payless:


Mention those APC members who were once disgruntled PDP members. I don't know why some of you believe status quo should continue. If you do something the same way all the time, you should expect the same result everytime. How did you come to the conclusion that if APC should defeat PDP, then status quo also continues? I hope you see good work of other Governors who defeated PDP Governors in various states are doing in Ondo, Oshun, Ogun, Oyo etc. These are states that PDP did nothing since 1999 except to rob people the devidend of democracy. PDP led states were left in state of despair until they were defeated by competent hands from the opposition parties.

Kindly give us the list of disgruntled PDP member who are now in APC. Was Tinubu or Buhari, Fashola, Lai, Bisi Akande part of PDP?

payless:


Mention those APC members who were once disgruntled PDP members. I don't know why some of you believe status quo should continue. If you do something the same way all the time, you should expect the same result everytime. How did you come to the conclusion that if APC should defeat PDP, then status quo also continues? I hope you see good work of other Governors who defeated PDP Governors in various states are doing in Ondo, Oshun, Ogun, Oyo etc. These are states that PDP did nothing since 1999 except to rob people the devidend of democracy. PDP led states were left in state of despair until they were defeated by competent hands from the opposition parties.

Kindly give us the list of disgruntled PDP member who are now in APC. Was Tinubu or Buhari, Fashola, Lai, Bisi Akande part of PDP?

nwanna89:

Also, i fear the corrupt pdp members going to APC will hijack the party....

payless:


It is there problem if they leave PDP and come to APC. They are not coming to APC to pick up tickets on a silver platter. If they need tickets, they must demonstrate leadership quality and fight for the tickets.


PDP is in disarray at the moment. Most of PDP members are ready to jump ship but they are not sure about APC yet but time is still on their side to decide if they leave PDP or not. Ultimately, they will be kicked out of PDP soon because the plan of the northern governors is to use their power at the Presidential convention and deny Jonathan the ticket to second term by not releasing the delegates he needs to secure his second term nomination. Jonathan and Anehni's plan is to either have him become the nominee through concensus or change the rule in the middle of the game. Without this option, Jonathan will be disgraced at the presidential primary.

Expect some of PDP governors being suspended, harassed by EFCC, shot at, impeached, or killed between now and 2015. Obasanjo will not be spared either.

It is going to be very interesting between now and next year July. Stay tuned!

nwanna89:

Nice analysis. I cant agree more...Then again..whoever the north will bring out to run in PDP against GEJ will be frustrated out of PDP even before the primaries. So GEJ might run in the primaries without any reasonable opposition

Pvt. Parts:


jus stop abeg

Uclloyd28: Jonathan Will rule till 2019! As for those clamouring for Fashola n Rochas, am from Imo, Rochas back stabbed us.

jjcbuthot:

Dele Momodu spoke like a fool that he is.

So, to the narrow thinking of Dele Momodu, the next president if there is a change of government must still come from PDP?

Tambuwa/Ameachi - interesting contribution from a self-defeated contender.

Afrocatalyst: I think he made sens bt as we all knw,character does nt equate with spoken words. His words made sense bt he does nt stand on them politically,nt bizness-wise. Let the best man win come 2015.

Docii001:

You lack understanding,from all indications tambuwa/amaechi are going to jump parties.
Anyone who follows the current trends in Nigerian politics will be privy to this!
People like you are the problem Nigeria has today,simply put;you do not know anything.

obinna-kenedo:
The northerners had this country for almost 4 decades. Milking and sucking us dry. Obj spent 8years in office, a man from the west. Jonathan, a man from the south, who came from the same state where oil was found in 1959. He has just spent barely 3years in office and everybody is uncomfortable. Now tell me, Mr Dele, who is Tinubu and who is Buhari?. Sometimes I feel if this country is cursed. I weep for nigeria and i curse the day we were merged. #sad face#

tayokem: Oga dele momodu is absolutely right but the problem is that he's not talking like an opposition figur. Hypocrisy of the highest order

Uclloyd28: Jonathan Will rule till 2019! As for those clamouring for Fashola n Rochas, am from Imo, Rochas back stabbed us.

PapaBrowne: Its just funny how opposition members tell us on one hand that the PDP is the problem of Nigeria and on another are3 telling us they thier desire is to field two serving PDP members as their Presidential candidate.

Tambuwal is a PDP member. Amaechi is PDP. What happened to all the opposition figures. Are they not credible enough or are they not national enough?

payless:


He "back stabbed" them because he joined APC and he is now with Buhari. Some of these people are confused. It is a free world and Rochas has the right to associate with whoever he likes.

The reasons for Jonathan’s anticipated victory are legion. Unlike the last time, he has since settled down comfortably in power. You must remember that he has spent a total of three years as a full-time President and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Nigeria. In those years, he’s had the rare opportunity of approving so many appointments and distributing stupendous largesse through award of contracts at home and abroad.

Those who have benefited from him would be ready to die, if necessary, to protect their privileges and not necessarily the President.

Moreover, Jonathan will win today because the opposition is yet to organise itself properly.

There is no third road in sight. And no third party has the humongous resources to challenge the ruling party in Nigeria today. The Grumblers Party is the only workable alternative to PDP

In Nigerian politics, money is the biggest factor before ethnicity and religion.

If I were Jonathan, I would hinge my campaign on performance rather than drums of hostilities. I will quickly bury the hatchet and settle with Amaechi and others, like President Obasanjo did with Atiku Abubakar, James Ibori and company, before he pummelled them later.

In any event, the best package would be for the opposition to form a very formidable second force to PDP and they must do this by speedily coming up with a shadow cabinet type of arrangement comprising of a star-studded team.

Peterwins: My own view: If GEJ secures the 2015 PDP ticket he will likely use the USA and money to appease Tinubu discreetly. The US (the real capitalists cannot work with Buhari) can easily tell Tinubu to stand down (secretly) because they can easily pull the plug off him. The majority of the North central (NC)/middle belt will likely vote GEJ rather than a core Hausa/fulani from the NW or NE especially as a result of the constant fulani herdsmen clashes with farmers and other Northern minorities. The SS and SE will obviously get a GEJ block vote despite Rochas and the Amaechi saga. GEJ will also get substantial votes from Southern Kaduna (NW), Adamawa (NE) and a few votes from minorities in other NW and NE states. But these will come only after a lot of money (maybe half of 2015 budget) have changed hands. Time will tell.

But this position can only be tackled effectively if the NW and NE supports a popular candidate from the middle belt as President and also a popular candidate from the SW (perhaps Fashola as VP). But will they?

PS: I am non-partisan and anything can still happen in politics.

Ola one:
Trust me, you understand politics.

automaticcarzz: Nonsense! This is an idi0t whose only vote he got as Presidential candidate was from him alone. Even his wife didn't vote for him. The clown called Dele Momodu.

automaticcarzz: Nonsense! This is an idi0t whose only vote he got as Presidential candidate was from him alone. Even his wife didn't vote for him. The clown called Dele Momodu.

bakynes: I believe APC can win PDP in 2015 Presendential Elections, if they organize themselves properly.The population of the North and d SW is larger than the East and SS.The North doesn't want Jonathan which is very clear considering how the Northern Governors are teaming up against him and the SW which gave jonathan d edge over Buhari in d 2011 elections are nt happy with the way he is ruling d affairs of the Nation. So APC can win come 2015 if they conduct themselves properly.