₦airaland Forum

LightOnScams:
Moreover, we only have a single large Bantoid group in Nigeria. So what are Bantu people trying to predict in a largely non-bantu country?

damn, should we explain things to you in Moronic language?

senatordave1:
It won't once tinubu gets 25% spread

Even if Tinubu gets it which is unlikely, Tinubu still won't be declared winner if he doesn't get the highest number of votes hence a rereun.

I am not sure Tinubu can get 25% spread though

senatordave1:
You need all the region son.nw will cancel se,ne cancels ss.tinubu wins with sw

we don't.
This election must enter a rerun, we onyl need Obi to win se, SS and NC to make rerun

Ogbuefi2020:
The winner got 18 percent due to sharing among the three. Obi has won this election

he have to work hard to make sure to lock down block votes in SS and SE and become close second in sw with massive votes in northcentral. That will get Obi into the rerun.

This election must get to a rerun

Obalacam:
My prayer is for him not to step down for anyone.

he can't, it's too late. I don't mind him winning northeast and northwest. It's going to be of great advantage for Obi.

I have the feeling that he discussed with Obi for this

senatordave1:
Obi still fails woefully.he can't get 25% in 6 nw states

we know that, we don't need northwest when kwankwaso is there. Are you dumb?

senatordave1:
No sir.tinubu still thrashes obi in nw.thats the main thing.

It diednt matter, you don't understand the game.
Tinubu needs northwest and northeast more than Obi.

senatordave1:
It is not a plus.nw is actually divided.the gap between apc and pdp is tight.obi has performed woefully

it's what we want, we know Obi cannot do well there.
We need someone who cannot win to divide the vote even further. It will a total disaster for Obi if any of APC or PDP gets block vote in northwest.

Kwankwaso is doing the Lord's work for us

Obalacam:
This is a good news for Obi.
Meaning the game plan is still intact, let 3 of them kill themselves in NorthEast and northwest

kwankwaso is Obi by proxy in northwest

drlateef:
That is not the true reality. The 32% undecided voters are mostly muslims. Majority of them voted APC in past because Atiku’s base remain unchanged. They will eventually settle for Tinubu when they are reached by APC canvassers.

lol, you don't know what's up

AustineE1:
Everything is falling in place,a new Nigeria is possible...lets take back Nigeria. OBI/DATTI

I am glad to see that kwankwaso is doing well in NW and APC is not leading. It's a plus for Obi

Bantupage poll suggests that Obi won't do well in northwest however, kwankwaso will do very we there which is indirectly a victory for Peter Obi.
The also shows that Obi's poor performance in northwest is based of low Christian population and for ethnic reasons.

The chart also shows that the Muslim muslim ticket is backfiring as many Christians won't vote for APC.

seunmsg:
Lol, Bantupage will force my entire Christian community in Ekiti to vote for Peter Obi on Election Day.

you are part of the 4% for Tinubu. Your entire family is not the entire Nigerian Christian

SilverOrLead:
OSU, you have muddled this elections with tribalism, religion and hate.

Don't worry , Atiku will grant you your Biafra and you will be gone for good.

Why are Tinubu supporters tribal bigots?

It's why you lose every poll

UnfairLife7:
I honestly feel for Obi seriously

The show of shame of his campaign and the bad name he gave Psquare the upcoming artists performing in an empty field in PH is so embarrassing

I honestly feel for him on a more serious note

I sincerely wish he will not giveup in contesting again after the election

Joke apart, I honestly feel for him

you should feel sorry for yourself and the situation of Nigeria. But help is coming because Obi is coming

Obi is the next president

SilverOrLead:
Same thing you osus are guilty of with Tinubu Derangement Syndrome.

no be only Osu no want Tinubu.
Ijaw, Ibibio, Tiv, idoma, efik, Itsekiri, Edo, riyom, nupe, igala people sef no want.
Even Fulani and hausas want Atiku and Kwankwaso.

Stop crying

peepydelano:
Well, the election is around the corner, I hope some people or region won’t cry fowl when the least expected emerges the winner .

we don't care about regions, your silly political sentiments and frivolous permutations . We just want Nigeria to work and it's why we will vote for Peter Obi.

Again, Peter Obi will win the election and you will be here to enjoy good governance. In BVAS we trust

peepydelano:
Nigeria politics is very delicate and I believe you still don’t have that understanding of it if you believe Peter Obi will ever win this election. Without Peter Obi it would have been a flawless victory for Atiku, if you know what happened in PDP then you’ll understand that Peter Obi came for vengeance on Atiku. Soludo was very right

All this rhetorics don't work anymore.

We are bent on voting Peter Obi and nothing can change that. Nigerians are no longer fools

You can keep dancing to the frivolous political statements, that's your business.

peepydelano:
Soludo made a true statement but Nigerians are not ready to accept the truth. Obi is just indirectly helping tinubu to victory and pulling down PDP. He knows he can’t win and I strongly believe his contesting is just to get back at Atiku for not picking him again as his vice.

Lol, Tinubu cannot beat Obi convincingly in southwest. Take this to the bank

All these politicians are just using idiots like you to remain in power and punish us

bennyflipy:
So everyone on nairaland stays in Lagos abi?

Ok, Mynd44 will keep the money.

whoever wins, will get his/her cash after election. How much?

Are you in?

bennyflipy:
Who will keep the money?

are in Lagos.
Let's meet face to face.
Let's meet at ICM

We place the bet live, we can call on anyone on nairaland to be evidence.

Obi will get more than 5 million votes

bennyflipy:
In one group I promised small giveaway if he gets 5 million votes.

lets meet and have a bet, Peter will get 5 million votes.

lhordspy:
K.
Are you satisfied now?

I can't wait for this election to come. All these you gragra will stop

SilverOrLead:
Take it to the bank.

Obi can not get more than 3 million votes max.

this format is stale.

lhordspy:
Lol. Zombidient digging up 2019 articles of 4years back to give them hope.

I can bet my last card that Tinubu cannot Winn Kano irrespective

yetunsbay:
lol see thinking. If you attend political rallies then you're jobless abi ?

I am not saying that, majority of them are.

Do you expect gainfully employed people or business people to attend such when it's not on a Sunday?

Take this to the bank, forget that campaign crowd. Tinubu cannot win kano, he will be 3rd behind kwankwaso and Atiku. I can put my life on it as a bet

StrongandMighty:
I've never and won't attend any campaign rally even if it's happening on my doorstep, but on the election day I'll go out to vote obi even if it means waiting for 24hrs just to cast my vote for obi I'll gladly wait..

Seriously, I don't think I want such stress.
I am only doing this because the psychological game APC is playing is already working on some people.
Do a physical poll today in kano, Tinubu cannot win Kano. It doesn't matter how much crowd came to his rally yesterday

Personally for me I won't attend Peter Obi's rally in Lagos, because I don't want to be in the crowd and I have some other engagements that are more of priority. Even if I am free, I won't still want to be within such crowd but I will vote for him on election day, that's simply what I owe him.
Election campaign crowds doesn't reflect who wins. Do a poll on does with voters card this morning in Kano, Tinubu will lose that poll irrespective of the crowd that came to his rally yesterday.

Crowd polling is a psychological game and it doesn't in any way reflects who Wil win that state.

Voter engagements through formal channels end this Thursday for Saturday’s Presidential and National Assembly elections. If the surfeit of rallies, town hall meetings, door-to-door campaigns and media exposures have been bereft of issues that bug the electorate, they have been spiced up by the parties’ show of strength. “My-crowd-is-bigger-than-yours”, the parties have demonstrated through their rallies.

Now, do “big” crowds at election campaign grounds translate to “big” votes?

Apart the number lured to political campaigns by handouts, which come in form of cash equivalent of a pot of soup for a low-income home, there are other reasons responsible for the numbers at the campaign grounds.

There was contagious excitement at Park Lane either when Papa set out or returned from those tasking tours across the country. The highlights were the crowd he pulled in the “enemy” territories. The crowd in Sokoto, the locality of his main rival Shehu Shagari, was described in superlatives. Tumultuous. Massive. Huge.

Kano, Kaduna, Enugu, Port Harcourt, Jos etc brought good news to the campaign team back in Lagos and the supporters across the country.

But the election results did not reflect the “tumultuous” turnout at the rallies. Sokoto State, for instance, gave Awolowo 2.52 percent as against Shagari’s 66.58 percent and Waziri Ibrahim’s 26.61 percent. Beyond the five states of Lagos, Ogun, Ondo, Oyo and Bendel, where UPN won the governorship as well as the presidential poll, the only other state where Awolowo had appreciable performance was in Kwara State (37.48 percent).

The conclusion of the UPN camp was that the poll was rigged. Awolowo’s Tribune and other friendly media outfits regaled us with stories of how the party agents were arrested and not allowed to do their job of policing the process and the results. Logically however, you can only rig where you’re strong.

Clearly, if the “supporters” who thronged his rallies in Enugu and Onitsha, for instance, had translated their “enthusiasm” into votes, Papa would have fared better than the 0.75 percent he received in the old Anambra State where incidentally he had chosen his running mate, Philip Umeadi SAN, a politically incorrect decision given the North-South dichotomy we are bogged down with.

Awolowo must have realised his political naivety of choosing a fellow southerner in 1979 as running mate. In 1983, he responded by opting for Mallam Muhammad Kura from Bauchi State for the 1983 presidential election. Still that did not cut much ice in the catchment area of his political half. In one of the most disputed elections in the country, Awolowo’s UPN could not muster up to 20 percent in Bauchi state as he garnered only about 30 per cent votes nationwide to finish second in a five-party field.

Again, the crowds didn’t deliver the votes.

A few days after the June 12, 1993 presidential election, I was dispatched to Kano by Newswatch magazine to interview Bashir Tofa, the candidate of the National Republican Convention (NRC). It took several efforts and three or four Okada riders to locate Tofa’s residence in that city. Tofa was not that popular in Kano.

Whereas his Kano campaigns had pulled massive crowd that gave the camp of Moshood Abiola of the rival Social Democratic Party (SDP) jitters, it was Abiola that would win Kano by 52.28 percent, going by the partially announced result of that famous election.

Tofa’s running mate, Dr Sylvester Ugoh made up for his principal’s shortcoming in his own neck-of-the-wood. Imo State gave the Tofa ticket 55.14 percent.

Did Olusegun Obasanjo not have the crowd at his rallies in his home state of Ogun for the 1999 presidential election? But Ogun State voters, including the ones at the polling unit near his Ita-Eko residence in Abeokuta, preferred his rival, Olu Falae of the Alliance for Democracy (AD). Obasanjo’s “people” voted 69.8 percent for his rival Falae, while his opponent’s home state of Ondo handed the AD candidate 85 percent score. In those two states, as it was in other states during the campaign, both candidates, polled “massive” crowds at their rallies.

In his re-election campaign four years ago, President Goodluck Jonathan recorded “massive” crowds in the states that he would later lose heavily in the presidential election. These include Muhammadu Buhari’s Katsina and Kano States, the latter being a reason to belief for the incumbent president’s supporters that victory was assured. Obviously, the votes did not follow the crowds.

For the 2019 elections, the “big parties” particularly have flaunted their “crowds.” It amounts to “serubawon”! No, I’m not referring to Late Senator Isiaka Adeleke who earned that sobriquet for the daredevil tactics he adopted in stopping the Osun State parliament from impeaching him while he was Governor in the early 90s. “Serubawon”, in this instance, is in its ordinary form where you pulled all imaginable – and particularly unimaginable – strengths, tactics and hypnotism to intimidate and overwhelm the opposition.

Was that what the parties did for the 2019 national elections? The verdict lies with the voters. As they say on the street, we shall know the score sooner than later.

Akintunde is a public relations consultant based in Lagos

https://www.thecable.ng/the-crowds-and-votes/amp

Thanos5555:
You are correct, Fulanigroups, herdsmen and so... Have a lot to offer Rivers than an Igbo man

it's true, it's why rivers state got many projects from Buhari's government, railline from maiduguri to Port Harcourt was completed, the onne and port Harcourt ports were working efficiently