₦airaland Forum

Eco101:
If you think Buhari will win Atiku in Lagos State, then you are dreaming. Yes, APC will win governorship election in Lagos State, but Atiku will trash Buhari in Lagos with a wide margin. Save this post for reference purposes. It will be a reminiscent of what happened between Ribadu and Jonathan in 2011. I repeat, APC will win governorship election in Lagos State but Atiku/PDP will win presidential election in a landslide.

Who are the people that will vote on guber election? Are they not the same people that will vote on presidential election day?
Guy wise up the same pattern are 90 percent likely to be followed on two occasions.
Besides most lower cadre lagosians and civil servants seems to be card carrying members of APC. You can see what happened during ambode primary saga.
The recent desperation on the part of PDP is gradually pulling people away from them so I don't see how Mr Atikul winning Lagos o.

all the best

Oshigun:
Correct. Fayose has ruined the image of the PDP totally in Ekiti.

And yet the election result was 50/50

helinues:
Atiku winning in Lagos is like Buhari winning in Abia state

Blatant lie

zlantanfan:
I see you are a bit sincere in saying APC would win Governor but it would also win Lagos presidency by some close margin 55%-45%,.

If you understand APC has a huge grassroot politics with its members across the state and service.

Tinubu built a solid base across civil service from top to the street sweeper, these jobs affect a large majority of Lagos homes and families directly (a sitting governor like ambode was incapacitated when the machineries overwhelmed him even with power).

I believe this is different from ribadu case, tinubu needs the Lagos win more than ever before to cement his position in the negotiating table for osinbajo 2023. (I guess you know what happens when tinubu political stance is at stake).


He would go all out this time, I believe you made your assumption from igbo vote but Igbo's have always voted pdp and lost, it is Yoruba's that vote both PDP and APC, this time same factors would play plus yemi is a Lagos son, including the support at federal and the almost non touch of atiku on ground in Lagos

Tifnubu's strategy in Lagos is rigging, he didn't build anything politically in the state

zlantanfan:
I see you are a bit sincere in saying APC would win Governor but it would also win Lagos presidency by some close margin 55%-45%,.

If you understand APC has a huge grassroot politics with its members across the state and service.

Tinubu built a solid base across civil service from top to the street sweeper, these jobs affect a large majority of Lagos homes and families directly (a sitting governor like ambode was incapacitated when the machineries overwhelmed him even with power).

I believe this is different from ribadu case, tinubu needs the Lagos win more than ever before to cement his position in the negotiating table for osinbajo 2023. (I guess you know what happens when tinubu political stance is at stake).


He would go all out this time, I believe you made your assumption from igbo vote but Igbo's have always voted pdp and lost, it is Yoruba's that vote both PDP and APC, this time same factors would play plus yemi is a Lagos son, including the support at federal and the almost non touch of atiku on ground in Lagos

There's nothing like Osibanjo 2023, u are really naive

senatordave1:
There's no question that buhari will win the west but my pain and angst is that it will not be a landslide victory or a crushing defeat like the east will hand to buhari.the highest percentage buhari may get is 70% which gej garnered in 2011 while the lowest atiku will poll in the south east is 80%.i wish the yorubas can coalesce together to inflate figures for buhari by even intimidating,frightening pdp agents and officials,writing results and filtering voters like seen during the osun rerun and rivers 2015

What a stupid post from a known paid poster

ImperialYoruba:
Where did you get this fantasy from?

Look at any SW State today...

Governorship - APC 100%
HoA - APC 100%
LG - APC 98%

Where are you getting your PDP 35% and 40% from?

Stop forecasting wins on empathy and federal character. Look on ground and scale the result on ground to get where we are going.

Its winners take all. Whoever wins in Lagos takes Lagos.

Aregberascal was governor of Osun 100% and yet in the governorship elections last year, PDP still got 50% vote.

Use ur sense

Yomboy4ever:
How many voters do they have left in the east.
They were busy with Biafra or death during PVC registration. No lefelendum,no erection was thier mantra. Unless INEC create nairaland polling unit to accommodate those that destroyed their PVC. I am not saying Buhari will win in SE though but 1 or 2 states in the north is enough to cancel SE votes..

""1 or 2 states in the north is enough to cancel SE votes.""


This guy na mad FooOOOool Ooo.

Buharis is already preparing to fight for northern votes with Atiku n ur here talking nonsnese. Buhari will lose many northern states to Atiku n SE will at the minimum give PDP 3 million votes at the home front

Also only a fool thinks SE votes = IGBO votes. IGBOS live in every local govt across Nigeria.

PrecisionFx:
What a stupid post from a known paid poster

I thought you were under a ban.let me report you again until you learn the act and art of speaking sensibly

PrecisionFx:
""1 or 2 states in the north is enough to cancel SE votes.""


This guy na mad FooOOOool Ooo.

Buharis is already preparing to fight for northern votes with Atiku n ur here talking nonsnese. Buhari will lose many northern states to Atiku n SE will at the minimum give PDP 3 million votes at the home front

Also only a fool thinks SE votes = IGBO votes. IGBOS live in every local govt across Nigeria.

Fighting in the north when most northerners have defected from pdp? Did you see the apc crowd in your abia? Kano alone can eclipse 3 million votes your east wanna give

senatordave1:
Fighting in the north when most northerners have defected from pdp? Did you see the apc crowd in your abia? Kano alone can eclipse 3 million votes your east wanna give

""Fighting in the north when most northerners have defected from pdp""

It is northern governors from Benue, Sokoto n Kwara that defected from APC to PDP.

YES, I saw th 2k naira per head crowd in Abia, It's done nationwide.

Kano had a total of 2.1 milliom votes.
Kano brought 1.9 million votes for buhari in 2015, Ot wont increase by 1 million votes in 2019, rather total votes will just up by 300k votes.

Atiku will not get anything less than 35% votes in Kano and that will be a total of around 800k votes. So buharis vote from Kano won't pass 1.4 million votes.

THE NORTHERN POLITICAL CLASS IS ALREADY DIVIDED, ONLY A PAID ZOMBIE DOESNT KNOW THIS

PrecisionFx:
""Fighting in the north when most northerners have defected from pdp""

It is northern governors from Benue, Sokoto n Kwara that defected from APC to PDP.

YES, I saw th 2k naira per head crowd in Abia, It's done nationwide.

Kano had a total of 2.1 milliom votes.
Kano brought 1.9 million votes for buhari in 2015, Ot wont increase by 1 million votes in 2019, rather total votes will just up by 300k votes.

Atiku will not get anything less than 35% votes in Kano and that will be a total of around 800k votes. So buharis vote from Kano won't pass 1.4 million votes.

THE NORTHERN POLITICAL CLASS IS ALREADY DIVIDED, ONLY A PAID ZOMBIE DOESNT KNOW THIS

Benue governor is politicslly irrelevant,akume installed him so count him out.the most important man in sokoto is wamakko.so count him out though atiku may get 25% here.with or without saraki,buhari will get up to 40% in kwara.they defected too early and the impact has watered down and apc has recovered since due to the early defections.

The most senior pdp official up north babayo gamawa defected,thats a national slap,a disgrace.niger and kebbi pdp chair men defected plus two former chairmen and a north east campaign DG just a month to the polls.that's a fatal blow that pdp wont recover on time.i believe you saw the public admittance that obiano is pro buhari.
Buhari lowest votes in kano has always been 1.6 million even when opposition governors were in power while pdp never scored more than 500k and it won't change.expect 2.5 to 3 million for buhari.start to learn how to accept defeat early.

As for the northern political class,they know that atiku cant be as pro north or northocentric as buhari.no northerner has ever concrntrated appointments in the north as much as buhari therefore buhari all the way.

Feemmy:
I'm from Ondo state and I can assure you that PDP will win the presidential election in Ondo state. quote me come February

No mind that unfounded analysis, someone that have not been to anywhere will just sit down and start typing rubbish...

Go to ondo state and see how people rain curses on your Buhari and Akeredolu..
Do your finding well before coming out to spit what is not pls

senatordave1:
Benue governor is politicslly irrelevant,akume installed him so count him out.the most important man in sokoto is wamakko.so count him out though atiku may get 25% here.with or without saraki,buhari will get up to 40% in kwara.they defected too early and the impact has watered down and apc has recovered since due to the early defections.

The most senior pdp official up north babayo gamawa defected,thats a national slap,a disgrace.niger and kebbi pdp chair men defected plus two former chairmen and a north east campaign DG just a month to the polls.that's a fatal blow that pdp wont recover on time.i believe you saw the public admittance that obiano is pro buhari.
Buhari lowest votes in kano has always been 1.6 million even when opposition governors were in power while pdp never scored more than 500k and it won't change.expect 2.5 to 3 million for buhari.start to learn how to accept defeat early.

As for the northern political class,they know that atiku cant be as pro north or northocentric as buhari.no northerner has ever concrntrated appointments in the north as much as buhari therefore buhari all the way.

"""to 3 million for buhari""


The 3 million votes will come from where? , even total Kano votes was 2.1 million votes in 2015 so where will 3 million votes for buhari n 500k votes for Atiku n even more votes for other parties totalling over 3.5 million Kano votes come from .

pdp might just win osun or get at least 48% in osun state.
I was in osun state secteriat last week (ministry of justice).
out of the 4 people in d office 3 were cursing buhari nd rooting for atiku.
if the election is not rigged oh,buhari would only win atiku by lil margin in South wear goin by what am seeing

PrecisionFx:
"""to 3 million for buhari""


The 3 million votes will come from where? , even total Kano votes was 2.1 million votes in 2015 so where will 3 million votes for buhari n 500k votes for Atiku n even more votes for other parties totalling over 3.5 million Kano votes come from .

Always get yourself updated.according to inec data,kano has 5.5 million voters.at least 5 million must have gotten pvcs.buhari can poll 3 million,Atiku 500-800k.the rest 200k.prp the next strongest party in the north has adopted buhari.i believe your familiar with votes inflation.he will poll similar figures in bauchi,jigawa,katsina,kaduna,borno etc

Only anambra can give atiku a million plus votes.rivers,akwa ibom,delta,IMO etc do not have the capacity to inflate votes for pdp again.

Mind you,all the states in Nigeria that churns out these votes do it through massive rigging and inflation.this is possible if the oppositon is weak or non existent,a consensus arrangement by all parties,federal might and other factors.apc did it without federal might plus the opposition was weak.now,those factors have increased for them.on the other hand,pdp does it with federal might and with a weak opposition but these are no more possible so atiku is gone.

senatordave1:
Always get yourself updated.according to inec data,kano has 5.5 million voters.at least 5 million must have gotten pvcs.buhari can poll 3 million,Atiku 500-800k.the rest 200k.prp the next strongest party in the north has adopted buhari.i believe your familiar with votes inflation.he will poll similar figures in bauchi,jigawa,katsina,kaduna,borno etc

Only anambra can give atiku a million plus votes.rivers,akwa ibom,delta,IMO etc do not have the capacity to inflate votes for pdp again.

Mind you,all the states in Nigeria that churns out these votes do it through massive rigging and inflation.this is possible if the oppositon is weak or non existent,a consensus arrangement by all parties,federal might and other factors.apc did it without federal might plus the opposition was weak.now,those factors have increased for them.on the other hand,pdp does it with federal might and with a weak opposition but these are no more possible so atiku is gone.

February 16th!

senatordave1:
Always get yourself updated.according to inec data,kano has 5.5 million voters.at least 5 million must have gotten pvcs.buhari can poll 3 million,Atiku 500-800k.the rest 200k.prp the next strongest party in the north has adopted buhari.i believe your familiar with votes inflation.he will poll similar figures in bauchi,jigawa,katsina,kaduna,borno etc

Only anambra can give atiku a million plus votes.rivers,akwa ibom,delta,IMO etc do not have the capacity to inflate votes for pdp again.

Mind you,all the states in Nigeria that churns out these votes do it through massive rigging and inflation.this is possible if the oppositon is weak or non existent,a consensus arrangement by all parties,federal might and other factors.apc did it without federal might plus the opposition was weak.now,those factors have increased for them.on the other hand,pdp does it with federal might and with a weak opposition but these are no more possible so atiku is gone.

Kano still had 4.9 million registered voters wen their votes totalled 2 million in 2015 presidential election

PrecisionFx:
Kano still had 4.9 million registered voters wen their votes totalled 2 million in 2015 presidential election

Its the same thing.it shows the have the reserve and capacity to produce more votes unlike pdp states.that 2.1 million was polled under strict monitoring of the ruling party.now that apc is in power,think of the numbers they will produce.

Now look at this,kano and Katsina had 3.7 million votes in 2015.only 800,000 didnt go through any accreditation.rivers and akwa ibom had 2.6 million votes and only 2.1 million had electronic accreditation.that means pdp rigged far more and with or without card readers,buhari will thrash atiku.

senatordave1:
Its the same thing.it shows the have the reserve and capacity to produce more votes unlike pdp states.that 2.1 million was polled under strict monitoring of the ruling party.now that apc is in power,think of the numbers they will produce.

Now look at this,kano and Katsina had 3.7 million votes in 2015.only 800,000 didnt go through any accreditation.rivers and akwa ibom had 2.6 million votes and only 2.1 million had electronic accreditation.that means pdp rigged far more and with or without card readers,buhari will thrash atiku.

""that 2.1 million was polled under strict monitoring of the ruling party""

FG prevented 3 million Kano indigens from voting buhari in 2015 .....As time goes on, ur Mental problem gets even worse

PrecisionFx:
""that 2.1 million was polled under strict monitoring of the ruling party""

FG prevented 3 million Kano indigens from voting buhari in 2015 .....As time goes on, ur Mental problem gets even worse

Simple comprehension and understanding you are incapable of.your retardation is organic,precise and fixed.

tuniski:
February 16th!

Is that when you will tell us what 24% of 8.5 million is ?

senatordave1:
Simple comprehension and understanding you are incapable of.your retardation is organic,precise and fixed.

Thanks a lot.

Contact me wen Kano state records 3.5 million votes next month

PrecisionFx:
Thanks a lot.

Contact me wen Kano state records 3.5 million votes next month

No,ill contact you once buhari starts getting 30% in ss/se.

senatordave1:
No,ill contact you once buhari starts getting 30% in ss/se.

Add that to the list.

Immediately u grab 200k votes for buhari in Enugu state, contact me

PrecisionFx:
Add that to the list.

Immediately u grab 200k votes for buhari in Enugu state, contact me

200k is that the buhari's total in the entire SE?

Before buhari became this disastrous, he garnered 198k in SE. Now that the whole nation including the under 35yrs old Nigerians that voted him in 2015 are living under his affliction called outsourced governance, he will do well to get 300k in the entire SE due to increase in voters turnout.


The SE will do what conservative north did to GEJ in 2015 to buhari. Trafficate left but, go right!

The margin of defeat of buhari will be wider while the average igbo man registered in the north will stay back and vote on February 16th. That alone will swell pdp/atiku's votes in the 19 states by 2m+!

Buhari/apc wont know what hit them.

senatordave1:
Always get yourself updated.according to inec data,kano has 5.5 million voters.at least 5 million must have gotten pvcs.buhari can poll 3 million,Atiku 500-800k.the rest 200k.prp the next strongest party in the north has adopted buhari.i believe your familiar with votes inflation.he will poll similar figures in bauchi,jigawa,katsina,kaduna,borno etc

Only anambra can give atiku a million plus votes.rivers,akwa ibom,delta,IMO etc do not have the capacity to inflate votes for pdp again.

Mind you,all the states in Nigeria that churns out these votes do it through massive rigging and inflation.this is possible if the oppositon is weak or non existent,a consensus arrangement by all parties,federal might and other factors.apc did it without federal might plus the opposition was weak.now,those factors have increased for them.on the other hand,pdp does it with federal might and with a weak opposition but these are no more possible so atiku is gone.

Hw much are they paying D hoc staff

[quote author=garfield1 post=74203613]Ondo state

Buhari will win most parts of ondo north and central polling his largest votes from akoko region and owo and akure south lga.PdP will win some parts of info south especially ilaje,ese odo and okitipupa.sowore who is from info south will pull substantial votes here reducing pdp votes while mimiko will get a large chunk of ondo east and west votes
Verdict:apc 50% pdp 35% mimiko/sowore 15%

[color=#990000][/color]OP, did you consider the effect of the Agagus, Olusola Oke and Deputy Governor, Agboola Ajayi before predicting Ondo South?

DeLaRue:
I think a lot of the people in the lower echelons of society have this weird fond memory of how money 'flowed' under PDP. They might come out to vote 'PDP' and not necessarily Atiku and end up with Atiku anyway.

Most of these people have little or no education & are not interested in long story about economic fundamentals or even the fight against corruption.

This election result will be a lot closer than people expect.

You have been making alot of senses sir.

PrecisionFx:
Tifnubu's strategy in Lagos is rigging, he didn't build anything politically in the state

Seems you are the naive one if you think it is now that Tinubu will rig when he did not rig during PDP 16 years at the federal level or when PDP took all SW state except Lagos. Go and read about Tinubu better, and its feud with Obj also. Thank me for educating you.