Politics › Re: ‘enough Of Igbo Disruption In Lagos’ - Yorubas Outside Nigeria Speak by yagachi(m): 1:24pm On Apr 11, 2015 |
ayusco85: Enough of this igbo talk. They shld all drown in the lagoon for all I care Your Fada!!! |
Business › Re: Forex Trading - Season 15 by yagachi(m): 11:22am On Apr 05, 2015 |
adeniyia33: Dear Boss, Yes u r very on point. Ur submissn reminded me of my struggle during my second burnt account. I was waitg for d best trade opportunity which.in acyial sense no iñdicator would give u. I kept waitg until oversold or overbought when i placed a positn, d market being independent would just reverse and next i started sweatg cos of negative profit.
Until i read from Henry Liu d chinese guy which actually.shaped my mentality on chart visualizatn and Price Action. Helpful today.
I am of d opinion.that most newbees in d house should learn Prive Action rather than clumsy chart setups and robitic interventn....
Thanks.for.sharg d Las Veg trip idea. Very insightful
Samuel CEO (C&F INFOTECH) dnysamuel@yahoo.com Hello, I am a newbie pls add me on whats app 08036870729 |
Business › Re: Forex Trading - Season 15 by yagachi(m): 11:19am On Apr 05, 2015 |
iheanyiebeneze: I THINK THIS CAN HELP SOMEONE..
Lessons from the Las Vegas Strip
There are many different approaches to trading … perhaps you spend a lot of time checkingup on the fundamentals, reading the financial press and company reports … perhaps you study technical analysis late into the night …
The cleverer we get with our trading, the more likely we are to forget one key fact – successful trading is about playing the probabilities.
The concept of playing the probabilities, or the odds, is one that sits uncomfortably with some traders – they feel that it makes them sound like gamblers.
In fact, it couldn’t be further from the truth.
If you have a firm grasp on the odds, you’re not the gambler – you’re the casino.
Las Vegas casinos make their money by maintaining an edge of around 4.5%. That means that out of every dollar that is brought into the casino, 4.5 cents stay there. Some people win big, some people lose their shirts, but on average, the casino makes 4.5%.
The casinos aren’t gambling – they are playing the odds.
They don’t care if someone hits the jackpot on a slot-machine. As long as people are coming in through the door – they’ll keep taking their 4.5%. So, how do you apply this to your own trading? (A) You can’t read the future.
However good your fundamental knowledge is, or how much you’ve studied your charts – you cannot know what the market is going to do next. What you can do, however, is judge the likelihood of what the market will do next, and position your trades accordingly.
The market doesn’t care what you “think” – it’ll go ahead and do what it likes.
But if you’ve played your probabilities correctly – the outcome should be in your favour over the long-term.
Successful traders know how to exploit the probabilities of the markets, with the knowledge that in the long-term, they’ll come out on top.
Unsuccessful traders want to “win” every trade, and as a consequence end up chasing their tails.
(B) Stabbing in the dark
The great thing about trading is that we’re not expected to get it right every time.
If we had to put all our money on predicting the outcome of one trade – we’d be screwed. Instead, we don’t have to make predictions. It doesn’t matter what the outcome of the next trade is … nor the one after that.
Provided we’ve got our probabilities right.
Playing the probabilities will ensure you get it right more often that trying to predict the outcome of individual events.
Stop trying to get it right
Trading requires exactly the same approach.
We need to find the way that will tip the odds in our favour. They don’t have to be far in our favour – just enough to give us that edge that will bring in a profit.
Once we know that the probabilities are on our side, all that remains is to repeat … repeat … repeat …
We need to stop worrying about what will happen “this time”. If you’ve found your edge – it really doesn’t matter if you win or lose “this” trade or “that” trade.
As traders, most of us strive to learn as much about the process as we can. But the more we delve into the process of finding successful trading signals, the easier it is to lose track of long-term probabilities.
Long-term probabilities are all that matter in your trading. Provided they are in your favour – you’ll always be ahead of the game. Much of my trading life, I’ve endeavoured to find technical signals that will give me a more significant edge, and bigger profits, but the best edge isn’t huge – it’s consistent.
That’s how casinos know they’ll have a steady income to pay the wages – and why they hate anything that could make a dent in that edge.
For traders, it means that we need to stop making predictions, but start playing the odds – be the casino, not the gambler.
TILL NEXT WEEK. COMPLIMENTS. Pls add me to your whatsapp group on forex or stock market 08036870729 |
Romance › Re: 5 Thing Ladies Do That Makes Them Look Cheap To Guys by yagachi(m): 2:23pm On Jan 03, 2015 |
Why you no call the guy gigolo? but sex on 1st date, a couple more sex and den separation. the sweetest. |
Education › Re: Overrated Courses In Nigerian Universities by yagachi(m): 9:31am On Oct 05, 2014 |
papiforreal: architecture, all engineering disciplines,biochemistry,law, medicine. in short,education is very very overrated in naija. abeg comot all engineering haba!!! |
Celebrities › Re: Where Is Styl Plus "Shifi,tunde And Zeal" by yagachi(m): 12:46am On Oct 04, 2014 |
Rashdimuh: Shifi is now a lecturer in lautech ,Agric economics dept. Na you type him appointment letter abi? |
Celebrities › Re: Teebillz Opens Up: “dorotiwa Is A Sharefull Giver” by yagachi(m): 12:39am On Oct 04, 2014 |
Godswillu: He also forgot when she said "e mi ma do e mi ma do" (eminado eminado) lwkmd |
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Jokes Etc › Re: “i Didn’t Mean To Wink; Sweat Entered My Eye.” – Korede Bello by yagachi(m): 4:01pm On Jul 26, 2014 |
I did not even notice it. Undiluted nonsense. |
Celebrities › Re: Top 10 Richest Men Of All Time In History Who Ever Lived by yagachi(m): 10:43pm On Jul 04, 2014 |
I will be number 11  |
Celebrities › Re: Dbanj Pictured With Bill Gates, Bono & Mo Ibrahim by yagachi(m): 6:52pm On Jul 04, 2014 |
chimoz: It's very easy to get this men to take pictures with you especially when you are an entertainer. White billionaires have humility as their second skin.so it's not a rocket science achievement to take pictures with them. Abeg wot of your own pix with dem billionaires? |
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