₦airaland Forum

harizonal123:
This is a typical example of what trading for a living is suppose to look like. This guy started trading with $100,000 at the beginning of 2018 . At the end of the year he has made a profit of just barely 62% for the whole year which translate to about $5K per month. But here we are undercapitalized traders trying to duplicate our balance within every 2/3 months.

Hmnn..Going by the above does it mean Tunderr's 17% in 5days is very aggressive??

Cos she always draws my newbie Longathroat with her posts

redsox11:
" pipEASY "
Don't do it, only very few had success with it, extremely difficult, there's a lot for simpler systems out there.

Can you give a guide to some of the simpler ones please?

SlimBrawnie:
As in give my January salary to a pastor, January wey be 3months? Mba
"I will bless whom I will bless".... Give because you are blessed, not because you want to be blessed.

Learn To Trade The Market
Nial Fuller
NIAL FULLER
Professional Trader, Author & Trading Coach

How To Develop A Profitable Forex Trading Mindset
author thumb By Nial Fuller in Forex Trading Articles by Nial Fuller Last updated on October 4th, 2017 | 97 Comments
trading mindsetIn today’s lesson I am going to help you develop a profitable trading mindset.

It’s an unavoidable reality that your forex trading success or failure will largely depend on your mindset. In other words, if your Forex trading psychology is not right, you aren’t going to make any money! Unfortunately, most traders ignore this important fact or are unaware of how critical having the proper mindset is to Forex trading success. If you do not have the correct trading mindset, it doesn’t matter how good your trading strategy is, because no strategy will ever make money if it’s used by a trader with the wrong psychology.

Note: I would love to hear how you plan on using the points discussed here to improve your Forex trading mindset. Please leave me your comments and feedback below after reading today’s lesson!

A lot of people seem to be unaware of the fact that they are trading with a mindset that is inhibiting them from making money in the markets. Instead, they think that if they just find the right indicator or system they will magically start printing money from their computer. Trading success is the end result of developing the proper trading habits, and habits are the end result of having the proper trading psychology. Today’s lesson is going to give you the insight you need to develop a profitable trading mindset, so read this lesson carefully and don’t dismiss any of it, because I promise you that the reason you are struggling in the markets now is because your mindset is working against you instead of for you.

Step 1: Have realistic expectations
The first thing you need to do to develop the proper Forex trading mindset is have realistic expectations about trading. What I mean is this; don’t think you’re going to quit your job and start making a million dollars a year after 2 months of trading live with your $5,000 account. That’s not how it works, and the sooner you ground your expectations in reality, the sooner you will begin to make money consistently. You need to accept that you cannot over-trade and over-leverage your way to trading success, if you do those two things you might make some quick money temporarily, but you will soon lose it all and more. Accept the reality of how much money you have in your trading account and how much of that you are willing to lose per trade. Here are some other points to consider:

• Only trade with disposable ‘risk’ capital – Disposable capital is money you don’t need for any life expenses, including retirement or other long-term things. If you don’t have any disposable or risk capital, then keep demo trading until you do, or stop trading all together, but whatever you do, do not trade with money you are going to become emotional about losing. Always assume you could lose whatever money you have in your account or in a trade…if you’re truly OK with that, then your good to go, just make sure you don’t lie to yourself…REALLY BE OK WITH IT. Trading with ‘scared’ money (money you can’t afford to lose) will lead to severe emotional pressure and cause ongoing losses.

• Make sure you can still sleep at night !– This is related to the above point about disposable capital. But the difference is that you need to ask yourself before EVERY trade you take if you are 100% neutral or OK with potentially losing the money you are about to risk. If you can’t sleep at night because you’re thinking about your trade, you’ve risked too much. No one can tell you how much to risk per trade, it depends on what you’re personally comfortable with. If you trade 4 times a month you can obviously risk a little more per trade than someone who trades 30 times a month…it’s relative to your trade frequency, your skills as a trader, and your personal risk tolerance.

• Understand each trade is independent of the previous one – This point is important because I know that many traders are way too influenced by their previous trade. The fact of the matter is that your last trade has absolutely ZERO to do with your next trade. You need to avoid becoming euphoric or over-confident after a winning trade or revengeful after a losing trade. The fact of the matter is that every time you trade it should just be seen as another execution of your trading edge; if you just had 3 consecutive winners you need to avoid risking more than usual on your next trade just because you are feeling very confident, and you need to avoid jumping back into the market right away after a losing trade just to try and “make back” what you lost. When you do these things you are operating 100% on emotion rather than logic and objectivity.

• Don’t get attached to your trades – If you follow the 3 points we just discussed you should have little chance of becoming too attached to your trades. Don’t take any trade personally, just because you lose on a few trades in a row doesn’t mean you suck at trading, likewise if you win on 3 trades in a row it doesn’t mean you are a trading “God” who is immune to losing. If you don’t risk too much per trade and you aren’t trading with money you need for other things in your life, you probably won’t get too attached to your trades.

Step 2: Understand the power of patience
I think one of the biggest realizations that allowed me to turn the corner in my own trading was that I didn’t have to trade a lot to make a decent monthly return. Think about it, most people consider a 6% annual return very good for a savings account, and if you average 12% a year on your retirement fund you are pretty happy. So why is it that most traders expect to make 100% a month or some other unrealistic return? What’s wrong with making 5 or 10% a month? That’s still exceptional over the course of one year. Whilst I can’t imply you will make a certain percentage per month, if you just understand that slower and more consistent gains are the way to long-term success in the markets, you will be far better off at the end of each trading year. Here are some other points to consider about patience:

• Learn to trade on the daily charts first – By learning to trade on the daily chart time frames first, you will naturally take a bigger-picture approach to the markets and you’ll avoid most of the temptation to over-trade that the lower time frames induce. Beginning traders especially need to slow down and learn to trade off the daily charts first. Daily charts provide the most relevant and practical view of the market. YOU DO NOT HAVE TO TRADE EVERYDAY to make a solid return each month.

• Quality over quantity – I consider myself a “sniper” of the market; I wait and I wait and I wait, sometimes for days or even 1 week without trading, then when I see a price action setup that triggers my “this one is a no-brainer” alarm…I pull the trigger with ZERO emotion. I am always fully prepared to lose the money I have risked on any one trade because I do not trade unless I am 100% confident that my price action trading edge is present.

• User your ‘bullets’ wisely – To really hammer-home the power of patience in developing the proper trading mindset, you need to understand that being patient will work to instill positive trading habits within you. Patience reinforces positive trading habits, whereas emotional trading reinforces negative ones. Once you begin to trade patiently you will see how using your “bullets” wisely works…you only need a few good trades a month to make a respectable return in the markets, after you achieve this via patience, you will learn to enjoy NOT being in the markets…because it’s then that you are “hunting your prey”. This in contrast to the frazzled and frustrated trader who is staying up all night staring at the charts like a trading zombie who just will not accept that they need to trade less often.

Step 3: Be organized in your approach to the markets
mindsetYou NEED to have a business trading plan, a trading journal, and you need to plan out most of your actions in the market before you enter. The more you plan before you enter the higher-probability you will have of making money long-term. You are ALWAYS going to interpret the market more accurately whilst you’re not in a trade…so pre-planning everything increases your odds of making money since you will be working more on logic than emotion.

• Have a trading plan – I know it can be boring, I know you might think you don’t “need” to make one, but if you don’t make a trading plan and actually use it and tweak it as you learn, you will start trading on an unorganized and probably emotional path. A trading plan doesn’t have to be a very dry and boring document; you can get creative with it. You’re trading plan could be that you write your own weekly commentary before each week begins, plan out what you will do and look for in the upcoming week…just make sure you have a “plan of attack” before you enter any trade.

• Keep a professional trading journal – You need a track record, you need to record your trades, you need to do this in a forex trading journal. This is a critical component to forging the proper Forex trading mindset because it gives you a tangible document that you can look at and instantly get raw feedback on your trading performance. Once you start keeping a journal of your trades it will become a habit, and you will not want to see emotional results staring back at you in your trade journal. Eventually, you will look at your trading journal as something of a work of art that proves your ability to trade with discipline as well as your ability to follow your trading plan. This is something any serious investor will want to see if you plan on trading other people’s money.

• Think BEFORE you ‘shoot’, not after – All of the planning and preemption that I just discussed is analogous to thinking before you shoot. A gun is a very powerful weapon, we all know that we need to think before we shoot one, even if we are just hunting or shooting at a gun range. Likewise, the markets can be very powerful “weapons” in regards to making or losing you money. So, you want to do as much thinking before you enter a trade as you can, because after you enter you are going to naturally be more emotional and you don’t want to put yourself in a position of constantly entering regrettable trades. If you plan your actions before you enter, you should not regret your trades, even when you have losing trades. I never regret any trade I take because I don’t trade unless my edge is present and I’m always comfortable with the amount of money I have risked on any one trade.

Step 4: Have no doubt about what your trading edge is
Finally, don’t start trading with real money if you aren’t really sure how to trade your edge. You are obviously not going to develop the proper trading mindset if you jump into trading a live account without being 100% confident in what you’re looking for. Whatever your edge is, make sure you’ve found success trading it on a demo account for at least 3 months or more before you go live. Don’t just “dive in head first” without being totally comfortable in your approach…this is what most traders do and most of them lose money too.

• Have 100% confidence in your edge – I have 100% confidence in my price action trading strategies…that’s not to say that I am foolish enough to believe EVERY trade will win, but I am totally confident that every time I trade my edge is truly present. I don’t compromise my trading edge by taking setups that look they are “almost” good enough…I simply don’t trade in that case. I only take price action setups that I feel in my gut are high-probability valid representations of my edge. Therefore, I am never fearful or worried about any trade I enter, even if it ends up losing.

• Don’t gamble – There are skilled traders, and then there are people who gamble in the markets. If you take a calm and calculated approach to your trading and wait patiently for your trading edge to appear, like a sniper, then you are a skilled trader. If you just “run and gun” and veer off course from your trading plan, you are a gambler. So, are you a Forex trader or a gambler?

• Price action trading helps develop the proper trading mindset – My trading edge is price action, and I fully believe that the simplicity of price action trading helped me develop and maintain the proper Forex trading mindset. We don’t need tons of messy indicators on our charts and we don’t need Forex trading robots or other expensive software. All we need is the raw price action of the market and our magnificent human minds to interpret it; it’s up to us to harness this power.

The price action of the market gives us a map to follow, and a pretty obvious one at that, if we can ignore the emotional temptations that arise in our minds we will have no problem profiting off of this price action map. I trust today’s lesson has provided you with some insight into how you can develop the proper mindset and ignore the emotions and break the habits that destroy your trading success. If you want to learn more please check out my price action Forex trading course.

author imageNial Fuller is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 20,000+ students since 2008. In 2016, Nial won the Million Dollar Trader Competition. Checkout Nial's

redsox11:
The goal... I want you to achieve x3 20 pip take profits before quitting for the day.
What does this exercise accomplish? you'll become effective trading machine.

Currently this is you,

Market -> Indicators -> Your thoughts -> Your action

After this training,

Market -> Your action

After 6months of this exercise, your subconscious decisions will enter the market for you to the second of market movements.

You will have amazing clarity in market sentiments, and can hear/out think what the other traders are anticipating. Most of the time you do not require a hard stop loss cause you can judge very soon after entry whether its going to work out or not.

With this amount of skill any sensible method becomes deadly and you will listen to your inner voice than what you see on s/r lines, trendlines. Price action becomes slow motion in your interpretation.

-Graeme

Sir please the Graeme you quoted what's the full name?

ahiboilandgas:
very nice my problem with Nigeria economy and it strange behaviours import bill drop by 80 percent meaning more forex but why is the naira not appreciating to 250 ? Rice import has quadouble in Benin republic ?in that period

A huge disalignment sir...what is on paper largely differs from the realities on ground.

Reading the posts here have been very enlightening, brushing mumu sentiments off my investment strategies. It'll be a great shame afterall if I allow my hard-earned fund be shortchanged again.

unite4real:
Below is one reason why speculators might get their hands burnt. I don't see dollar skyrocketing the way we experienced it lately. CBN has learned a lot from that and are better prepared.

https://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2018/12/01/emefiele-nigerias-monthly-import-bill-drops-from-665-4m-to-160-4m-promises-to-sustain-stability-in-the-forex-market/

Hopefully, it all works out as he planned.
National politics effects on the economy is way too much for those one off plans

ahiboilandgas:
investor A 39000 dollars B 31000 C 37000 dollars ...the naira treasury bill investor gains more

Thank you sir. I arrived at the same conclusion.

I think the best bet is closely watching the indices you earlier posted while being invested in TBill so one doesn't get caught off guard by a straighton devaluation of the Naira.

And for a period as this when one could be in doubt of wether they'll eventually devalue or not despite all assurances to the contrary, it's better to play safe and convert to Forex holdings till a period well after the elections.

The opportunity cost of holding the foreign currency is the amount one wudav gained by investing in TBill for that same period but it's actually not much compared to the forex gains one would accrue assuming one's fears are confirmed.

ahiboilandgas:
the problem is the 510 rate it theoretical cos naira can go to 700 in 5 years time or decline to 300...from 2014 to 2018 a 120 devalution happened so 2019-2024? If it happen naira might jump to 720 to a dollar ...dollar is more stable more than naira hence u can predict

I understand...not just 510/$ but also the TBill rate averaging 14% is also hypothetical. It could be more or less.
I believe the scenarios are just to have a general understanding of how things could play out.

Please what figures did you arrive at for the 3instances?

vacanci:
If I remembered vividly, after the roadshow, our last Eurobond was over subscribed.

Can you help us breakdown and analys these 3 scenarios.

1. Mr A has 10M. He investment in a Treasury bills or bond at prevailing rate. Let's say between 14 and 15 percent for the next 5 years. After 5 years, convert his total amount principal and interest compounded to Dollar at say N510 per dollar like some me one suggested on this thread.

2. Mr B has 10M. He bought dollars with all of them at prevailing exchange rate today let's say between 365 and 370 naira to a dollar. He invested the dollar at a given rate of 2% in fixed deposit so he can cash out anytime there is panic. Remember we have seen dollars dropped from 520 to 360.

3. Mr C has 10M. He bought dollars with all of them as above and investment in eurobond for 5years at prevailing interest rate say between 6 and 7 percent.

Recall that a 5 year eurobond can't give u 7%. Prevailing rate for 5year maturity is around 6%. So you don't need to use the wider margin to calculate since it's not 20 year bond.

At the end of 5 years let all the guys convert their money to common currency, dollar or naira. Let's see the picture of all these argument.

It's not for us to just be loyal to the dollar simply because of the name as if you buy garri with it or pay house rent with it.

Please who has been able to arrive at an answer for the three scenarios above?

I'm not sure the result of the maths I did was correct and would like to compare.

jidobaba:
I'm itching to buy bitcoins and hold rather than reinvest in this month's TBills.
Who is with me?

Why would you prefer buying and holding unregulated BTC over Fiat foreign currency?

ahiboilandgas:
my personally red line is crude slamming to 40 dollars per barrel (cost of production in nigeria is 20) ,reserve sliping to under 30 bn dollar (cos that like 5 months import bills) the faac account earning less than 350 bn per month ....this are my personally warning sign .....

Ok thank you but pls which sites measure or quote these indices so me too can monitor as well?

zamirikpo:
IF U KNOW, U KNOW....

Please do try and be decoding these things for some of us...

I personally don't know and will very much like to know please.

ahiboilandgas:
As a tb holder....u just don't put money and sleep...b4 u wake up u money will loose it purchasing ability....u have to check crude prices daily 2 check us interest rate by Fed 3 check out flow and inflow of forex by fdi,4 check money market rate tragectory (if it keep going higher it a danger sign )....this for holder of 3,600,000 naira(10000 )dollars and above ....to avoid a loss ...know when to enter and exit (period of stability is the key)

Sir please when do YOU propose to exit (and convert your Naira to Foreign currency I suppose) so people like me that do not really understand how all the factors you listed above affect the value of Naira, can cue in too and not be caught up in the devaluation of the Naira if it happens?