₦airaland Forum

Kwankwaso being a VP to Obi will not be effective enough to make Obi win the election. The Igbo factor will still make people not vote for Obi in NW and NE. It will amount to People in NW and NE seeing Atiku and Tinubu as no1 and 2 option. Kwankwaso will not be able to deliver much as a VP aspirant.

The fact that kwankwaso is in the race and is going to scatter APC and PDP votes in NW and NE is a plus for Obi.

This is the most efficient way to steal votes from APC and PDP and make those votes utterly useless because kwankwaso will not win the election.

Peter obi is the next president of Nigeria.

You better start reconciling with reality. He's the only person that can get block votes from two regions

Your reasons are not valid if it doesn't include that Obi will not develop Nigeria. All these are nonsense

Peter Obi is the next president of Nigeria

Obalacam:
Which kind rubbish fear, NE NW was never in the obidients equation
MRK is already doing the underground work for us

ignore that guy, he's been seeking attention from me from one thread to another.
Are you ready to get into long unproductive argument with a nuisance?

If yes, then go on and reply him

While I agree that he can hold grassroots mobilization programs and town hall meetings to at least get some votes, northwest and northeast is a total waste of time to invest in for labour party. The reasons are very Obvious:

1. They are islamocentric, they will most likely vote a fellow Muslim. They have been doing that since time immemorial. No Christian has ever Done well in northwest and northeast except Southern Kaduna and Taraba and some part of Adamawa. The only time they voted a Christian was in 1999 when there was no Muslim on the ballot.

2. They have this irrational igbophobia. It's quite unfortunate but it's the reality. Theze regions are not ready to accept any Igbo man or anybody from southsouth. Even Jonathan couldn't win these regions.

3. They have herd mentality, they are the most gullible, easiest to control and will listen to their elites against logic and reason. There's no amount of logical reason you can give an average person from Borno state to vote Peter Obi. It's the truth.

Peter Obi should not bother wasting scarce resources here. The formula here already suggested splitting votes, these regions are never going to give block votes in 2023. The best thing that can ever happen to Obi is for kwankwaso to do very well here so we Obidients can nail the coffins of APC and PDP in Northcentral and Southern Nigeria.

Stop bothering yourself about Obi’s campaign in Northwest and northeast, bother yourself about how kwankwaso is performing there. If Kwankwaso can do well in northwest and northeast, we can deal with PDP and APC in southsouth, Southeast, north central and become scoend in southwest to have a chance in the rerun.

In the election rerun, if it will be between Atiku and Obi, Obi will win him.

TechW:
No need to ignore them, play the fool, every vote is important. He could organize a town hall meeting, reach out to them in small small segment. Give them sense of belonging and I believe he can get the undecided to his side

BTW, LP is already reaching out to them via grassroots mobilization.
Spending money on rallies in NW and NE is a total waste of time for LP. Sincerely

TechW:
No need to ignore them, play the fool, every vote is important. He could organize a town hall meeting, reach out to them in small small segment. Give them sense of belonging and I believe he can get the undecided to his side

Obi can do town hall meetings with them.

There's no amount of money Obi will spend in NW and NE that will change anything. They Will listen to their political leaders. They have herd mentality.

It's unfortunate but there's nothing anyone can do about it. During elections, you have to focus on your strengths more before salvaging weaknesses.
Just allow APC, Atiku and Kwankwaso battle NW and NE, all we Obidients want to for kwankwaso to do well there so we can nail the coffin of APC and PDP in NC, SS and SE.

Tinubu should step down for Obi, Tinubu cannot win Atiku in an election.
Obi can beat Atiku if Yorubas can support him

TechW:
Nigerians have short memories, he will tour north later so that it will still be fresh in their minds going to the election.
You don't have to worry

if I am Obi, I will not waste money holding rallies in NW and NE. Those guys are gullible and Wil always liste to their political class.
It's political stupid to even try to battle the NW and NE with Atiku, APC and Kwankwaso, knowing fully well the prejudice against an Igbo candidate.

A rally in any core northern state except from Southern Kaduna and Taraba will be a total waste of scarce resource.

Obi can win the election without those guys

wwwkaycom:
So that is the reason he shouldn't campaign in the north? Your stupidity don't have part B.

Those guys are gullible, which blosters the confidence of their elite. They are not worth the investment, sincerely.

Let kwankwaso just do the job, we can focus scarce resources on other regions. We don't have money to waste on extreme tribal and religious bigots in NW and NE when kwankwaso is there to make sure that APC and PDP never gets maximum votes.

If you like, give each person from NW and NE 1billion each, an ibo man won't win there. Let's stop lying to ourselves, we all know this.

The picture below is how I see APC supporters.
We are not dealing with normal human beings here, we are dealing with people who are suffering but are hell bent on doing nothing about it.

We are not dealing with Republicans or democrats, we are dealing with illiterates and demented set of people that want the status quo of suffering and disaster to continue.
We cannot take it easy on them

It's not, Obi is not absent in NC. NE and NW votes will be spliited.

Kwankwaso in NW is an advantage for Obi. Do the maths and stop complaining

Lanre1st:
No P

Acct num

kindly let me know when you end the email

Lanre1st:
No P

Acct num

send an email to me on workch@outlook.com

aylagos:
How much do you have to bet with me? From seven digits pls.

I can afford 30k. Tinubu no fit win kano

Bovis:
I’m interested in the bet, how much you willing to stake and your mode?

30k, Tinubu cannot win Kano

Lanre1st:
You must be drunk!

I can bet with you with anything that KANO is for TINUBU to win

30k, mod go keep money.

Tochj:
Tinubu will win Kano when kwankwaso and Atiku is on ballot?

That's like a miracle

oyin44:
I am not a gambler

O boy ...stop fooling urself. ..salute tinubu

From the road to the stadium was blocked by million of Nigerians

imagine a southerner for that matter. ..

lol, yes. They even started from Lagos Airport

oyin44:
O boy ...stop fooling urself. ..salute tinubu

From the road to the stadium was blocked by kano people in their millions

Then place a bet na, put your money where you mouth is.

Tinubu will be 3rd in kano.
E sure die

oyin44:
Tinubu own started from road not stadium

you are still living under the illusions.

This election needs to come fast. Can you place a bet with me that Tinubu will win Kano?

Lers do it. Are you in. Kwankwaso will win kano convincingly, you wanna bet?

oyin44:
Wasn't up.to tinubu own

Tinubu Will be 3rd in Kano, bookmark this.
It's kwankwaso, Atiku and then Tinubu.

Forget a those crowds in his rally, they don't always translate to votes on election day.

Result on election day:
APC:1,903,999
PDP: 215,779

It's not by campaign crowds that are paid, I can place my last card that Tinubu will not see second in Kano. It's too sure.

senatordave1:
But obi will lose se,thats the key

Obi will lose SE, are you into comedy?

senatordave1:
So 3.5 mil in ne/nw doesnt cancel 3.5 mil in se/se Mr brilliant kid?

lets assume Atiku Wil get 40% of 1million votes in nw, 40% of 600k in northeast. Obi will get 60% of southsouth 800k southsouth votes and 75% of 500k southeast votes.

Atiku will end up with 660k votes while obi will get 855k votes.

That's to put things in perspective.

Southsouth has more voting strength than northeast.

senatordave1:
So 3.5 mil in ne/nw doesnt cancel 3.5 mil in se/se Mr brilliant kid?

you still fail maths in school.

apolonius:
Obi win Rivers? Never! You are always speculating with emotions. Stop reading social media posts to gauge political patterns.

i an you put your money where you mouth is on this?

senatordave1:
Atiku votes in ne/nw in 2019 equalled his vote in se ss

lol, you failed maths in school

Raheeqilmaktoom:
Guy, I was born and bred here.

There is no way in hell Obi will win Tinubu in the NE, not to talk of Atiku. If not that Kwankwaso is not in the race, I doubt Obi will get half his votes, forget noise.

I know, I agree with you

I totally agree, but Obi will get votes on Taraba and southern Adamawa. He will be fourth though.

senatordave1:
Whatever tinubu gets will outweigh obi in the south

how do you reason?
Do you jusy spill thing out of your brain because you want to?

How is this realistic?

Seems like something that is yet to start. Show me image of when Obi arrives

Gourdoinc:
I often wonder why nobody asks why the north needs power at all cost, why the north uses child voters, executes census of animals with humans for their population figures, why the north breed like rats and have an institutionalized poverty scheme for children (almajri). I also wonder how the north was able to put southerners at loggerheads to the point where, we do not see that they have indebted us for the rest of our lives.

Biafra republic, Ijaw republic, Oduduwa republic all exist , but we haven't heard much about Arewa republic, this wont be far from the fact that while the former rallied, threaten, killed, screamed and protest, the Arewa has already perfected their plans on how to exit the Nigeria state with a large booty of funds, borrowed on behalf of all of us.

All the monies being borrowed, where e dey, who hol am. the Arewa have positioned themselves everywhere, they are in the central bank, they are also the bureau d change, they get money at official rate from the central bank, then change at black market rates with at their bureau d change points for 300 percent profit daily. they placed themselves at the customs, where they police the borders down south to ensure nothing enters without their knowledge, but they opened up the northern borders for import of weapons and export of virgin girls. they do all these , while the south bicker against each other and call it politics.

Biafra republic, Oduduwa republic, Ijaw republic will all be given on a platter of gold as there is no need for warfare. the north will give it when they are done with everyone. they are slowly getting there (oil in Bauchi and Gombe, plans to recharge the lake chad, rail lines through maradi to Chad etc). they are now in process of filling up their gold chest. lots of unexplained loans, unpayable loans collected on behalf of Nigeria and nowhere to be seen. its a simple sturv

they will render the nation bankrupt through buhari or tinubu or atiku or kwankwaso, high loans that cannot be paid, which they have roundtripped to store in profit in dollars and other foreign currencies, they will continue to attack the Christian north with the sole aim of driving them down south due the wanton violence, so they can make an emirate capital from Kaduna (Abuja may be abandoned to south if need be), they are aiming that there will be strife when the financial situation in Nigeria is no longer tenable, the debt owners will come for their money, the north will ask for all to leave in peace, while we all share the debt. they will leave with their large bounty, only paying a small part of it to the debt man, while the other so- called republics will leave with debts future generations will have to pay.

we are told that banks need all old notes to be in the bank 30th January, while same banks are issuing old notes. even the banks have not seen the so-called new notes (which washes away in contact with water) and you all aren't panicking on the streets. The time is ticking, the North has Won.

it's better for the North to be president than for Tinubu to win.

BTW, Peter obi is the next president