some of these ibo clowns are real stupid. You really mean PDP can score 50% in a state like Borno? Man you ibos are deluded fools I tell ya

8 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by udemzyudex(m): 8:34pm On Oct 18, 2018
MalcoImX:
Mark my words, in the NE, Atiku can only win Taraba and possibly Adamawa. Notice that even in his native Adamawa I said "possibly."

Go away with your words, they don't hold water.
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Roger3D(m): 8:38pm On Oct 18, 2018
senatordave1:

Very nonsense analysis.atiku has little or no grassroot links or connection in the north east.the op is high on atikulooted weed.buhari has always won heavily in bauchi,borno,yobe and gombe.atiku can only win taraba and adamawa narrowly.even im adamawa,hes struggling and may lose to buhari.

Based on my analysis,it will be:
Borno apc 800,000. Pdp 100,000

Yobe. Apc 600,000 pdp 100,000

Bauchi. Apc 1 million pdp 200,000

Gombe. Apc 500,000. Pdp 200,000

Adamawa. Apc 300000. Pdp 400000

Taraba. Apc 200000. Pdp 300000
Rubbish.
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Buhariislifeles(m): 8:40pm On Oct 18, 2018
senatordave1:

Very nonsense analysis.atiku has little or no grassroot links or connection in the north east.the op is high on atikulooted weed.buhari has always won heavily in bauchi,borno,yobe and gombe.atiku can only win taraba and adamawa narrowly.even im adamawa,hes struggling and may lose to buhari.

Based on my analysis,it will be:
Borno apc 800,000. Pdp 100,000

Yobe. Apc 600,000 pdp 100,000

Bauchi. Apc 1 million pdp 200,000

Gombe. Apc 500,000. Pdp 200,000

Adamawa. Apc 300000. Pdp 400000

Taraba. Apc 200000. Pdp 300000

You are not serious. Buhari will not score more than 15% in Taraba. Dont you know that taraba is a Christian state? 70% are Christians
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Buhariislifeles(m): 8:40pm On Oct 18, 2018
udemzyudex:


Go away with your words, they don't hold water.

Dont mind there Yorobar muzslims
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by CapitalCee(m): 8:43pm On Oct 18, 2018
Buhariislifeles:


You are not serious. Buhari will not score more than 15% in Taraba. Dont you know that taraba is a Christian state? 70% are Christians

Are you sayinh that Christians will definitely vote against buhari? What did he do to them?

2 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by maestroferdi: 8:49pm On Oct 18, 2018
SternProphet:
How can you start a thread based on lies. Atiku is not a politician who can beat Buhari in the NE. It has not happened before. Buhari's mum is from the NE. He was governor of the entire North East in the 70s. I don't know the ignorance and narrow mindedness that is afflicting people today. Buhari actually has Kanuri and Fulani blood and very wide acceptability. Atiku is just an inheritor of Shehu Yaradua's political structure. It was Yaradua 'death at the hands of Abacha that made Atiku (an ordinary business man to even get into politics to continue with the structure.
You are the narrow-minded fellow here, my friend.

Atiku is flying the flag of PDP this time around...

Atiku is now a national project...

Atiku has one of the widest outreaches or connections among active politicians in today's Nigeria...

Atiku has the deep pocket to match Buhari pound for pound...

Atiku can get dirty, a key requirement for making headway in Nigerian politics.


Atiku once bested Babangida, Gusau, Saraki et al to emerge a consensus northern candidate in the PDP primaries of 2011.

Buhari, Oshiomhole, Tinubu and anybody who is somebody in APC are scared of facing Atiku in a winner takes all... He was the last person they expected to face...

Only simple-minded people like you try to contradict the obvious...

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by senatordave1(m): 8:49pm On Oct 18, 2018
Buhariislifeles:


You are not serious. Buhari will not score more than 15% in Taraba. Dont you know that taraba is a Christian state? 70% are Christians
And so? Buhari has always scored at least 25% even when he contested against gej and obj who are chriatians in taraba.atiku is a muslim therefore more divided votes.

2 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by CapitalCee(m): 8:51pm On Oct 18, 2018
senatordave1:

And so? Buhari has always scored at least 25% even when he contested against gej and obj who are chriatians in taraba.atiku is a muslim therefore more divided votes.

Don't mind that igbo boy

4 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by dotcodotuk: 8:54pm On Oct 18, 2018
maestroferdi:
You are the narrow-minded fellow here, my friend.

Atiku is flying the flag of PDP this time around...

Atiku is now a national project...

Atiku has one of the widest outreach or connections among active politicians in today's Nigeria...

Atiku has the deep pocket to match the Buhari pound for pound...

Atiku can get dirty, a key requirement for making headway in Nigerian politics.


Atiku once best Babangida, Gusau, Saraki et al to emerge a consensus northern candidate in PDP primaries in 2011.

Buhari, Oshiomhole, Tinubu and anybody who is somebody in APC are scared of facing Atiku in a winner takes all... He was the last person they expect to face...

Only simple-minded people like you try to contradict the obvious...


Atiku will fail woefully in the Northeast

4 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by maestroferdi: 8:57pm On Oct 18, 2018
dotcodotuk:



Atiku will fail woefully in the Northeast
Typical APC supporter...

Atiku will fail woefully...

May we know why or how ?

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