₦airaland Forum

kcnwaigbo:
Again I will tell you there is More to the new electoral law than just BVAS.Only two elections have been conducted under the new electoral law with the PDP and APC winning one each.

The BVAS is useless if it is used alongside the so-called incident forms

indident forms has been scrapped

ejimatic:
In my opinion it cannot in view of Osun election where two different results were generated for APC and PDP! It is a father having two children whose DNA are not identicalor does not have any similarities.

It can, it helped detect rigging. If not we won't detect it

alanto:
We are all saying the same thing... Buhari and Fulani have turned your region to killing field and have rendered the region desolate but you will rather vote for another Fulani man for the carnage to continue than to vote for one from the tribe that accept the people fleeing your region as refugees in states like Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Ogun and Lagos... It's like hate is the oxygen y'all live on... It has replaced every other sense y'all are supposed to have

Tinubu is dancing to the tune of the same fulanis and he's more dangerous

samuel900:
It's a new year.....mind urself and face ur future. Tinubu no be ur problem

actually he will become a problem for me and everyone if he wins.
We have to stop that from happening

The reasoning of Urchins is based on the illusions that when the elites in a state supports a candidate, it automatically means that everyone in the state will vote for the candidates or the elites will help the candidate rig the election. You cannot blame them for reasoning like this, because this has been the norm before the electoral reform.
Their thought process would have been true in 2015 and 2019 when BVAS and e-transmission of results wasn't in existence. Urchins are yet to realize the power of BVAS, they are yet to reconcile the damage it has done to the structure of result manipulation or should I say that they are underestimating the influence BVAS can have on the outcome of the election, maybe they don't really understand how it works. Don't argue with them, February will cure all these mirages.

Like i said, you cannot blame them for reasoning that way, they are reasoning from experience but new realities will soon dawn on them very soon. By this time in 2027, their line of reasoning would not be the same.

We will be here to see their doubts cleared

Ennoloa:
This is where you are missing it Niger is mainly Aboki and its going to Atiku 60%
Kwara margin would very minimal as Saraki grass root here is more than what Apc is doing

So don't get too much hope
That's why every Poll show Obi to win NC because Kwara, Niger and Kogi is going to be shared between them and the margin would be little

you don't understand the reasoning of Urchins. The reasoning of Urchins is based on the illusions that when the elites in a state supports a candidate, it automatically means that everyone in the state will vote for the candidates or the elites will help the candidate rig the election.

Their thought process would have been true in 2015 when BVAS wasn't in existence. Urchins are yet to realize the power of BVAS, they are yet to reconcile the damage it has done to the structure of result manipulation or should I say that they are underestimating the influence BVAS can play in the election. Don't argue with them, February will cure all these mirages.

Moh247:
Even Obi would be shocked at the nonsense you just typed

Utter rubbish

Kwara , Kogi, Niger are solidly for Tinubu that alone gives 50% of North Central

SouthWest would give Tinubu a solid 70% total vote casted

In NorthEast Kashim Shetima a two terms Governor and Senator would win Borno, Yobe and Gombe easily that's another 50%

NorthWest is Kano , Kaduna , Katsina, Jigawa, Zamfara , Kebbi, would split 3 ways APC getting atleast 30%



.

lol, I am laughing because we will make fun of Urchins and their useless projections that doesn't reflect reality

You still never get sense for this new year

Seriously, If peter obi cannot win, let Atiku have it. Tinubu is a no no no.

Tinubu is just proud, dangerous and wicked.

But I am confident that Tinubu will be 3rd

lwisee:
Power must return to the South

it's better for power to return to the north than for Tinubu to win it.

tunjijones:
I am not certain if emilokan will win or not but am very sure that Peter obi can't win.

Do you think Peter obi can get 25 percent votes from 24 states? Well I know he can't and this is a requirement for winning the election.

Breakdown of States obi can get 25 percent in the next election.
South East 5 state, south South 6 states, south west maybe 3 states, north central maybe 3 states too, north east maybe 1 which is very slim and north west maybe 2 which is very very slim. This brings the total to 20 states. The statistics above is the highest he can get from those geopolitical zones, he cld get less than what is in the statistics.

This is me being objective.

Obi will make the rerun. No one can win

okeysoninv:
unfortunately you can't shut me up from saying it.

okay then go on with your delusions

okeysoninv:
I will be here to write the things that will occur in the year 2023 theme " the beginning and the end of world". I pray to God to see us through in the next 2 hours. Before I start to reveal what will happen here ( Nigeria, church and the world) .Isaiah 50:4,

please just shut up with these bullshits

I met one inside BRT, the moment he opened his mouth to talk eh, Obidients enter am wella. The guy kept quiet

Mandate2023:
Were u expecting landslide from kwankwaso b4 where r u kids from, u just starting experiencing election and u think u already know more than ur age kwankwaso kwa aside kano no one takes kwankwaso serious anywhere, u think once any northern is on d ballot that's it......u r a certified mumu, kwankwaso himself knows he stand no chance again tinubu in d north except atiku is not contesting maybe then kwankwaso can try

So you expect kwankwaso to get less than 25% in NW. Who are all these jokers

garfield1:
How many powerful people are supporting atiku? Mention them.the se should have contested and defeated tinubu in apc and atiku in pdp kid

How many powerful people are supporting Tinubu except APC governors?
Go to BBC hausa, Legit ng hausa and VOA hausa Twitter and Facebook pages, reality will be dawning on you

Abbeytoy:
What you don't know is that the powerful people of the country has decided that the Presidency goes to South.

Atiku just doesn't want to give in as he so much believes in his money.

Oga forget zoning. People will vote and the votes will count.

Atiku will beat Tinubu there. Who said the powerful are not supporting Atiku?
Look at this novice. You think life is fair?
If life is fair, Tinubu is not suppose to contest, he should leave it for southeast. You don't know anything

Abbeytoy:
What you don't know is that the powerful people of the country has decided that the Presidency goes to South.

Atiku just doesn't want to give in as he so much believes in his money.

Oga, No southerner can beat Atiku in the north. Tinubu no fit

Stop dreaming, we have BVAS now. Stop dreaming

garfield1:
Abiola won the north

Tinubu is not like Abiola jare. Tofa wasn't even strong candidate.

Who will vote a senile old man who bedwets.

Abiola was smart man who never shy aware from interviews, he was loved by everyone including the people of North themselves. Tinubu is a drug addict, corrupt shit who will not beat formidable candidates like kwankwaso and Atiku in the north. He doesn't have the sagacity and not BVAS won't allow him.

A disaster who is incoherent with speeches cannot be compared with Abiola.
A political comedian, a joke cannot be compared to Abiola. He cannot even win southwest convincingly because he's a thief and joke whose history is shrewded in mystery

Abbeytoy:
I am very sure Northern will not replace nothernern and Obi is not in contention.

I am sure a southerners cannot win north

garfield1:
You lie.tinubu beat atiku in ss with 7-1% and both had 1% each in se.tinubu beat obi in sw,ne,nw

the lead is irrelevant o, dude. Even a 5% lead is still irrelevant

garfield1:
Zombidients are even dumber.that one is September own which is outdated.I just posted the latest one for December boy

that lead is irrelevant.
Atiku won one with small margin. Tinubu won another with just
3%.

The lead is irrelevant and useless because they score about same in the two polls... APC Urchins failed statistics in school

ImperialYoruba:
Persin wey no get pvc sef dey share opinion on Tinubu. Mttchhheww yeye dey smell

I swear, I get pvc, this format Don cast. You be mumu

garfield1:
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.thecable.ng/obi-leads-tinubu-atiku-kwankwaso-in-new-anap-poll/amp&ved=2ahUKEwi2o9zci6T8AhVPgv0HHYQEDlEQFnoECCwQAQ&usg=AOvVaw0np2Q_S-ozqqfdyY3k9_WU


Kid,this is it.take time to read and study it carefully so that you dont repeat classes again

Shut up, liar

garfield1:
Anap noi polls shows tinubu winning atiku in se/ss

Urchins lie a lot, they also lie to themselves

garfield1:
Anap noi polls shows tinubu winning atiku in se/ss

the ANAP poll conducted at your house in osogbo abi

Mandate2023:
u r dumb......I never said tinubu will win in the north, he will surely win nothing less than 4 states in the NE and NW combined with a close margin in others he will lose, 40% to 35% is all he needs in d north and that was what I said, he will top the NC and SW.....only needed 25% person in 4 out of d 11 states in SE and SS.....imo, ebonyi, calabar being APC state will deliver the 25% and lastly wike combined with magnus abe will get 25% of rivers for him........that's all that is needed

fool, Tinubu will 35% in northwest and northeast like kwankwaso is a joke

So a fool like expect Atiku to get 50%, Tinubu 35 and Kwankwaso 10 or 15. Joker

garfield1:
Tinubu doesnt need to win the north to win.how many times will I drum this to you

he needs to because he's nonexistent in SS and SE

walefresh3:
olodo , if tinubu can get 40% in the whole north that's a good results for him.... In Nigeria, election is won by law and majority...

25% in 24 states of the federation is the most important Target.. not majority vote...

That's why obi need structures to do dis...

U can't win an election by majority votes alone.. u must meet with the requirements.. which is s 25 % in 24 states of the federation....

So what will kwankwaso score if Tinubu gets 40%. Oluyele statistics

Olachase:
oga pls go and have a glass of water he be like say u don won get HBP

lol, you can't hide your tears with a laughing emoji, you know?

Olachase:
you sound so dull can ur Obi beat Tinubu in South West & North

Na your papa dull. Obi cannot beat Tinubu in southwest, Obi can beat Tinubu in northcentral

famouscargo4u:
Tinubu will definitely win. Did you see the showing of ATIKU rally in Lagos compared to Tinubu"s rally on Adamawa? Tinubu does not need to win the north west. 40% is enough

you be mumu if you think rallies means anything. Serious mumu