₦airaland Forum

How is that a bad thing?

Kilometres:
Same thing Obi is doing...he is trying to prove that he can pull weight too

Obi knows he can't win

Obi can win

reservd:
Let's see how things play out as the days goes by, it's gonna be an interesting election

bro, BVAS is the game changer.
Peeples vote will count.
I can assure you.

Na only Otti dey contest for Abia. I will advice INEC not to waste money and immediately announce Otti the winner

Lanretoye:
To think someone will rent such crowd is the same as thinking obi will be nigeria's president.

it's very possible, you don't know anything

Levels1:
I think I rather make you keep dreaming till you wake up come February.

Tinubu is a southern project

The Southwest been head of the region nominated him

Take this to the bank dear brother.

See you by February to ask you boh market�

lol, Tinubu supporters don't know what's about to hit them.

Levels1:
You mean minority will win the Southwest?

Even the dot region, I'm assuring you that Obi will still be distance 3rd

February is near bro

Anyways for your information, when they mentioned South region , naturally they are referring to the Southwest part but other just share same name but government mean Southwest.

Peter Obi will beat Tinubu so badly in southsouth and southeast. The margin will be very high.

Tinubu is not loved by every Yoruba because of his questionable attributes and Muslim muslim ticket. And southwest a lot of non-yorubas.

Levels1:
Same way Obi been in the race is a plus for Tinubu as without Obi on the baloba paper, the competition will have been kind of tight for Tinubu as Atiku will have made it kind of harder

But as God will do it, he uses Obi to destroy Atiku to favor Tinubu

Moreso obi is from the dot region another disadvantage

The youth will certainly vote wisely and cast for Tinubu as he's the most qualified between the Top 3 contenders which are Tinubu, Atiku and kwankwaso respectively.

Obi is in the class of Sowore et al

Obi will beat Tinubu in southern Nigeria and its not even going to be close.
Tinubu is only popular in southwest and even in southwest, he cannot win with wide margin.

Even with Obi in th mix, Tinubu cannot boast of winning any region aside SW. Tinubu cannot win any region massively

reservd:
Same thing applies to obi in the south, won't tinubu factor diminish his votes especially in the SW? I feel atiku has an edge in all these permutations

Atiku has already lost about 5 million votes combined to Obi in SE and SS.
Atiku is also losing votes to Obi in NC.

ifihearam:
Dreamer..if wishes were horses beggers would ride.

Obi might not win any state in SE not to talk of SS SW...he will never get votes in NC NE...
He does not stand a chance at all..you guys are more hopeful than him..Like Charles Soludo said, he knows there are just two contenders in this race..just two.

A common denominator amongst all contestants in the election next month is, its their last battle in the political firld, whoever wins has sent all others to their political retirement..its a winner wins all.

lol, ok

Napata77:
Just like YOU are not ready to accept Hausa-Fulani in power with your irrational 'Hausa-Fulani phobia'



Just like there's no amount of logical reason you can give a person from Anambra State to vote for Buhari or Kwankwaso, or Tinubu. ''It's the truth''.

Lesson: As you point a finger, 4 fingers point back at you.

Dude, check, Yaradua won east in a landslide.
We no dey use sentiments vote for here, we vote you if you are capable. It's why Yaradua won and Obasanjo won Ojukwu in Anambra.

This time, Peter Obi is the most competent

Eurasia:
North East and North West have the highest voters cards

I don't think you people reason well. But I am going to put this into perspective for you to understand.

Firstly, northeast has the second lowest voters card holders after SE. Southsouth and northcentral has more then northeast. None of kwankwaso, Atiku or Tinubu can get 50% of NE and NW votes. None, it will be splitted

Lets assume 1m will vote in northwest
600k in NE
700k in SS
800k NC
500k in SE.

Lets assume the winner of NE and NW got 45 of votes, that's 820k votes.
If Peter Obi gets 75% in SE, 50% in SS and 30% in NC, he will get 965k votes.

If the winner of NE and NC is Atiku, it spells doom for Tinubu and favors Obi, because Obi will get plenty votes in SW.
The more kwankwaso splits the votes in NE and NW, the more difficult for the winner to even get this 45% to overturn what Obi will amass in SS and SE.

It's why Peter Obi can win this election

BluntTheApostle:
I don't mean to be rude, but you people are delusional.

You project LP to garner over 10 million votes? From where would they get that?

ANAP and whatever other poll you use offered sampled results. They are inferential statistics.

If you sampled 1000 respondents, and 60% want Obi, how do you generalize such result to a population of 93.5 million registered voters?

Remember, the survey was administered via phone calls, and we know that one limitation of the phone survey is that respondent always tend to be dishonest, or may not reveal their true intention for fear of being judged. You call someone who is in the midst of people shouting Obi, of course he would readily declare for Obi, but might vote someone else on election day.

Another limitation of the phone survey are the biases, such as coverage bias. Did the survey cover the whole country, or did it it miss a bulk of the true registered voters?

if Obi can get 75 of votes in southeast, it's 2.5million.
If he can get 50% of southsouth, it's 2.5million
If he can get 25% of southwest, it's 1.5m
If he can get 30% of Northcentral, it's 1.5m
Obi will get atleast 500k in both NW and NE

TOTAL: 8.5m. Not bad, he Will make a return with this

after4:
It is you guys that didn't experience kwankwaso's governance that take him serious. How is kwankwaso better than buhari?
Buhari is a bigot, kwankwaso is a bigger bigot
Buhari is a religious fanatic, kwankwaso is
Kwankwaso has this mentality of northern supremacy and that is why he refused to step down for obi, you can see his comments later on.
Mark my word any where, this is is best opportunity he just lost
He will never have another opportunity to aso rock for any reason

Think about it. If Obi/Datti ends there tenure,
and obi did well which we believe by God's grace, Ahmed Datti will easily get the youths support and after that, it will be a southern turn. That means the next opportunity for kwankwaso will be the next 16years. How old will he be then and will the youths pick him against younger contenders then? No

I am happy pride did not allow him. He is not a good person at all

while I agree with almost everything that you said but I disagree with the part that this is kwankwaso last chance.
Kwankwaso is not in this election to win, he's in to make a mark and let every Northerner know that when it's time to zone tickets to North, he can be a formidable candidate.

Kwankwaso is building a structure for himself that Northerners can reckon with when it's their time.

Kwankwaso being a VP to Obi will not be effective enough to make Obi win the election. The Igbo factor will still make people not vote for Obi in NW and NE. It will amount to People in NW and NE seeing Atiku and Tinubu as no1 and 2 option. Kwankwaso will not be able to deliver much as a VP aspirant.

The fact that kwankwaso is in the race and is going to scatter APC and PDP votes in NW and NE is a plus for Obi.

This is the most efficient way to steal votes from APC and PDP and make those votes utterly useless because kwankwaso will not win the election.

Peter obi is the next president of Nigeria.

You better start reconciling with reality. He's the only person that can get block votes from two regions

Your reasons are not valid if it doesn't include that Obi will not develop Nigeria. All these are nonsense

Peter Obi is the next president of Nigeria

Obalacam:
Which kind rubbish fear, NE NW was never in the obidients equation
MRK is already doing the underground work for us

ignore that guy, he's been seeking attention from me from one thread to another.
Are you ready to get into long unproductive argument with a nuisance?

If yes, then go on and reply him

While I agree that he can hold grassroots mobilization programs and town hall meetings to at least get some votes, northwest and northeast is a total waste of time to invest in for labour party. The reasons are very Obvious:

1. They are islamocentric, they will most likely vote a fellow Muslim. They have been doing that since time immemorial. No Christian has ever Done well in northwest and northeast except Southern Kaduna and Taraba and some part of Adamawa. The only time they voted a Christian was in 1999 when there was no Muslim on the ballot.

2. They have this irrational igbophobia. It's quite unfortunate but it's the reality. Theze regions are not ready to accept any Igbo man or anybody from southsouth. Even Jonathan couldn't win these regions.

3. They have herd mentality, they are the most gullible, easiest to control and will listen to their elites against logic and reason. There's no amount of logical reason you can give an average person from Borno state to vote Peter Obi. It's the truth.

Peter Obi should not bother wasting scarce resources here. The formula here already suggested splitting votes, these regions are never going to give block votes in 2023. The best thing that can ever happen to Obi is for kwankwaso to do very well here so we Obidients can nail the coffins of APC and PDP in Northcentral and Southern Nigeria.

Stop bothering yourself about Obi’s campaign in Northwest and northeast, bother yourself about how kwankwaso is performing there. If Kwankwaso can do well in northwest and northeast, we can deal with PDP and APC in southsouth, Southeast, north central and become scoend in southwest to have a chance in the rerun.

In the election rerun, if it will be between Atiku and Obi, Obi will win him.

TechW:
No need to ignore them, play the fool, every vote is important. He could organize a town hall meeting, reach out to them in small small segment. Give them sense of belonging and I believe he can get the undecided to his side

BTW, LP is already reaching out to them via grassroots mobilization.
Spending money on rallies in NW and NE is a total waste of time for LP. Sincerely

TechW:
No need to ignore them, play the fool, every vote is important. He could organize a town hall meeting, reach out to them in small small segment. Give them sense of belonging and I believe he can get the undecided to his side

Obi can do town hall meetings with them.

There's no amount of money Obi will spend in NW and NE that will change anything. They Will listen to their political leaders. They have herd mentality.

It's unfortunate but there's nothing anyone can do about it. During elections, you have to focus on your strengths more before salvaging weaknesses.
Just allow APC, Atiku and Kwankwaso battle NW and NE, all we Obidients want to for kwankwaso to do well there so we can nail the coffin of APC and PDP in NC, SS and SE.

Tinubu should step down for Obi, Tinubu cannot win Atiku in an election.
Obi can beat Atiku if Yorubas can support him

TechW:
Nigerians have short memories, he will tour north later so that it will still be fresh in their minds going to the election.
You don't have to worry

if I am Obi, I will not waste money holding rallies in NW and NE. Those guys are gullible and Wil always liste to their political class.
It's political stupid to even try to battle the NW and NE with Atiku, APC and Kwankwaso, knowing fully well the prejudice against an Igbo candidate.

A rally in any core northern state except from Southern Kaduna and Taraba will be a total waste of scarce resource.

Obi can win the election without those guys

[quote author=wwwkaycom post=119786454]So that is the reason he shouldn't campaign in the north? Your stupidity don't have part B.[/quote]Those guys are gullible, which blosters the confidence of their elite. They are not worth the investment, sincerely.

Let kwankwaso just do the job, we can focus scarce resources on other regions. We don't have money to waste on extreme tribal and religious bigots in NW and NE when kwankwaso is there to make sure that APC and PDP never gets maximum votes.

If you like, give each person from NW and NE 1billion each, an ibo man won't win there. Let's stop lying to ourselves, we all know this.

The picture below is how I see APC supporters.
We are not dealing with normal human beings here, we are dealing with people who are suffering but are hell bent on doing nothing about it.

We are not dealing with Republicans or democrats, we are dealing with illiterates and demented set of people that want the status quo of suffering and disaster to continue.
We cannot take it easy on them

It's not, Obi is not absent in NC. NE and NW votes will be spliited.

Kwankwaso in NW is an advantage for Obi. Do the maths and stop complaining

Lanre1st:
No P

Acct num

kindly let me know when you end the email

Lanre1st:
No P

Acct num

send an email to me on workch@outlook.com

aylagos:
How much do you have to bet with me? From seven digits pls.

I can afford 30k. Tinubu no fit win kano

Bovis:
I’m interested in the bet, how much you willing to stake and your mode?

30k, Tinubu cannot win Kano