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Health / Re: The Coronavirus Seems To Like Cold Weather by saibuhari(m): 11:34pm On Apr 04, 2020
What do you have to say about Norway, Sweden, Iceland, Denmark, known to be very cold regions yet with negligible amount of covid19 cases?
Seun:
Effect Of Temperature On COVID-19: An Unscientific Investigation.

In the early days of the Coronavirus scourge, many Nigerians believed that we wouldn't be affected because of our hot weather. Now that we're testing people, we have seen a sharp increase in the number of confirmed cases, to about 210, which is still quite low for a country with 190 million residents. However many people suspect that the virus has penetrated our society far more deeply than the NCDC statistics suggest. We've noticed that people who travelled to colder countries recently or spend most of their time in air-conditioned spaces, or their direct contacts, are massively over-represented among the confirmed cases. Is this because they are the only ones being tested, or is heat a factor?

Here is the list of the 10 countries that have the highest number of active COVID-19 cases, and their forecasted temperatures for the day:
* USA has 257,790 active cases. The temperature forecast for New York is 8°C - 15°C.
* Italy has 85,388 active cases. The temperature forecast for Rome is 7°C - 25°C.
* Spain has 77,488 active cases. The temperature forecast for Madrid is 6°C - 19°C
* Germany has 65,309 active cases. The temperature forecast for Berlin is 1°C - 12°C
* France has 61,650 active cases. The temperature forecast for Paris is 6°C - 17°C
* UK has 34,428 active cases. The temperature forecast for London is 4°C - 16°C
* Iran has 31,954 active cases. The temperature forecast for Tehran is 8°C - 19°C
* Turkey has 20,012 active cases. The temperature forecast for Istanbul is 8°C - 11°C
* Switzerland has 14,169 active cases. The temperature forecast for Geneva is 3°C - 17°C
* Netherlands has 13,986 active cases. The temperature forecast for Amsterdam is 4°C - 14°C

On average, the top ten countries with Coronavirus have a temperature forecast of 5.5 - 16.5°C. The temperature forecast for Lagos is 26°C - 34°C, and for Abuja, it's 24°C - 36°C. This is a massive, massive difference! The maximum temperature of nine of the countries above is lower than the minimum temperature of Lagos. The maximum temperature of 7 of those countries is lower than the minimum thermostat setting of most Nigerian air-conditioners (18°C).

The countries mentioned above are in Africa, Asia or Europe. What about Africa? Here's our top 5:
* South Africa has 1,401 active cases. The temperature forecast for Johannesburg is 9°C - 15°C.
* Algeria has 1,004 active cases. The temperature forecast for Algiers is 9°C - 17°C.
* Egypt has 703 active cases. The temperature forecast for Cairo is 24°C - 34°C.1
* Tunisia has 472 active cases. The temperature forecast for Tunis is 8°C - 17°C.
* Burkina Faso has 236 active cases. The temperature forecast for Ouagadougou is 28°C - 43°C. 1
1 The Egypt data is misleading because the their average temperature last month was 11.6°C to 26°C, but Burkina Faso is a legitimate outlier; the country is much hotter than Nigeria.

The above data, in spite of the outlier, is enough to convince me that the Coronavirus likes cold weather and probably spreads faster in cold places, such as air-conditioned cars, offices, and homes. This, apart from the lack of testing, may explain why we are yet to see as many cases of transmission outside the circles of travellers and the rich and powerful in Nigeria as expected. It is consistent with what we know about other respiratory illnesses, and why countries like the US expect the disease to slow down in their summer season (starting from June).

When I see videos of Lagos officials spraying open areas e.g. roads & sidewalks in Lagos, I have to laugh, because I strongly suspect that, if they actually bothered to test for the presence of the virus on those surfaces, they'd find nothing at all because the sun already sterilized them.

Knowing that the virus hates our hot temperature gives me hope. If a cold country like South Korea (0°C -13°C forecast for today) could beat the virus without destroying their economy by imposing a total lockdown, a constantly hot country like Nigeria could do much better if we used the same tactics. We need to start testing people who have had close contact with confirmed cases before they show symptoms. We also need to enforce universal wearing of face-masks and social distancing everywhere, which in itself may even be sufficient to end the virus.

May your days be bright and hot. May your air-conditioners be off and your windows wide open (to get rid of aerosolized droplets). Cheers.

PS: I always make a lot of mistakes when I post long articles, so if you spot any errors, omissions, or false statements, please correct me.

3 Likes

Health / Re: Italian Coronavirus Index Patient In Lagos Attempts To Escape From Quarantine by saibuhari(m): 8:59am On Feb 29, 2020
Minister of health, Govs of Lagos and Ogun. I watched your press briefing last night on channels news on this covid 19. What you all said about preparedness to contain vivid 19 is opposite of what is now being reported. Can u all please explain this reported embarrassment of our country.

1 Like

Romance / Re: How To Get Hard And Sustainable Erection Anytime You Want It by saibuhari(m): 3:02pm On Jan 26, 2020
Jpnwoke@gmail.com
Romance / Re: Permanent Solution To Premature Ejaculation, Weak Erection & Small P£nis by saibuhari(m): 10:21am On Jan 24, 2020
So this scam has not stopped advertising his fake poison? Each time he is exposed he creates a new thread.

1 Like

Romance / Re: Will U Wash The Plates And Share The House Chores Equally With Your Wife ? by saibuhari(m): 11:59pm On Jan 10, 2020
Marry a feminist at your own peril. Remain unmarried if the only woman left on earth is a feminist. Same woman that wants to share chores 50-50, will she share financial responsibility 50-50? You take care of your needs and I take care of mine. We both contribute 50% to any project like buying a car, paying house rent, building a house, carrying out repairs, taking care of family members? If we go shopping for family (children) she pays 50% of the cost, school fees, 50% everything 50%. If the answer is yes, then any man that has time for feminist can give it a shot. If not 50-50, its a no, no.
Celebrities / Re: Ronke Tiamiyu Apologizes For Posting Explicit Video Of Herself by saibuhari(m): 12:36am On Jan 02, 2020
https://www..com/talk/topic,417715.0.html

Ronke Tiamiyu video. Shameless lady.

1 Like

Romance / Re: It’s A Damn Shame That Same Sex Marriage Is Still Illegal In Nigeria by saibuhari(m): 2:55pm On Dec 27, 2019
A misguided youth spotted.

2 Likes

Crime / Re: Nigeria Lady Beating Her Underage Househelp Goes Viral by saibuhari(m): 4:51pm On Dec 22, 2019
pocohantas:


Chukabiz, you see why I call you a mumu man? Show me one post where I disputed a man is the head of home. Get this into your empty coconut head, i believe in first among equals. However, none is inferior to the other. Olodo grin

You believe in first among equals? Did God say a woman is equal to her husband? Where do feminist get all these useless ideas from? No wonder there is no peace in marriages anymore because of struggle for equality and supremacy. Women women women. How many times did I call u people? Stop wasting your time trying to recreate the world.
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: Lady Loses Employment Opportunity Over Semi-nude DP On Social Media by saibuhari(m): 9:49am On Nov 30, 2019
I hope hate speech Bill will deal with Seun Osewa. Posterity will not forgive him for promoting so much tribal hate thru nairaland.
Sports / Re: Nigeria Vs Hungary: FIFA U17 World Cup (4 - 2) Full Time by saibuhari(m): 9:33pm On Oct 26, 2019
Is any station showing the match?

1 Like 1 Share

Sports / Re: Chukwueze Renews Villarreal Contract With €100m Release Clause by saibuhari(m): 8:42pm On Oct 24, 2019
This Ebere Eze na fire.
Technology Market / Re: Black Inec Laptop Power Bank For Sale In Kano by saibuhari(m): 11:48pm On Oct 03, 2019
Are they stolen batteries from inec?
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: United States Consulate General Job Recruitment (5 Positions) by saibuhari(m): 12:27am On Jun 23, 2019
Some people don begin check conversion rate even before applying.
Celebrities / Re: Emeka Ike Celebrates His Daughter Andrea's 8th Birthday (Photos) by saibuhari(m): 9:29am On Jun 16, 2019
Emeka, the world may have misunderstood u, but God knows your heart. Only a few men can stand in the gap and do what u are doing for this kids. Don't worry they will grow to be meet your dreams for them. Your sacrifice shall surely be rewarded. Shalom!

7 Likes

European Football (EPL, UEFA, La Liga) / Re: Ucl Final: Tottenham Vs Liverpool What's Your Prediction? by saibuhari(m): 12:08pm On Jun 01, 2019
Liverpool 2 vs Spurs 1.
Sports / Re: Photos Of Salah, Mane And Aubameyang With Their Golden Boots Awards by saibuhari(m): 8:51am On May 13, 2019
That list no complete without ighalo and kelechi.
Romance / Re: MEN SEE What Trámadol Don't Want You To Know On Curing PE, Sex, Last Long in Bed by saibuhari(m): 9:29pm On May 04, 2019
Pls send to chimanwoke@yahoo.co.uk
Romance / Re: Guys, Name That Thing Women Wear Which You Don’t Like by saibuhari(m): 5:16pm On Apr 07, 2019
Any girl wearing eye lashes irritates me. I see them as prostitute. No responsible woman should wear that nonsense. I also hate fixed nails, bleaching. I like women in their natural state.

2 Likes

Politics / Re: Dino Melaye: Universities, Learn From INEC On Inconclusive Results by saibuhari(m): 8:08am On Mar 25, 2019
Am ashamed of the so called professors that conducted the 2019 elections starting from Yakubu. Their performance reinforces my long held believe that profs and other egg heads are not good in administration. Nigeria should discard the idea of using university dons for election for they are easily compromised. Nigeria should shop for men of integrity like Mike Igini.

3 Likes

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