₦airaland Forum

soliddust2020:
Buhari can't get 10% in urhobo, he is hated forget the crowd you saw at that rally. They were there for ogboru and omo-agege. Herdsmen has killed so many people in ughelli north and they have terrorized Abraka too. As for the governorship election Okowa will win again, 40-50% urhobos will vote for him, Ijaws are all for him, he should get another 50% votes from Isokos and i can't tell about the itsekiris. Okowa pulled some last minute coup that change the mindset of so many political leaders and group and he also started massive works to save himself from disgrace. Omo-agege will win delta central senatorial election and as for James manager vs Uduaghan i have no comment. Ogboru lost some followers when he collected contracts from GEJ, that made some people feel he is just there for his stomach and not the people.

What you don't seem to understand is that nobody is saying Buhari is so loved in Delta. The reason the Urhobos and others will be voting for him is because of political expediency. It favours them more to support their sons (Ogboru and Omo-Agege) who will benefit from Buhari's victory. Also, both candidates of APC and PDP are Northeners, Muslims and Hausa-Fulanis so the benefit GEJ had (our son) is not applicable here. Do you honestly think that Urhobos will vote Atiku for Presidency then turn around to vote Omo-Agege for Senate? It's going to be one way, either they vote PDP all the way or they vote APC all the way. Also bear in mind that PDP's rigging machinery will be minimised since they no longer control the federal govt. From most comments made earlier you will notice that nobody is given Delta outrightly to PMB but only saying that there will be a marked increase in votes to him due to the factors I have stated herein. Shalom.

Telepathy campaign

if at all apc will win anything in delta it will be uduagan am a strong pdp supporter but i will vote for him @ogboru no go area urobos can make him win

designking:
@Thanks Efe,
The 2019 Elections in Delta State will reveal clearly what has been happening in the State's past elections. The figures will be very strange when compared to figures obtained from past elections.

Ibori had never won Sapele LGA, Ugboru has always won most Urhobo LGA.

The forthcoming elections will shock many. The state house of assembly positions will be mostly shared 50-50. Federal elective positions will be shared 60-40 in favor of APC.

Deltans are very angry with the way the state has been managed by PDP. The violence invoked against oppositions has been what has kept most persons against the PDP government mute.

The last local government election was a clear pointer of how opposed people are to the PDP government. Even when it was clear that DISEC was going to write the results in favor of PDP, people fought violently against PDP and the state recorded deaths.

With an INEC conducted election, PDP will be powerless without federal might or INEC helping to write results.

Oshare I greet you.

For now the only PDP stronghold in Delta central is Ethiope West, uvwie has been infiltrated, the likes of Baro and Co are working heavily for APC.

Let's not also forget the fact that Ogboru is also related to anioma and has strong political strength in some towns and villages in Delta North (most especially ukwuani LGA).

sebali:
I don't know if u leave within Delta. because on the streets in warri and environs the Urhobo's dnt wont Okowa and are thus rooting for APC all d way.
N. B Personally I wud vote Atiku for presidency and Ogboru for state..... I which other Deltans can think like me

speak for urself.even nonidegenes are rooting for okowa.deltans hate APC with a passion.

americanson:
all my Urhobo friends will not vote buhari. You are dreaming if you think scars can be erased for what buhari has done and continues to do.

Am not rooting for Buhari... Infact I would love 4 him to gt zero vote in Delta State bt reality on the streets is saying the Urhobos and Itsekiris would vote for buhari because dey want Okowa out and Uduaghan as senator respectively.
Dey think a vote for APC at federal level means a win for APC at state level

The truth is Ogboru will not win the guber elections, Okowa has the nine Anioma local governments and three and half Ijaw local governments locked down. Votes in Ogboru 's senatorial district will be shared, Ogboru's hope lies with votes from Ethiope East,Udu,Ughelli North, Ughelli South. Okpe, Sapele and Uvwie will be a battle ground. Ogboru will win Itsekiri and Isoko communities but not convincingly. Sapele,Okpe and Ethiope West are supposed to be Ogboru's strongholds but there are too many PDP bigwigs in those areas to make Ogboru have a smooth ride

kingkakaone:
If only nairaland can be like this.
Constructive arguments will help everyone learn and create no enemies at the end.

Hopefully the members here get it right.

This thread should be the politics section thread of the year 2019 even as the year is just beginning. No insults! Nada!! Nada!!!

Buhari will certainly not get 5% votes in Delta but over 35%. The pattern of southern votes in this elections will be absolutely different from 2015. Those saying Southern Votes are already sure for Atiku are not being fair to Atiku.

Akwaibom, Rivers and Edo State will all record above 30% votes for Buhari.

designking:
Buhari will certainly not get 5% votes in Delta but over 35%. The pattern of southern votes in this elections will be absolutely different from 2015. Those saying Southern Votes are already sure for Atiku are not being fair to Atiku.

Akwaibom, Rivers and Edo State will all record above 30% votes for Buhari.

February 16th truth reveal.

Produke:
The truth is Ogboru will not win the guber elections, Okowa has the nine Anioma local governments and three and half Ijaw local governments locked down. Votes in Ogboru 's senatorial district will be shared, Ogboru's hope lies with votes from Ethiope East,Udu,Ughelli North, Ughelli South. Okpe, Sapele and Uvwie will be a battle ground. Ogboru will win Itsekiri and Isoko communities but not convincingly. Sapele,Okpe and Ethiope West are supposed to be Ogboru's strongholds but there are too many PDP bigwigs in those areas to make Ogboru have a smooth ride

I like this your analysis.same situation you are predicting for ogboru can befall okowa as there are many apc chieftains in delta north.

paq1:
February 16th truth reveal.

Deltans on ground are telling you the reality.atiku has no chance.

donphiilopus:
This thread should be the politics section thread of the year 2019 even as the year is just beginning. No insults! Nada!! Nada!!!

Yes o, this is how all threads should be.
Allowing people bring out their opinion and counter with a better argument instead of insult should be our watchword here.
It will go a long way in helping us learn from each other.

Produke:
The truth is Ogboru will not win the guber elections, Okowa has the nine Anioma local governments and three and half Ijaw local governments locked down. Votes in Ogboru 's senatorial district will be shared, Ogboru's hope lies with votes from Ethiope East,Udu,Ughelli North, Ughelli South. Okpe, Sapele and Uvwie will be a battle ground. Ogboru will win Itsekiri and Isoko communities but not convincingly. Sapele,Okpe and Ethiope West are supposed to be Ogboru's strongholds but there are too many PDP bigwigs in those areas to make Ogboru have a smooth ride

Okowa doesn't have all Nine Anioma LGA to himself, Ukwuani is for Ogboru, Ogboru is winning Uvwie, PDP made so many mistakes in Uvwie in 2016/17, they harassed some key members, locked up someone who has so many influence (name withheld), etc, so over the past few months there have been series of decamping which was in favor of APC.

Okpe and Sapele for sure will be for Ogboru but with little margins, Ogboru is also clearing Isoko and Itsekiri, and I'd like to correct your earlier statement, Ogboru is not sharing votes with anyone in Delta Central, he is getting nothing less than 75-80% votes from that axis, which is also the most populated zone in the state.

garfield1:
Deltans on ground are telling you the reality.atiku has no chance.

Deltans on ground hehehehehehe. Pdp/atiku will blow out buhari on february 16th.

How was the performance of the governorship candidates in the radio debate?

In your dreams

sebali:
I reside in Warri South LGA (warri precisely) bt work around Delta Central(Urhobo speaking area of Delta State).
The Urhobo's have the highest voting strength in the state with 8 LGA and they don't want Okowa to continue. A vast majority on the streets are for Ogboru (APC Gubernatorial Candidates). This is posing a big problem for PDP in Delta State as the average urhobo man thinks a vote for Atiku would increase Okowa's chances of clinching the state, so many though would agree with you that Buhari hasn't performed but they think a Vote for Buhari is a Vote for Ogboru. Simply put APC on the street leads in Delta Central which happens to have the highest voting strength in the state.
Now Delta south has 3 tribes; Itsekiri, Isoko and Ijaw. Here is a battle ground as the Itsekiri thinks it's their turn to produce the zones senator(The Isoko's has, James manager is presently there is Ijaw). Now in warri main town within Delta South the Itsekiri's(a minority tribe though) are rooting for Uduaghan for senate and thus rooting for Buhari. Within the riverine are many Itsekiri villages that have produced shocking numbers during past election.
The tussle for who produces the next senator between the Itsekiri's and Ijaw's may divide the PDP's presidential vote in Delta South(Itsekiri's on one side, the Ijaw's on the other side and the Isoko's in the middle).
I hate to say this because a win for Buhari is a step backward but if the reality on the streets in warri and all of delta central region e. g ughelli, sapele, Jeddo etc transcends into votes Buhari would get up to 50% of the votes in Delta State. Not out of love but because of the yearning for a change of government within the state and a touch of tribal politics.

You are almost right, But Okowa will do a second term in office and James manager will return from the senate to succeed him in 2023 to fulfill the status quo of the king makers. Uduaghan and Ogboru are just making noise. Uduaghan was Governor for 8yrs, what did he do for Delta State? No sensible Deltan will vote for him. The only way Uduaghan is going to the senate and Ogboru Win the gubernatorial election in Delta state, is if Tompolo is dead and that cannot happen. Take it or leave it.

April4th:
.. The only way Uduaghan is going to the senate and Ogboru Win the gubernatorial election in Delta state, is if Tompolo is dead and that cannot happen. Take it or leave it.

Did you just mention Tompolo?, Sorry sir, but Tompolo has no political weight in Delta state, we are not talking about militancy, even if it's militancy his influence ends in his backyard, maybe you are unaware that we have different ethnic groups occupying Delta state, with Urhobo being the largest, they occupy Delta Central and Delta south, So how can tompolo decides who wins an election, when his ethnic group is a minority in the state?

Uduaghan and Manager will have a tough fight, the isokos will be the ones to decide who wins the senatorial election, For now 90% of itsekiri's are with Uduaghan and 90% of Ijaws are with Manager.

garfield1:
I like this your analysis.same situation you are predicting for ogboru can befall okowa as there are many apc chieftains in delta north.

Ogboru is at loggerheads with the APC chieftains from Delta North. Victor Ochei and Pat Utomi will work against the emergence of Ogboru as governor

Efewestern:
Did you just mention Tompolo?, Sorry sir, but Tompolo has no political weight in Delta state, we are not talking about militancy, even if it's militancy his influence ends in his backyard, maybe you are unaware that we have different ethnic groups occupying Delta state, with Urhobo being the largest, they occupy Delta Central and Delta south, So how can tompolo decides who wins an election, when his ethnic group is a minority in the state?

Uduaghan and Manager will have a tough fight, the isokos will be the ones to decide who wins the senatorial election, For now 90% of itsekiri's are with Uduaghan and 90% of Ijaws are with Manager.

Oniovo it’s this same way people talked, before the emergence of Okowa and Tompolo single handedly enthroned him as governor. It’s this same Tompolo that made James Manager to return to the senate, for you to relegate him to the backwaters of Delta politics. Don’t worry too mI ch, we’ll have this discussion again after the elections.

Produke:
Ogboru is at loggerheads with the APC chieftains from Delta North. Victor Ochei and Pat Utomi will work against the emergence of Ogboru as governor

I just want buhari to get at least 30%

April4th:
You are almost right, But Okowa will do a second term in office and James manager will return from the senate to succeed him in 2023 to fulfill the status quo of the king makers. Uduaghan and Ogboru are just making noise. Uduaghan was Governor for 8yrs, what did he do for Delta State? No sensible Deltan will vote for him. The only way Uduaghan is going to the senate and Ogboru Win the gubernatorial election in Delta state, is if Tompolo is dead and that cannot happen. Take it or leave it.

U missed my point.... No one is voting Uduaghan becos he did a good job as a governor... No.
It's tribal politics. The Itsekiri's are insisting its their turn to produce Delta South Senator. So Itsekiri's would vote for Uduaghan, Urhobo's in delta South would vote for Uduaghan while the Ijaw's would vote for Manager...... The winner depends on who the Isoko votes for.
Also tompolo is no longer as influential as he use to be. GEJ is no longer in ABUJA

garfield1:
I just want buhari to get at least 30%

I don't want him to bt reality on ground suggest he would

I doff my hat to the analysts on this thread. See as thread sweet!

I read from page 1-3 unlike the norm of reading a few comments and exiting.

I think ogboru will win in ndokwa west and ukwani LGA cause of his proximity to those areas

If this thread has taught us any lesson, it is the fact that we can disagree and still be partners in making Nigeria great.

Mod, take this thread to front page to teach people some lessons about how a forum should be.

sebali:
Am not rooting for Buhari... Infact I would love 4 him to gt zero vote in Delta State bt reality on the streets is saying the Urhobos and Itsekiris would vote for buhari because dey want Okowa out and Uduaghan as senator respectively.
Dey think a vote for APC at federal level means a win for APC at state level

That is a flawed reasoning and I don't think it cut across a wide spectrum of Urhobo... They wouldn't not to put Buhari there just to have Uduaghan. Uduaghan is corrupt. I known how he got in there. My school was used as one of the centers for both buying.

americanson:
That is a flawed reasoning and I don't think it cut across a wide spectrum of Urhobo... They wouldn't not to put Buhari there just to have Uduaghan. Uduaghan is corrupt. I known how he got in there. My school was used as one of the centers for both buying.

That is the point. Uduaghan as you claimed which I totally agree with is a criminal and also a strong election rigging master. Both sides will greatly outsmart each other on rigging this election in Delta State.

The margin either party will use to win this election will be very slim. It will be about money and thuggery. Thugs usually go with the direction the spending is coming from.

Uduaghan is stupendously rich having serve 8yrs as a governor in the state when oil prices were extremely high. He has a lot of money to spend on boys.

Okowa may pull through but not without a tight contest. This is definitely going to be the hardest election for the PDP in Delta State.

disturbedman:
If this thread has taught us any lesson, it is the fact that we can disagree and still be partners in making Nigeria great.

Mod, take this thread to front page to teach people some lessons about how a forum should be.

The thread is quite interesting, and I'm surprise it didn't make FP, lalasticlala and mynd44, u guys might want to take a look.

Efewestern:
The thread is quite interesting, and I'm surprise it didn't make FP, lalasticlala and mynd44, u guys might want to take a look.

FP will bring the derailers. Better it be like this to maintain the civility