₦airaland Forum

Pennystockwarri:
https://lifeasananalyst.substack.com/p/aradel-should-be-trading-between

Thoughts on Aradel Q1 2026 earnings and where i think the stock should be trading at.

Sorry sir, I may be new here. But respectfully, this is too too optimistic. You have omitted plenty things to arrive at this valuation. It’s not correct but then I won’t critique it. Aradel doesn’t have the numbers to support 2000-3000 currently. A lot of things needs change in their subsequent FS released to see that price.

awesomeJ:
Like you rightly said, he's giving an advice even though he's poised to lose should people follow that advice and you're calling him out for putting the interestoif others over his own selfish interest Haba na.


What he has exhibited should be commended not at all condemned.

Even though he holds the stock, he doesn't mind saying that at 40x PE, it's overvalued, yet you prefer if he deceives people that the stock is a gold that should be pursued come on na. Obviously if you were chnaced you would rather prefer to lure people into buying.

It's your own stance that people should watch carefully.

Thank you boss

yMcy56:
So, what's the region you're comfortable with that's not "freaking expensive"?

The much noised ACCESS that was undervalued, how's the market treating her?

When you retailers are done with your panic sales, at least you'll all allow the stock to face front......
No be today we dey this market.....

Nsempas will do their orisirisi analysis while Mr. Market will follow its own mind...

I am also waiting for the price to drop after I have joined in making the noise. lol, stock markets isn’t about sentiments. It doesn’t have to suit you oga, I only gave an advice in good faith. No need to insult me

opadiya:
This does not address my concern.

Someone who is so altruistic to advise unknown people in faceless forum not to buy and wants to sell should not be taken seriously.

As the person you quoted said, people buy for different reasons. I have a genuine advice that I would give a friend. It’s that simple, you don’t have to take it. I have my investment thesis and while I can hold for long term, I prefer to take profit so far and leave my investment amount.

Just to add, even if I do not take profit, there is no how Aradel will not fall. lol, you think retailer move the market that much? Before the main people use me to take profit, I have taken it and left my cost.

Aradel is a long term hold for me but I also need to lower my entry price while putting my profit to good use. It will approach my buy zone and I will load up. By the way, not everyone uses Nairaland? People that will buy have bought it already. Not everyone is learned and that is why we have this platform here to educate ourselves

opadiya:
You claimed you hold Aradel and you are selling now, yet you advise people not to buy. Who do you want to sell to? Many people may not take you seriously.

I am advising them not to buy because I am a good guy. This is NOT a good time to buy Aradel.

I have already taken my profit off it and redirected to MTN and Zenith. Go and check the order, Aradel is on Full offer and no bid as at the time I am typing this. The game is the game. I love Aradel a lot but with the dividend coming up (which means it will have a markdown again). I need to be smart by taking my profit and then wait for it to approach my buy zone for me to load up again.

This is my investment thesis and I’m just doing good by saying don’t buy Aradel now. You can hold which is good, I would have done that but upon analyzing my strategy and the wait time for Q2, I prefer to deploy my profit to another stock. I still have money in Aradel, I am only taking the profit it has given me before market takes it back

yMcy56:
With this Q1 self, ARADEL should not be trading below 2k.
Cash flow from operating activities alone was going to a Trillion Naira in just a quarter!
Over 250% PAT
Money na water....😊

Omo this man doesn’t know what he is talking about 😂

Mpeace:
Q2 should give much more than q1. Remember in q1 there was a 38-day unplanned outage on the Trans Forcados Pipeline (TFP). Those losses will surely not affect q2

Do you also realize Aradel has an over lift of 120bn in the other income figure? It means they extracted more crude than they should have. The implication is that, they have to allow other partners overlift to compensate for the 120bn they collected. So that figure (120bn) will be taken out from future earnings.

I think the most important thing is how the consolidation will impact production in terms of revenue. Fingers crossed, but if you have Aradel now, hold. This is not a good time to buy, it is expensive until further quarters result prove otherwise.

Oasisblue:
I expect Q2 result to be even more fantastic because the gulf war crude oil windfall only affected March earnings in Q1, but persist almost throughout Q2. Aradel could be doing better, but I am glad with the Q1 result. These are the numbers I liked most:Operating cash flow: ₦868.3bn. PAT: ₦120.3bn

That is an extraordinary cash conversion quarter. The company generated almost ₦0.9 trillion of operating cash in just three months!

lol, I find it very funny when people base their analysis on the PAT and surface figures. If you do your analysis well, you will know Aradel is an expensive stock based on Q1 results and will advise if you have it, hold for now. It’s freaking expensive than Seplat… 40X PE, the heck? Seplat is just 7x PE, and this is normalized PE oooo.

Omo don’t buy Aradel now please, I hold Aradel but I am taking profit for now to redirect into better priced stocks at the moment. I’ll leave my cost amount in Aradel until it get to the region where I am comfortable buying.

Kaczynski:
Go for the masters then get married and have some kids.


I'll be here laughing at you while you experience shege pro max.

SMH

HenryStarlife:
Your main problem is lack of satisfaction, until you became satisfied, you will never grow.

Difference between satisfaction and settling for less

Python25to30:
26 already earning 800k

Meanwhile im here my charger just got spoilt with my charging port. No money na last b3 i dey use type.jesus

It’s beyond that. I feel sick here

Man, life is crazy. Turning 26 in two months and I still not where I saw myself being by this age especially career wise. Sad is an understatement, I’m not a fan of self pity but I find myself falling into it sometimes.

A Job that pays 800k ish per month but I don’t find fulfillment in it. Tried going for masters in the USA, trump banned Nigerians and didn’t even get a solid offer from the schools I applied. Tried getting a job in the uk that sponsors my Visa but nothing yet. Rejection upon rejection.

They say a moving man will meet his luck but this man is tired of moving


Thought to air my thoughts. Life is crazy you know, really crazy. I hope my luck comes soon…. I need peace

TIMIAUTOS:
Clean Nigerian Used
TOYOTA CAMRY SPORT
2008 Model
Excellent 4Plugs Engine
Untouched Gear
Clean interior
Chilling AC
Complete documents/ custom


Price: 5.4M

Location: Ajah Lagos

DM/CALL: 08125149509

4.5m - four point five million naira

Fkehinde:
Owner urgently need money
Registered Toyota Camry SE
2011 model
Toks Standard
Venza engine 4plug
Engine 💯
Gear 💯
Ac chilling effectively
Buy and drive condition nothing to fix
Price 5.2m to owner now
Settlement 200k last
Location mushin lagos
Hurry Hurry Up Now

08162000413

4.5m = four point five million naira

AffordablesAuto:
Registered Toyota Camry
2008 Model
Engine Gear Ac 💯
Clean Body and Interior



Location: SANGO OTA

Price 4.8M

Dm/Call: 07078113193

Four Million Naira - N4M

Deal?

Ericomoto:
Neatly used and well maintained

Features:

Engine is 100%
Transmission is 100%
AC is chilling
XLE top of the range
Alloy wheels
Sunroof
Reverse camera
Thumb Start (keyless entry)
V6 2GR FE engine ( Best Toyota Engine, same engine with Venza and Highlander.)
Blasting Sound system
Red on cream leather

Price: N5.2m (Slightly negotiable)

Location . Mowe

Contact/WhatsApp 08092224803

4.5

18wheeler:
With the car you mentioned, what you can get for the amount stated is Nigerian used. Someone I know got a 2010 Toyota Camry for 4.3m Nigeria Used. Car physically good and all components working fine.

He got it from a dealer abi from a direct user?

decatalyst:
I can sell my BMW 525i to you for 4m.

It is not for Uber ooo

Pic? Who says I want to use for Uber?

18wheeler:
With the car you mentioned, what you can get for the amount stated is Nigerian used. Someone I know got a 2010 Toyota Camry for 4.3m Nigeria Used. Car physically good and all components working fine.

Thank you

As the above subject refers… please assist with Cars I can’t get for that amount.

Left to me, I like Hyundai, Honda 2009 model or so… but just thinking are there decent cars I can get for that amount for a first car.

Turning 26 in July and want to get myself a Car for myself

Four million naira for it.

tangara1:
2013 Hyundai Veloster – Automatic Urgent sale!
Selling a 2013 Hyundai Veloster with automatic transmission.
Car is in good condition and runs smoothly.
Sporty design with a clean interior and exterior.
Fuel-efficient and comfortable for daily driving.
Details:
Year: 2013.
Model: Hyundai Veloster
Transmission: Automatic.
Fuel: Petrol.
Price: ₦4.5 millions.
Location: Abuja federal capital
Just call ☎️:08165927463 (WhatsApp)

Car dealership? You accept installment payment?

peleson1:
What is OS

I need you to be very clear in your communication

If you don’t know, forget it then. I am clear enough already

Anything OS and what not. Bro,,,,, cele girls are never beating that allegation. It can’t be a coincidence, not one,two or three…

Be afraid of any girl that says she goes to Cele…..

samwash:
@Op, are you an Ex-student or aspiring to become one someday.

Not a student. I just happen to live there

Brooooo.

I stay in a student area. Specifically Unilag… Omo what I’ve seen especially with female students is crazy. My advice, don’t date students ooo except you want to be having fun don’t expect commitment. These girls jump around and club a lot. Different cars picking them up at night..

It’s a crazy stuff tbh. My eyes have seen things

Even with the guys, weed and all that. It’s a crazy environment I tell you.

samwash:
What is the need of creating this thread, you dey find advice from NLand.

Actually yes but I don wise up before uba finish me

Goo0dHardDick:
Useless post.

Another guy is smashing her and her friends, you're here creating useless irrelevant post.

No vex. I don comot mind chief

So there are a couple of new girls that move into our building. I think they are like 5 in the apartment based on girls hostel.

I did notice a girl that always uses style to look at me and I see her with too many guys tbh and she acts awkward anytime I see her with them. So recently I caught her with one of my close door neighbor ( a guy and they were both shocked to see me, cause I do a hybrid work so they didn’t know I was at home). Actually, I didn’t expect it but I knew what was going on immediately (they have something between them).

I went to put off my Gen and came back and she immediately stopped me and asked if I had put on my Gen and if they can charge ( she just wanted to act like she went to ask the guy same thing).

Today, I found out they came together and go get something really late at night like 11pm and she was pointing touch at my window. Funny stuff… probably making sure I was not seeing

I feel a bit awkward a bit cause I figured I kinda liked her a bit. But then at this point it looks like she and the other neighbor already have something in common.

Ignore the advice above. Odds of getting approved is extremely low. I’ll say 99%,,, I wonder why embassy is still collecting people’s money, denying them and giving people rejection with proclamation as basis..

Put yourself in a better position to be approved, than go in when the odds are already skewed against you, chill small and see what plays out until June end. Strategize but not blindly especially when your chances of approval and monetary resources are at risk.

Take this advice seriously if you are a first timer (referring specifically to F1 visas)

chibertha:
People with valid visas are still coming into the US as we speak, just that there is extra scrutiny in some cases

That is different actually. Proclamation never stopped those who have valid visa. It’s about those not yet approved I was referring to..

Efetobore1980:
What is your problem with my post ? If I give people false hope it is official . You can inturn give people true hope. Do you have anything to gain in my post ? I give out the information directly from the U.S embassy. I also have thousands of people out there. No one can take me as a dummy on a facial forum.


To the general applicants, anyone who cannot enter the United States right now , will also not be able to enter ... Canada, UK, Australia and New Zealand. Besides, majority of the European or Schengen schools and visa process are worst that that of the United States.

Therefore , continue with your admission and visa process. Trump is not fighting Nigerians, he is fighting the terrorists in collaboration with the Nigerian government.

The ongoing temporary visa ban is nothing other than higher version of visa applicant screenings and background checks.

Thank goodness you said it’s an ongoing temporary ban and that they should continue their admission process and also explore other countries. Don’t be advising people to be going to interview when there is a temporary ban. Tell them the correct thing and what will improve their chances which is what I am doing.

“Go to interview una” when people are collecting rejection upandan with letter citing the proclamation. You are still pushing them to go. If you are reading this, just have other options but still pursue your us admission process. As for visa, hold on for now and see what unfolds on or before June to take your decision. You have 99% of getting rejected currently. Shalom